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Gucci Loafers posted:A better question, does Guyana even have an effective or large military? I know Venezuela does have armed forces but I can't imagine jungle combat or the terrain is going to make it easier for attackers. It has only 5000 soldiers compared to 100k + auxillaries for Venezuela. Given its maduro’s government even absent the almost guaranteed Brazilian/American intervention he’ll probably find some incredibly novel and innovative way to still somehow lose
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Dec 7, 2023 04:14
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Gucci Loafers posted:The whole left response to this whole situation is just... insane but again it's the the left. Guyana is allied with the US UK France and Brazil, really every country with a significant military and power projection in the region (and Britain lol). Having huge oil reserves that could fall into the hands of an unfriendly nation helps their willingness to help of course it is also of course the homeland of Mew and Mewtwo but whether they will even involve themselves in the affairs of humans much less fight for them is impossible to say
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Dec 7, 2023 17:45
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Russia is saying this should be resolved diplomatically. And its not usual Venezuela has been very patient with Western aggression waffling either. https://www.barrons.com/news/russia-calls-for-peaceful-end-to-guyana-venezuela-row-f24e9fad Maduro doesn't seem to have the backing of a single ally over this. He has no deterrence from a potential American intervention from allys or resources (a la Europe being dependent on Russian oil and gas), military (no nukes, his military isn't really going to be able to do anything but immediately be on the defensive with the US or even the Brazilians.), or even destabilization (His country is already the source of a Syria-esque refugee crisis in peacetime.) With this statement I think this goes from a 3% chance of amounting to anything more than sabre-rattling to 0. I think Maduro is smart enough to realize this is one of the weakest hands you could have and that nobody is really forcing him to play.
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Dec 8, 2023 17:33
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Google Jeb Bush posted:Alright, been trying to read up some on Arevalo's political inclinations vs his opponent(s). Broadly: seems good. Real big on anticorruption Historically being big on anti corruption in the campaign is the biggest indicator for super-corruption when in office
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Dec 12, 2023 14:40
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zoux posted:Who runs on corruption Nobody. Why do you think the world is so corrupt?
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Dec 13, 2023 00:08
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mobby_6kl posted:Argentina's economy seems like such a clusterfuck that I'm not even sure more idiotic policies can make it significantly worse at this point In economic theory there are 4 types of economies. Mature economies, developing economies, Japan and Argentina
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Dec 14, 2023 22:16
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SlothfulCobra posted:Right next door, Chile is having a time. They rejected it by 15 points. Chilean politics is going to be like British prime ministers but with constitutions now
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Dec 18, 2023 00:36
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Elias_Maluco posted:Only if you are a citizen of the USA Being a US citizen is actually loving terrrible in those circumstances because you’re a super high-value kidnapping/arrest for traffic violations target just so they have something to negotiate with the state department over
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Jan 11, 2024 19:17
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