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Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Have there been any developments in the War in Darfur for a while?

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Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Klaus88 posted:

Is Somalia still a lawless hellscape Libertarian paradise free of government oppression? :ancap:

Normalcy is starting to return to the areas under control of the government, particularly in Mogadishu and the overall security situation is much better. Shabaab is still quite active though, just a couple of days ago they struck a hotel in Mogadishu. A lot of members of al Shabaab have defected since last year as well, so they're desperately trying to stay relevant through more brazen attacks. Somaliland is currently under pressure from a Yemeni refugee crisis (caused by Saudi Arabia's dumb war there), which is leading to more food scarcity in the normally stable region in the north. Somali piracy has been almost completely eradicated following Western military intervention. So Somalia has a ways to go to stability, but its still better than being in Yemen apparently.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
South Africa appears to be intentionally loving up it's tourism sector with new harsh visa application rules that require long form birth certificates and apparently for India specifically, biometric data? KKK can you provide any insight into the impetus behind these changes?

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Grats to Pierre Nkurunziza on winning a third term

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Hey so even though Diskendo Fox posted in this thread gently caress goons for letting it die. Brief update to try to spur its revival:

Major human rights activist in Burundi that was critical of Pres. Nkurunziza's third term was critically wounded in a motorcycle attack assassination attempt, which follows the murder of the president's personal security chief, Gen Adolphe Nshimirimana. Looks like Burundi is spiraling towards sporadic violence, at a minimum

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Whorelord posted:

What's the current state in Mali vis-a-vis the whole Taureg/Jihadist situation anyway?

Also people should watch the movie Timbuktu, it's great

Last I checked the peace deal between Mali and the Tuaregs has been holding up while Jihadist groups have conducted sporadic attacks on government checkpoints in the periphery. This was in July and I doubt the situation has changed much.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
So is this gonna end jack poo poo with the war because this feels like an even wetter fart than Libya's deal

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Good news from Burundi! A spokesman for the opposition party UDP was murdered in his home today, following a recent assassination attempt on the current president of the UDP. Over 100 people have been killed in political violence since the election and it looks poised to get worse!

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Speaking of third terms, the parliament in Rwanda voted to change the constitution and lift the two-term limit for the presidency, paving the way for Paul Kagame to run again. Rwanda's Supreme Court has agreed to review the measure and decide whether Kagame will be eligible to run again at the end of his current term.

Spoiler: He will prevail

While this is sure to piss off the international community, this will likely not be nearly as controversial as Nkurunziza's reelection in neighboring Burundi, as Kagame is popular in Rwanda. He's credited with the relative peace and prosperity Rwanda has had under him. Plus he has brutally crushed the opposition during his time as president.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
In Mali there's been some challenges to the fragile peace established through the French intervention recently. First, throughout summer there have been a wave of attacks by the Macina Liberation Front, a jihadist group that likely formed sometime around January. The group is supposedly led by Amadou Koufa, a radical preacher with ties to Ansar Dine, but some argue that he was actually killed in 2013 by the French. The attacks have largely been concentrated in the north and central Mali, which have been the hotbed of jihadism since things went to poo poo there several years ago. However, the attacks are slowly spreading southward and several attacks on government and UN targets have occurred in and around Mali's capital, and just the other day Malian police arrested a terror cell affiliated with the MLF. There has also been some renewed clashes with Tuareg separatists, as a pro-government militia invaded the small northern town of Anefis in mid-August. The government is trying to deescalate the situation, and has apparently successfully pressured the militia to begin withdrawing.

In other Mali news, Mali and Cameroon have renegotiated their long standing open border policies, and now citizens of the two countries will need entry visas to pass through check points for the first time in half a century. There has also been a confirmed polio case in Mali, which may have been caused by a live virus vaccine failing and becoming contagious

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
The opposition leader in Burundi called for targeted sanctions against the leadership in response to the recent election, and the UN warns that failure to react to Burundi risks the outbreak of yet another war in the Great Lakes region. Burundi's government had their own response to the risk of civil war: they arrested over 100 members of the opposition yesterday.

In other clinging to power news, the president of the DRC, Joseph Kabila, sacked two opposition leaders from their roles in government for complaining about him milling on whether to run for another term. There's been violence this week between opposition and government supporters over Kabila's tenure, so this may lead to a more pronounced violent flair up should he run again.

In Sweden, a trial began for Claver Berinkindi, a Hutu Swedish national accused of leading attacks against Tutsis. I haven't read much on the case so I don't know how strong the evidence against him is.

Homura and Sickle fucked around with this message at 11:25 on Sep 18, 2015

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

my dad posted:

Why must this thread be so depressing. :smith:

Speaking of depressing, there was a coup d'etat in Burkina Faso. The coup was perpetrated by military officers supposedly loyal to the former president for life Blaise Compaore, who was ousted recently by popular protests. The coup was against the leaders of the transitional government, and occurred three weeks before scheduled elections to determine his successor. The leader of the coup, General Diendere, says that elections will still go forward but the scheduled date of October 11 is much too early, and we must not rush democracy, oh no that would be bad, so the elections are delayed indefinitely. The French use Burkina Faso as a staging area for operations against Islamists, and the country is also allied with the U.S. against those militants. The U.S. is mad salty about this coup and saying they're going to "review" the military aid they provide to the country (in the same manner they "reviewed" military aid to Egypt after their coup, which is to say lol).

The UN wrote Diendere a very strongly worded letter expressing stern disapproval.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

fade5 posted:

So are the French gonna do any sort of intervention (military or otherwise) against General Diendere and company, or are they only doing stuff against Islamists?

One the one hand it would be cool to see the coup guy thrown out, but on the other hand that could easily lead to more instability and violence, and it could also lead to anti-French sentiment if it looks like France is militarily picking and choosing leaders without having super broad support from the general public (both in Burkina Faso and abroad) to do something like that.

The French response so far has been to condemn the coup, but President Hollande added "France has friendly relations with Burkina Faso and we cannot just allow what is happening today . . . [but we] have no reason to intervene." So, so far no it's not looking like they're gonna stick their dick into this beehive.

The coup leaders released the interim president and several ministers but the prime minister remains in custody.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
The oil slump and China's economic catastrophe are starting to show their effect on export focused economies in Africa. Take for example, Equatorial Guinea and Botswana. Both are relatively wealthy countries, and both are facing hard economic times now. EG's economy is based almost entirely on oil exports, and because of the collapse in oil prices the GDP per capita PPP is expected to plummet over the next several years. EG is exploring with the IMF plans to diversify its economy, and focus on building human capitol. EG already has a pretty good infrastructure by African standards but the proposed plan involves further investment in that sector. In Botswana, GDP growth forecasts have been cut in half recently. Botswana is a major mineral exporting economy, with diamonds being the biggest export sector. China's economic woes have caused a sharp decrease in exports of diamonds, because there is an associated collapse in demand for luxury goods. Botswana is also exploring how to diversify their economy for longer term growth and lower reliance on world demands for gems. Ganbatte, Botswana

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Transitional president of Burkina Faso back in power, coup officially a failure. gg

President Nguesso of the DRC has promised a referendum over whether or not he can run for another term. This will probably not placate the opposition.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Badger of Basra posted:

Don't you mean Kabila?


Effectronica posted:

Actually, he means Denis Nguesso of the Republic of the Congo.

gently caress I mixed them up because Kabila is also milling a run for another term.

e:

Badger of Basra posted:

You can't expect me to keep track of all the variously named presidents of the variously named Congos looking to extend their terms.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Central African Republic has been racked with religiously motivated violence this weekend. It started when a Christian militia abducted and murdered a Muslim taxi driver for whatever reason, which has prompted reprisal violence that has left at least 24 dead and 100 wounded in the capital. French peacekeepers have been criticized for failure to stop the violence.

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Brother KKK, do you have any insight into the history behind the current tensions between the central Somali government and Puntland w/ escalating border violence and militarization this past month?

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
US carried out its biggest operation in Somalia since Black Hawk Down, killing 150+ al-Shabaab militants thru air raids in the north of the country, claiming that al-Shabaab had been preparing an imminent large scale operation as the justification

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Spacewolf posted:

It's Somalia, do they really need justification?

America has a bit of a problematic history wrt intervention in Somalia. That said they've been running minor sortie operations out of Mogadishu for some time now, this is just the largest scale operation by a wide margin

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Spacewolf posted:

Honest question: Why do we bother pretending there's a government in Somalia?

I mean, at some point, 25 years after there last was a functioning Somali government, it defies sanity. Why not just recognize Puntland and Somaliland as independent de facto and de jure, declare the remainder Terra Nullius pretty much, and then recognize whatever government assembles itself and has control over that territory substantively?

The government of Somalia has control over basically all of the urban area outside of Puntland and Somaliland now, al-Shabaab is confined to rural corridors

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013
Protests and strikes in Zimbabwe over the lovely economy and civil servants not being paid. Wonder if anything will come from this (no)

Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

kustomkarkommando posted:

I did a write up on the basic background to the current spate of fighting on page one of this thread.

The negotiated peace has roughly held but pretty much everyone thinks it's going to collapse, it took months to negotiate the return of the leader of the SLPA-IO to the capital and political progress is pretty much no-existant - Kiir flouted the terms of the peace deal by completely redrawing the map of states which threw the entire local level power sharing scheme that was carefully and slowly negotiated out of the window. Here's a recent statement from the International Crisis Group with more detail for the moment:

My favorite of these new states is the Lol, South Sudan

Anyway Vice did as Vice do and made a couple short form documentaries on it if you want to watch those

http://www.vice.com/video/saving-south-sudan-full-length

https://news.vice.com/video/ambushed-in-south-sudan-full-length

As for my chat thread comment about LRA operating in South Sudan, they're trading ivory with the (north) Sudanese government in an area it controls called Kafia Kingi in Lol, according to defectors. IIRC Sudan has a history of working with the LRA

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Homura and Sickle
Apr 21, 2013

Grouchio posted:

I feel like we need a separate Nigerian, South African and Zimbabwe thread here. We should also see if any natives from those countries post on these forums so we can have as much endemic information as in the Venezuela Thread.

almost no one posts in this thread as is grouchio

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