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Welcome to the GOP Primary Madness thread! Contest information below. In the spirit of March Madness, I want all of you to guess who goes out and in what order. The date a candidate drops out does not matter--only the order they drop out does. The official winner is either when all other candidates suspend their campaigns or the RNC acceptance speech if Trump sticks around too long. Scoring will go similar to how a March Madness bracket does. 10 points for guessing the candidate, 9 for 2nd place, 8 for 3rd, and so on. However, you get bonus points for each extra candidate you guess correctly. Two candidates correct gets you 1 bonus point, three gets you 2, four gets you 4, etc. So a perfect bracket would get 55 points for guess candidates and 256 bonus points for a total of 311 points. The winner gets a forums upgrade of their choosing and 2nd/3rd places get an avatar or something. You may also replace one of the top 10 candidates with a dark horse from the rest of the field that did not make the main Fox debate but explain why. The candidates: Donald Trump  Notable Accomplishments: Being Donald Trump, real estate, hospitality, and other such endeavors. Why he can win it: Speaks directly to the republican base by being a huge loving rear end in a top hat. Favorite of Freep for now. Why he can lose it: He’s Donald Trump and may just be in it for the branding. Has nowhere near the political infrastructure as other candidates. Giant cock. Jeb! Bush  Notable Accomplishments: Former governor of Florida. He also is the son and brother of two former presidents. Why he can win it: Name recognition rivals Hillary’s. Campaign consists of an army of GOPers and warhawks desperate for another war or two. Has essentially endless supply of Super PAC money. Why he can lose it: Jeb! Is still a Bush and even some conservatives don’t really like Bushes anymore since W Bush paved the way for Obama. Scott Walker  Notable Accomplishments: Governor of Wisconsin who survived a recall. He can fit two Koch dicks in his mouth at once. Why he can win it: He’s an empty suit for the Koch brothers and successfully implemented far-right policy in a swing state. Why he can lose it: He’s currently running Wisconsin into the ground and they are not happy with that. Ben Carson  Notable Accomplishments: Neurosurgeon, earned Presidential Medal of Freedom for chopping apart two babies conjoined at the head. Why he can win it: Popular right-wing talking points machine in stylish black paint. Why he can lose it: He’s black and running for president after the most hated black man since MLK. Mike Huckabee  Notable Accomplishments: Former governor of Arkansas and famous talking head for Fox News. Why he can win it: Name recognition, experience in the GOP Primary madhouse, endorsed by Chuck Norris. Why he can lose it: He’s basically the same thing as his 2008 run which failed horribly. He’s just not electable. Probably just out here to pimp the reboot of his show. Ted Cruz  Notable accomplishments: Canadian-born senator from TEXAS. Why he can win it: He spouts on and on about everything the far right loves to hear—gays, abortions, ARE FREEDUMS. Why he can lose it: He sounds like a wet fart and burned a lot of bridges to get elected in Texas. No one truly important likes him. Rand Paul  Notable accomplishments: Son of gold-loving Ron Paul, senator from Kentucky, nests a wildlife preserve on his head. Why he can win it: RAND PAUL! GOLD! FREEDOM! He can talk for five minutes and say things everyone agrees with Why he can lose it: Apple didn’t fall far from the tree so listening to him talk for more than five minutes leads straight into crazy town. Mark Rubio  Notable accomplishments: Senator from Florida and Cuban. Why he can win it: He’s young, got talent, and isn’t white. Why he can lose it: He just doesn’t stand out enough with Jeb! and Walker around. Also this:  Chris Christie:  Notable accomplishments: Governor of New Jersey. Why he can win it: He’s not as far off the deep end as other candidates. Why he can lose it: He shut down a bridge in Jersey out of spite. He’s too much of a RINO for the True Real Americans and FAT. John Kasich  Notable accomplishments: Governor of Ohio Why he can win: Ohio’s kind of an important state in the general. He’s not as far gone as others. Why he can lose it: He’s likely to get crowded out by the more big-time candidates and accepted Obamacare money like a bitch. Please have your picks in by Thursday August 6th at 8pm Eastern Time (5pm for Best Coast). Feel free to discuss why candidates won't make it far and what not. Just don't go too crazy since a lot of them already have their own threads. I'll update the polls as I see fit, post debates as they get closer, and eventually primary results as they come in. Post your picks here as a reply for them to count, like this: 1) Jeb! Bush 2) Donald Trump 3) Ted Cruz 4) Scott Walker 5) Rand Paul 6) Mark Rubio 7) Chris Christie 8) Mike Huckabee 9) John Kasich 10) Ben Carson Jeb's going to win it because he's a Bush and we deserve a repeat of 1992. Trump will fight on until the bitter end, Ted Cruz sticks around way past his defeat, and Walker just doesn't have the clout so he jumps onto the Jeb! train. Rest of them suck as candidates so I just picked them randomly. Ben Carson will probably go before, I dunno, Lindsay Graham. Upcoming Events Polling as of 15-Oct-15 Trump - 23% Carson - 19% Rubio - 10% Fiorina - 8.3% Bush - 7.3% Cruz - 7% Kasich - 2.9% Huckabee - 2.7% Paul - 2.7% Christie - 1.9% People who left: 1) Perry 2) Walker Islam is the Lite Rock FM has issued a correction as of 21:53 on Oct 15, 2015 |
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Aug 5, 2015 18:53
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| # ? May 2, 2024 08:22 |
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1) Jeb Bush 2) Scott Walker 3) Marco Rubio 4) Ted Cruz 5) Donald Trump 6) John Kasich 7) Rand Paul 8) Chris Christie 9) Ben Carson 10) Mike Huckabee Pretty random since there's no way to know how this magnificent shitshow will actually play out, but I think Trump will take his ball and go home at some point when he's tired of something not going his way or something.
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Aug 5, 2015 19:03
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1. Trump 2. Bush 3. Walker 4. Cruz 5. Rubio 6. Paul 7. Carson 8. Huckabee 9. Christie 10. Kasich 
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Aug 5, 2015 19:47
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2) Scott Walker 3) Jeb! Bush 4) Ted Cruz 5) Mike Huckabee 6) Chris Christie 7) Ben Carson 8) Mark Rubio 9) John Kasich 10) Rand Paul edit: scratch that, reverse it 1)Rand Paul 1.5)Perry 2) John Kasich 3) Mark Rubio 4) Ben Carson 5) Christie 6) Huckabee 7) Cruz 8 ) Bush 9) Walker 10)Trump Donald Trump blows the other candidates out of the water, swaggers around with his I don't care attitude and is generally well-received by an electorate that desperately wants Hulk Hogan to put that drat Colonel Mustafa in his place. Walker sidles into second by not saying much of anything, Jeb tries the same strategy but looks weak in doing so. Cruz sits at 4 because he tries to steal some of the Don's momentum by coming out hard with a bevy of zingers, it's enough to appease people for now, but will not last. Huckabee sees that other candidates aren't aggressively going after the Christian vote and pumps Jesus into every single sentence, inflating him to 5. Christie benefits from the "oh right, that guy, he might be electable" brigade as people had forgotten about him until now. The media exposure alone gets him to 6. Carson makes a dark horse jump, unveiling his 8-8-8 tax plan that really resonates with the "quick fix now!" crowd Rubio plops into 8th as his star is quickly fading and Trump gives him a couple particularly powerful emasculating remarks that he has no volley for Kasich moves up to 9th simply due to the fact that the federal indictments that are now haunting the Paul campaign drop him to the bottom like a rock. Soon Perry will be polling above him. pathetic little tramp has issued a correction as of 00:48 on Aug 6, 2015 |
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Aug 5, 2015 19:56
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1) Jeb! 2) YOU'RE FIRED! 3) Marco Rubio 4) Scott Walker 5) John Kasich 6) Rand Paul 7) Mike Huckabee 8) Ted Cruz 9) Ben Carson 10) Chris Christie
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Aug 5, 2015 20:07
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Wait. If Trump chucks it and goes third party, does it count as dropping out or not?
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Aug 6, 2015 00:42
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In order of drop-out: Carson, Kasich, Paul, Christie, Rubio, Huckabee, Trump, Cruz, Walker, Bush.
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Aug 6, 2015 00:45
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1. Bush 2. Trump 3. Walker 4. Huckabee 5. Christie 6. Rubio 7. Kasich 8. Cruz 9. Carson 10. Paul
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Aug 6, 2015 00:56
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1. Trump 2. Jeb! 3. Walker 4. Rubio 5. Christie 6. Huckabee 7. Cruz 8. Kasich 9. Carson 10. Paul
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Aug 6, 2015 01:10
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1) Jeb! Bush 2) Ted Cruz 3) Scott Walker 4) Donald Trump 5) Rand Paul 6) Mark Rubio 7) Chris Christie 8) Mike Huckabee 9) John Kasich 10) Ben Carson
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Aug 6, 2015 01:13
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Trump should get Ron Paul as his VP and just let the old man trash his own son relentlessly.
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Aug 6, 2015 01:14
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1. Scott Walker 2. Donald Trump 3. Ted Cruz 4. Jeb Bush 5. Marco Rubio 6. John Kasich 7. Mike Huckabee 8. Ben Carson 9. Rand Paul 10. Chris Christie Walker will ingratiate himself better with his paymasters than Cruz. Jeb and Rubio are pretty boring, but some people like them. John Kasich will get some of the Republicans who are probably voting Democratic in 2016 and beyond. Huckabee and Carson will stick around for a bit but they'll fall off as they get overwhelmed with money. Rand Paul is not a serious candidate and doesn't get his father's support. Chris Christie will get embarrassed by Trump and leave the race. Trump will stay in simply to spite everyone else. Scott Walker will get crushed in the general.
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Aug 6, 2015 01:14
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Warcabbit posted:Wait. If Trump chucks it and goes third party, does it count as dropping out or not? Trump going third party counts as dropping out of the GOP Primary. So yes he's out on the date he goes third party.
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Aug 6, 2015 01:44
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hmm let's see 1) Donald Trump 2) Donald Trump 3) Donald Trump 4) Donald Trump 5) Donald Trump 6) Donald Trump 7) Donald Trump 8) Jeb! 9) Donald Trump 10) Donald Trump
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Aug 6, 2015 02:01
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1) Scott Walker 2) Donald Trump 3) Jeb! Bush 4) Mark Rubio 5) Rand Paul 6) Ted Cruz 7) Mike Huckabee 8) Chris Christie 9) John Kasich 10) Ben Carson
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Aug 6, 2015 02:18
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1) Marco Rubio 2) JEB! 3) Scott Walker 4) Ted Cruz 5) Donald Trump 6) Rand Paul 7) Chris Christie 8) Mike Huckabee 9) John Kasich 10) Ben Carson trump goes out, endorses cruz, who flames out shortly thereafter. rubio wins by keeping a low profile (and flip flopping on his gang of 8 stuff) and, as happened with romney, gop voters will manage to rationalize their votes for him and they get the bonus of saying that they can't be racist since they support a latino candidate baw has issued a correction as of 02:29 on Aug 6, 2015 |
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Aug 6, 2015 02:26
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Mods replace hillary in the title with bernie. thanks in advance. Also, order of disappearance is something like: Chris Christie (10) because everyone hates him, followed by Huckabee (9), Kasich (8), Carson (7), and Rubio (6) (no good way of predicting the actual order) because no one actually takes any of them seriously It's really hard to pick from the five remainders because none of them are actually ready for prime time, but Cruz (5) is probably just running for the vice presidency and will bow out before things get too heated, and Trump (4) probably can't survive in a narrower field. If Rand (3) is anything like his dad he's going to stick around long past his window of opportunity for... reasons. I expect Walker (2) to enjoy the mot primary success as the rightwing not-bush, but in the end I think the republican establishment will freak out and realize they need someone who can appeal to moderates and I also think they're dumb enough to think that person is Bush (1).
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Aug 6, 2015 02:29
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You can pick a fat red title for me if the Sandstorm pulls it out.
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Aug 6, 2015 02:59
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1. Walker 2. Jeb! 3. Rubio 4. Cruz (stays in only because he picks up Trumps endorsement) 5. Christie 6. Paul 7. Trump (drops out for "reasons") 8. Huckabee 9. Kasich 10. Carson (cannot handle the pressure and jabs)
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Aug 6, 2015 03:06
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1. Trump Tied and in no particular order: 10. Walker 10. Jeb! 10. Rubio 10. Cruz 10. Christie 10. Paul 10. Huckabee 10. Kasich 10. Carson None of these jokers could hit the obvious softballs C-SPAN was lobbing at them the other night so they can't help but flame out hilariously
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Aug 6, 2015 03:36
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1. Walker 2. Jeb! 3. Rubio 4. Trump 5. Cruz 6. Paul 7. Kasich 8. Huckabee 9. Christie 10. Carson
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Aug 6, 2015 03:37
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DemeaninDemon posted:You can pick a fat red title for me if the Sandstorm pulls it out. Sorry, I'll probably be too hungover from the victory party.
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Aug 6, 2015 07:34
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joe and fried chicken where are your picks dont act like this is beneath you 
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Aug 6, 2015 14:07
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1) John Kasich 2) Mike Huckabee 3) JEB! 4) The Donald 5) Rand Paul 6) Chris Christie 7) Ted Cruz 8) Ben Carson 9) Scott Walker 10) Marco Rubio Rubio bows out early after terrible showing in the first 3 primaries, and Walker follows soon after. Ben Carson ditches just before Super Tuesday having spent $0 campainging in those states. Cruz and Christie drop out after their Giulianni style plan of "the later states will vote for me!" never materialized, and both have their moment in the sun as the Tea Party Chosen One flame out like Icarus. Paul makes bank and then quietly Bowes out like dad. Trump finds his next big thing and attempts to have his campaign declair bankruptcy. JEB! finds that most people pulling out endorsed Kasich just to spite him, specifically Trump. Huckabee forgets how math works again and doesn't quit until there is literally no way he can secure the nomination, plus a month of hemming and hawing. Kasich, Lord-Emperor of Ohio goes on to win the primary and takes just Ohio out of the OH/PA/FL/CO swing states in the general.
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Aug 6, 2015 14:55
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Val Helmethead posted:1) John Kasich this is the best one so far
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Aug 6, 2015 15:02
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1) Walker 2) Trump 3) Bush 4) Kasich 5) Rubio 6) Cruz 7) Paul 8) Carson 9) Christie 10) Huckabee
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Aug 6, 2015 20:32
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1) Jeb! 2) Walker 3) Rubio 4) Cruz 5) Kasich 6) Paul 7) Christie 8) Trump 9) Huckabee 10) Carson
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Aug 6, 2015 23:26
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1) Jeb! Bush 2) Scott Walker 3) Donald Trump 4) Scott Walker 5) Marco Rubio 6) Mike Huckabee 7) Chris Christie 8) Ted Cruz 9) Ben Carson 10) John Kasich
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Aug 7, 2015 00:23
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Val Helmethead posted:1) John Kasich Just thought I'd make that a little more accurate.
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Aug 7, 2015 00:24
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Thump! posted:Just thought I'd make that a little more accurate. I feel the need to point out that not only does "the South" exist, but so does Wyoming and Utah.
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Aug 7, 2015 00:39
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OK no more entries unless the post time stamp says before the debate starts.
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Aug 7, 2015 01:27
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Christie Huckabee Carson Cruz Paul Kasich Rubio Walker Bush wins the primary, Trump runs as a third party.
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Aug 7, 2015 01:32
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1. Walker 2. Trump 3. Jeb 4. Rubio 5. Cruz 6. Huckabee 7. Carson 8. Paul 9. Christie 10. Kasich
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Aug 7, 2015 01:43
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Miltank posted:Christie Aw poo poo I did this backwards.
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Aug 7, 2015 02:09
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Fox News poll, courtesy of zoux in uspol: Ahahaha
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Aug 17, 2015 18:11
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Since this is the primary that no rules will apply to: 1. Kasich 2. Cruz 3. Jeb! 4. Trump 5. Walker 6. Fiorina (will suddenly become relevant) 7. Huckabee 8. Carson 9. Rubio 10. Christie 11. Paul 12. Perry
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Aug 18, 2015 12:40
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1. Trump, riding high on The Schwarzenegger EffectTM until he gets bored and figures out some other way to fluff his ego 2. Rubio 3. 3 raccoons standing on each others shoulders in a trench coat 4-10. other human beings in an irrelevant order
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Aug 18, 2015 15:37
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Perry's a dead man walking.
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Aug 25, 2015 06:07
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so was newt in 2011 but now we have colonized the moon
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Aug 25, 2015 11:22
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| # ? May 2, 2024 08:22 |
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Ben Carson, famous for operations on babies of various stages of development, has tied Donald Trump in the Iowa polls.
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Sep 1, 2015 04:08
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