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Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



SlipUp posted:

I guess I jumped the gun on that one. I will edit that post when DVOA is update to reflect through week 3.

You also didn't use DVOA, you used DYAR, a counting stat.


Blotto Skorzany posted:

. The way subjectivity creeps into DVOA is that all the constants that have been revealed are round numbers suggesting that they are rear end-pulls that Aaron Schatz plugged into his spreadsheet twelve years ago rather than numbers reached through some reasoned analysis.

Hmm? They constants they came up with were from analysis of the play by play data they have access to (I think they're back to the late 80's now?) to figure out what the odds of converting first downs have been. Constants were rounded to specific yardage #'s because play by play reports only whole increments of yardage

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Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



That's neat. I was a little surprised that Dolphins-Pats game from 2007 was on the least exciting list over this one: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200711180buf.htm but I had forgotten the Bills had scored an early TD to cut the lead 14-7 in the 1st quarter



Add a fumble 6 to start the 4th quarter and the Pats had 8 TD's in 7 offensive possessions before they ground out the clock.

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