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Nameless_Steve posted:Highly popular governor Jay Nixon (D-Missouri) is term limited in 2016. If he runs for Senate, he will almost certainly crush unpopular incumbent Roy Blunt (R), whose approval rating was at 37/36 (+1) in 2012. Yeah, Nixon's kinda got a massive millstone called "Ferguson" around his neck. So much so that black Dems from NoCO allied themselves around the GOP candidate for STL County Exec (who lost, but it's going to a recount so who knows) in the recent elections because at least he promised to do something about getting justice for Mike Brown, and he's already had a diss track written about him by one of the main protest leaders that takes him to task (it's available here: https://soundcloud.com/tef-poe/war-cry-produced-by-dj-smitty-jay-nixon-diss-record). So, despite the fact that Missouri has a fairly deep Dem bench (the AG and SoS are both Dems who won with popular programs like "justice for all" and "let everyone, including soldiers like myself, vote" respectively, if Nixon runs it might be an own-goal of Andres Escobar proportions.
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Nov 14, 2014 09:58
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Nameless_Steve posted:Ah, yes, the well-worn double-edged sword of campaign promises that obviously violate separation of powers. In this case, a promise to prevent the massive impending failure of the judicial branch. Not called in the National Guard, during the state of emergency he declared pulled the STL County prosecutor and appointed a special prosecutor, barred use of teargas/milsurp vehicles, actually go to Ferguson and speak with protest leaders quicker than he did, and so forth.
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Nov 14, 2014 21:28
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BIG FLUFFY DOG posted:Yeah, people hate Bevin too, though. A lot of it was that the campaign became so negative almost nobody except the homophobes showed up. Like Conway won Louisville by a waaayyy lower margin than he should have, and he also refused to ever do retail politics because he was convinced it was all about money. Sadly, Rand's time at Duke didn't overlap much with Christian Laettner's career with the Devils, so the chance for an endorsement from him is wasted. Coach K is a pretty big GOP fundraiser/donor, though...Gray could probably get an endorsement from Calipari, hell maybe Rick Pitino could record a 15-second spot.
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Jan 26, 2016 23:54
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thethreeman posted:IN GOP is holding a vote on the 26th to replace him: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/national-politics/article89806712.html A bit of context from someone that lives here: --Right now Missouri's in the midst of some very nasty GOP primary battles (a two-way race for AG and a four-way contest for governor) while the Dems have lined up candidates in these races, are sitting back on their hands and waiting for the dust to clear. This is even more interesting because MO has no restrictions on political contributions, which not only makes it easy to see who's being backed by whom (check out this piece for more: http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/...ee972647a4.html ) but one of current leader Eric Greitens' whales is currently being sued by a woman who alleges that he (the donor, not Greitens) kept her as a sex-slave for 13 years. --Kander is an Iraq vet who started off as a state legislator in KC, then won SoS by painting his opponent as an extremist (I remember one of his ads saying something to the effect of "When I served, I made sure to get an absentee ballot so I could make my voice heard. My opponent wants to greatly restrict voting by mail. Why does he want to make it impossible for the people defending our democracy to participate in that democracy?") --The name "Blunt" is still very toxic, because Roy's son Matt was MO Gov between 2004-08 and became very, VERY unpopular by gutting Medicaid, deleting thousands of emails (in blatant violation of open-records laws) where he apparently tried to use his power to influence outside political groups, and made statements saying that "people don't want to live in St Louis or Kansas City" which only furthered his reputation as only having the interests of Southwest Missouri, the Blunt family's base of power, at heart. --Missouri hates Kansas, and their political decisions are pretty much the elephant in the room in this election. That and right-to-work: a couple times it's been passed by the State Lege, only to not have a veto-proof majority because there's a sizable number of GOP lawmakers from STL/KC whose districts have a good number of union workers, and repeated polls (including the PPP one I quoted) have shown that most people here don't want it.
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Jul 19, 2016 21:14
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Missouri politics, everyone: http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/...f73a560403.htmlThe Post-Dispatch posted:Silicon Valley investor Michael Goguen has donated $1 million to one of Brunner's opponents, Eric Greitens. Goguen subsequently made national news when a female acquaintance filed a lawsuit against him alleging years of sexual abuse. Goguen has denied the allegation, and has filed a counter-suit against her alleging extortion. In this race, we have: a former Lt. Gov who spent state funds at the Sauget Ballet because he fell in love with a stripper, a candidate who's running on a "Law, Order and Fix Mizzou" platform who kicked it off by getting in some poo poo with MU because she used the Tigers logo and symbols without their permission, a total enigma backed by said venture-capitalist, Vincent Kennedy McMahon, and a shadowy group called "SEALs for Truth", and Brunner, who once supported George Wallace out of "youthful rebellion". And all this with the backdrop of the once-leading candidate driven to suicide because of an anti-Semitic whisper campaign started by the man who went on to manage Lyin' Ted's campaign. (The only interesting thing about the Democratic nominee is that back in the early 2000s, he wanted to announce that he was ditching the GOP and going over to the Dems in front of his--and my--high school alma mater. It got nixed, officially due to "his stance on abortion" but more likely because the Society of Jesus wanted to remain politically neutral.)
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Jul 26, 2016 21:41
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Cliff Racer posted:The gubernatorial race is going on at the same time and it looks like Democrats have an okay candidate for that (and the GOP has some okay ones and not so okay ones fighting it out in a primary) so the money could be in regards to that. As for that GOP gubernatorial primary: we're only a few days out from the election and polls have it as a four-way tie, and all the other GOP primaries are essentially dead heats. Plus one of the candidates just got a very hands-on endorsement (I got a robocall from him earlier this morning). Missouri's also an open-primary state, so it'll be interesting to see how tactical voting will affect the race. And if you get a chance, look up some of the ads we're seeing (either on Youtube,or better yet if you have MLB.TV, select the Cardinals home feed of their game vs the Marlins tomorrow)--they're good and terrible. Troy Queef has issued a correction as of 22:53 on Jul 30, 2016 |
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Jul 30, 2016 22:50
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Update from Missouri: on the GOP side, AP has called Gov for Greitens, LtGov for Mike Parson and AG for Josh Hawley. This also means Rex Sinquefield-backed candidates went 0-3. For the Dems, everything was basically as planned: Koster won Gov, Carnahan took LtGov, and Jason Kander valiantly saw off the challenge of Chief Wanna Dube for Senate. Dem AG remains the only close race: with 56% reported Teresa Hensley (prosecutor from Cass County outside KC) is beating Jake Zimmerman (from STL County, forget what he was elected as) by about 4,000 votes, but KC and STL City/County votes are still being counted.
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Aug 3, 2016 04:00
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Concerned Citizen posted:The other thing working against Murphy - FL is expensive to compete in because it's so huge. You get more bang for your buck investing in 2 smaller states than competing there. For context: FL has five cities whose TV markets are within the top 50 DMAs (Tampa Bay #13, Miami #16, Orlando #19, West Palm Beach #38, Jacksonville #47) plus several others in the top 100, compared to other battleground states Missouri with 2 (STL #21, KC #31--Springfield is at #74), NC with 3 (Charlotte #24, Raleigh-Durham #27, Winston-Salem 46) plus an NC/SC split market at #36, and Indiana only one (Indianapolis #25--Evansville and Ft Wayne are both out of the top 100 DMAs, although there is spillover in Illiana with the Chicago market). Ad spending in FL has to be absurdly expensive. For content: GOP internal polls have Ayotte by 1 in NH, Toomey by 2 in PA (partially due to a reverse-split in the Philly 'burbs, where Clinton is doing well but McGinty is struggling a bit), Rubio by 3 in FL despite the ad-pull and Blunt by 1 in MO. https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/643658?oref=t.co&mref=twitter_share&unlock=XCNQD1I4XP3RF84H
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Oct 18, 2016 20:02
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STL Post-Dispatch polls have two statistical ties in the Missouri races, with Roy Blunt holding a slim lead in the Senate election and Chris Koster (D) leading by a point on a surging Eric Greitens (R). It should be noted that Trump is expected to win here by about six to seven percentage points, and his "drain the swamp" message has resonated quite well in a state where there aren't any limits on lobbying/gifts/contributions, so that's why you're seeing some of these odd splits--both the challengers have very much portrayed themselves as clean political outsiders.
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Oct 28, 2016 20:08
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