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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > The Football Funhouse > CAN I GET SOME MACTION FROM THE BACK SECTION (2015 bowl chat)
 
  • Locked thread
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Well, six weeks into the year some of these chucklefucks managed to not poo poo themselves and won enough games to play another uncompensated one. Which means it's time for this year's bowl chat/godawful predictions thread!

Well at least you waited for teams to become eligible this year before making the thread you stupid motherfucker

I need something to do on Sundays other than watch the Lions play and resist the urge to drink whatever I can find under the sink. This thread is as much informative as it is a cry for help.

So, are we up to like 389 bowls or something now?

Working on it! 41 games, counting the national championship, meaning we need 80 teams from the 128 currently active. For the first time in a while everyone is eligible, although Charlotte is "technically" ineligible due to the moving up penalty, though they could apply for a waiver if they win six games and we're short on teams, which probably won't be necessary. So since nearly 2/3s of teams will make a bowl, if your team misses out it means you're really bad and should fire your coach and maybe move down to D3 or just give up football and take up soccer communist kickball or eSports or something.

So who has the Playoff this year?

After starting with the Rose and Sugar Bowls last year, the Cotton and Orange host the semi-finals this year. What this means is that the Rose and Sugar will resume their traditional auto-invites, and once you add-in the Group of 5 autobid it means there will be on three at-large invitations to the New Years Bowl, which will have domino effects and ultimately mean Fun Belt teams will get dicked out of bowls in favor of having someone like Pitt show up and fart around for three hours.

Any other massive rants about anti-capitalism or whatever else stupid things you believe?

Not this year. We tell ourselves all bowl games are awesome and fun except that's only the case when teams give no fucks about d, and whoever says all bowls are awesome didn't suffer through that TCU/Sparty slog a couple of years ago. So let us pray to Xort and our glorious Agent of Chaos Katy Perry for a fun bowl season and one that doesn't end with either Ohio State or Alabama on top spoiler alert they probably will.

* # ¿ Oct 11, 2015 20:01
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# ¿ May 28, 2024 20:42
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Bowl schedule/Accepted Bids

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL - ORANGE BOWL: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Oklahoma (Big 12 Champs)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL - COTTON BOWL: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Michigan State (Big Ten Champs)

NEW YEARS BOWL - SUGAR BOWL: Ole Miss (SEC Rep) vs. Oklahoma State (Big 12 Rep)
NEW YEARS BOWL - PEACH BOWL: Florida State (At-Large) vs. Houston (Group of 5 Rep)
NEW YEARS BOWL - FIESTA BOWL: Ohio State (At-Large) vs. Notre Dame (At-Large)
NEW YEARS BOWL - ROSE BOWL: Stanford (Pac-12 Champs) vs. Iowa (Big Ten Rep)

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Arizona State
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             TCU vs. Oregon
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Penn State vs. Georgia
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Florida
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Northwestern vs. Tennessee
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. USC
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Louisville vs. Texas A&M      
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          NC State vs. Mississippi State
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. LSU
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Colorado State vs. Nevada
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. Baylor
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Cal vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      CMU vs. Minnesota*
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Pitt vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Nebraska* vs. UCLA
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Tulsa vs. Virginia Tech
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Duke vs. Indiana
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Washington vs. Southern Miss
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Miami vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    UConn vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. San Diego State
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Northern Illinois
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Temple vs. Toledo
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Akron vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	C-USA vs. Sun Belt	             Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas State
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Ohio vs. App State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     Utah vs. BYU
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Arizona vs. New Mexico
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             San Jose State* vs. Georgia State

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 01:52 on Dec 7, 2015

* # ¿ Oct 11, 2015 20:02
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 6: Everyone is bad but especially your favorite team

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Florida State     3-0, 5-0     LOU, @GT, CUSE, @CLEM, NCST, chat, @UF      7-1, 10-2
Clemson           2-0, 5-0     BC, @U, @NCST, FSU, @CUSE, WF, @SC          8-0, 12-0
Syracuse          1-0, 3-2     @UVA, PITT, @FSU, @LOU, CLEM, @NCST, BC     4-4, 6-6
Louisville        1-1, 2-3     @FSU, BC, @WF, CUSE, UVA, @PITT, @UK        6-2, 7-5
Wake Forest       1-2, 3-3     @UNC, NCST, LOU, @ND, @CLEM, DUKE           1-7, 3-9
NC State          0-2, 4-2     @WF, CLEM, @BC, @FSU, CUSE, UNC             3-5, 7-5
Boston College    0-3, 3-3     @CLEM, @LOU, VT, NCST, ND, @CUSE            0-8, 3-9
Clemson's the team to beat here, as they host FSU this year. I really don't like the idea of mediocre Louisville somehow going 6-2 in conference, but other than the Noles they'll be favorites in all of their other games. NC State is also lousy, but they face Wake and BC needing just those two wins go get in, so congrats Pack.

Coastal
pre:
Duke               2-0, 5-1     @VT, U, @UNC, PITT, @UVA, @WF           8-0, 11-1
Pittsburgh         2-0, 4-1     @GT, @CUSE, UNC, ND, @DUKE, LOU, U      6-2, 8-4
North Carolina     1-0, 4-1     WF, UVA, @PITT, DUKE, U, @VT, @NCST     5-3, 9-3
Virginia Tech      1-1, 3-3     @U, DUKE, @BC, @GT, UNC, @UVA           5-3, 7-5
Miami              0-1, 3-2     VT, CLEM, @DUKE, UVA, @UNC, GT, @PITT   2-6, 5-7
Virginia           0-1, 1-4     CUSE, @UNC, GT, @U, @LOU, DUKE, VT      0-8, 1-11
Georgia Tech       0-3, 2-4     PITT, FSU, @UVA, VT, @U, UGA            1-7, 3-9
Operation 4-4 probably not going to happen this year either. Duke probably has a loss or two in them but other than maybe at UNC I'm not willing to call any of them. Wheels have fallen off for GT but they'll still beat Virginia. #FireAlGolden

pre:
Notre Dame     5-1     USC, @TEMPLE, @PITT, WF, @BC, @STAN     9-3
Win expectations have swapped for USC and Temple. Regardless, Stanford should finish the Irish off at the end of the year and keep them from an NYE bowl.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, FSU, Duke, Notre Dame, Pitt, UNC, Louisville, NC State, Virginia Tech, Syracuse


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         2-0, 6-0     PENN, @RUT, MINN, @ILL, MSU, @MICH            8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     2-0, 6-0     @MICH, IND, @NEB, MARY, @OSU, PENN            6-2, 10-2     
Michigan           2-0, 5-1     MSU, @MINN, RUT, @IND, @PENN, OSU             7-1, 10-2
Penn State         2-0, 5-1     @OSU, @MARY, ILL, @NW, MICH, @MSU             4-4, 7-5
Indiana            0-2, 4-2     RUT, @MSU, IOWA, MICH, @MARY, @PUR            3-5, 7-5
Rutgers            0-2, 2-3     @IND, OSU, @WISC, @MICH, NEB, @ARMY, MARY     1-7, 4-8
Maryland           0-2, 2-4     PENN, @IOWA, WISC, @MSU, IND, @RUT            0-8, 2-10
Ohio State's still the team to beat until someone actually does it. There's no reason to think they'll be anything but 10-0 as they head into those final two games. Sparty has to go to Ann Arbor and Columbus, which will be their downfall. I'd like to not be on Michigan, but you blank three teams in a row and you've earned your respect. Indiana needs just two wins to become eligible with Rutgers, Maryland and Purdue still on the schedule, so yay Hoosier :)

West
pre:
Iowa              2-0, 6-0     @NW, MARY, @IND, MINN, PUR, @NEB       7-1, 11-1
Northwestern      1-1, 5-1     IOWA, @NEB, PENN, RUT, @WISC, @ILL     6-2, 10-2
Illinois          1-1, 4-2     WISC, @PENN, @PUR, OSU, @MINN, NW      3-5, 5-7
Minnesota         1-1, 4-2     NEB, MICH, @OSU, @IOWA, ILL, WISC      3-5, 6-6
Wisconsin         1-1, 4-2     PUR, @ILL, RUT, @MARY, NW, @MINN       5-3, 8-4
Nebraska          0-2, 2-4     @MINN, NW, @PUR, MSU, @RUT, IOWA       3-5, 5-7
Purdue            0-2, 1-5     @WISC, NEB, ILL, @NW, @IOWA, IND       0-8, 1-11
Could Iowa run the table? I guess but I look at those road games at Northwestern and Indiana and figure that they won't survive both of them. If they do, props to Iowa and I hope you enjoy being creamed at the Rose Bowl. Personally I think NW gets them next week, but falls at Wisconsin and Iowa wins the division and is ritually disemboweled in Indy. I guess someone will come out on top of ILL/MINN/WISC. Maybe. I don't know what it'll take to make Purdue relevant again in football.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Michigan, Northwestern, Wisconsin, Penn State, Indiana, Minnesota


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma State     3-0, 6-0     KAN, @TTU, TCU, @IST, BAY, OK              6-3, 9-3
TCU                3-0, 6-0     @ISU, WVU, @OKST, KAN, @OK, BAY            7-2, 10-2 
Baylor             2-0, 5-0     WVU, ISU, @KST, OK, @OKST, @TCU, TEX       9-0, 12-0
Oklahoma           1-1, 4-1     @KST, TTU, @KAN, ISU, @BAY, TCU, @OKST     7-2, 10-2
Iowa State         1-1, 2-3     TCU, @BAY, TEX, @OK, OKST, @KST, @WVU      1-8, 2-10
Texas Tech         1-2, 4-2     @KAN, @OK, OKST, @WVU, KST, @TEX           3-6, 6-6
Texas              1-2, 2-4     KST, @IST, KAN, @WVU, TTU, @BAY            3-6, 4-8
Kansas State       0-2, 3-2     OK, @TEX, BAY, @TTU, ISU, @KAN, WVU        4-5, 7-5
West Virginia      0-2, 3-2     @BAY, @TCU, TTU, TEX, @KAN, ISU, @KST      4-5, 6-6
Kansas             0-2, 0-5     TTU, @OKST, OK, @TEX, @TCU, WVU, KST       0-9, 0-12
There's three easily identifiable levels of the Big 12: The four on top in Baylor/TCU/Oklahoma/OkieLite, the middle three of Texas Tech, K-State and West Fuckin' Virginia, and the bottom three of Texas/Iowa State/Kansas if we feel like being generous and not shuffling Kansas into their own basement. The top four are easily in, the middle three should be in if they don't slip up to the bottom three, and the bottom three need significant help/luck to make a bowl. If Baylor runs the table, they're in.

Projected Bowl Teams: Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             3-0, 4-1     UCLA, WASH, @WAZZU, @COL, OREG, CAL, ND         9-0, 11-1
Cal                  2-1, 5-1     @UCLA, USC, @OREG, ORST, @STAN, ASU             6-3, 9-3 
Washington           1-1, 3-2     OREG, @STAN, ARIZ, UTAH, @ASU, @ORST, WAZZU     5-4, 7-5
Washington State     1-1, 3-2     ORST, @ARIZ, STAN, ASU, @UCLA, COL, @WASH       3-6, 5-7
Oregon               1-2, 3-3     @WASH, @ASU, CAL, @STAN, USC, ORST              3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-2, 2-3     @WAZZU, COL, @UTAH, UCLA, @CAL, WASH, @OREG     1-8, 3-9
Stanford's opening loss at Northwestern doesn't look so bad, and the toughest matchups left are at home. 9-0 might be a bit of a stretch, but there's no reason for them not to run away with the North, short of Cal suddenly rebounding. Jared Goff probably played himself out of the top ten of the draft, and I wanna start a twitter rumor that he'll be an UDFA just to see who bites. Wazzu's got two games left they should win and just need to upset one of the Arizona teams to sneak into a bowl slot. RIP Ducks shouldn't have forded that river.

South
pre:
Utah              2-0, 5-0     ASU, @USC, ORST, @WASH, @ARIZ, UCLA, COL       8-1, 11-1
Arizona State     2-1, 4-2     @UTAH, OREG, @WAZZU, WASH, ARIZ, @CAL          6-3, 8-4
UCLA              1-1, 4-1     @STAN, CAL, COL, @ORST, WAZZU, @UTAH, @USC     6-3, 9-3
Arizona           1-2, 4-2     @COL, WAZZU, @WASH, @USC, UTAH, @ASU           6-3, 9-3
USC               1-2, 3-2     @ND, UTAH, @CAL, ARIZ, @COL, @OREG, UCLA       3-6, 5-7
Colorado          0-2, 3-3     ARIZ, @ORST, @UCLA, STAN, USC, @WAZZU, @UTAH   0-9, 3-10
It's Utah's division until someone shows otherwise, and while I kinda have them being tripped up at Arizona, that's a very favorable closing schedule with ASU/UCLA at home. UCLA and the Arizona's will all stay muddied together but none will separate themselves from the pack. USC's up in the air now that Sark's gone, but the only real winnable games are both on the road, and no one would be amazed if the bottom completely fell out. Jeff Fisher for USC coach.

Bowl Projected Teams: Stanford, Utah, Cal, UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State, Washington


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            4-0, 6-0     @LSU, UGA, VAN, @SC, FAU, FSU             7-1, 11-1
Kentucky           2-1, 4-1     AUB, @MSST, UT, @UGA, @VAN, CHAR, LOU     4-4, 8-4
Georgia            2-2, 4-2     MIZZ, @UF, UK, @AUB, GAST, @GT            5-3, 9-3
Missouri           1-2, 4-2     @UGA, @VAN, MSST, BYU, UT, @ARK           3-5, 6-6
Tennessee          1-2, 4-2     @BAMA, @UK, SC, UNT, @MIZZ, VAN           4-4, 8-4
Vanderbilt         0-2, 2-3     @SC, MIZZ, @HOU, @UF, UK, A&M, @UT        1-7, 3-9
South Carolina     0-4, 2-4     VAN, @A&M, @UT, UF, CLEM                  0-8, 2-11


It's Florida's division to lose, and while I think they'll fall in Death Valley, a win in the Cocktail Party will have the East sown up with three warmups for FSU. Georgia's got a winnable schedule other than Florida, so it'll be interesting to see how they blow it. I don't think the East will get swept by the ACC this year, but it won't be enough to save the league's rep. HBC might not make it to Clemson to be retired by Dabo, if only because I can see Spurrier finally snapping and quitting if he loses at Tennessee, which he probably will. Otherwise, the image of an angry Dabo flipping off Spurrier to his face in the final post-handshake of his career would be a hell of a way for the Ball Coach to head to the great 1st Tee in the sky or down the road I'm sure there's lots of great courses in the area.

West
pre:
LSU                   3-0, 5-0     UF, WKU, @BAMA, ARK, @MISS, A&M             6-2, 9-2
Texas A&M             2-0, 5-0     BAMA, @MISS, SC, AUB, @VAN, @LSU            6-2, 10-2
Alabama               2-1, 5-1     @A&M, UT, LSU, @MSST, charso, @AUB          6-2, 10-2
Ole Miss              2-1, 5-1     @MEM, A&M, @AUB, ARK, LSU, @MSST            6-2, 10-2
Mississippi State     1-2, 4-2     LATECH, UK, @MIZZ, BAMA, @ARK, MISS         5-3, 9-3
Arkansas              1-2, 2-4     AUB, utmart, @MISS, @LSU, MSST, MIZZ        1-7, 3-9
Auburn                0-2, 3-2     @UK, @ARK, MISS, @A&M, UGA, IDAHO, BAMA     1-7, 5-7
I think this is the year that the SEC West finally cannibalizes itself, with a top tier all getting stuck with two losses and no one being able to separate themselves from the pack. You might wonder where another LSU loss could come, other than Alabama, and if you don't think that Les Miles isn't capable of an baffingly terrible November loss you haven't been paying attention. The league will send a bunch of teams bowling, but their birthright of the championship is very much in doubt.

Bowl Projected Teams: Florida, LSU, Texas A&M, Alabama, Ole Miss, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Missouri


American

East
pre:
Temple            2-0, 5-0     UCF, @ECU, ND, @SMU, @USF, MEM, UCONN         6-2, 10-2
UConn             1-1, 3-3     USF, @CIN, ECU, @TULANE, HOU, @TEMPLE         3-5, 5-7  
East Carolina     1-1, 3-3     TULSA, TEMPLE, @UCONN, USF, @UCF, CIN         5-3, 7-5
South Florida     0-1, 2-3     @UCONN, SMU, @NAVY, @ECU, TEMPLE, CIN, @UCF   1-7, 3-9 
Cincinnati        0-2, 3-2     @BYU, UCONN, UCF, @HOU, TULSA, @USF, @ECU     4-4, 7-5
UCF               0-2, 0-6     @TEMPLE, HOU, @CIN, @TULSA, ECU, USF          0-8, 0-12
Now we go from leagues where I don't know what I'm talking about to leagues where I really don't know what I'm talking about. I know Temple's good but I don't know if they're beat Notre Dame and Memphis good, despite getting both at home. I know UCF is utter dogshit and if George O'Leary wasn't his own boss he'd be out on his rear end. I don't know what to think about the middle four other than that I'd lean more on ECU and Cincy than UConn and USF. And I know that the West is stronger than the East.

West
pre:
Houston     2-0, 5-0     @TULANE, @UCF, VAN, CIN, MEM, @UCONN, NAVY        7-1, 11-1
Memphis     2-0, 5-0     MISS, @TULSA, TULANE, NAVY, HOU, @TEMPLE, SMU     8-0, 11-1
Navy        2-0, 4-1     TULANE, USF, @MEM, SMU, @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY        6-2, 9-3
Tulane      1-1, 2-3     HOU, @NAVY, @MEM, UCONN, @ARMY, @SMU, TULSA       3-5, 5-7
Tulsa       0-1, 2-3     @ECU, MEM, @SMU, UCF, @CIN, NAVY, @TULANE         1-7, 3-9
SMU         0-2, 1-5     @USF, TULSA, TEMPLE, @NAVY, TULANE, @MEM          1-7, 2-10
Houston and Memphis are cream of the crop, with Navy always having the potential to take down someone who lets their guard down. Memphis isn't helped by having to play Ole Miss, even though it's at home. It's easy to put Houston and Memphis at the top of the Group of 5 list, but with both looking like they'll take a loss it'll be a question if they can stay above Boise or anyone else. SMU might be the one 2-10 team no one wants to face.

Bowl Projected Teams: Memphis, Houston, Temple, Navy, East Carolina, Cincinnati


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     3-0, 5-1     @UNT, @LSU, @ODU, FAU, @FIU, MAR         7-1, 9-3
Marshall             2-0, 5-1     @FAU, UNT, @CHA, @MTSU, FIU, @WKU        8-0, 11-1
FIU                  1-1, 3-3     @MTSU, ODU, @FAU, CHA, @MAR, WKU         6-2, 7-5
MTSU                 1-1, 2-4     FIU, LATECH, MAR, @FAU, UNT, @UTSA       3-5, 4-8
FAU                  1-1, 1-4     MAR, @UTEP, FIU, @WKU, MTSU, @UF, @ODU   2-6, 2-10
Old Dominion         0-1, 2-3     CHA, @FIU, WKU, @UTSA, UTEP, @USM, FAU   2-6, 4-8
Charlotte            0-2, 2-3     @ODU, USM, MAR, @FIU, UTSA, @UK, @RICE   0-8, 2-10
It'll come down to WKU and Marshall again, and in return for WKU ruining Marshall's season last year I've got the Herd returning the favor. Everyone else looks varying degrees of lousy, with FIU having enough of a buffer to survive into bowl contention. Again, Charlotte's only provisionally eliminated due to the moving up penalty, but they'd need four more wins to even apply for a waiver and I'm not sure even one more win is out there, but I could very well be wrong.


West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     2-1, 4-2     @MSST, MTSU, @RICE, UNT, @UTEP, USM            5-3, 8-4 
Rice               2-1, 3-3     ARMY, LATECH, @UTEP, USM, @UTSA, CHA           7-1, 9-3     
Southern Miss      1-1, 3-3     UTSA, @CHA, UTEP, @RICE, ODU, @LATECH          5-3, 7-5 
UTSA               1-1, 1-5     @USM, @UNT, ODU, @CHA, RICE, MTSU              3-5, 3-9
UTEP               0-2, 2-4     FAU, @USM, RICE, @ODU, LATECH, @UNT            2-6, 4-8
North Texas        0-2, 0-5     WKU, @MAR, UTSA, @LATECH, @UT, @MTSU, UTEP     0-8, 0-12
I guess Louisiana Tech and Rice here as well. I can't say if it'll hold for sure, but for Southern Miss to go bowling after all of the poo poo they've gone through these past few years is encouraging. Man there's some bad football being played in Texas with those bottom three teams.

Bowl Projected Teams: Marshall, Western Kentucky, Rice, Louisiana Tech, FIU, Southern Miss


Independents

pre:
BYU      4-2     CIN, wagner, @SJST, @MIZZ, FRESNO, @USU     
Army     1-5     bucknell, @RICE, @AF, TULANE, RUTGERS, @NAVY
BYU's locked into either Vegas or Hawai'i Bowls if they go, since we can't let these thugs invade South Beach again. Army would go to the Poinsettia if they somehow pulled it together. Navy's now part of the AAC's package and Notre Dame the ACC, hence why I list the Irish with those bowl teams.


MAC

East
pre:
Ohio              2-0, 5-1     WMU, @BUFF, @BG, KENT, BALL, @NIU              4-4, 8-4
Bowling Green     2-0, 4-1     AKRON, @KENT, OHIO, @WMU, TOL, @BALL           7-1, 10-2
Akron             1-1, 3-3     @BG, CMU, @UMASS, @MOH, BUFF, KENT             6-2, 8-4
Kent State        1-1, 2-4     @UMASS, BG, BUFF, @OHIO, CMU, @AKRON           1-7, 2-10
Buffalo           0-1, 2-3     @CMU, OHIO, @MOH, @KENT, NIU, @AKRON, UMASS    3-5, 5-7
UMass             0-1, 1-4     KENT, TOL, @BALL, AKRON, @EMU, MOH, @BUFF      2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        0-2, 1-5     NIU, @WMU, BUFF, EMU, AKRON, @UMASS            1-7, 2-10
Ohio's on top but I thought Bowling Green was supposed to be good and they did play Tennessee tough so I'll put the Falcons over the Bobcats for now and not with any confidence. Akron's probably not good but they do face UMass/Miami/Kent and they should be able to win those three at the very least, and if not Buffalo and CMU at home should put them over the top.

West
pre:
Toledo                2-0, 5-0     EMU, @UMASS, NIU, @CMU, @BG, WMU           6-2, 9-2
Western Michigan      1-0, 2-3     @OHIO, MOH, @EMU, BALL, BG, @NIU, @TOL     7-1, 8-4
Northern Illinois     1-1, 3-3     @MOH, EMU, @TOL, @BUFF, WMU, OHIO          6-2, 8-4
Central Michigan      1-1, 2-4     BUFF, @BALL, @AKRON, TOL, @KENT, EMU       4-4, 5-7
Ball State            1-2, 2-4     GAST, EMU, UMASS, @WMU, @OHIO, BG          3-5, 5-7
Eastern Michigan      0-2, 1-5     @TOL, @NIU, WMU, @MOH, UMASS, @CMU         0-8, 1-11
Toledo's ranked off of beating an SEC team until you remember they beat bert and then it doesn't become impressive anymore. I think we get a three-way deal with them, WMU and NIU, and I've got no confidence who comes out on top there. The Boat Rowers go on the road those last two games and I prob shouldn't have them at 7-1 but gently caress it I've got no clue who's gonna win here so let's make some poo poo up until we actually get into November Mid-Week Maction that sound good everyone word break on two.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Toledo, Western Michigan, Ohio, Northern Illinois, Akron


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Boise State        2-0, 5-1     @USU, WYO, @UNLV, NM, AF, @SJSU                8-0, 11-1
Air Force          2-0, 3-2     @CSU, FRESNO, @HAW, ARMY, USU, @BOISE, @NM     7-1, 9-3     
Utah State         2-0, 3-2     BOISE, @SDSU, WYO, @NM, @AF, NEV, BYU          4-4, 6-6
New Mexico         1-1, 3-3     HAW, @SJSU, USU, @BOISE, CSU, AF               4-4, 6-6
Colorado State     0-2, 2-4     AF, SDSU, @WYO, UNLV, @NM, @FRESNO             5-3, 5-7
Wyoming            0-2, 0-6     NEV, @BOISE, @USU, CSU, @SDSU, UNLV            0-8, 0-12
Boise's on top again and will probably remain on top until they end up sucked into what's left of the Big 12 once another raid happens in a decade or the heat death of the universe, whichever comes first. Utah State and New Mexico are those borderlines "sure why not" teams that I'll probably get wrong but whatevs. Wyoming might only avoid being the first bowl-ineligible team by virtue of being two time zones behind UCF.

West
pre:
San Diego State     2-0, 3-3     @SJSU, USU, @CSU, WYO, @UNLV, NEV           7-1, 8-4
San Jose State      2-1, 3-3     SDSU, NM, BYU, @NEV, @HAW, BOISE            6-2, 7-5
Nevada              1-1, 3-3     @WYO, HAW, @FRESNO, SJSU, @USU, @SDSU       4-4, 6-6
UNLV                1-1, 2-4     @FRESNO, BOISE, HAW, @CSU, SDSU, @WYO       4-4, 5-7
Hawai'i             0-2, 2-4     @NM, @NEV, AF, @UNLV, FRESNO, SJSU, ULM     1-7, 3-10
Fresno State        0-3, 1-5     UNLV, @AF, NEV, @HAW, @BYU, CSU             0-8, 1-11
A San Diego State win this week puts them in the driver's seat, since San Jose State still has to play Boise and Nevada has to go to Qualcomm or whatever it's called this week. UNLV could be a dark horse bowl pick since there's three winnable games on there, only problem is they need four. I want to start a petition to get Robert Kekaula to call the Hawai'i Bowl on ESPN this year, y'all think I'm joking but if the Lions drive me any further into insanity I'm gonna start posting Change.org links on here and it'll be time to institutionalize me for my own good.

Bowl Projected Teams: Boise State, Air Force, San Diego State, San Jose State, Nevada, Utah State, New Mexico


Sun Belt
pre:
Georgia Southern        2-0, 4-1     NMSU, @APP, TXST, @TROY, @UGA, USA, GAST               7-1, 9-3
Appalachian State       1-0, 4-1     @ULM, GASO, TROY, ARKST, @IDAHO, ULL, @USA             8-0, 11-1
South Alabama           1-0, 3-2     ARKST, @TXST, IDAHO, ULL, @GAST, @GASO, APP            6-2, 8-4
Arkansas State          1-0, 2-3     @USA, ULL, GAST, @APP, @ULM, @NMSU, TXST               5-3, 6-6     
Louisiana-Lafayette     1-0, 2-3     @ARKST, ULM, @GAST, @USA, NMSU, @APP, TROY             5-3, 6-6
Georgia State           1-1, 1-4     @BALL, @ARKST, ULL, @TXST, USA, TROY, @GASO            1-7, 1-11
Louisiana-Monroe        0-1, 1-4     APP, @IDAHO, @ULL, @TROY, ARKST, @TXST, @HAW, NMSU     2-6, 4-9
Texas State             0-1, 1-4     USA, @GASO, NMSU, GAST, ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST            L
Troy                    0-1, 1-4     IDAHO, @NMSU, @APP, ULM, GASO, @GAST, @ULL             M
Idaho                   0-2, 1-4     @GASO, TROY, IDAHO, @TXST, @ULL, ARKST, @ULM           A
New Mexico State        0-1, 0-5     @TROY, ULM, @NMSU, @USA, APP, @AUB, TXST               O
Georgia Southern and App State will play again to determine who wins the SoCon Sun Belt, and this year they can't be kept out of bowls unless Georgia Southern gets into a ATL 404 Motherfucker Street Fight with Georgia State or something. South Alabama should get in, maybe Arkansas State and ULL, and I kinda gave up on picking towards the end.

Bowl Projected Teams: App State, Georgia Southern, South Alabama, Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 6
# of projected teams: 74 - 10 (ACC, SEC) 9 (B1G) 7 (B12, P12, MWC) 6 (AAC, C-USA, MAC) 5 (SUN) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Ohio State (B1G Champ) vs. #4 Clemson (ACC Champ)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Baylor (Big 12 Champ) vs. #3 Utah (Pac-12 Champ)

Couple of things to take note of: I have no confidence in this or any picks, but I'll do my best to explain my reasoning. First, I'm leaving the SEC out and that's not forgetting the line between my threadshitting and serious posting. The SEC isn't in the top 5 right now, Florida's only going to be regarded as an elite team if they beat LSU, and the West looks closer than ever to eating itself alive. Add in that I don't think any of the other conference champs will have more than one loss and whoever wins the SEC will have two, unless an 11-1 Florida wins in Atlanta to get to 12-1 and that'll supercede anything else. Would I bet on the SEC getting left out? No, but I think it's a closer to fruition than others might want to admit.

Ohio State hasn't been impressive, but we're still talking about a team that can gently caress around and throw up 40+ at any given time. In addition, they have arguably the most talent in the nation, at the very least above the Mason-Dixon Line, and I'll take talent to negate the luck factor any day. The game in Ann Arbor looms large but I don't think Harbaugh has the ammo to win that one yet, and whoever wins the B1G East is going to murder Iowa. Clemson's got a legit chance of going 12-0 with the FSU game at home and SC dead in the water, and no unbeaten team is getting left out unless everyone's unbeaten. Same with Baylor, although 11-1 Baylor vs. 2-Loss SEC Champ becomes a real fun (re: intolerable) debate. Utah's in the lead out west and while they might have the toughest schedule of any contender not in the SEC, I think they'll rise above.

Peach Bowl: Florida (At-Large) vs. Michigan (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: LSU (SEC Rep) vs. TCU (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State (Group of 5 Rep) vs. Oklahoma (At-Large)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

With the Sugar and Rose keeping their traditional ties and the Group of 5 taking a spot, that leaves on three At-Large bids to be divided out. Iowa goes to the Rose and finds themselves up against a Stanford team willing to slowly grind their bones to dust under an avalanche of 8-yard runs. LSU is the SEC Champ by default, because I don't wanna put Alabama here, they face TCU who reps the Big 12. Boise gets the Group of 5 spot because the American knocks itself down, but now have to face Oklahoma in a rematch eight years in the making. Finally, Florida gets rewarded for its efforts against a Michigan team that also took the nation by surprise, and the pressure on first-year coaches to immediately produce results will ruin a number of good coaches who can't pull miracles out of their asses going forward.

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Utah State vs. Washington
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma State vs. Cal
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     West Virginia vs. Tennessee
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Pitt vs. Georgia 	
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Northwestern vs. Alabama
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Wisconsin vs. Ole Miss
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Michigan State vs. UCLA	
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Minnesota vs. Syracuse
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky	
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Temple vs. Mississippi State
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Florida State vs. Kansas State	
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     	
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Northern Illinois	
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Navy	
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. Arizona
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Missouri vs. NC State	
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Notre Dame vs. Penn State	
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Arkansas State vs. Rice
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       North Carolina vs. Akron 	
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Memphis vs. Western Kentucky	
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     East Carolina vs. Air Force
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Southern Miss vs. Ohio	
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern	
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             San Diego State vs. 
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Cincinnati vs. Marshall
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Nevada
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Houston vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. South Alabama	
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Arizona State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             FIU vs. San Jose State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             vs. App State
We're still shy six teams to fill all these spots, and I'm not inclined to go digging for the best 5-7 teams when eventually this issue will take care of itself. Couple of notes:
-I try to take note of major teams and avoid sending them to the same bowl year after year, but it's tough to avoid sending West Virginia back to the Liberty when the Texas Bowl is going to take a Texas team 11 times out of 10. Speaking of which, if that matchup happens it'd be the first Texas school A&M would play this season.
-Putting Duke against Kentucky in Charlotte was too much fun to ignore.
-Congrats Southern Miss! You're bowl eligible so we're going to deport you! Now, the Popeyes Bowl had that insane CMU comeback last year, so don't so sleeping on it again.
-The Cure Bowl is the only new bowl after Arizona/Austin Bowls weren't approved in time, and I think it's only fair that we break in that bowl with a team in it's first ever bowl game, App State. I dunno who they'll play but that ain't my issue.
-GoDaddy isn't the day before the title game anymore, but Bowling Green/Georgia Southern is a better matchup than that bowl deserves.
-It's hard to think of a circumstance where the RAB would pass up on Notre Dame, but Florida State is just about that circumstance. Regardless, ACC rules say you can only jump a team ahead of you by one game, so FSU could jump Duke but Notre Dame couldn't, so there.

I guarantee you my math is garbage, but this far I'm throwing underwater darts in the dark. Most problems will eventually take care of themselves, and if any don't well then :lol::lol::lol:

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 00:59 on Oct 13, 2015

* # ¿ Oct 11, 2015 21:23
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 7: Hail! to the Punters Fumbling Hail! to the hip bones popping Hail! Hail! to the Michigans! The Leaders and the Legends Best!

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Florida State     4-0, 6-0     @GT, CUSE, @CLEM, NCST, chat, @UF     7-1, 10-2
Clemson           3-0, 6-0     @U, @NCST, FSU, @CUSE, WF, @SC        8-0, 12-0
Syracuse          1-1, 3-3     PITT, @FSU, @LOU, CLEM, @NCST, BC     2-6, 4-8
Louisville        1-2, 2-4     BC, @WF, CUSE, UVA, @PITT, @UK        5-3, 6-6
Wake Forest       1-3, 3-4     NCST, LOU, @ND, @CLEM, DUKE           1-7, 3-9
NC State          0-2, 4-2     @WF, CLEM, @BC, @FSU, CUSE, UNC       3-5, 7-5
Boston College    0-4, 3-4     @LOU, VT, NCST, ND, @CUSE             0-8, 3-9
Clemson and FSU each have two more games to survive until they have their showdown. Cuse is solidly rounded down after losing at UVA, with two road games they definitely aren't winning and a bunch of other games they probably won't. BC is what happens when you have 100 points to divide between Offense and Defense and you put all 100 on D and see what happens (what happens is daveclawson.jpg)

Coastal
pre:
Pittsburgh         3-0, 5-1     @CUSE, UNC, ND, @DUKE, LOU, U         6-2, 8-4
Duke               2-0, 5-1     @VT, U, @UNC, PITT, @UVA, @WF         8-0, 11-1
North Carolina     2-0, 5-1     UVA, @PITT, DUKE, U, @VT, @NCST       5-3, 9-3
Miami              1-1, 4-2     CLEM, @DUKE, UVA, @UNC, GT, @PITT     3-5, 6-6
Virginia           1-1, 2-4     @UNC, GT, @U, @LOU, DUKE, VT          1-7, 2-10
Virginia Tech      1-2, 3-4     DUKE, @BC, @GT, UNC, @UVA             4-4, 6-6
Georgia Tech       0-4, 2-5     FSU, @UVA, VT, @U, UGA                1-7, 3-9
Miami sets off a Silver Alert and gets into the bowl projections. Regardless, #FireAlGolden. Pitt's got a loss at Duke on their docket and at least one at home on the ground of Being Pitt. Hokie won't beat Duke, but have three winnable road games, and for VT to go 0-2 at home and 3-0 on the road to close the season and go bowling is so dumb it will probably happen.

pre:
Notre Dame     6-1     @TEMPLE, @PITT, WF, @BC, @STAN     9-3
The playoff is still out of reach with a solid Stanfording coming, but a win at Temple means that a New Years Bowl is in play, provided they don't gently caress up at Pitt or BC.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, FSU, Duke, Notre Dame, Pitt, UNC, Louisville, NC State, Miami, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         3-0, 7-0     @RUT, MINN, @ILL, MSU, @MICH            8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     3-0, 7-0     IND, @NEB, MARY, @OSU, PENN             7-1, 11-1     
Michigan           2-1, 5-2     @MINN, RUT, @IND, @PENN, OSU            6-2, 9-3
Penn State         2-1, 5-2     @MARY, ILL, @NW, MICH, @MSU             4-4, 7-5
Rutgers            1-2, 3-3     OSU, @WISC, @MICH, NEB, @ARMY, MARY     2-6, 5-7
Maryland           0-2, 2-4     PENN, @IOWA, WISC, @MSU, IND, @RUT      0-8, 2-10
Indiana            0-3, 4-3     @MSU, IOWA, MICH, @MARY, @PUR           2-6, 6-6
Fun With Punting eliminates Michigan from the Playoff and a New Years Bowl, with Sparty taking their place. Sure, if Buckeye beats Sparty and Michigan pulls the mother of all upsets it sets up a 7-1 clusterfuck, but let's not dream too brightly. Indiana we've loving talked about this; if you want to go bowling you have to beat the bad teams and losing to Rutgers at home doesn't help. Now you have to win at Maryland and Purdue because you aren't winning your next three, and if you miss a bowl this year gently caress it fire Kevin Wilson and hire Pat Knight to coach football I don't know.

West
pre:
Iowa              3-0, 7-0     MARY, @IND, MINN, PUR, @NEB           8-0, 12-0
Wisconsin         2-1, 5-2     @ILL, RUT, @MARY, NW, @MINN           6-2, 9-3
Illinois          1-1, 4-2     WISC, @PENN, @PUR, OSU, @MINN, NW     4-4, 7-5
Northwestern      1-2, 5-2     @NEB, PENN, RUT, @WISC, @ILL          3-5, 7-5
Minnesota         1-2, 4-3     MICH, @OSU, @IOWA, ILL, WISC          3-5, 6-6
Nebraska          1-2, 3-4     NW, @PUR, MSU, @RUT, IOWA             3-5, 5-7
Purdue            0-3, 1-6     NEB, ILL, @NW, @IOWA, IND             0-8, 1-11
Iowa blows out Northwestern and now we enter a scenario where both teams in the B1G title game are going to be 12-0, and yes Ohio State or Michigan State or maybe somehow Michigan will beat Iowa like a rented mule, but with some other losses late Iowa could give the B1G two teams in the playoff, and even I'm not willing to throw four Big Ten teams into the playoff (maybe don't temp me it's early enough to troll). Illinois needs just two wins to somehow go bowling this season, even though there looks to be a bunch of coin flips left on that schedule. Northwestern gets lowered projections but they're still safe for now.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Northwestern, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota


Big 12

pre:
TCU                4-0, 7-0     WVU, @OKST, KAN, @OK, BAY           7-2, 10-2 
Baylor             3-0, 6-0     ISU, @KST, OK, @OKST, @TCU, TEX     9-0, 12-0
Oklahoma State     3-0, 6-0     KAN, @TTU, TCU, @IST, BAY, OK       6-3, 9-3
Oklahoma           2-1, 5-1     TTU, @KAN, ISU, @BAY, TCU, @OKST    7-2, 10-2
Texas Tech         2-2, 5-2     @OK, OKST, @WVU, KST, @TEX          3-6, 6-6
Iowa State         1-2, 2-4     @BAY, TEX, @OK, OKST, @KST, @WVU    1-8, 2-10
Texas              1-2, 2-4     KST, @IST, KAN, @WVU, TTU, @BAY     3-6, 4-8
Kansas State       0-3, 3-3     @TEX, BAY, @TTU, ISU, @KAN, WVU     4-5, 7-5
West Virginia      0-3, 3-3     @TCU, TTU, TEX, @KAN, ISU, @KST     4-5, 6-6
Kansas             0-3, 0-6     @OKST, OK, @TEX, @TCU, WVU, KST     0-9, 0-12
No upsets this week so everyone stays in-line from where they were before, with Baylor now officially in. TTU's 5-2 but about to enter the meat of their schedule and could fall to 5-6 needing to win in Austin to get in.

Projected Bowl Teams: Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             4-0, 5-1     WASH, @WAZZU, @COL, OREG, CAL, ND         9-0, 11-1
Cal                  2-1, 5-1     @UCLA, USC, @OREG, ORST, @STAN, ASU       6-3, 9-3 
Washington State     2-1, 4-2     @ARIZ, STAN, ASU, @UCLA, COL, @WASH       3-6, 5-7
Oregon               2-2, 4-3     @ASU, CAL, @STAN, USC, ORST               4-5, 6-6
Washington           1-2, 3-3     @STAN, ARIZ, UTAH, @ASU, @ORST, WAZZU     4-5, 6-6
Oregon State         0-3, 2-4     COL, @UTAH, UCLA, @CAL, WASH, @OREG       1-8, 3-9
Stanford creaming UCLA brings up the question if they're the best team in the Pac over Utah, and that's not a question I'm willing to answer yet. Ducks move into the projections with games against ASU and USC, Washington's not out yet but needs to win one on the road here, and Wazzu needs to find an upset to make it in.

South
pre:
Utah              3-0, 6-0     @USC, ORST, @WASH, @ARIZ, UCLA, COL      8-1, 11-1
Arizona           2-2, 5-2     WAZZU, @WASH, @USC, UTAH, @ASU           6-3, 9-3
Arizona State     2-2, 4-3     OREG, @WAZZU, WASH, ARIZ, @CAL           6-3, 8-4
UCLA              1-2, 4-2     CAL, COL, @ORST, WAZZU, @UTAH, @USC      5-4, 8-4
USC               1-2, 3-3     UTAH, @CAL, ARIZ, @COL, @OREG, UCLA      2-7, 4-8
Colorado          0-3, 3-4     @ORST, @UCLA, STAN, USC, @WAZZU, @UTAH   0-9, 3-10
Utah's got a two game lead with only Arizona that can really catch them. Some rounding down of projections, USC showed more fight against Notre Dame than I expected but with three losses coming up I just don't see the wins to get them in, which means they'll beat Utah and throw this whole thing up into the air.

Bowl Projected Teams: Utah, Stanford, Cal, Arizona, UCLA, Arizona State, Oregon, Washington


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            4-1, 6-1     UGA, VAN, @SC, FAU, FSU              7-1, 11-1
Georgia            3-2, 5-2     @UF, UK, @AUB, GAST, @GT             5-3, 9-3
Kentucky           2-2, 4-2     @MSST, UT, @UGA, @VAN, CHAR, LOU     3-5, 7-5
Tennessee          1-2, 4-2     @BAMA, @UK, SC, UNT, @MIZZ, VAN      5-3, 9-3
Missouri           1-3, 4-3     @VAN, MSST, BYU, UT, @ARK            3-5, 6-6
South Carolina     1-4, 3-4     @A&M, @UT, UF, citadel, CLEM         1-7, 3-9
Vanderbilt         0-3, 2-4     MIZZ, @HOU, @UF, UK, A&M, @UT        0-8, 2-10


Florida didn't embarrass themselves against LSU, but now need to win the Cocktail Party or else Georgia somehow winds back up in the driver's seat. Kentucky took a rough loss but still have two winnable games before Louisville. I don't have a good read on Tennessee or Mizzou at this point, both should be in but to what degree I have no idea. Derek Mason might go 0-16 and be fired without a conference win.

West
pre:
LSU                   4-0, 6-0     WKU, @BAMA, ARK, @MISS, A&M            7-1, 10-1
Alabama               3-1, 6-1     UT, LSU, @MSST, charso, @AUB           7-1 11-1
Texas A&M             2-1, 5-1     @MISS, SC, AUB, @VAN, @LSU             6-2, 10-2
Ole Miss              2-1, 5-2     A&M, @AUB, ARK, LSU, @MSST             5-3, 8-4
Mississippi State     1-2, 5-2     UK, @MIZZ, BAMA, @ARK, MISS            5-3, 9-3
Auburn                1-2, 4-2     @ARK, MISS, @A&M, UGA, IDAHO, BAMA     2-6, 6-6
Arkansas              1-2, 2-4     AUB, utmart, @MISS, @LSU, MSST, MIZZ   1-7, 3-9
So the SEC West won't cannibalize themselves this year, but it also means that, sigh, Bama's probably gonna win the loving SEC again. Ole Miss took an inexplicable loss at Memphis, no matter how good Memphis is, and are rounded down. Auburn's win at Kentucky moves them in, provided they beat bert and Idaho.

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, LSU, Florida, Texas A&M, Georgia, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Kentucky, Auburn, Missouri


American

East
pre:
Temple            3-0, 6-0     @ECU, ND, @SMU, @USF, MEM, UCONN      6-2, 10-2
East Carolina     2-1, 4-3     TEMPLE, @UCONN, USF, @UCF, CIN        6-2, 8-4
South Florida     1-1, 3-3     SMU, @NAVY, @ECU, TEMPLE, CIN, @UCF   1-7, 6-6 
UConn             1-2, 3-4     @CIN, ECU, @TULANE, HOU, @TEMPLE      2-6, 4-8  
Cincinnati        0-2, 3-3     UCONN, UCF, @HOU, TULSA, @USF, @ECU   3-5, 6-6
UCF               0-3, 0-7     HOU, @CIN, @TULSA, ECU, USF           0-8, 0-12
Temple's got some tough games upcoming here. South Florida's now projected in, with games against SMU and UCF left and a winnable game at home against Cinci being the difference maker. UCf is officially our first bowl-ineligible team.

West
pre:
Houston     3-0, 6-0     @UCF, VAN, CIN, MEM, @UCONN, NAVY           7-1, 11-1
Memphis     3-0, 6-0     @TULSA, TULANE, NAVY, HOU, @TEMPLE, SMU     8-0, 12-0
Navy        2-0, 4-1     TULANE, USF, @MEM, SMU, @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY  6-2, 9-3
Tulane      1-2, 2-4     @NAVY, @MEM, UCONN, @ARMY, @SMU, TULSA      3-5, 5-7
Tulsa       0-2, 3-3     MEM, @SMU, UCF, @CIN, NAVY, @TULANE         1-7, 3-9
SMU         0-2, 1-5     @USF, TULSA, TEMPLE, @NAVY, TULANE, @MEM    1-7, 2-10
Houston/Memphis is going to be a barnburner, and yet both have to host Navy and they can get anyone. Tulane could fall to 2-6 and run the table to get in, but I'm not that confident in them. Also if Gameday doesn't go to Houston/Memphis fire everyone.

Bowl Projected Teams: Memphis, Houston, Temple, Navy, East Carolina, Cincinnati, South Florida


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     4-0, 6-1     @LSU, @ODU, FAU, @FIU, MAR          7-1, 9-3
Marshall             3-0, 6-1     UNT, @CHA, @MTSU, FIU, @WKU         8-0, 11-1
MTSU                 2-1, 3-4     LATECH, MAR, @FAU, UNT, @UTSA       5-3, 6-6
Old Dominion         1-1, 3-3     @FIU, WKU, @UTSA, UTEP, @USM, FAU   2-6, 4-8
FIU                  1-2, 3-4     ODU, @FAU, CHA, @MAR, WKU           5-3, 6-6
FAU                  1-2, 1-5     @UTEP, FIU, @WKU, MTSU, @UF, @ODU   2-6, 2-10
Charlotte            0-3, 2-4     USM, MAR, @FIU, UTSA, @UK, @RICE    0-8, 2-10
WKU's going to give LSU a game next week. I'm not going to be so bold as to call an upset since Death Valley at Night is some terrifying poo poo, but it's not going to be a rout. Still think Marshall returns the upset favor but it's down to those two. MTSU moves into bowl contention with three tissue-paper soft games at the end. FIU has to win their next three or they're out.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     2-1, 4-3     MTSU, @RICE, UNT, @UTEP, USM             5-3, 8-4 
Southern Miss      2-1, 4-3     @CHA, UTEP, @RICE, ODU, @LATECH          5-3, 7-5 
Rice               2-1, 3-3     ARMY, LATECH, @UTEP, USM, @UTSA, CHA     7-1, 9-3     
UTSA               1-2, 1-6     @UNT, ODU, @CHA, RICE, MTSU              3-5, 3-9
UTEP               0-2, 2-4     FAU, @USM, RICE, @ODU, LATECH, @UNT      2-6, 4-8
North Texas        0-3, 0-6     @MAR, UTSA, @LATECH, @UT, @MTSU, UTEP    0-8, 0-12
Still the Rice Show, still some bad, bad football being played in Texas otherwise.

Bowl Projected Teams: Marshall, Western Kentucky, Rice, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, MTSU, FIU


Independents

pre:
BYU      5-2     wagner, @SJST, @MIZZ, FRESNO, @USU     8-4     
Army     2-5     @RICE, @AF, TULANE, RUTGERS, @NAVY     2-10
BYU just needs to beat Wagner to head to Vegas or Hawai'i. Army barely beat Bucknell and are playing out the side.

Bowl Projected Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     3-0, 5-2     @KENT, OHIO, @WMU, TOL, @BALL            7-1, 9-3
Ohio              2-1, 5-2     @BUFF, @BG, KENT, BALL, @NIU             4-4, 8-4
Kent State        2-1, 3-4     BG, BUFF, @OHIO, CMU, @AKRON             3-5, 4-8
Akron             1-2, 3-4     CMU, @UMASS, @MOH, BUFF, KENT            6-2, 8-4
Buffalo           0-2, 2-4     OHIO, @MOH, @KENT, NIU, @AKRON, UMASS    2-6, 4-8
UMass             0-2, 1-5     TOL, @BALL, AKRON, @EMU, MOH, @BUFF      2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        0-3, 1-6     @WMU, BUFF, EMU, AKRON, @UMASS           1-7, 2-10
Bowling Green is on top now but have a tough Ohio/@WMU/TOL stretch to decide their fate. Akron has a chance to win out, or at the very least make it with room to spare.

West
pre:
Toledo                3-0, 6-0     @UMASS, NIU, @CMU, @BG, WMU          7-1, 10-1
Western Michigan      2-0, 3-3     MOH, @EMU, BALL, BG, @NIU, @TOL      6-2, 7-5
Northern Illinois     2-1, 4-3     EMU, @TOL, @BUFF, WMU, OHIO          6-2, 8-4
Central Michigan      2-1, 3-4     @BALL, @AKRON, TOL, @KENT, EMU       5-3, 6-6
Ball State            1-2, 2-5     EMU, UMASS, @WMU, @OHIO, BG          3-5, 4-8
Eastern Michigan      0-3, 1-6     @NIU, WMU, @MOH, UMASS, @CMU         0-8, 1-11
Toledo and WMU looks like it'll come down to the end, and both play Bowling Green though the Boat Rowers get them at home. CMU gets moved into projections with Ball State moved down.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Ohio, Akron, Central Michigan


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Utah State         3-0, 4-2     @SDSU, WYO, @NM, @AF, NEV, BYU           5-3, 7-5
Boise State        2-1, 5-2     WYO, @UNLV, NM, AF, @SJSU                7-1, 10-2
New Mexico         2-1, 4-3     @SJSU, USU, @BOISE, CSU, AF              4-4, 6-6
Air Force          2-1, 3-3     FRESNO, @HAW, ARMY, USU, @BOISE, @NM     5-3, 7-5     
Colorado State     1-2, 3-4     SDSU, @WYO, UNLV, @NM, @FRESNO           6-2, 6-6
Wyoming            1-2, 1-6     @BOISE, @USU, CSU, @SDSU, UNLV           1-7, 1-11
Boise fumbled their way out of the Group of 5 New Year's bowl spot, but it's hard not to treat that loss as the statistical anomaly that it is and keep them on top. Colorado State moves into bowl contention while Wyoming gets a win and won't be blanked this year!

West
pre:
San Diego State     3-0, 4-3     USU, @CSU, WYO, @UNLV, NEV            8-0, 9-3
San Jose State      2-2, 3-4     NM, BYU, @NEV, @HAW, BOISE            5-3, 6-6
Nevada              1-2, 3-4     HAW, @FRESNO, SJSU, @USU, @SDSU       3-5, 5-7
UNLV                1-2, 2-5     BOISE, HAW, @CSU, SDSU, @WYO          3-5, 4-8
Fresno State        1-3, 2-5     @AF, NEV, @HAW, @BYU, CSU             1-7, 2-10
Hawai'i             0-3, 2-5     @NEV, AF, @UNLV, FRESNO, SJSU, ULM    0-8, 2-11
San Diego State won and have the West on lock, with Utah State being the toughest game left. Other than SDSU and SJSU, doesn't look like anyone else will get in.

Bowl Projected Teams: Boise State, San Diego State, Utah State, Air Force, San Jose State, New Mexico, Colorado State


Sun Belt
pre:
Georgia Southern        3-0, 5-1     @APP, TXST, @TROY, @UGA, USA, GAST               7-1, 9-3
Appalachian State       2-0, 5-1     GASO, TROY, ARKST, @IDAHO, ULL, @USA             8-0, 11-1
Arkansas State          2-0, 3-3     ULL, GAST, @APP, @ULM, @NMSU, TXST               7-1, 8-4     
Louisiana-Lafayette     1-0, 2-3     @ARKST, ULM, @GAST, @USA, NMSU, @APP, TROY       5-3, 6-6
South Alabama           1-1, 3-3     @TXST, IDAHO, ULL, @GAST, @GASO, APP             4-4, 6-6
Georgia State           1-1, 2-4     @ARKST, ULL, @TXST, USA, TROY, @GASO             2-6, 3-9
Idaho                   1-2, 2-4     ULM, @NMSU, @USA, APP, @AUB, TXST                3-5, 5-7
Texas State             0-1, 1-4     USA, @GASO, NMSU, GAST, ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST      4-4, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe        0-2, 1-5     @IDAHO, @ULL, @TROY, ARKST, @TXST, @HAW, NMSU    2-6, 3-10
Troy                    0-2, 1-5     @NMSU, @APP, ULM, GASO, @GAST, @ULL              1-7, 2-10
New Mexico State        0-2, 0-6     TROY, IDAHO, @TXST, @ULL, ARKST, @ULM            0-8, 0-12
Georgia Southern and App State will play again to determine who wins the SoCon Sun Belt, with the other three projected teams still fine though ULL and USA don't have room for error. I did all the picks this week and whooooooo boy that bottom be upgly.

Bowl Projected Teams: App State, Georgia Southern, Arkansas State, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 19
# of projected teams: 80 - 11 (SEC) 10 (ACC, B1G) 8 (P12) 7 (B12, MWC, AAC, C-USA, MAC) 5 (SUN) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Cotton Bowl: #1 Baylor (Big 12 Champ) vs. #4 Alabama (SEC Champ)
Orange Bowl: #2 Ohio State (Big Ten Champ) vs. #3 Clemson (ACC Champ)

I'm putting Baylor above Ohio State because that's what I think the committee will do, barring Baylor taking a loss. It's easy to make the argument that the Bearmobile has looked far more impressive than the Buckeyes so far and I think it's the one they will make. Could they keep Ohio State on top at 13-0 due to the championship game? Perhaps but it's splitting hairs at this point. A 13-0 Clemson makes sure the ACC gets in, and so it comes down to 12-1 Alabama vs. Utah/Stanford, and I think they'll view Bama's wins over LSU and Florida in the SEC title game as more impressive. I'd like for it to not be the case but Bama's name value is going to weight high unconsciously.

Peach Bowl: Michigan State (At-Large) vs. LSU (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. TCU (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Stanford (At-Large) vs. Memphis (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Utah (Pac-12 Rep)

12-1 Iowa heads to the Rose Bowl where they'll face the Pac-12 Champ, either Utah or Stanford. Whoever doesn't win between those two goes to the Fiesta and faces Memphis, out of the Group of 5. Florida takes the SEC's bid to the Sugar and takes on TCU who has the Big 12's spot. 11-1 Michigan State faces 10-1 LSU in the Peach, which is why Memphis gets shipped across the country. Fiesta might not be happy getting stuck with a mid-major again, but as the bitch of the major bowls they can take it and like it.


And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Washington
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. Cal
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Missouri
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Notre Dame vs. Mississippi State
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Wisconsin vs. Ole Miss
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Penn State vs. Arizona
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Illinois vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Cincinnati vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Middle Tennessee vs. San Jose State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Akron vs. Colorado State
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Central Michigan
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. UCLA
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Louisiana-Lafayette vs. NC State
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Northwestern
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Minnesota vs. Rice
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       North Carolina vs. Oregon
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Western Kentucky	
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     East Carolina vs. Air Force
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        FIU vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. South Alabama
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             South Florida vs. Toledo
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Houston vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Southern Miss vs. New Mexico
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. Georgia Southern
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Arizona State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Louisiana Tech vs. San Diego State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Miami vs. Arkansas State
With 80 teams for 80 spots we're full up. ACC really needs to sign another bowl agreement if they're going to consistently sent 10 to bowls, Pitt got orphaned last year and I've got Miami having to step outside and fill the Cure Bowl, since it's up in Orlando and a reasonable drive for their fans to send a plane banner demanding the head of Al Golden not attend. Some okay matchups here, nothing spectacular unfortunately, though a couple mid-major shootouts look probable.

Again, my math is better but still not great, but ultimately everything will take care of itself as we get closer towards the end.

* # ¿ Oct 18, 2015 21:07
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 8: The Kick-Six was a once in a lifetime event that could never happen again.

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           4-0, 7-0     @NCST, FSU, @CUSE, WF, @SC      8-0, 12-0
Florida State     4-1, 6-1     CUSE, @CLEM, NCST, chat, @UF    6-2, 9-3
Louisville        2-2, 3-4     @WF, CUSE, UVA, @PITT, @UK      5-3, 6-6
NC State          1-2, 5-2     CLEM, @BC, @FSU, CUSE, UNC      3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-2, 3-4     @FSU, @LOU, CLEM, @NCST, BC     2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-4, 3-5     LOU, @ND, @CLEM, DUKE           1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-5, 3-5     VT, NCST, ND, @CUSE             0-8, 3-9
Clemson formally takes over the Atlantic lead, but FSU's loss pretty much takes away any margin of error not just for Dabo and crew, but the ACC in general. Without a dominant team, it's easy to see the other conferences jumping the ACC, and as such Clemson pretty much needs to go 13-0 or enjoy the Peach Bowl. NC State just needs to beat BC or Cuse and they're in.

Coastal
pre:
Pittsburgh         4-0, 6-1     UNC, ND, @DUKE, LOU, U           6-2, 8-4
Duke               3-0, 6-1     U, @UNC, PITT, @UVA, @WF         8-0, 11-1
North Carolina     3-0, 6-1     @PITT, DUKE, U, @VT, @NCST       5-3, 9-3
Miami              1-2, 4-3     @DUKE, UVA, @UNC, GT, @PITT      2-6, 5-7
Virginia           1-2, 2-5     GT, @U, @LOU, DUKE, VT           1-7, 2-10
Virginia Tech      1-3, 3-5     @BC, @GT, UNC, @UVA              4-4, 6-6
Georgia Tech       1-4, 3-5     @UVA, VT, @U, UGA                3-5, 5-7
Pitt/Duke/UNC all got eligible this week, but under no circumstances can you make me get excited over Pitt football. UNC faces the other two the next couple of weeks so that should knock the Heels down the pecking order some. I'm demoting Miami from contention since this team needs two wins and even with Virginia on the schedule they're so dead in the water I don't think they can get another one, and while it was a good win for Georgia Tech they needs to find a upset of either Hokie or Dawg to keep their bowl streak active and I don't think that's in the cards.

pre:
Notre Dame     6-1     @TEMPLE, @PITT, WF, @BC, @STAN     9-3
Didn't play this week, heading to Killadelphia to face Temple. Pitt on the road does loom as does Stanford at the end of the season. 10-2 puts them into a New Years bowl because old men still have fond memories of Notre Dame, 9-3 sends them to the Pinstripe or something.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, Duke, Notre Dame, FSU, UNC, Pitt, Louisville, NC State, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         4-0, 8-0     MINN, @ILL, MSU, @MICH            8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     4-0, 8-0     @NEB, MARY, @OSU, PENN            7-1, 11-1     
Penn State         3-1, 6-2     ILL, @NW, MICH, @MSU              4-4, 7-5
Michigan           2-1, 5-2     @MINN, RUT, @IND, @PENN, OSU      6-2, 9-3
Rutgers            1-3, 3-4     @WISC, @MICH, NEB, @ARMY, MARY    2-6, 5-7
Indiana            0-4, 4-4     IOWA, MICH, @MARY, @PUR           2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-3, 2-5     @IOWA, WISC, @MSU, IND, @RUT      0-8, 2-10
Ohio State makes the "keep calm, we gots this" statement that they needed to, combine that with Seth Russell's injury and the Buckeyes effectively go back to being an undisputed #1. Sparty's gonna find a way to fall out of the top 25 despite not losing a game. This won't change next week with the top two teams idle, but Michigan should become eligible then.

West
pre:
Iowa              3-0, 7-0     MARY, @IND, MINN, PUR, @NEB           8-0, 12-0
Wisconsin         3-1, 6-2     RUT, @MARY, NW, @MINN                 6-2, 9-3
Northwestern      2-2, 6-2     PENN, RUT, @WISC, @ILL                3-5, 7-5
Illinois          1-2, 4-3     @PENN, @PUR, OSU, @MINN, NW           4-4, 7-5
Minnesota         1-2, 4-3     MICH, @OSU, @IOWA, ILL, WISC          3-5, 6-6
Nebraska          1-3, 3-5     NW, @PUR, MSU, @RUT, IOWA             3-5, 5-7
Purdue            0-3, 1-6     NEB, ILL, @NW, @IOWA, IND             0-8, 1-11
Wisconsin and Northwestern are in, but this is still Iowa's division to lose and none of their games look threatening at all. Purdue was idle this week which means they'll be gone next unless Nebraska's godawful luck keeps on.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Northwestern, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota


Big 12

pre:
Baylor             4-0, 7-0     @KST, OK, @OKST, @TCU, TEX          9-0, 12-0
TCU                4-0, 7-0     WVU, @OKST, KAN, @OK, BAY           7-2, 10-2 
Oklahoma State     4-0, 7-0     @TTU, TCU, @IST, BAY, OK            6-3, 9-3
Oklahoma           3-1, 6-1     @KAN, ISU, @BAY, TCU, @OKST         7-2, 10-2
Texas              2-2, 3-4     @IST, KAN, @WVU, TTU, @BAY          4-5, 5-7
Texas Tech         2-3, 5-3     OKST, @WVU, KST, @TEX               3-6, 6-6
Iowa State         1-3, 2-5     TEX, @OK, OKST, @KST, @WVU          1-8, 2-10
West Virginia      0-3, 3-3     @TCU, TTU, TEX, @KAN, ISU, @KST     4-5, 6-6
Kansas State       0-4, 3-4     BAY, @TTU, ISU, @KAN, WVU           3-6, 6-6
Kansas             0-4, 0-7     OK, @TEX, @TCU, WVU, KST            0-9, 0-12
Seth's Russell's neck injury is now the biggest story of the playoff. We don't know when/if he'll be back, how his backup will play, or anything with Baylor now at all. They should be fine next week against K-State but with the meat of the schedule coming up, anything less than absolute domination is going to upend everything. Texas has two winnable games coming up and would need to get past Texas Tech to once again sneak into a bowl. I'm not sure what to think of K-State, other than Baylor they can beat everyone else on their schedule or completely bomb out. Speaking of which, Kansas is our first Power 5 team to be eliminated from bowl contention and they aren't done losing yet.

Basically, I'll leave Baylor on top, undefeated and in for now, but I'll be putting them below Ohio State and if they look bad next week, everything is up for grabs.

Projected Bowl Teams: Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             5-0, 6-1     @WAZZU, @COL, OREG, CAL, ND        9-0, 11-1
Washington State     3-1, 5-2     STAN, ASU, @UCLA, COL, @WASH       6-3, 8-4
Cal                  2-2, 5-2     USC, @OREG, ORST, @STAN, ASU       5-4, 8-4 
Oregon               2-2, 4-3     @ASU, CAL, @STAN, USC, ORST        4-5, 6-6
Washington           1-3, 3-4     ARIZ, UTAH, @ASU, @ORST, WAZZU     3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-4, 2-5     @UTAH, UCLA, @CAL, WASH, @OREG     0-9, 2-10
If there were any questions about Stanford being the best team in the Pac-12, they're answered now. No reason for them not to run the rest of the table, as their last tough road game is this week. I'm moving Wazzu in off their three wins and Washington out as they'd need an Apple Cup win to be eligible and I think the Cougars get them this year. RIP Wheez one love. Cal's kinda looking shaky here but they've built up enough of a buffer to be fine, plus they still face Oregon State, who blew their one winnable game against Colorado.

South
pre:
Utah              3-1, 6-1     ORST, @WASH, @ARIZ, UCLA, COL      8-1, 11-1
UCLA              2-2, 5-2     COL, @ORST, WAZZU, @UTAH, @USC     5-4, 8-4
USC               2-2, 4-3     @CAL, ARIZ, @COL, @OREG, UCLA      3-6, 5-7
Arizona State     2-2, 4-3     OREG, @WAZZU, WASH, ARIZ, @CAL     6-3, 8-4
Arizona           2-3, 5-3     @WASH, @USC, UTAH, @ASU            4-5, 7-5
Colorado          1-3, 4-4     @UCLA, STAN, USC, @WAZZU, @UTAH    1-8, 4-9
I figured Utah was going to drop a game somewhere, at USC's about as good a place as any. They should handle their next two and be favored after that, but at Arizona and UCLA loom large. I don't know what to think about the LA and Arizona teams anymore, I could probably move USC in since they'll need just one more win after Colorado, but I'm not ready to call it yet. Buffs got a win so good for them, but would need seven wins to become eligible due to playing at Hawai'i.

Bowl Projected Teams: Utah, Stanford, UCLA, Arizona State, Washington State, Cal, Arizona, Oregon


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            4-1, 6-1     UGA, VAN, @SC, FAU, FSU         7-1, 11-1
Georgia            3-2, 5-2     @UF, UK, @AUB, GAST, @GT        5-3, 9-3
Kentucky           2-3, 4-3     UT, @UGA, @VAN, CHAR, LOU       3-5, 7-5
Tennessee          1-3, 3-4     @UK, SC, UNT, @MIZZ, VAN        5-3, 8-4
Vanderbilt         1-3, 3-4     @HOU, @UF, UK, A&M, @UT         1-7, 3-9
Missouri           1-4, 4-4     MSST, BYU, UT, @ARK             2-6, 5-7
South Carolina     1-4, 3-4     @A&M, @UT, UF, citadel, CLEM    1-7, 3-9


Cocktail Party this week for the East title. A Florida win clinches the division since they have tiebreakers with everyone else, a Georgia win puts them in the driver's seat with the Auburn game looming. Kentucky's been rocked but Vandy and Charlotte should get them in. Tennessee's gonna have a breakthrough here at some point and the schedule is soft enough for them to run it. Mizzou's dropped from contention since their offense is just putrid, but I'm putting them over Arkansas still because bert is failure in human form.

West
pre:
LSU                   4-0, 7-0     @BAMA, ARK, @MISS, A&M            7-1, 10-1
Alabama               4-1, 7-1     LSU, @MSST, charso, @AUB          7-1, 11-1
Ole Miss              3-1, 6-2     @AUB, ARK, LSU, @MSST             5-3, 8-4
Mississippi State     2-2, 6-2     @MIZZ, BAMA, @ARK, MISS           5-3, 9-3
Texas A&M             2-2, 5-2     SC, AUB, wcu, @VAN, @LSU          5-3, 9-3
Arkansas              2-2, 3-4     utmart, @MISS, @LSU, MSST, MIZZ   2-6, 4-8
Auburn                1-3, 4-3     MISS, @A&M, UGA, IDAHO, BAMA      1-7, 5-7
LSU at Bama in two weeks for the crown, unless Ole Miss somehow mucks everything up. I'm not willing to move bert and Co. above Missouri yet, but they'd still need to steal another win somewhere to go bowling. Auburn falls out of contention as their disastrous season continues, and none of their remaining conference games look winnable.

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, LSU, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Kentucky


American

East
pre:
Temple            4-0, 7-0     ND, @SMU, @USF, MEM, UCONN       6-2, 10-2
South Florida     2-1, 4-3     @NAVY, @ECU, TEMPLE, CIN, @UCF   1-7, 6-6 
East Carolina     2-2, 4-4     @UCONN, USF, @UCF, CIN           6-2, 8-4
Cincinnati        1-2, 4-3     UCF, @HOU, TULSA, @USF, @ECU     4-4, 7-5
UConn             1-3, 3-5     ECU, @TULANE, HOU, @TEMPLE       2-6, 4-8  
UCF               0-4, 0-8     @CIN, @TULSA, ECU, USF           0-8, 0-12
Put up or shut up time for Temple as Notre Dame comes to town. No one should threaten them for the division crown, but if they want to contend for a New Years bowl this is must win. USF/ECU/Cinci's in a bit of a quagmire but I have all three in, though USF doesn't have any room for error.

West
pre:
Houston     4-0, 7-0     VAN, CIN, MEM, @UCONN, NAVY            7-1, 11-1
Memphis     4-0, 7-0     TULANE, NAVY, HOU, @TEMPLE, SMU        8-0, 12-0
Navy        3-0, 5-1     USF, @MEM, SMU, @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY     6-2, 9-3
Tulane      1-3, 2-5     @MEM, UCONN, @ARMY, @SMU, TULSA        3-5, 5-7
Tulsa       0-3, 3-4     @SMU, UCF, @CIN, NAVY, @TULANE         1-7, 3-9
SMU         0-3, 1-6     TULSA, TEMPLE, @NAVY, TULANE, @MEM     1-7, 2-10
Nothing changes here, Houston and Memphis are still on a collision course, Navy should get in soon, and the bottom three are here to pad people's stats.

Bowl Projected Teams: Memphis, Houston, Temple, Navy, East Carolina, Cincinnati, South Florida


C-USA
East
pre:
Marshall             4-0, 7-1     @CHA, @MTSU, FIU, @WKU         8-0, 11-1
Western Kentucky     4-0, 6-2     @ODU, FAU, @FIU, MAR           7-1, 9-3
FIU                  2-2, 4-4     @FAU, CHA, @MAR, WKU           5-3, 6-6
MTSU                 2-2, 3-5     MAR, @FAU, UNT, @UTSA          5-3, 6-6
Old Dominion         1-2, 3-4     WKU, @UTSA, UTEP, @USM, FAU    2-6, 4-8
FAU                  1-3, 1-6     FIU, @WKU, MTSU, @UF, @ODU     1-7, 1-11
Charlotte            0-4, 2-5     MAR, @FIU, UTSA, @UK, @RICE    0-8, 2-10
Marshall jumps WKU since the latter lost at LSU but it's between those two for the division regardless. FIU has to win their next two to get in, MTSU will have to win their last three.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     3-1, 5-3     @RICE, UNT, @UTEP, USM             5-3, 8-4 
Southern Miss      3-1, 5-3     UTEP, @RICE, ODU, @LATECH          5-3, 7-5 
Rice               2-1, 4-3     LATECH, @UTEP, USM, @UTSA, CHA     7-1, 9-3     
UTEP               1-2, 3-4     @USM, RICE, @ODU, LATECH, @UNT     3-5, 5-7
UTSA               1-2, 1-6     @UNT, ODU, @CHA, RICE, MTSU        3-5, 3-9
North Texas        0-4, 0-7     UTSA, @LATECH, @UT, @MTSU, UTEP    0-8, 0-12
LaTech and Rice, for what I assume will be the division since I don't think Southern Miss is that good. North Texas is officially gone and UTSA shall soon join them.

Bowl Projected Teams: Marshall, Western Kentucky, Rice, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, MTSU, FIU


Independents

pre:
BYU      6-2     @SJST, @MIZZ, FRESNO, @USU      8-4     
Army     2-6     @AF, TULANE, RUTGERS, @NAVY     2-10
BYU's headed to Vegas or Hawai'i, Army's all but heading home.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     4-0, 6-2     OHIO, @WMU, TOL, @BALL            7-1, 9-3
Ohio              2-2, 5-3     @BG, KENT, BALL, @NIU             3-5, 7-5
Kent State        2-2, 3-5     BUFF, @OHIO, CMU, @AKRON          3-5, 4-8
Akron             1-2, 3-4     CMU, @UMASS, @MOH, BUFF, KENT     6-2, 8-4
Buffalo           1-2, 3-4     @MOH, @KENT, NIU, @AKRON, UMASS   4-4, 6-6
UMass             0-3, 1-6     @BALL, AKRON, @EMU, MOH, @BUFF    2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        0-4, 1-7     BUFF, EMU, AKRON, @UMASS          1-7, 2-10
Time to see if Bowling Green is for real. Buffalo pulls an upset and I've got them moving into eligibility, while Miami's one of the first officially out again.

West
pre:
Toledo                4-0, 7-0     NIU, @CMU, @BG, WMU             7-1, 10-1
Western Michigan      3-0, 4-3     @EMU, BALL, BG, @NIU, @TOL      6-2, 7-5
Northern Illinois     3-1, 5-3     @TOL, @BUFF, WMU, OHIO          6-2, 8-4
Central Michigan      3-1, 4-4     @AKRON, TOL, @KENT, EMU         5-3, 6-6
Ball State            1-3, 2-6     UMASS, @WMU, @OHIO, BG          3-5, 4-8
Eastern Michigan      0-4, 1-7     @NIU, WMU, @MOH, UMASS, @CMU    0-8, 1-11
Things are gonna get tough for Toledo now. EMU's also gone.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Akron, Ohio, Central Michigan, Buffalo


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Boise State        3-1, 6-2     @UNLV, NM, AF, @SJSU              7-1, 10-2
Air Force          3-1, 4-3     @HAW, ARMY, USU, @BOISE, @NM      5-3, 7-5     
Utah State         3-1, 4-3     WYO, @NM, @AF, NEV, BYU           6-2, 8-4
New Mexico         2-2, 4-4     USU, @BOISE, CSU, AF              3-5, 5-7
Colorado State     1-2, 3-4     SDSU, @WYO, UNLV, @NM, @FRESNO    4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-3, 1-7     @USU, CSU, @SDSU, UNLV            1-7, 1-11
Boise jumps back on top as Utah State loses a tough one. Otherwise, good teams win, bad teams lose, Wyoming's eliminated.

West
pre:
San Diego State     4-0, 5-3     @CSU, WYO, @UNLV, NEV            8-0, 9-3
San Jose State      3-2, 4-4     BYU, @NEV, @HAW, BOISE           5-3, 6-6
Nevada              2-2, 4-4     @FRESNO, SJSU, @USU, @SDSU       3-5, 5-7
UNLV                1-2, 2-5     BOISE, HAW, @CSU, SDSU, @WYO     3-5, 4-8
Fresno State        1-4, 2-6     NEV, @HAW, @BYU, CSU             1-7, 2-10
Hawai'i             0-4, 2-6     AF, @UNLV, FRESNO, SJSU, ULM     0-8, 2-11
With four bottom-feeders left, SDSU should run the table. SJSU has to beat both Nevada and Hawai'i on the road to make it in, Nevada's gotta find an upset somewhere, Fresno and Hawai'i are sailing off into the sunset.

Bowl Projected Teams: Boise State, San Diego State, Utah State, Air Force, San Jose State, New Mexico, Colorado State


Sun Belt
pre:
Appalachian State       3-0, 6-1     TROY, ARKST, @IDAHO, ULL, @USA             8-0, 11-1
Arkansas State          3-0, 4-3     GAST, @APP, @ULM, @NMSU, TXST              7-1, 8-4     
Georgia Southern        3-1, 5-2     TXST, @TROY, @UGA, USA, GAST               7-1, 9-3
Idaho                   2-2, 3-4     @NMSU, @USA, APP, @AUB, TXST               3-5, 5-7
Georgia State           1-1, 2-4     @ARKST, ULL, @TXST, USA, TROY, @GASO       2-6, 3-9
Louisiana-Lafayette     1-1, 2-4     ULM, @GAST, @USA, NMSU, @APP, TROY         5-3, 6-6
Texas State             1-1, 2-4     @GASO, NMSU, GAST, ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST     4-4, 4-8
South Alabama           1-2, 3-4     IDAHO, ULL, @GAST, @GASO, APP              4-4, 6-6
Troy                    1-2, 2-5     @APP, ULM, GASO, @GAST, @ULL               1-7, 2-10
Louisiana-Monroe        0-3, 1-6     @ULL, @TROY, ARKST, @TXST, @HAW, NMSU      2-6, 3-10
New Mexico State        0-3, 0-7     IDAHO, @TXST, @ULL, ARKST, @ULM            0-8, 0-12
App State wins over Georiga Southern, becomes eligible for the first time ever, and is in the driver's seat as Arkansas State has to go to Boone. Other than that, looks like the Fun Belt stayed the course.

Bowl Projected Teams: App State, Georgia Southern, Arkansas State, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 33
# of projected teams: 78 - 10 (B1G) 9 (ACC, SEC) 8 (P12, MAC) 7 (B12, AAC, C-USA, MWC) 5 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Ohio State (Big Ten Champ) vs. #4 Clemson (ACC Champ)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Baylor (Big 12 Champ) vs. #3 Alabama (SEC Champ)

The matchups don't change but the numbers do, as Ohio State reclaims the top spot and still has an Orange Bowl rematch with Clemson, while Baylor clings to second and a date with Alabama. This all depends on how well Baylor reacts to Seth Russell's neck injury, if they don't play well this week it raises the question of if Baylor can run the table, and at that point do we move TCU in instead or swap out with Stanford and the Big 12 gets the shaft once more. Bama's life depends on beating LSU at home and not dropping any more games, while Clemson and the ACC have no room for error, any Tigers loss more than likely drops them all out.

Peach Bowl: Michigan State (At-Large) vs. LSU (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. TCU (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Utah (At-Large) vs. Memphis (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

The Pac-12 spots get shuffled, Stanford winning the conference and going to the Rose Bowl and smothering Iowa, Utah to the Fiesta and a date with Memphis. No reason to change the Peach and Sugar at this point.

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Arizona
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs.  Kentucky
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Notre Dame vs. Tennessee
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Mississippi State
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Penn State vs. Arizona State
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Illinois vs. Ole Miss
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Florida State vs. Ohio
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Cincinnati vs. New Mexico
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Middle Tennessee vs. San Jose State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Duke vs. Oklahoma State
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Minnesota
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. Cal
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Colorado State vs. NC State
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Northwestern
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Arkansas State vs. Western Kentucky
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       UNC vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Houston vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     East Carolina vs. Air Force
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Southern Miss vs. Akron
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Central Michigan
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             South Florida vs. Toledo
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Temple vs. FIU
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. South Alabama
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Oregon
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             San Diego State vs. Rice
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern

We drop a number of teams so we've got empty slots I don't feel like filling. There'll be quite the dogpile to fill the SEC's open slots with only 9 eligible teams and three in the playoffs/New Years bowls. No really attractive bowls each, which kinda sucks. Either way, the above is wrong and as we get closer it'll be less wrong.

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 21:10 on Oct 25, 2015

* # ¿ Oct 25, 2015 21:08
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 9: Karl Hess thinks the right call was made at the end in Durham.

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           5-0, 8-0     FSU, @CUSE, WF, @SC        8-0, 12-0
Florida State     5-1, 7-1     @CLEM, NCST, chat, @UF     6-2, 9-3
Louisville        3-2, 4-4     CUSE, UVA, @PITT, @UK      5-3, 6-6
NC State          1-3, 5-3     @BC, @FSU, CUSE, UNC       3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-3, 3-5     @LOU, CLEM, @NCST, BC      2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-5, 3-6     @ND, @CLEM, DUKE           1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-6, 3-6     NCST, ND, @CUSE            0-8, 3-9
Well, here's the last chance for the ACC to make a major impression. If Clemson can boatrace FSU, it might jump high enough in the Committee's standings that nothing short of a loss will bring it down. The rub lies in that any Clemson loss pretty much sinks them and the ACC at this point. No pressure, Dabs. Louisville needed far more effort than what should have been needed to beat Wake, who's almost out the eligibility door along with BC, if BC could more anywhere faster than 2 yards at a time.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     4-0, 7-1     DUKE, U, @VT, @NCST       6-2, 10-2
Pittsburgh         4-1, 6-2     ND, @DUKE, LOU, U         6-2, 9-3
Duke               3-1, 6-2     @UNC, PITT, @UVA, @WF     7-1, 10-2
Miami              2-2, 5-3     UVA, @UNC, GT, @PITT      3-5, 6-6
Virginia           2-2, 3-5     @U, @LOU, DUKE, VT        2-6, 3-9
Virginia Tech      2-3, 4-5     @GT, UNC, @UVA            4-4, 6-6
Georgia Tech       1-5, 3-6     VT, @U, UGA               2-6, 4-8
One word before we start: you know ACC refs are trash, it's not like them messing up something egregiously at the end of a game should surprise anyone. That being said, you can overturn this game as long as we can acknowledge that there was no PI in '01 and overturn that as well. Now then.

UNC had a good weekend, with their road win at Pitt combining with Disaster in Durham to give the Heels a one-game lead, and they might be the worst matchup for Clemson in the ACCCG due to their athletes on D. A home win over Duke put UNC up even more with both tiebreakers, which means it won't happen. I still like Pitt this weekend against Notre Dame, which is probably a bad idea but why stop making them now. Miami does come back to being projected eligible needing one win and having hom..."home" games against UVA and GT. Hokie's plan of becoming eligible by only winning on the road and never at home is still in full effect.

pre:
Notre Dame     7-1     @PITT, WF, @BC, @STAN     9-3
Good win for Notre Dame and this weekend is going to make the difference between a New Year's Bowl and the RAB. I still don't think they beat Stanford at the end, and we better hope that's the case because 11-1 Notre Dame probably gets into the Playoff and I'm not in the mood for that this year tbh.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, UNC, Duke, Notre Dame, FSU, Pitt, NC State, Louisville, Virginia Tech, Miami


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         4-0, 8-0     MINN, @ILL, MSU, @MICH      8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     4-0, 8-0     @NEB, MARY, @OSU, PENN      7-1, 11-1     
Penn State         4-1, 7-2     @NW, MICH, @MSU             4-4, 7-5
Michigan           3-1, 6-2     RUT, @IND, @PENN, OSU       6-2, 9-3
Rutgers            1-4, 3-5     @MICH, NEB, @ARMY, MARY     2-6, 5-7
Indiana            0-4, 4-4     IOWA, MICH, @MARY, @PUR     2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-4, 2-6     WISC, @MSU, IND, @RUT       0-8, 2-10
This Ohio State QB poo poo just won't loving stop. Regardless, it's only one game and it's Minnesota until Cardale balls out and it becomes a thing again. I still anticipate the Committee to put Ohio State at #1 and there's no reason not to. Sparty winning out puts them in a New Year's Bowl, maybe even the Rose. Michigan is in, Penn State might be done winning, and Indiana still has some hope but no room for error.

West
pre:
Iowa              4-0, 8-0     @IND, MINN, PUR, @NEB        8-0, 12-0
Wisconsin         4-1, 7-2     @MARY, NW, @MINN             7-1, 10-2
Northwestern      2-2, 6-2     PENN, RUT, @WISC, @ILL       5-3, 9-3
Minnesota         1-3, 4-4     @OSU, @IOWA, ILL, WISC       3-5, 6-6
Illinois          1-3, 4-4     @PUR, OSU, @MINN, NW         2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-3, 2-6     ILL, @NW, @IOWA, IND         1-7, 2-10
Nebraska          1-4, 3-6     MSU, @RUT, IOWA              2-6, 4-8
Still Iowa's division to lose and nothing short of a terrible collapse is going to stop them. I can't add so I had to add more overall wins to Badger and Northwestern but that won't help them beat Iowa. Minn and Ill looks like it'll be a bowl eliminator and I'm downgrading Illinois to out, since they need two wins and after Purdue I don't see where the other one comes from. Purdue stayed alive and have almost drug Nebraska down to their level, who are so mad they're gonna fire Frank Solich again.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Northwestern, Penn State, Minnesota, Indiana


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma State     5-0, 8-0     TCU, @IST, BAY, OK            6-3, 9-3
TCU                5-0, 8-0     @OKST, KAN, @OK, BAY          7-2, 10-2 
Baylor             4-0, 7-0     @KST, OK, @OKST, @TCU, TEX    9-0, 12-0
Oklahoma           4-1, 7-1     ISU, @BAY, TCU, @OKST         7-2, 10-2
Iowa State         2-3, 3-5     @OK, OKST, @KST, @WVU         2-7, 3-9
Texas              2-3, 3-5     KAN, @WVU, TTU, @BAY          3-6, 4-8
Texas Tech         2-4, 5-4     @WVU, KST, @TEX               3-6, 6-6
West Virginia      0-4, 3-4     TTU, TEX, @KAN, ISU, @KST     4-5, 6-6
Kansas State       0-4, 3-4     BAY, @TTU, ISU, @KAN, WVU     3-6, 6-6
Kansas             0-5, 0-8     @TEX, @TCU, WVU, KST          0-9, 0-12
Holgo the Magnificent might think that TCU's a more complete team but that'll remain to be seen. The Big 12's plan to badload the schedule in lieu of an actual conference championship game is either going to look brilliant or cost some motherfuckers in the league office their jobs, but at least the good teams are finally going to play each other now. Jury is still out on Baylor, and nothing short of total domination might save them. But who knows. I don't remember the last time Iowa State was in the top half of the rankings other than opening week so take a pic Clones fans it prob won't ever happen again.

Projected Bowl Teams: Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             6-0, 7-1     @COL, OREG, CAL, ND          9-0, 11-1
Washington State     3-2, 5-3     ASU, @UCLA, COL, @WASH       6-3, 8-4
Oregon               3-2, 5-3     CAL, @STAN, USC, ORST        6-3, 8-4
Cal                  2-3, 5-3     @OREG, ORST, @STAN, ASU      4-5, 7-5 
Washington           2-3, 4-4     UTAH, @ASU, @ORST, WAZZU     3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-5, 2-6     UCLA, @CAL, WASH, @OREG      0-9, 2-10
Stanford survives Wazzu and keeps their's/conferences playoff hopes alive, since they're just about in the same boat as Clemson and the ACC. Oregon also survives since in-bounds doesn't matter in triple-OT and should be safely in. Cal's come back to earth but needing one win with Oregon State coming up should get them in.

South
pre:
Utah              4-1, 7-1     @WASH, @ARIZ, UCLA, COL      8-1, 11-1
UCLA              3-2, 6-2     @ORST, WAZZU, @UTAH, @USC    5-4, 8-4
USC               3-2, 5-3     ARIZ, @COL, @OREG, UCLA      5-4, 7-5
Arizona State     2-3, 4-4     @WAZZU, WASH, ARIZ, @CAL     4-5, 6-6
Arizona           2-4, 5-4     @USC, UTAH, @ASU             2-7, 5-7
Colorado          1-4, 4-5     STAN, USC, @WAZZU, @UTAH     1-8, 4-9
UCLA is officially in and the game in Salt Lake is looming, meaning Wazzu's a heckuva trap game. USC's risen from the dead and I'm projecting them back in. On the other hand, the Annual Arizona State Death Spiral is in full effect and while these last four games are winnable, you know they don't get them all. Sun Devil/Wildcats could be a bowl eliminator, and I'm moving Arizona out since they won't be favored in their last three games.

Bowl Projected Teams: Utah, Stanford, UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, USC, Cal, Arizona State


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            5-1, 7-1     VAN, @SC, FAU, FSU         7-1, 11-1
Georgia            3-3, 5-3     UK, @AUB, GAST, @GT        5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          2-3, 4-4     SC, UNT, @MIZZ, VAN        5-3, 8-4
Kentucky           2-4, 4-4     @UGA, @VAN, CHAR, LOU      3-5, 7-5
Vanderbilt         1-3, 3-5     @UF, UK, A&M, @UT          1-7, 3-9
Missouri           1-4, 4-4     MSST, BYU, UT, @ARK        2-6, 5-7
South Carolina     1-5, 3-5     @UT, UF, citadel, CLEM     1-7, 3-9


OK, so Florida technically hasn't won the East yet, but their magic number is one and only Vandy can stop them, and since they play this week Florida will be the first team to clinch a division the next time I write this. Georgia might actually fire Mark Richt, which is a hilariously dumb idea but so Georgia it has to happen. Tenn still a good bet to win out, Kentucky's panicking since they've dropped three but Vandy and Charlotte should get them in. As dogshit as Mizzou's been on offense, if they somehow beat their west foes they're in, so Cowbell is a big game here for Missouri.

West
pre:
LSU                   4-0, 7-0     @BAMA, ARK, @MISS, A&M       7-1, 10-1
Alabama               4-1, 7-1     LSU, @MSST, charso, @AUB     7-1, 11-1
Ole Miss              4-1, 7-2     ARK, LSU, @MSST              5-3, 8-4
Texas A&M             3-2, 6-2     AUB, wcu, @VAN, @LSU         5-3, 9-3
Mississippi State     2-2, 6-2     @MIZZ, BAMA, @ARK, MISS      5-3, 9-3
Arkansas              2-2, 4-4     @MISS, @LSU, MSST, MIZZ      2-6, 4-8
Auburn                1-4, 4-4     @A&M, UGA, IDAHO, BAMA       1-7, 5-7
LSU at Bama this week for the crown, unless Ole Miss somehow mucks everything up. A&M is now in, but nothing else really happened in the West this week.

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, Florida, LSU, Texas A&M, Georgia, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Kentucky,


American

East
pre:
Temple            4-0, 7-1     @SMU, @USF, MEM, UCONN    6-2, 10-2
Cincinnati        2-2, 5-3     @HOU, TULSA, @USF, @ECU   4-4, 7-5
South Florida     2-2, 4-4     @ECU, TEMPLE, CIN, @UCF   1-7, 6-6 
UConn             2-3, 4-5     @TULANE, HOU, @TEMPLE     3-5, 5-7  
East Carolina     2-3, 4-5     USF, @UCF, CIN            5-3, 7-5
UCF               0-5, 0-9     @TULSA, ECU, USF          0-8, 0-12
Temple fought. They'll drop out of the top 25, but they went toe to toe with a better team and still have hopes of filling the Group of 5 slot. Everyone else in the Murica East is varying degrees of :mediocre: to bad.

West
pre:
Houston     4-0, 8-0     CIN, MEM, @UCONN, NAVY           7-1, 11-1
Memphis     4-0, 8-0     NAVY, HOU, @TEMPLE, SMU          8-0, 12-0
Navy        4-0, 6-1     @MEM, SMU, @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY    6-2, 9-3
Tulsa       1-3, 4-4     UCF, @CIN, NAVY, @TULANE         3-5, 6-6
Tulane      1-4, 2-6     UCONN, @ARMY, @SMU, TULSA        2-6, 4-8
SMU         0-4, 1-7     TEMPLE, @NAVY, TULANE, @MEM      0-8, 1-11
Still waiting on Houston/Memphis. Navy's officially in and I'm waiting for someone to write a column that if the Committee doesn't put them in a New Year's Bowl they hate America. Tulsa's now projected in with UCF and Tulane on the schedule. SMU's officially out but we knew Chad Morris had work to do down there, and I think they'll go bowling next year. Don't :toxx: me on that though.

Bowl Projected Teams: Memphis, Houston, Temple, Navy, East Carolina, Cincinnati, South Florida, Tulsa


C-USA
East
pre:
Marshall             5-0, 8-1     @MTSU, FIU, @WKU          8-0, 11-1
Western Kentucky     5-0, 7-2     FAU, @FIU, MAR            7-1, 9-3
MTSU                 2-2, 3-5     MAR, @FAU, UNT, @UTSA     5-3, 6-6
FIU                  2-3, 4-5     CHA, @MAR, WKU            4-4, 5-7
FAU                  2-3, 2-6     @WKU, MTSU, @UF, @ODU     2-6, 2-10
Old Dominion         1-3, 3-5     @UTSA, UTEP, @USM, FAU    2-6, 4-8
Charlotte            0-5, 2-6     @FIU, UTSA, @UK, @RICE    0-8, 2-10
Marshall and WKU just playing out the string until they face each other. FIU lost a game it couldn't afford to and they're now projected out.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     4-1, 6-3     UNT, @UTEP, USM              6-2, 9-3 
Southern Miss      4-1, 6-3     @RICE, ODU, @LATECH          5-3, 7-5 
Rice               2-2, 4-4     @UTEP, USM, @UTSA, CHA       6-2, 8-4     
UTEP               1-3, 3-5     RICE, @ODU, LATECH, @UNT     3-5, 5-7
UTSA               1-3, 1-7     ODU, @CHA, RICE, MTSU        3-5, 3-9
North Texas        1-4, 1-7     @LATECH, @UT, @MTSU, UTEP    1-7, 1-11
LaTech beats Rice and the West is in their hands. I want to give some love to Southern Miss, bowl-eligible for the first time since they bottomed out a couple of years ago, good for them. North Texas won't go winless and they're the ones who eliminate UTSA, which is like getting dumped from the Royal Rumble and then pulling out someone from the outside, it's great.

Bowl Projected Teams: Marshall, Western Kentucky, Louisiana Tech, Rice, Southern Miss, MTSU


Independents

pre:
BYU      6-2     @SJST, @MIZZ, FRESNO, @USU      8-4     
Army     2-6     @AF, TULANE, RUTGERS, @NAVY     2-10
Both were off so nothing changed.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     4-0, 6-2     OHIO, @WMU, TOL, @BALL            7-1, 9-3
Ohio              2-2, 5-3     @BG, KENT, BALL, @NIU             3-5, 7-5
Kent State        2-2, 3-5     BUFF, @OHIO, CMU, @AKRON          3-5, 4-8
Buffalo           2-2, 4-4     @KENT, NIU, @AKRON, UMASS         4-4, 6-6
Akron             1-3, 3-5     @UMASS, @MOH, BUFF, KENT          4-4, 6-6
UMass             0-4, 1-7     AKRON, @EMU, MOH, @BUFF           2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        0-4, 1-7     BUFF, EMU, AKRON, @UMASS          1-7, 2-10
Since we're on the verge of Mid-Week MACtion not much changed. Akron's running out of room for error and UMass is formally dumped.

West
pre:
Toledo                4-0, 7-0     NIU, @CMU, @BG, WMU        7-1, 10-1
Western Michigan      4-0, 5-3     BALL, BG, @NIU, @TOL       6-2, 7-5
Central Michigan      4-1, 5-4     TOL, @KENT, EMU            6-2, 7-5
Northern Illinois     3-1, 5-3     @TOL, @BUFF, WMU, OHIO     6-2, 8-4
Ball State            2-3, 3-6     @WMU, @OHIO, BG            2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-5, 1-8     @MOH, UMASS, @CMU          0-8, 1-11
Toledo/NIU will be a fun game to watch this Tuesday. CMU's gonna go 6-2 in conference here, how I don't know. BallSoHard State survives another day but their luck is gonna run out here soon.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Ohio, Central Michigan, Akron, Buffalo


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Boise State        4-1, 7-2     NM, AF, @SJSU               7-1, 10-2
Utah State         4-1, 5-3     @NM, @AF, NEV, BYU          6-2, 8-4
Air Force          4-1, 5-3     ARMY, USU, @BOISE, @NM      5-3, 7-5     
New Mexico         2-2, 4-4     USU, @BOISE, CSU, AF        3-5, 5-7
Colorado State     1-3, 3-5     @WYO, UNLV, @NM, @FRESNO    4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-4, 1-8     CSU, @SDSU, UNLV            1-7, 1-11
We'll see if Air Force can upset either Boise or Utah State, if the latter two run the table USU wins due to their glorious H2H win.

West
pre:
San Diego State     5-0, 6-3     WYO, @UNLV, NEV                  8-0, 9-3
San Jose State      3-2, 4-4     BYU, @NEV, @HAW, BOISE           5-3, 6-6
Nevada              2-2, 4-4     @FRESNO, SJSU, @USU, @SDSU       3-5, 5-7
UNLV                1-3, 2-6     HAW, @CSU, SDSU, @WYO            3-5, 4-8
Fresno State        1-4, 2-6     NEV, @HAW, @BYU, CSU             1-7, 2-10
Hawai'i             0-5, 2-7     @UNLV, FRESNO, SJSU, ULM         0-8, 2-11
SDSU becomes the second MWC team in and clinch the division with a win over Wyoming. Meanwhile Hawai'i's done for :(

Bowl Projected Teams: Boise State, San Diego State, Utah State, Air Force, San Jose State, New Mexico, Colorado State


Sun Belt
pre:
Appalachian State       4-0, 7-1     ARKST, @IDAHO, ULL, @USA             8-0, 11-1
Arkansas State          4-0, 5-3     @APP, @ULM, @NMSU, TXST              7-1, 8-4     
Georgia Southern        4-1, 6-2     @TROY, @UGA, USA, GAST               7-1, 9-3
Louisiana-Lafayette     2-1, 3-4     @GAST, @USA, NMSU, @APP, TROY        5-3, 6-6
Idaho                   2-3, 3-5     @USA, APP, @AUB, TXST                2-6, 4-8
South Alabama           1-2, 3-4     IDAHO, ULL, @GAST, @GASO, APP        4-4, 6-6
Texas State             1-2, 2-5     NMSU, GAST, ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST      4-4, 4-8
Georgia State           1-2, 2-5     ULL, @TXST, USA, TROY, @GASO         2-6, 3-9
Troy                    1-3, 2-6     ULM, GASO, @GAST, @ULL               1-7, 2-10
New Mexico State        1-3, 1-7     @TXST, @ULL, ARKST, @ULM             1-7, 1-11               
Louisiana-Monroe        0-4, 1-7     @TROY, ARKST, @TXST, @HAW, NMSU      2-6, 3-10
Appers and Red Wolves for the conference coming up, which is also going to be a fun game to watch on Thursday, certainly better than Bengals/Browns. Georgia Southern is waiting in case someone slips, and from there it's a matter of getting ULL and USA eligible. Props to New Mexico State for winning a game, something they hadn't done in a good while.

Bowl Projected Teams: App State, Georgia Southern, Arkansas State, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 41
# of projected teams: 78 - 10 (ACC) 9 (B1G, SEC) 8 (P12, AAC, MAC) 7 (B12, MWC) 6 (C-USA) 5 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Ohio State (Big Ten Champ) vs. #4 Clemson (ACC Champ)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Baylor (Big 12 Champ) vs. #3 Alabama (SEC Champ)

The playoff committee will release their first set of rankings on Tuesday, and if I had to guess it'll look like this:

1: Ohio State
2: LSU
3: Clemson
4: Baylor
5: Alabama
6: TCU
7: Stanford
8: Florida
9: Notre Dame
10: Michigan State

People will flip their poo poo over one-loss Alabama being ranked above several undefeated teams, and the SEC having three in there, but what should be noted is Stanford being at 7 and only Clemson being in for the ACC. I feel confident about the top four; no reason for Ohio State not to be on the top line and the Barrett situation is temporary, hopefully. LSU's been dominant enough to be at 2, over Clemson, and Baylor at 4 is a good holding spot until we get a feel on what they're going to look like post-Seth Russell. Bama's lurking because they always are and it means whoever wins between them and LSU has a shot to be in. If we were to go beyond the top 10, Iowa's unbeaten but They Ain't Played Nobody, Houston and Memphis are lurking but would need major landslides to get to the top, and Utah/FSU will be in the teens somewhere.

Basically, I don't feel a need to adjust my top 4 right now, and Baylor against K-State will either cement them as a top-line team or send them tumbling down, and whether it becomes a simple Baylor/TCU switch or a complete 52-card picking who knows.

Peach Bowl: Michigan State (At-Large) vs. LSU (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. TCU (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Utah (At-Large) vs. Memphis (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

Same as last week, but be warned that a 10-2 Notre Dame goes to one of these bowls. If they beat Pitt they setup shop here and won't budge, so don't go bitching to me if that happens.

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Miami
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  North Carolina vs. Ole Miss
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Mississippi State
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Northwestern vs. Oregon
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Minnesota vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Houston vs. Buffalo
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Southern Miss vs. San Diego State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Louisville vs. Central Michigan
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Virginia Tech vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. USC
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Colorado State vs. NC State
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Penn State
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Florida State vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Western Kentucky
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     East Carolina vs. Air Force
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Akron
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             South Florida vs. Bowling Green
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. New Mexico   
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Cincinnati vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     San Jose State vs. Georgia Southern
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Arizona State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Rice vs. Utah State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. South Alabama
The numbers shift slightly but overall I'm still projecting 78, leaving us two shy and the Armed Forces Bowl empty because I hate America :911:. I'd pay to watch Toledo/App State for sure, FSU/Wazzu's a real culture clash, and Miami being in sends them to fill an SEC spot.

I may redo the bowl projections on Tuesday if the Committee releases some wild poo poo, but if it's fairly close to the vest I'll let this ride until next weekend.

* # ¿ Nov 1, 2015 21:14
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 So after the first playoff rankings released, the presumable matchups would look like this:

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson vs. #4 Alabama
Cotton Bowl: #2 LSU vs. #3 Ohio State

Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. Baylor (B12 champ)
Peach Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. TCU (At-Large)
Fiesta Bowl: Iowa (At-Large) vs. Memphis (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Michigan State (Big Ten rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 champ)

Fairly self-explanatory. After the top 4, Florida's the next highest rep for the SEC and they face the Big 12 champ in Baylor, once again left out and this time not even for a conference champ so the salt mines are open in Waco. Michigan State ends up getting more love than Iowa so they head to Pasadena, where they face Pac-12 champs Stanford, meaning Sparty needs to make sure Rich Homie Quan can be on the sidelines for them again. Notre Dame heads to the Peach to face TCU, while Iowa ends up settling for the Fiesta where they face Memphis from the Group of 5.

From there the bowls would look like this:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Arizona State
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  North Carolina vs. Ole Miss
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Mississippi State
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Northwestern vs. Utah
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Minnesota vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Houston vs. Buffalo
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Southern Miss vs. San Diego State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Central Michigan
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. Oregon
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Colorado State vs. Miami
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Penn State
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       NC State  vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Western Kentucky
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     East Carolina vs. Air Force
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Akron
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             South Florida vs. Bowling Green
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. New Mexico   
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Cincinnati vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     San Jose State vs. Georgia Southern
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. USC
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Rice vs. Utah State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. South Alabama
With Notre Dame moving up, it allows the ACC to fill all of their slots instead of having to send Miami into the wilderness. The flipside of that is now the case for the Pac-12, who now has Utah moving down (yet still getting passed over for the Alamo in favor of UCLA), which allows them to fill all of their spots and not wanting Arizona State to have a virtual homegame in the Cactus Bowl, gets sent into the netherrealms, and ending up traveling cross-country and filling the SEC's slot in the Liberty Bowl, because it's either that or go to Shreveport.

People are still salty over Bama being in the top 4 and we've already had chaos, so may Xort bless us this month with blood and fire and no one feeling safe :kheldragar:

e - I guess I could toss ASU into the currently-empty Armed Forces Bowl, and they would definitely prefer that, but I feel like leaving that empty for right now instead of having two teams sitting alone and unloved.

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 06:01 on Nov 4, 2015

* # ¿ Nov 4, 2015 05:58
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Even if Temple/Houston/Memphis somewhat cannibalize each other, their relative strength is going to keep the G5 bid among them, short of someone like Navy making a run and :911: demanding ARE TROOPS be properly represented (and slaughtered like it's Normandy) but still.

Even a 2-loss AAC champ gets in, since the next strongest team is probably Boise tbh and the AAC champ will be considered stronger. 13-0 Toledo might have had an argument but that's null and void now.

* # ¿ Nov 5, 2015 02:17
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 10: Rick Ross is the new Katy Perry.

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           6-0, 9-0     @CUSE, WF, @SC, ACCCG        8-0, 13-0
Florida State     5-2, 7-2     NCST, chat, @UF              6-2, 9-3
Louisville        4-2, 5-4     UVA, @PITT, @UK              5-3, 6-6
NC State          2-3, 6-3     @FSU, CUSE, UNC              3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-4, 3-6     CLEM, @NCST, BC              2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-5, 3-6     @ND, @CLEM, DUKE             1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-7, 3-7     ND, @CUSE                    0-8, 3-9
Clemson wins, clinches the Atlantic, and has three warmup games for the ACCCG. I can't imagine the committee will dump them from the top 4, though they may fall from the top spot if they don't handily win their next three. NC State finally gets in, Louisville's looking good with UVA at home, and BC becomes the first ACC team to be knocked out of bowl contention.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     5-0, 8-1     U, @VT, @NCST       8-0, 11-1
Pittsburgh         4-1, 6-3     @DUKE, LOU, U       6-2, 9-3
Duke               3-2, 6-3     PITT, @UVA, @WF     6-2, 9-3
Miami              3-2, 6-3     @UNC, GT, @PITT     3-5, 6-6
Virginia Tech      2-3, 4-5     @GT, UNC, @UVA      4-4, 6-6
Virginia           2-3, 3-6     @LOU, DUKE, VT      2-6, 3-9
Georgia Tech       1-5, 3-6     VT, @U, UGA         2-6, 4-8
UNC creams Duke and has a lock on the Coastal. They don't have it clinched, but needing to lose two of their last three to hand over the lead and with a relatively weak closing schedule means the Heels should be heading to Charlotte was well. They'd be a New Years Bowl contender if they didn't lose to South Carolina to start the year, but c'est la vie. Miami goes from dead in the water to bowl eligible in a two-week span. Loser of the Techs is bowl ineligible and both may wind up on the outside in the end.

pre:
Notre Dame     8-1     WF, @BC, @STAN     10-2
A two-loss Notre Dame, with those two losses at a playoff team in the closing moments and at the projected Pac-12 champs, is more than impressive enough for the committee to put them into a New Years Bowl spot, most likely the Peach. The only reason not to write them in pen is they have a playoff argument if they win out, and if they somehow lose to Wake or BC they're back in the regular mix, but the Peach seems safe.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, UNC, Notre Dame, Duke, FSU, Pitt, NC State, Miami, Louisville, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         5-0, 9-0     @ILL, MSU, @MICH      8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     4-1, 8-1     MARY, @OSU, PENN      6-2, 10-2     
Michigan           4-1, 7-2     @IND, @PENN, OSU      6-2, 9-3
Penn State         4-2, 7-3     MICH, @MSU            4-4, 7-5
Rutgers            1-5, 3-6     NEB, @ARMY, MARY      2-6, 5-7
Indiana            0-5, 4-5     MICH, @MARY, @PUR     2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-5, 2-7     @MSU, IND, @RUT       0-8, 2-10
Buckeye, as expected, rolls and gains extra, unneeded breaking room with Sparty's upset loss. Michigan State's loss, combined with Notre Dame looking strong, might be enough to keep them out of the New Years Bowls. Dream isn't dead yet for Indiana but they'll need to win their last two. See ya Terps.

West
pre:
Iowa              5-0, 9-0     MINN, PUR, @NEB        8-0, 12-0
Wisconsin         5-1, 8-2     NW, @MINN              7-1, 10-2
Northwestern      3-2, 7-2     RUT, @WISC, @ILL       5-3, 9-3
Illinois          2-3, 5-4     OSU, @MINN, NW         2-6, 5-7
Nebraska          2-4, 4-6     @RUT, IOWA             3-5, 5-7
Minnesota         1-4, 4-5     @IOWA, ILL, WISC       2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-4, 2-7     @NW, @IOWA, IND        1-7, 2-10
Iowa keeps on keepin' on and the Fiesta Bowl is in their future. I've got three teams projected to finish 5-7, with Minn falling to that mark and out of the bowl hunt, meaning if someone can find an upset somewhere it'll give the West four bowl teams. Purdue's been put down and stuck with Hazell for another year, but I'm not sure anyone can save Boilermaker football right now.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Northwestern, Penn State, Indiana


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma State     6-0, 9-0     @IST, BAY, OK            7-2, 10-2
Baylor             5-0, 8-0     OK, @OKST, @TCU, TEX     9-0, 12-0
Oklahoma           5-1, 8-1     @BAY, TCU, @OKST         7-2, 10-2
TCU                5-1, 8-1     KAN, @OK, BAY            6-3, 9-3 
Texas              3-3, 4-5     @WVU, TTU, @BAY          3-6, 4-8
Iowa State         2-4, 3-6     OKST, @KST, @WVU         2-7, 3-9
Texas Tech         2-5, 5-5     KST, @TEX                3-6, 6-6
West Virginia      1-4, 4-4     TEX, @KAN, ISU, @KST     5-4, 7-5
Kansas State       0-5, 3-5     @TTU, ISU, @KAN, WVU     3-6, 6-6
Kansas             0-6, 0-9     @TCU, WVU, KST           0-9, 0-12
Big 12's in trouble again. TCU's taken a loss it can afford, but if Josh Doctson's out that might finally be the injury straw that snaps the frog's back. Baylor looked ok against K-State, but ok isn't going to win the next three games, though I'm still projecting it for now. Sooners are operating without margin for error thanks to the Wed Wibber Wibalry loss they took. Cowpoke looks the best and gets Baylor/Sooner at home, but do they have enough to jump all the way into the top 4 without significant help? If anything, the Big 12 needs to pull for Stanford to beat Notre Dame, since an 11-1 Irish probably gets in over an 11-1 Big 12 champ, and then the conference is really in a fog.

Projected Bowl Teams: Baylor, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU, Kansas State, Texas Tech, West Virginia


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             7-0, 8-1     OREG, CAL, ND          9-0, 11-1
Washington State     4-2, 6-3     @UCLA, COL, @WASH      6-3, 8-4
Oregon               4-2, 6-3     @STAN, USC, ORST       6-3, 8-4
Cal                  2-4, 5-4     ORST, @STAN, ASU       4-5, 7-5 
Washington           2-4, 4-5     @ASU, @ORST, WAZZU     3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-6, 2-7     @CAL, WASH, @OREG      0-9, 2-10
Stanford's earned a share of the division and clinches it with a win over Oregon. Cal should be fine with Beavers coming to town, and if Washington can win at ASU this week they'll be getting in. Speaking of Oregon State, they're the first Pac-12 team done for.

South
pre:
Utah              5-1, 8-1     @ARIZ, UCLA, COL       8-1, 11-1
UCLA              4-2, 7-2     WAZZU, @UTAH, @USC     5-4, 9-3
USC               4-2, 6-3     @COL, @OREG, UCLA      5-4, 7-5
Arizona State     2-4, 4-5     WASH, ARIZ, @CAL       4-5, 6-6
Arizona           2-5, 5-5     UTAH, @ASU             2-7, 5-7
Colorado          1-5, 4-6     USC, @WAZZU, @UTAH     1-8, 4-9
Utah is still in the lead and might be able to win the South even if with a loss to UCLA, who would also need to win over Washington State and at USC. There's a chance the Arizona's will both be sitting at six losses when they face off, and both getting in/one getting in/neither getting in are all valid scenarios right now. I'll keep the Sun Devils in for now with two home games, but I'm not sold on that at all.

Bowl Projected Teams: Utah, Stanford, UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, USC, Cal, Arizona State


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            6-1, 8-1     @SC, FAU, FSU, SECCG     7-1, 11-2
Georgia            4-3, 6-3     @AUB, GASO, @GT          5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          3-3, 5-4     UNT, @MIZZ, VAN          5-3, 8-4
Kentucky           2-5, 4-5     @VAN, CHAR, LOU          3-5, 7-5
Vanderbilt         1-4, 3-6     UK, A&M, @UT             1-7, 3-9
Missouri           1-5, 4-5     BYU, UT, @ARK            1-7, 4-8
South Carolina     1-6, 3-6     UF, citadel, CLEM        1-7, 4-8


Florida won and clinched the East, but did so in such a dogshit ugly way it's hard to get excited about them, and may need to have a strong showing against FSU and in the SECCG to make a New Year's Bowl. Georgia's now in and should be favorites in their last three games but will make all three closer than they need to be. Tennessee's running their kitten-belly soft schedule to eligibility, and I'm not feeling as good about Kentucky as I was. They'll beat Charlotte, but if they get tripped up at Vandy I don't know if they can win against Louisville, even at home. I can't speak to the situation at Missouri other than to say stay strong and do what's right, since you'd probably lose out anyway tbh.

West
pre:
Alabama               5-1, 8-1     @MSST, charso, @AUB     7-1, 11-1
LSU                   4-1, 7-1     ARK, @MISS, A&M         7-1, 10-1
Ole Miss              4-2, 7-3     LSU, @MSST              4-4, 7-5
Mississippi State     3-2, 7-2     BAMA, @ARK, MISS        5-3, 9-3
Arkansas              3-2, 5-4     @LSU, MSST, MIZZ        4-4, 6-6
Texas A&M             3-3, 6-3     wcu, @VAN, @LSU         4-4, 8-4
Auburn                2-4, 5-4     UGA, IDAHO, BAMA        1-7, 5-7
Sun shines, grass grows, Bama takes control of the West and the SEC. I don't know why we get excited over LSU/Bama anymore, Bama's won the last five and Saban has LSU too mindfucked to throw the ball. Rebs lose SEC West hopes thanks to bert pulling out some sensational bullshit, and Auburn finally shows up at home against A&M. Because of that, those two are at five wins, and with Ark/Mizz and Auburn home against Idaho, I've got the whole SEC West going bowling again. Let's see if they can do better than 2-5 this time they won't they'll all lose the sec are frauds :shhh:

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, Florida, LSU, Georgia, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Kentucky, Arkansas, Auburn


American

East
pre:
Temple            5-0, 8-1     @USF, MEM, UCONN    7-1, 10-2
South Florida     3-2, 5-4     TEMPLE, CIN, @UCF   4-4, 6-6 
UConn             3-3, 5-5     HOU, @TEMPLE        3-5, 5-7  
Cincinnati        2-3, 5-4     TULSA, @USF, @ECU   4-4, 7-5
East Carolina     2-4, 4-6     @UCF, CIN           4-4, 6-6
UCF               0-6, 0-10     ECU, USF           0-8, 0-12
Temple wins the East with a victory over USF, and might slide into the G5 Bowl spot with a win over Memphis. Other than UCF, the other four teams all have arguments for making it into bowls, and only UConn has a path that would require a major upset.

West
pre:
Houston     5-0, 9-0     MEM, @UCONN, NAVY          7-1, 11-1
Navy        5-0, 7-1     SMU, @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY    7-1, 10-2
Memphis     4-1, 8-1     HOU, @TEMPLE, SMU          7-1, 11-1
Tulsa       2-3, 5-4     @CIN, NAVY, @TULANE        3-5, 6-6
Tulane      1-5, 2-7     @ARMY, @SMU, TULSA         2-6, 4-8
SMU         0-5, 1-8     @NAVY, TULANE, @MEM        0-8, 1-11
Someone look up the 'Murica tie-breaking procedures, because of Navy's win over Memphis, if the Tigers win at Houston and the Rockets Cougars beat Navy, that sets up a three-way clusterfuck at the top. So, root for H-Town to win the Waffle House Bowl (let's name this game this) and have firm control over the G5 spot. Speaking of which, I'm gonna get bored this week and send your grandparents an email that demands the NCAA put Navy into a New Year's bowl or it's proof they hate America and they'll call you about it and somehow it'll make Trump another five million dollars :911:. Tulsa just needs to beat Tulane at the end and they're in, or they can win at Cincy; either way that'll sow up the whole West.

Bowl Projected Teams: Houston, Memphis, Temple, Navy, Cincinnati, South Florida, East Carolina, Tulsa


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     6-0, 8-2     @FIU, MAR             8-0, 10-2
Marshall             5-1, 8-2     FIU, @WKU             6-2, 9-3
MTSU                 3-2, 4-5     @FAU, UNT, @UTSA      6-2, 7-5
FIU                  3-3, 5-5     @MAR, WKU             4-4, 5-7
Old Dominion         2-3, 4-5     UTEP, @USM, FAU       4-4, 6-6
FAU                  2-4, 2-7     MTSU, @UF, @ODU       2-6, 2-10
Charlotte            0-6, 2-7     UTSA, @UK, @RICE      0-8, 2-10
Marshall getting upset by MTSU is enough for me to put WKU over them and give the Hilltoppers the division. Both play FIU and have a bye (not at the same time though that'd be hilarious and now I want to see it) before they face off. MTSU needs to win two of their last three but should run them, FIU needs to find an upset to get in (they won't), and I'm leaning yes on ODU with two winnable home games to get in.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     5-1, 7-3     @UTEP, USM              7-1, 10-2 
Southern Miss      4-1, 6-3     @RICE, ODU, @LATECH     6-2, 8-4 
UTEP               2-3, 4-5     @ODU, LATECH, @UNT      3-5, 5-7
Rice               2-3, 4-5     USM, @UTSA, CHA         4-4, 6-6     
UTSA               1-4, 1-8     @CHA, RICE, MTSU        2-6, 2-10
North Texas        1-5, 1-8     @UT, @MTSU, UTEP        1-7, 1-11
Still looks like it'll come down to LaTech/USM at the end unless either trips up on the road. UTEP needs to win at ODU to have a shot at getting in and I'm not buying. Rice is downgraded to a .500 team, the last two games are must win but very winnable, but it's the type of schedule that gets your rear end shipped to a bowl outside the continental U.S.

Bowl Projected Teams: Western Kentucky, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, MTSU, Rice, Old Dominion


Independents

pre:
BYU      7-2     @MIZZ, FRESNO, @USU       10-2     
Army     2-7     TULANE, RUTGERS, @NAVY    2-10
Army officially done and so this is settled. Genuinely don't know if BYU will play at Mizzou this week, but if they do the Mormons will be favored. Even if BYU goes 10-2 I don't think they get enough love to backdoor into a New Years Bowl.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     5-0, 7-2     @WMU, TOL, @BALL        7-1, 9-3
Buffalo           3-2, 5-4     NIU, @AKRON, UMASS      5-3, 7-5
Ohio              2-3, 5-4     KENT, BALL, @NIU        3-5, 7-5
Akron             2-3, 4-5     @MOH, BUFF, KENT        4-4, 6-6
Kent State        2-3, 3-6     @OHIO, CMU, @AKRON      2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        1-4, 2-7     EMU, AKRON, @UMASS      3-5, 4-8
UMass             0-5, 1-8     @EMU, MOH, @BUFF        1-7, 2-10
BG has a two game lead on everyone else and while they might not win their next two, beating Ball State should be enough to put them over the top. I was getting kinda bullish on Buffalo and Lance Leopoid (the former Wisconsin-Whitewater coach, who might be legit and destined for a major job before the end of the decade), but I don't think they beat NIU and there isn't enough time to catch BG otherwise. Ohio's got two shots to get a win, Akron needs to beat Miami and Kent. Former will happen, latter won't.

West
pre:
Western Michigan      5-0, 6-3     BG, @NIU, @TOL       6-2, 7-5
Toledo                4-1, 7-1     @CMU, @BG, WMU       7-1, 10-1
Northern Illinois     4-1, 6-3     @BUFF, WMU, OHIO     7-1, 9-3
Central Michigan      4-1, 5-4     TOL, @KENT, EMU      6-2, 7-5
Ball State            2-4, 3-7     @OHIO, BG            2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-6, 1-9     UMASS, @CMU          0-8, 1-11
So much for Toledo's unbeaten season. It puts the Boat Rowers on top and it gives NIU the tie-breaker, if the Huskies beat WMU that'll give NIU the West division again. CMU just needs to beat one of two bad teams at the end and that'll book everyone here.

Bowl Projected Teams: Northern Illinois, Bowling Green, Toledo, Western Michigan, Ohio, Central Michigan, Buffalo, Akron


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Boise State        4-1, 7-2     NM, AF, @SJSU          7-1, 10-2
Air Force          4-1, 6-3     USU, @BOISE, @NM       6-2, 8-4  
Utah State         4-2, 5-4     @AF, NEV, BYU          5-3, 6-6
New Mexico         3-2, 5-4     @BOISE, CSU, AF        4-4, 6-6
Colorado State     2-3, 4-5     UNLV, @NM, @FRESNO     4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-5, 1-9     @SDSU, UNLV            1-7, 1-11
Still Boise's division to lose. Aggies/Lobos/Rams looking good to get in, while Craig Bohl must regret leaving NDSU by now, right?

West
pre:
San Diego State     5-0, 6-3     WYO, @UNLV, NEV            8-0, 9-3
Nevada              3-2, 5-4     SJSU, @USU, @SDSU          4-4, 6-6
San Jose State      3-2, 4-5     @NEV, @HAW, BOISE          4-4, 5-7
UNLV                2-3, 3-6     @CSU, SDSU, @WYO           3-5, 4-8
Fresno State        1-5, 2-7     @HAW, @BYU, CSU            2-6, 3-9
Hawai'i             0-6, 2-8     FRESNO, SJSU, ULM          0-8, 2-11
SDSU took a well-deserved weekend off and clinch with any win. Nevada/SJST is looking like a bowl-eliminator and I'll replace the Spartans with the Wolfpack. UNLV needs a miracle and miracles in Vegas are called "programming glitches" and don't lead to payouts because the other teamHouse always wins.

Bowl Projected Teams: Boise State, San Diego State, Air Force, Utah State, New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado State


Sun Belt
pre:
Arkansas State          5-0, 6-3     @ULM, @NMSU, TXST              8-0, 9-3     
Appalachian State       4-1, 7-2     @IDAHO, ULL, @USA              7-1, 10-2
Georgia Southern        4-1, 6-2     @TROY, @UGA, USA, GAST         7-1, 9-3
Louisiana-Lafayette     3-1, 4-4     @USA, NMSU, @APP, TROY         5-3, 6-6
South Alabama           2-2, 4-4     ULL, @GAST, @GASO, APP         4-4, 6-6
Troy                    2-3, 3-6     GASO, @GAST, @ULL              3-5, 4-8
New Mexico State        2-3, 2-7     @ULL, ARKST, @ULM              3-5, 3-9               
Idaho                   2-4, 3-6     APP, @AUB, TXST                2-6, 4-8
Georgia State           1-3, 2-6     @TXST, USA, TROY, @GASO        1-7, 2-10
Texas State             1-3, 2-6     GAST, ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST      4-4, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe        0-5, 1-8     ARKST, @TXST, @HAW, NMSU       0-8, 2-11
Arkansas State thwarts the Sun Belt revolution and with an easy closing slate should clinch the Fun Belt crown once more. App and Georgia Southern are making their first bowls in their histories, so good for them. ULL and South Alabama are both kinda iffy in terms of getting in, and whoever wins when they face this week will take a major step forward. Everyone else is varying degrees of trash to fuckboi on the Steve Smith Sr. Scale.

Bowl Projected Teams: Arkansas State, App State, Georgia Southern, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 51
# of projected teams: 80 - 11 (SEC) 10 (ACC) 8 (B1G, P12, AAC, MAC) 7 (B12, C-USA, MWC) 5 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Baylor (Big 12 Champs)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Ohio State (Big Ten Champs)

So the first three spots are all but set, with the order somewhat flexible. Clemson/Alabama/Ohio State are all in if they win out, and Bama might jump Clemson or fall to third and it's not a huge deal at this point. I was all set to do a big thing on the fourth spot, but if Baylor runs the table they'll get in, especially if Notre Dame falls at Stanford. The order might be fairly fluid, but I think these four are the four. For now, of course.


Peach Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Florida (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: LSU (SEC rep) vs. Oklahoma (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Utah (At-Large) vs. Memphis (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

The Rose stays the same as 12-1 Iowa faces Pac-12 Champs and left out Stanford. LSU never falls behind Florida and once the Gators lose to Alabama in the SECCG, it puts the Bayou Bengals into the Sugar Bowl, where they face an insurgent Oklahoma team who gets in by virtue of beating Oklahoma State in Bedlam, which acts as a virtual runner-up and Sugar Bowl berth game. At 10-2 Notre Dame easily heads to the Peach Bowl, and Memphis beats Houston and Temple to claim the Group of 5 spot despite their loss. Two spots and a jumbled mess between Michigan State/Oklahoma State/Utah/Florida, the committee decides to reward the two who made it to their conference title games and thus Utah heads to the Fiesta and the Gators go to the Peach. It's a rough decision with all four taking at least one loss in this past month, but the committee decides winning divisions and playing for conference titles is still important, and it once again sparks discussion that the Big 12 needs a title game.

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma State vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Florida State vs. Mississippi State
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan State vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Ole Miss
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. USC
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Akron vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Houston vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M     
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. TCU
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Air Force vs. Central Michigan
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Indiana
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Northwestern vs. Oregon
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Southern Miss vs. Miami     
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Penn State
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       NC State vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. Nevada
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Old Dominion vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Buffalo
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             East Carolina vs. Bowling Green
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Colorado State vs. App State
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. Georgia Southern
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Arizona State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Rice vs. San Diego State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. South Alabama
With 80 teams projected there's a home for everyone. Nothing sensational but that's what happens when the pool is diluted that much.

November is here so let us pray that Xort continues to bless us with chaos and bloodshed everywhere amen.

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 23:53 on Nov 8, 2015

* # ¿ Nov 8, 2015 23:39
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

HOTLANTA MAN posted:

Why yes I'd love to play Michigan loving State for like the third time in six years.

poo poo the bed in these next couple of games and we have a lovely Music City or TaxSlayer bowl we can send you to instead.

Or maybe you can get really bad and take a trip to scenic Shreveport :getin:

* # ¿ Nov 10, 2015 01:33
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

Sash! posted:

Pinstripe would be a bit stinky because that's what we had last year, but Pitt-Penn State in a bowl would be pretty awesome. That's never happened before.

What's tough about the Pinstripe is it's hard not to envision that as a Penn State/Maryland/Rutgers/Maryland dumping ground. Had you beaten Northwestern maybe you get flip-flopped and Northwestern heads to NYC, but it's far enough down in the pecking order and too far east geography-wise that the marquee B1G teams won't be visiting.

* # ¿ Nov 10, 2015 03:24
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 So we if base the bowls off the current standings, which will not change in any way shape or form:

ORANGE BOWL: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Notre Dame (Good when your daddy was a youngin')
COTTON BOWL: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Ohio State (Big Ten Champs)

Peach Bowl: Florida (At-Large) vs. Oklahoma State (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: LSU (SEC Rep) vs. Baylor (Big 12 Champs)
Fiesta Bowl: Utah (At-Large) vs. Navy (Group of 5 Rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (Big Ten Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Champs)

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Florida State vs. Mississippi State
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan State vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Ole Miss
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. USC
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Akron vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Kentucky
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M     
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. TCU
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Air Force vs. Central Michigan
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Indiana
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Louisville vs. Houston
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Northwestern vs. Oregon
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Southern Miss vs. Miami     
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Penn State
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       NC State vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. Nevada
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Old Dominion vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Buffalo
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             East Carolina vs. Bowling Green
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Colorado State vs. App State
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. Georgia Southern
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. Arizona State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Rice vs. San Diego State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. South Alabama
Only changes is that Sooner and Cowpoke do a doe-see-doe for who goes to the Sugar and who goes to the Alamo, and Navy being in the Fiesta sends Houston to the Military and Memphis to Birmingham, where they get to try and beat a second SEC team this season.

* # ¿ Nov 11, 2015 02:25
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 NOTE: the update will be late Sunday if not Monday, because when you owe someone a favor you don't get to decide when they cash it in.

The lesson is, never owe anyone anything kids.

* # ¿ Nov 15, 2015 07:43
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 11: All of the Gods are Dead

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           7-0, 10-0     WF, @SC, ACCCG        8-0, 13-0
Florida State     6-2, 8-2     chat, @UF              6-2, 9-3
Louisville        5-2, 6-4     @PITT, @UK             5-3, 7-5
NC State          2-4, 6-4     CUSE, UNC              3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-5, 3-7     @NCST, BC              2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-5, 3-7     @CLEM, DUKE            1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-7, 3-7     ND, @CUSE              0-8, 3-9
Louisville's win and Cuse/Wake's losses wraps up the Atlantic for this season. Clemson's got two cupcakes for it's victory lap before the ACCCG and what should be a game UNC squad. Louisville and State will jockey for position/the chance to not go to Shreveport. FSU might have a shot against Florida, I wouldn't completely count them out yet.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     6-0, 9-1     @VT, @NCST    8-0, 11-1
Pittsburgh         5-1, 7-3     LOU, U        7-1, 9-3
Miami              3-3, 6-4     GT, @PITT     3-5, 6-6
Duke               3-3, 6-4     @UVA, @WF     5-3, 8-4
Virginia Tech      3-3, 5-5     UNC, @UVA     4-4, 6-6
Virginia           2-4, 3-7     DUKE, VT      2-6, 3-9
Georgia Tech       1-6, 3-7     @U, UGA       2-6, 4-8
UNC's magic number is one, so a Heels win over VT/State clinches the Coastal, as does a Pitt loss to Louisville or Da U. Speaking of Miami, I still have them getting tripped up by Georgia Tech which could have being cast into the wilderness of having to find their own bowl game. Only one left in doubt is Hokie, and while I doubt they'll beat UNC Virginia should still be a win and another bowl game, or else Beamer's retirement may be replaced with his funeral.

pre:
Notre Dame     9-1     @BC, @STAN     10-2
11-1 Notre Dame probably makes the playoff, or at least creates a real discussion. I think they get in over a 11-1 Big 12 champ, but might not get in over 12-0 OkieSt. Of course, Stanford still looms at the end of the year and that game might keep the Irish from even getting to have that discussion.

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Duke, Louisville, NC State, Miami, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Ohio State         6-0, 10-0     MSU, @MICH     8-0, 12-0
Michigan State     5-1, 9-1     @OSU, PENN      6-2, 10-2     
Michigan           5-1, 8-2     @PENN, OSU      6-2, 9-3
Penn State         4-2, 7-3     MICH, @MSU      4-4, 7-5
Rutgers            1-6, 3-7     @ARMY, MARY     2-6, 5-7
Indiana            0-6, 4-6     @MARY, @PUR     2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-6, 2-8     IND, @RUT       0-8, 2-10
Put up or shut up for Ohio State, as three ranked teams stand between them and a chance to defend their title. Rutgers is gone, Indiana is on the ropes but those last two games are winnable, even on the road.

West
pre:
Iowa              6-0, 10-0     PUR, @NEB        8-0, 12-0
Wisconsin         5-1, 8-2     NW, @MINN         7-1, 10-2
Northwestern      4-2, 8-2     @WISC, @ILL       5-3, 9-3
Nebraska          3-4, 5-6     IOWA              3-5, 5-7
Illinois          2-4, 5-5     @MINN, NW         2-6, 5-7
Minnesota         1-5, 4-6     ILL, WISC         2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-5, 2-8     @IOWA, IND        1-7, 2-10
Iowa's magic number is one over Wisconsin and the same situation for UNC/Pitt applies here with Hawkeye/Badger. Nebraska can become eligible, but it means slaying the dragon. Illinois' got shots and next week will be their best one, while Minnesota needs to win out.

Bowl Projected Teams: Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Northwestern, Penn State, Indiana


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma State     7-0, 10-0     BAY, OK            7-2, 10-2
Oklahoma           6-1, 9-1     TCU, @OKST          8-1, 11-1
TCU                6-1, 9-1     @OK, BAY            6-3, 9-3 
Baylor             5-1, 8-1     @OKST, @TCU, TEX    8-1, 11-1
Texas              3-4, 4-6     TTU, @BAY           3-6, 4-8
Texas Tech         3-5, 6-5     @TEX                4-5, 7-5
West Virginia      2-4, 5-4     @KAN, ISU, @KST     5-4, 8-4
Iowa State         2-5, 3-7     @KST, @WVU          2-7, 3-9
Kansas State       0-6, 3-6     ISU, @KAN, WVU      2-7, 5-7
Kansas             0-7, 0-10     WVU, KST           0-9, 0-12
The Big 12 isn't dead, but it's on life support. They need Cowpoke to win out, which means beating the two best teams in conference, albeit at home. Do that and a 12-0 Oklahoma State has an argument to get in over an 11-1 Notre Dame squad. But any loss dooms the conference and opens the door to the Irish, or perhaps another conference doubling-up. Red Raiders are in, West Virginia has three easy shots to get that sixth win, and I'm moving K-State off the pile since they need to win out and I don't think they get the Mountaineers, and might not get Cyclone either.

Projected Bowl Teams: Oklahoma, Baylor, Oklahoma State, TCU, West Virginia, Texas Tech


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             7-1, 8-2     CAL, ND          8-1, 10-2
Oregon               5-2, 7-3     USC, ORST        7-2, 9-3
Washington State     5-2, 7-3     COL, @WASH       7-2, 9-3
Cal                  3-4, 6-4     @STAN, ASU       4-5, 7-5 
Washington           2-5, 4-6     @ORST, WAZZU     3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-7, 2-8     WASH, @OREG      0-9, 2-10
Oregon upends Stanford and that finishes off the Pac-12. Stanford still wins the division if they beat Cal this week and will be the favorite to win the conference, but that means the Rose Bowl only. Wazzu's having a season for the ages and it still won't get them past third in their division. Cal's in, Washington needs to win out.

South
pre:
Utah              5-2, 8-2     UCLA, COL        7-2, 10-2
USC               5-2, 7-3     @OREG, UCLA      5-4, 7-5
UCLA              4-3, 7-3     @UTAH, @USC      5-4, 8-4
Arizona State     3-4, 5-5     ARIZ, @CAL       4-5, 6-6
Arizona           3-5, 6-5     @ASU             3-6, 6-6
Colorado          1-6, 4-7     @WAZZU, @UTAH    1-8, 4-9
Technically USC's on top of Utah with the H2H tiebreaker, but Utah's ending schedule has Colorado instead of Utah and that should be enough to give the Utes the division. Arizona pulls an upset and works themselves into eligibility, and if they job to the Devils it means both Arizona schools are in.

Bowl Projected Teams: Stanford, Utah, Oregon, Washington State, UCLA, USC, Cal, Arizona, Arizona State


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            7-1, 9-1     FAU, FSU, SECCG     7-1, 11-2
Georgia            5-3, 7-3     GASO, @GT           5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          3-3, 6-4     @MIZZ, VAN          5-3, 8-4
Vanderbilt         2-4, 4-6     A&M, @UT            2-6, 4-8
Kentucky           2-6, 4-6     CHAR, LOU           2-6, 5-7
Missouri           1-5, 5-5     UT, @ARK            1-7, 5-7
South Carolina     1-7, 3-7     citadel, CLEM       1-7, 4-8


Florida's on their victory lap and if they could just win in convincing fashion they'd be in the discussion for giving the SEC two teams in the Big 12 and Notre Dame fell short. Instead, people are content to leave them on the outside and that's what you get for not beating Vandy and SC like they called you a liberal. I'm moving Kentucky out, they need to beat Charlotte and Louisville and while the first should be easy I don't think they get the Cards even at home.
SC's the first team out, if Mizzou can find an upset they'll extend Pinkel's career another game, though the way news works in Columbia right now he may be lynched over some microaggression by then.

West
pre:
Alabama               6-1, 9-1     charso, @AUB      7-1, 11-1
LSU                   4-2, 7-2     @MISS, A&M        6-2, 9-2
Ole Miss              4-2, 7-3     LSU, @MSST        4-4, 7-5
Arkansas              4-2, 6-4     MSST, MIZZ        6-2, 8-4
Mississippi State     3-3, 7-3     @ARK, MISS        4-4, 8-4
Texas A&M             3-3, 7-3     @VAN, @LSU        4-4, 8-4
Auburn                2-5, 5-5     IDAHO, BAMA       2-6, 6-6
Bama's magic number is one as well, and the way that LSU is going the Tide might clinch in a week where they face a cupcake, versus next week where they face another cupcake. I don't know what's gotten into bert and Co. but I don't like it. The SEC isn't good this year, but neither is anyone else and being the best by an eyelash is still being the best.

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, Florida, LSU, Georgia, Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Auburn


American

East
pre:
Temple            5-1, 8-2     MEM, UCONN       6-2, 9-3
South Florida     4-2, 6-4     CIN, @UCF        6-2, 8-4
Cincinnati        3-3, 6-4     @USF, @ECU       3-5, 6-6
UConn             3-3, 5-5     HOU, @TEMPLE     3-5, 5-7  
East Carolina     2-4, 4-6     @UCF, CIN        4-4, 6-6
UCF               0-6, 0-10     ECU, USF        0-8, 0-12
So not only does Temple not beat USF, which means they don't clinch the division, they have a tough matchup against a wounded Memphis team that could keep them from winning the East outright. USF's got the easier schedule with Cinci at home and at punchless UCF, meaning they win the East if they win out due to the H2H. ECU needs to win out to go bowling, meaning beating Cinci at home. UConn's got two shots at a miracle.

West
pre:
Houston     6-0, 10-0     @UCONN, NAVY         8-0, 12-0
Navy        6-0, 8-1     @TULSA, @HOU, ARMY    7-1, 10-2
Memphis     4-2, 8-2     @TEMPLE, SMU          6-2, 10-2
Tulsa       2-4, 5-5     NAVY, @TULANE         3-5, 6-6
Tulane      1-5, 3-7     @SMU, TULSA           2-6, 4-8
SMU         0-6, 1-9     TULANE, @MEM          0-8, 1-11
H-Tizzy's still tippin' after beating Memphis and has to potential to keep poo poo hyphy if they beat Navy in two weeks. I expect Navy to be ahead of Houston in the next rankings because :911: and your racist grandparents will demand that Navy make a major bowl and will donate their pensions to Trump to make sure it happens. Of course, then your racist grandparents will demand that 11-1 Navy make the playoff because :911: :france: :911: and donate your inheritance to Trump. Tulsa's just gotta beat 2Lane and they're gold.

Bowl Projected Teams: Houston, Navy, Memphis, South Florida, Temple, Cincinnati, Tulsa, East Carolina


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     6-0, 8-2     @FIU, MAR       8-0, 10-2
Marshall             6-1, 9-2     @WKU            6-2, 9-3
MTSU                 4-2, 5-5     UNT, @UTSA      6-2, 7-5
Old Dominion         3-3, 5-5     @USM, FAU       4-4, 6-6
FIU                  3-4, 5-6     WKU             4-4, 5-7
FAU                  2-5, 2-8     @UF, @ODU       2-6, 2-10
Charlotte            0-7, 2-8     @UK, @RICE      0-8, 2-10
You might think that WKU might get some hype for the G5 spot, given that they might go 11-2. However, they lost to Indiana and we don't put teams who lose to Indiana in major bowls, and their loss to LSU wasn't close enough to really turn heads. Plus, C-USA is full of really bad teams so it'd be hard to take them over a MAC school. Two easy shots for MTSU, ODU's got one good one and one longshot.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     5-1, 7-3     @UTEP, USM       7-1, 10-2 
Southern Miss      5-1, 7-3     ODU, @LATECH     6-2, 8-4 
UTEP               2-4, 4-6     LATECH, @UNT     3-5, 5-7
Rice               2-4, 4-6     @UTSA, CHA       4-4, 6-6     
UTSA               2-4, 2-8     RICE, MTSU       2-6, 2-10
North Texas        1-5, 1-9     @MTSU, UTEP      1-7, 1-11
Still looks like it'll come down to LaTech/USM at the end unless either trips up on the road. UTEP didn't get their win at ODU so they're on the ropes unless they find something this week. Rice needs to win out but they're facing the basement of C-USA.

Bowl Projected Teams: Western Kentucky, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee, Rice, Old Dominion


Independents

pre:
BYU      7-3     FRESNO, @USU       9-3     
Army     2-8     RUTGERS, @NAVY     2-10
BYU came bearing gifts for Mizzou, and while a 10-2 BYU might have had a longshot argument a 9-3 BYU doesn't.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     6-0, 8-2     TOL, @BALL, MACCG        8-0, 11-2
Ohio              3-3, 6-4     BALL, @NIU               4-4, 7-5
Buffalo           3-3, 5-5     @AKRON, UMASS            5-3, 7-5
Akron             3-3, 5-5     BUFF, KENT               4-4, 6-6
Kent State        2-4, 3-7     CMU, @AKRON              2-6, 3-9
UMass             1-5, 2-8     MOH, @BUFF               2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        1-6, 2-9     @UMASS                   1-7, 2-10
BG wins the East, and I'll project them as MAC winners for the time being. Ohio's in, winner of Buffalo/Akron is in (and the loser most likely gets in next week). That's it!

West
pre:
Toledo                5-1, 8-1     @BG, WMU       6-2, 9-3
Northern Illinois     5-1, 7-3     WMU, OHIO      7-1, 9-3
Western Michigan      5-1, 6-4     @NIU, @TOL     5-3, 6-6
Central Michigan      4-2, 5-5     @KENT, EMU     6-2, 7-5
Ball State            2-4, 3-7     @OHIO, BG      2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-7, 1-10     @CMU          0-8, 1-11
Still a logjam on top, one that NIU has the tie-breaker for, plus Toledo having to win at BG just to try and get a neutral-site rematch is a tough road to hoe. From hoeing to rowing, WMU might end up being the best 6-6 team in the nation. CMU's got two shots to win one and that'll book the West.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Ohio, Central Michigan, Buffalo, Western Michigan, Akron


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Air Force          5-1, 7-3     @BOISE, @NM      6-2, 8-4  
Boise State        4-2, 7-3     AF, @SJSU        6-2, 9-3
New Mexico         4-2, 6-4     CSU, AF          5-3, 7-5
Utah State         4-3, 5-5     NEV, BYU         5-3, 6-6
Colorado State     3-3, 5-5     @NM, @FRESNO     4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-6, 1-10     UNLV            1-7, 1-11
Watching the end of Boise/New Mexico, I swore that the MWC officials were going to do everything short of picking up a Boise player and putting them in the end zone. But the Lobos win and I guess it's Air Force's division now, except if Boise wins it sets off a clusterfuck of a tie-breaker maybe I don't know gently caress it let's go bowling.

West
pre:
San Diego State     6-0, 7-3     @UNLV, NEV           8-0, 9-3
Nevada              4-2, 6-4     @USU, @SDSU          4-4, 6-6
San Jose State      3-3, 4-6     @HAW, BOISE          3-5, 5-7
UNLV                2-4, 3-7     SDSU, @WYO           3-5, 4-8
Fresno State        2-5, 3-7     @BYU, CSU            2-6, 3-9
Hawai'i             0-7, 2-9     SJSU, ULM            0-8, 3-10
See, now this is a nice, easy division to understand. SDSU's magic number is one and so you know how that goes by this point. SJSU needs to win out, which means beating Boise, to do get in, otherwise it's two and out for the Mountain West West.

Bowl Projected Teams: San Diego State, Boise State, Air Force, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah State, Colorado State


Sun Belt
pre:
Arkansas State          6-0, 7-3     @NMSU, TXST            8-0, 9-3     
Appalachian State       5-1, 8-2     ULL, @USA              7-1, 10-2
Georgia Southern        5-1, 7-2     @UGA, USA, GAST        7-1, 9-3
South Alabama           3-2, 5-4     @GAST, @GASO, APP      4-4, 6-6
Louisiana-Lafayette     3-2, 4-5     NMSU, @APP, TROY       5-3, 6-6
Georgia State           2-3, 3-6     USA, TROY, @GASO       3-5, 4-8
New Mexico State        2-3, 2-7     @ULL, ARKST, @ULM      3-5, 3-9               
Troy                    2-4, 3-7     @GAST, @ULL            3-5, 4-8
Idaho                   2-5, 3-7     @AUB, TXST             2-6, 4-8
Texas State             1-4, 2-7     ULM, @IDAHO, @ARKST    4-4, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe        0-6, 1-9     @TXST, @HAW, NMSU      0-8, 2-11
Red Wolves still lead, with Georgia Southern looking to share the crown if they slip up. South Alabama's in if they win this week, otherwise they're in trouble. ULL has to beat NMST and Troy or else they might be on the outside. Since Georgia State needs to win out and that poo poo ain't happening, it could be as few as three teams from the Fun Belt bowling, and that ain't fun at all.

Bowl Projected Teams: Arkansas State, App State, Georgia Southern, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 62
# of projected teams: 79 - 10 (ACC, SEC) 9 (P12) 8 (B1G, AAC, MAC) 7 (C-USA, MWC) 6 (B12) 5 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Oklahoma (Big 12 Champs )
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Ohio State (Big Ten Champs)

So.

In theory, we have six teams for four slots. if Clemson and Bama win out, they're in and most likely the top two teams. If Ohio State and Iowa win out, they play a Big Ten title game where the winner is in. That leaves Oklahoma State and Notre Dame. My theory is that a 12-0 OkieState beats an 11-1 Notre Dame, but 11-1 OkieLite gets passed up in favor of the Irish. It seems fairly simple.

So what happens if Oklahoma State loses to Baylor/Oklahoma, and Notre Dame loses to Stanford, as I've projected?

Your conference runner-ups would be a 12-1 Big Ten team probably Iowa, 11-2 UNC, and 11-2 Florida. It kinda opens the door for Stanford, Pac-12 Champs and now 11-2 as well and would have beaten Notre Dame, but it would be quite a leap from wherever in the teens Stanford will be come this week, plus they'd only be beating a Utah team that's down in the teens as well.

It also sets up Oklahoma as Big 12 winners at 11-1, having survived the closing gauntlet. The loss against Texas looks bad, but Ohio State had a similar loss to Virginia Tech last year and the committee ultimately chose to overlook that, and so I think that happens here. Being the #4 seed and having to play in Miami, instead of close to home in Texas where they'd be heavily represented, seems right.

Now if Oklahoma somehow loses against TCU this week, that opens the door for either Iowa or Florida to get in, but it may still be 11-1 Oklahoma State then getting in if they win Bedlam. But a reminder, 11-1 Notre Dame jumps all this crap and sets off a flood alert for goon tears.


Peach Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Michigan State (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. Baylor (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State (At-Large) vs. Houston (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

Rose remains the same, Stanford winning the Pac-12 while Iowa gets it as a consolation prize for a 12-1 season. 11-2 Florida gets the SEC's nod for the Sugar over 9-2 LSU, taking on Baylor. Oklahoma State still makes it in as they face G5 Houston, while Notre Dame goes to the Peach and faces 10-2 Michigan State, Sparty getting the nod over 11-2 UNC by virtue of playing in a stronger conference and their one bad loss (Nebraska) being in a more bullshit way than UNC's bad loss (South Carolina).

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Colorado State vs. Arizona
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             TCU vs. Oregon
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Arizona State  vs. Mississippi State
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Florida State vs. Arkansas
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Wisconsin vs. LSU
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Northwestern vs. Utah
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Penn State vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Duke vs. Ole Miss
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. West Virginia
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Marines  vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Western Michigan
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     NC State vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Akron vs. Washington State
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          South Alabama vs. Miami  
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Pitt vs. Indiana
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Buffalo  vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Louisville vs. UCLA
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. Utah State
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Rice vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             San Diego State vs. Cal
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Tulsa vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Central Michigan vs. Nevada
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Temple vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Old Dominion vs. Louisiana-Lafayette 
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. App State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU vs. USC
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Southern Miss vs. Boise State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             East Carolina vs. Georgia Southern
At 79 projected teams we're shy a spot, which might be an issue if someone of these borderline teams fall by the wayside. Armed Forces needs a team to face Air Force so I've rounded up an intramural squad of Marines for right now in the most :911: :911: :911: game ever that will make your racist grandparents give you to Trump. Big 12 bowl slots will be up for bid if they put three into the Playoffs/New Years Bowls, so it'll be interesting to see who gambles for those over their conferences allotment and if it'll backfire on them, like it did 8-4 LaTech a few years ago.

* # ¿ Nov 16, 2015 01:28
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

DJExile posted:

Jesus christ I 100% forgot Navy joined the american :doh:

Only school to have never lost a conference game! :hurr:

* # ¿ Nov 17, 2015 22:00
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 goddammit quote is not edit

e- might as well make this a useful post. 18 teams still have a chance to become eligible:

ACC-VT
B1G-IND-NEB-MINN-ILL
B12-UT-KST(need 2 wins)
P12-UW
SEC-UK-MIZZ

AAC-ECU-TULSA
CUSA-ODU
MAC-BUFF
MWC-SJSU
SB-USA-ULL-GST (last two need 2 wins)

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 08:14 on Nov 22, 2015

* # ¿ Nov 22, 2015 07:59
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

kayakyakr posted:

Tech's destiny to play A&M in either the Texas or Liberty Bowl has not been altered in my mind. WVU dropping one of their next two games or TTU beating UT in Austin on Thursday will solidify that.

I've been calling Tech vs. A&M in the Texas Bowl since almost day 1, since there's no way that the Texas bowl would pass up either of those two for like West Virginia or someone else in the SEC since Arkansas went there last year.

* # ¿ Nov 22, 2015 08:14
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 12: Suck it Urbz

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           8-0, 11-0    @SC, ACCCG      8-0, 13-0
Florida State     6-2, 9-2     @UF             6-2, 10-2
Louisville        5-3, 6-5     @UK             5-3, 7-5
NC State          3-4, 7-4     UNC             3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-6, 3-8     BC              2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-6, 3-8     DUKE            1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-7, 3-8     @CUSE           0-8, 3-9
Same ol' same ol', thought Florida's been so bad I'm now putting FSU over them, which moves the Noles into double-digit wins and opens up a possibility that they can play in a New Year's Six bowl. No one deserves to win Cuse/BC tbh.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     7-0, 10-1    @NCST, ACCCG    8-0, 11-2
Pittsburgh         6-1, 8-3     U               7-1, 9-3
Miami              4-3, 7-4     @PITT           3-5, 6-6
Duke               3-4, 6-5     @WF             4-4, 7-5
Virginia Tech      3-4, 5-6     @UVA            4-4, 6-6
Virginia           3-4, 4-7     VT              3-5, 4-8
Georgia Tech       1-7, 3-8     UGA             2-6, 4-8
Heels ruin Beamer's sendoff as they clinch the Coastal and get ready to take their second beating in Charlotte this year. Duke's fallen apart and may be Shreveport-bound. Hokies' aren't dead and I said weeks ago it'd be hilarious if they lost all their home games and won all the road ones to get in, and goshdarnit if that ain't close to coming true, which is BeamerBall 102. 101 is punting.

pre:
Notre Dame     10-1     @STAN     10-2
Help us Stanford, you're our only hope (from the Irish being in the playoff)

Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Louisville, NC State, Miami, Duke, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Michigan State     6-1, 10-1    PENN      7-1, 11-1     
Michigan           6-1, 9-2     OSU       6-2, 9-3
Ohio State         6-1, 10-1    @MICH     7-1, 11-1
Penn State         4-3, 7-4     @MSU      4-4, 7-5
Rutgers            1-6, 4-7     MARY      2-6, 5-7
Indiana            1-6, 5-6     @PUR      2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-7, 2-9     @RUT      0-8, 2-10
So much for "put up or shut up" for Ohio State :smug:. If Sparty beats Penn State they win the East, if they lose whoever wins Ohio State/Michigan takes the division, so the Buckeyes aren't dead yet. Indiana just needs to beat Purdue, Rutgers/Maryland should be cancelled on principle.

West
pre:
Iowa              7-0, 11-0    @NEB, B1GCG        8-0, 12-1
Northwestern      5-2, 9-2     @ILL               6-2, 10-2
Wisconsin         5-2, 8-3     @MINN              6-2, 9-3
Nebraska          3-4, 5-6     IOWA               3-5, 5-7
Minnesota         2-5, 5-6     WISC               2-6, 5-7
Illinois          2-5, 5-6     NW                 2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-6, 2-9     IND                1-7, 2-10
Iowa clinches the West, and although they'll be underdogs no matter who they face in Indy, I think they stand a better chance against Sparty/Michigan than against Ohio State. Three teams are still in the hunt for a bowl spot, though all three will be underdogs and will have real ramifications on how the lower-end bowls play out.

Bowl Projected Teams: Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Indiana


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma           7-1, 10-1    @OKST          7-2, 10-2
Oklahoma State     7-1, 10-1    OK             8-1, 11-1
Baylor             6-1, 9-1     @TCU, TEX      8-1, 11-1
TCU                6-2, 9-2     BAY            6-3, 9-3 
Texas              3-4, 4-6     TTU, @BAY      3-6, 4-8
West Virginia      3-4, 6-4     ISU, @KST      5-4, 8-4
Texas Tech         3-5, 6-5     @TEX           4-5, 7-5
Iowa State         2-6, 3-8     @WVU           2-7, 3-9
Kansas State       1-6, 4-6     @KAN, WVU      2-7, 5-7
Kansas             0-8, 0-11    KST            0-9, 0-12
People are talking up Oklahoma, but if Baker Mayfield is out with a concussion that chances the whole equation and that's enough for me to project Cowpoke over Sooner, and it might also be enough to keep the B12 out regardless of what Notre Dame does. Either way, you've never seen so many belt-buckles attached to human shells root for smart people against the Irish in your life. K-State is still alive, but they'll need to catch the couch burners napping.

Projected Bowl Teams: Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, TCU, West Virginia, Texas Tech


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             8-1, 9-2     ND, P12CG          8-1, 11-2
Oregon               6-2, 8-3     ORST               7-2, 9-3
Washington State     6-2, 8-3     @WASH              7-2, 9-3
Cal                  3-5, 6-5     ASU                4-5, 7-5 
Washington           3-5, 5-6     WAZZU              3-6, 5-7
Oregon State         0-8, 2-9     @OREG              0-9, 2-10
Stanford wins The Game and takes the North in the process, and will be heavily favored over whomever comes out of the South. I don't think Oregon will get enough love to get into the NY6 bowls. Wazzu can keep Washington out of the bowls with a win in the Apple Cup.

South
pre:
UCLA              5-3, 8-3     @USC      6-3, 9-3
USC               5-3, 7-4     UCLA      5-4, 7-5
Utah              5-3, 8-3     COL       6-3, 9-3
Arizona State     4-4, 6-5     @CAL      4-5, 6-6
Arizona           3-6, 6-6     Bowl
Colorado          1-7, 4-8     @UTAH     1-8, 4-9
Battle of Los Angeles decides the South as both schools beat Utah. The Arizona schools do what's necessary to get into a bowl which is some solid collusion there. Zona's season is over, now they've got plenty of time to rest up for a bowl games.

Bowl Projected Teams: Stanford, UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, Utah, USC, Cal, Arizona State, Arizona


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            7-1, 10-1    FSU, SECCG     7-1, 10-3
Georgia            5-3, 8-3     @GT            5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          4-3, 7-4     VAN            5-3, 8-4
Vanderbilt         2-5, 4-7     @UT            2-6, 4-8
Kentucky           2-6, 5-6     LOU            2-6, 5-7
Missouri           1-6, 5-6     @ARK           1-7, 5-7
South Carolina     1-7, 3-8     CLEM           1-7, 3-9


Jesus H. Dickshitting Christ was a loving terrible division. I almost feel like it's been so bad we should dock Bama a spot just through association. Florida's not given a poo poo about football since winning the Cocktail Party, so I've got them losing out even though it probably won't affect their bid to the Sugar since who the gently caress else from the conference are you gonna put there? Kentucky and Mizzou have a shot but not really. Bye Vandy if you come back bring some points with you.

West
pre:
Alabama               6-1, 10-1    @AUB       7-1, 11-1
Ole Miss              5-2, 8-3     @MSST      5-3, 8-4
Texas A&M             4-3, 8-3     @LSU       5-3, 9-3
Arkansas              4-3, 6-5     MIZZ       5-3, 7-5
LSU                   4-3, 7-3     A&M        4-4, 7-4
Mississippi State     4-3, 8-3     MISS       5-3, 9-3
Auburn                2-5, 6-5     BAMA       2-6, 6-6
Well, the whole division is going bowling again, whoop de drat do. Bama basically mortally wounded LSU, bert finished them off like the scavenger he is, and Ole Miss dropped the People's Elbow on the corpse. With four teams basically tied for second and tie-breakers everywhere, have fun figuring out who to send to the Outhouse Outback Bowl.

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Georgia, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Arkansas, LSU, Auburn


American

East
pre:
Temple            6-1, 9-2     UCONN       7-1, 10-2
South Florida     5-2, 7-4     @UCF        6-2, 8-4
UConn             4-3, 6-5     @TEMPLE     4-4, 6-6  
Cincinnati        3-4, 6-5     @ECU        3-5, 6-6
East Carolina     3-4, 5-6     CIN         4-4, 6-6
UCF               0-7, 0-11    USF         0-8, 0-12
Temple beats Memphis and so they clinch the East with a win over UConn, who are now eligible after upsetting Houston, or if USF somehow loses to UCF. Huskies' upset helps out the conference in that they'll still claim the G5 NY6 bowl spot. ECU needs to finish off what's left of Cinci to make it in.

West
pre:
Navy        7-0, 9-1     @HOU, ARMY    8-0, 11-1
Houston     6-1, 10-1    NAVY          6-2, 10-2
Memphis     4-3, 8-3     SMU           5-3, 9-3
Tulsa       2-5, 5-6     @TULANE       3-5, 6-6
SMU         1-6, 2-9     @MEM          1-7, 2-10
Tulane      1-6, 3-8     TULSA         1-7, 3-9
Navy's got a very realistic chance of going 11-1, winning out in conference play, and your racist grandparents are going to demand answers as to why the communist playoff committee (probably muzzies too) aren't putting :911: ARE TROOPS :foxnews: into the playoff and will give whatever it takes to Trump to make it happen. Memphis has fallen apart, Tulsa just needs one more to get it as well.

Bowl Projected Teams: Navy, Houston, Memphis, South Florida, Temple, UConn, Cincinnati, Tulsa, East Carolina


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     7-0, 9-2     MAR        8-0, 10-2
Marshall             6-1, 9-2     @WKU       6-2, 9-3
MTSU                 5-2, 6-5     @UTSA      6-2, 7-5
Old Dominion         3-4, 5-6     FAU        4-4, 6-6
FIU                  3-5, 5-7                  
FAU                  2-5, 2-9     @ODU       2-6, 2-10
Charlotte            0-7, 2-9     @RICE      0-8, 2-10
Here we finally go for the division. WKU got Marshall last year in Huntington, see if the Herd can return the favor in Bowling Green. MTSU's in, ODU just needs to beat an FAU team that took Gator to OT, which might not be as easy as once thought. Enjoy the offseason FIU!

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     6-1, 8-3     USM       7-1, 10-2 
Southern Miss      6-1, 8-3     @LATECH   6-2, 8-4 
UTSA               3-4, 3-8     MTSU      3-5, 3-9
Rice               2-5, 4-7     CHA       3-5, 5-7     
UTEP               2-5, 4-7     @UNT      3-5, 5-7
North Texas        1-6, 1-10     UTEP     1-7, 1-11
LaTech/USM for the division, so C-USA did a good job scheduling. Unfortunately everyone else is now out, and what the hell happened to Rice? I was projecting them in, in, in, and now they're out with a game to go. Jesus Krispies.

Bowl Projected Teams: Western Kentucky, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion


Independents

pre:
BYU      8-3     @USU      9-3     
Army     2-9     @NAVY     2-10
BYU needs to decide if they want to go to Vegas or Hawai'i. Army can kinda play spoiler if they somehow beat Navy and the committee decides to dock them the G5 NY6 spot, but that ain't gonna happen.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     6-1, 8-3     @BALL, MACCG        7-1, 10-3
Ohio              4-3, 7-4     @NIU                4-4, 7-5
Akron             4-3, 6-5     KENT                5-3, 7-5
Buffalo           3-4, 5-6     UMASS               4-4, 6-6
Kent State        2-5, 3-8     @AKRON              2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        2-6, 3-9
UMass             1-6, 2-9     @BUFF               2-6, 3-9
Bowling Green losing to Toledo probably costs them a backdoor chance at that G5 bowl spot, but they'll have a shot for redemption in the MACCG regardless. Akron's in, Buffalo just needs to pound UMass and they'll be fine.

West
pre:
Northern Illinois     6-1, 8-3     OHIO      7-1, 9-3
Toledo                6-1, 9-1     WMU       7-1, 10-2
Western Michigan      5-2, 6-5     @TOL      5-3, 6-6
Central Michigan      5-2, 6-5     EMU       6-2, 7-5
Ball State            2-5, 3-8     BG        2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-7, 1-10    @CMU      0-8, 1-11
NIU beats the Rockets and Boat Rowers and just need to drop the leg on Ohio to claim the West crown. WMU's gonna end up 6-6 and behind CMU. Double-digits for Toledo and all that gets them in a trip to a Florida baseball stadium, at best. Such is life in #MACtion.

Bowl Projected Teams: Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Ohio, Central Michigan, Western Michigan, Akron, Buffalo


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Air Force          6-1, 8-3     @NM, MWCCG       7-1, 9-4  
Utah State         5-3, 6-5     BYU              5-3, 6-6
Colorado State     4-3, 6-5     @FRESNO          4-4, 6-6
Boise State        4-3, 7-4     @SJSU            5-3, 8-4
New Mexico         4-3, 6-5     AF               4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-6, 1-10     UNLV            1-7, 1-11
Air Force goes into Boise and wins, like everyone does these days, and claim the Mountain West Mountain crown. Everyone's in except for Wyoming.

West
pre:
San Diego State     7-0, 8-3     NEV, MWCCG     8-0, 10-3
Nevada              4-3, 6-5     @SDSU          4-4, 6-6
San Jose State      4-3, 5-6     BOISE          4-4, 5-7
Fresno State        2-5, 3-8     CSU            2-6, 3-9
UNLV                2-5, 3-8     @WYO           3-5, 4-8
Hawai'i             0-8, 2-10    ULM            0-8, 3-10
We know it'll be SDSU and Air Force in the MWCCG, the location is still up for grabs. SJSU has a chance against Boise, which isn't something we'd say a month ago, and if they can kick the Bluefielders while they're down it'll give the MWC another bowl team.

Bowl Projected Teams: San Diego State, Air Force, Utah State, Colorado State, New Mexico, Boise State, Nevada


Sun Belt
pre:
Arkansas State          6-0, 7-3     @NMSU, TXST       8-0, 9-3     
Appalachian State       5-1, 8-2     ULL, @USA         7-1, 10-2
Georgia Southern        5-1, 7-3     USA, GAST         7-1, 9-3
Georgia State           3-3, 4-6     TROY, @GASO       4-4, 5-7
New Mexico State        3-3, 3-7     ARKST, @ULM       3-5, 3-9
South Alabama           3-3, 5-5     @GASO, APP        3-5, 5-7
Louisiana-Lafayette     3-3, 4-6     @APP, TROY        4-4, 5-7
Texas State             2-4, 3-7     @IDAHO, @ARKST    3-5, 5-7
Troy                    2-4, 3-7     @GAST, @ULL       3-5, 4-8
Idaho                   2-5, 3-8     TXST              2-6, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe        0-7, 1-10     @HAW, NMSU       0-8, 2-11
Still the Red Wolves division to lose. Dumping USA and ULL from bowl projections since both need to win against App State to get in, so unless the Mountaineers feel like doing a couple of jobs for the conference, it's just going to be three bowl teams out of the Fun Belt. Which is a shame tbh.

Bowl Projected Teams: Arkansas State, App State, Georgia Southern


# of currently eligible teams: 71
# of projected teams: 77 - 10 (ACC, SEC) 9 (P12, AAC) 8 (B1G, MAC) 7 (MWC) 6 (B12, CUSA) 3 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Iowa (At-Large)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Michigan State (Big Ten Champs)

Here's what I expect the rankings to look like come Tuesday:

1: Clemson
2: Alabama
3: Notre Dame
4: Iowa
5: Michigan State
6: Oklahoma
7: Ohio State
8: Baylor
9: Oklahoma State
10: Michigan

Clemson stays at one and I don't think Bama's gonna have enough to jump them without a loss. Irish move up to three with their "win and in" against Stanford on deck. Iowa moves into the top 4 by virtue of being 11-0, but Sparty gets parked behind them in the catbird seat and effectively sets up a "win and in" Big Ten title game. Sooners get moved up to six, but you can only give them so much since they have the bad loss to Texas and only beat a wounded TCU at home by one. They're in great shape to take advantage of a Notre Dame loss, but still need to win Bedlam to even do that. Ohio State falls to seven and now need help.

So this means Clemson at one, Bama two, and whoever wins the Big Ten (right now Sparty) at three. But that leaves four open, and if I'm going to have the Irish losing at Stanford that opens up that spot. Stanford gets a boost from beating Notre Dame, but not enough to overcome two losses. 11-1 Baylor ends up winning the Big 12 after they beat TCU and 11-1 Oklahoma State wins Bedlam but loses on the H2H, but they aren't trending up. Instead, the committee breaks away from the expected and reward Iowa for their 12-0 season, and if they don't get crushed in the Big Ten title game, 12-1 Iowa makes the playoff, and the cries of protest from the state of Texas are heard from space, followed shortly by phone calls to Provo and Cincinnati.


Peach Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Navy (Group of 5 rep)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. Baylor (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State (At-Large) vs. Florida State (At-Large)
Rose Bowl: Ohio State (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Rep)

Only the Sugar stays the same, as Florida's the best of a pathetic lot and takes the SEC's spot, matching up against the Big 12 champs and grumpier than ever Baylor team. Ohio State falls to the Rose Bowl, which is a pretty swanky consolation prize, and face Pac-12 champs Stanford. Notre Dame heads to the Peach, and to avoid an ACC matchup they face Navy with the Group of 5 bid despite Trump demanding Navy make the Playoff and raising 20 million to overthrow the muzzie commie liberal playoff committee thanks to your racist grandparents. Oklahoma State to the Fiesta, where they face Florida State, who steadily snuck up the polls and take advantage of UNC/Michigan taking late losses.


And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Nevada vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. Oregon 
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     West Virginia vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Pitt vs. Tennessee
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Northwestern vs. Mississippi State
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Michigan vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. UCLA
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Western Michigan vs. Ole Miss
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          NC State vs. Auburn
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. LSU
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Arizona vs. Colorado State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. TCU
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Tulsa vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Akron vs. Nebraska*
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Duke vs. Houston
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Penn State vs. Washington State
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Old Dominion vs. Miami
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Virginia Tech vs. Indiana
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Rutgers* vs. Louisiana Tech
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Louisville vs. Utah
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    USF vs. Western Kentucky
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     UConn vs. Boise State
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             San Diego State vs. Arizona State
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Cincinnati vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Central Michigan vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             Temple vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Buffalo vs. Washington*
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. App State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     BYU  vs. USC
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Southern Miss vs. New Mexico
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             East Carolina vs. Georgia Southern
We're short three teams, so it's time to dip into the 5-7 pool for the first time ever. As we go by APR Nebraska, Rutgers, and Washington get the nods as the 5-7 teams with the highest APR. This is all over the place and is going to be sensationally wrong, so feel free to laugh as I maybe stick about 10 of the teams in total.

* # ¿ Nov 22, 2015 22:42
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

Yoshifan823 posted:

I really do love and appreciate Iowa getting into the playoffs as a 12-1 team, but they won't make Notre Dame and Navy play again. My guess is that FSU/Navy would switch spots, and we'd get to see OkSt/Navy and ND/FSU.

poo poo, you're right, I forgot about that with trying to avoid ND/FSU. If they feel like dumping the Irish to the Fiesta they can run OkSt/ND and FSU/Navy in the Peach, and use FSU as the local draw for the latter.

* # ¿ Nov 22, 2015 22:57
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

Tank44 posted:

Why does Florida State keep getting mentioned for the Peach as an At-Large team when they're ranked like 14th? Is there a limit to # of teams the other conferences can provide? i.e. Could BXII get 1 playoff team and then in theory 3 teams since Rose is protected for a total of 4? North Carolina is generally rated higher than FSU too but not listed. Is it that the ACCCG loss that UNC will have will drop them below FSU?

1: Beating Florida bumps them up into the 10-12 range, and since the committee places 11 teams and the G5 rep they don't need to jump any higher. Count in teams ahead of them losing and that only helps the Noles.
2: UNC's loss drops them down and the Heels are seen as a weaker team, discount both teams losing to Clemson and UNC's loss to South Carolina is worse than FSU's loss to Georgia Tech, especially with how flukey the ending was.
3: Peach is mentioned due to geography, Fiesta could be in the conversation as well.

* # ¿ Nov 24, 2015 03:44
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

Korranus posted:

I just started going down the list of teams by their APR and matched sort of geographically. I don't think even the bowls understand how the 5-7 teams are going to work. Hopefully we don't have to find out.

There's supposed to be a call about that. The original plan was go by highest APR, but no one's really quite sure. I imagine it'll be a mix of APR/names/non-lame duck teams. You can all but pencil Nebraska in since they'll hit all three, after that who knows.

In addition, MTSU is confirmed for the Bahamas Bowl, so unless BYU announced their choice when I wasn't paying attention that's our first team booked. 79 to go!

* # ¿ Nov 24, 2015 21:29
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 So if we go by what the Committee dropped on us today:

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Iowa (B1G Champs)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Oklahoma (B12 Champs)

Peach Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Michigan (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC Rep) vs. Baylor (B12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (At-Large) vs. Navy (G5 Rep)
Rose Bowl: Michigan State (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (P12 Reps)

Remember, we're going by the rankings, so #5 Sparty and #9 Stanford head to the Rose while #7 Baylor and #12 Florida go to the Sugar per their league's ties. Navy is the G5 rep at #15, which leaves #6 Notre Dame, #8 Ohio State, and #10 Michigan. We're not going to get a rematch between the latter two, and we're not going to get a Navy/ND rematch either. By virtue of being the higher seeded team, the Irish get their pick and head to the slightly more prestigious Peach Bowl, and while they would normally get the easier G5 rep the rematch clause comes into play and they come up against their old foe Michigan. Ohio State heads to the Fiesta and they get to show how much they hate America.

From there how the rest shakes out, and now putting MTSU into the Bahamas:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Boise State vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma State vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     West Virginia vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  North Carolina vs. Texas A&M
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Northwestern vs. Mississippi State
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Wisconsin vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Penn State vs. Oregon
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Indiana vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          NC State vs. Auburn
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. LSU
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Old Dominion vs. Nevada
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Florida State vs. TCU
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Buffalo vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Duke vs. East Carolina
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Virginia Tech vs. Houston
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Western Michigan vs. Washington State
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Arizona vs. Miami
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Louisville vs. Arizona State
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Akron vs. Western Kentucky
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Pitt vs. Utah
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    South Florida vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Temple vs. BYU
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Utah State vs. Nebraska*
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Cincinnati vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Central Michigan vs. New Mexico
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             UConn vs. Louisiana Tech
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Rutgers* vs. Georgia Southern
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. Washington*
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     San Diego State vs. USC
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Southern Miss vs. Colorado State 
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. Arkansas State
The Big Ten losing four to the top bowls throws havoc on the rest of their tie-ins, as there's some very lucrative games that lower conference teams will jump all over themselves to chase. If you wonder why the Arizonas would travel across the country, that's the difference between adding a million to the payout and possibly half that staying closer to home. Yes everyone pools their money but might as well toss as much into the kitty as you can.

* # ¿ Nov 25, 2015 02:45
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 For the playoff, you're right with Clemson and the SEC scenario since if Gator beats two top #15 teams, especially #2 Bama, they'll be in regardless of how bad they've looked. You've left out Michigan in your B1G scenario since they're alive, and if Baylor/OkieLite wins the B12 11-1 Notre Dame might jump them. Maybe.

After that, 5 of the 8 NY6 slots are booked. SEC/B1G/B12/P12 all have guaranteed slots in the Rose/Sugar Bowls, and the Group of 5 rep (Navy/Houston/Temple, hard to see Toledo getting the nod at this point) gets a spot, so it then becomes the next three highest ranked teams in the final poll. If Stanford and Florida take some losses, it's very conceivable that a Top 10 team gets left out of the whole shebang.

* # ¿ Nov 26, 2015 06:25
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 12.5: And it's hard to hold a football/In the cold Novembert rain

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           8-0, 11-0    @SC, ACCCG      8-0, 13-0
Florida State     6-2, 9-2     @UF             6-2, 10-2
Louisville        5-3, 6-5     @UK             5-3, 7-5
NC State          3-4, 7-4     UNC             3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          1-6, 3-8     BC              2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-6, 3-8     DUKE            1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-7, 3-8     @CUSE           0-8, 3-9
Enough things happened on Black Friday/earlier that I feel justified in doing an additional update. Of course, none involve any teams here so I might as well explain why here.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     7-0, 10-1    @NCST, ACCCG    8-0, 11-2
Pittsburgh         6-2, 8-4
Miami              5-3, 8-4
Duke               3-4, 6-5     @WF             4-4, 7-5
Virginia Tech      3-4, 5-6     @UVA            4-4, 6-6
Virginia           3-4, 4-7     VT              3-5, 4-8
Georgia Tech       1-7, 3-8     UGA             2-6, 4-8
Miami quits on Al Golden and still ends up with an eight-win season, which is hilarious. Threaten players with a trip to Shreveport and they'll do anything to avoid it!

pre:
Notre Dame     10-1     @STAN     10-2
Bowl Projected Teams: Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Miami, Louisville, NC State, Duke, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Michigan State     6-1, 10-1    PENN      7-1, 11-1     
Michigan           6-1, 9-2     OSU       6-2, 9-3
Ohio State         6-1, 10-1    @MICH     7-1, 11-1
Penn State         4-3, 7-4     @MSU      4-4, 7-5
Rutgers            1-6, 4-7     MARY      2-6, 5-7
Indiana            1-6, 5-6     @PUR      2-6, 6-6
Maryland           0-7, 2-9     @RUT      0-8, 2-10
West
pre:
Iowa              8-0, 12-0    B1GCG              8-0, 12-1
Northwestern      5-2, 9-2     @ILL               6-2, 10-2
Wisconsin         5-2, 8-3     @MINN              6-2, 9-3
Nebraska          3-5, 5-7
Minnesota         2-5, 5-6     WISC               2-6, 5-7
Illinois          2-5, 5-6     NW                 2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-6, 2-9     IND                1-7, 2-10
Iowa wins out, which means it's going to be really funny when they lose in the B1GCG and get passed up for the Rose for Ohio State and get stuck in the Fiesta. Nebraska's 5-7 and technically out, but if anyone who's 5-7 is gonna go bowling it'll be the Huskers.

Bowl Projected Teams: Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Indiana


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma           7-1, 10-1    @OKST          7-2, 10-2
Oklahoma State     7-1, 10-1    OK             8-1, 11-1
TCU                7-2, 10-2 
Baylor             6-2, 9-2     TEX            7-2, 10-2
Texas Tech         4-5, 7-5
Texas              3-5, 4-7     @BAY           3-6, 4-8
West Virginia      3-4, 6-4     ISU, @KST      5-4, 8-4
Iowa State         2-6, 3-8     @WVU           2-7, 3-9
Kansas State       1-6, 4-6     @KAN, WVU      2-7, 5-7
Kansas             0-8, 0-11    KST            0-9, 0-12
Big 12 going for complete hilarity late. From TTU's sensational deep dicking of Texas to Baylor/TCU being played in a wave pool, the B12's gonna make sure no one ignores it this year. Of course, now Bedlam decides the conference and if Cowpoke wins, I don't see how they jump all the way up, so it's Sooner or bust here. As for Baylor, I don't know how much you dock them for losing that game under those circumstances, but they'll have a chance to beat the gently caress out of Texas and get themselves to a NY6 bowl.

Projected Bowl Teams: Oklahoma State, TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             8-1, 9-2     ND, P12CG          8-1, 11-2
Oregon               7-2, 9-3
Washington State     6-3, 8-4
Cal                  3-5, 6-5     ASU                4-5, 7-5 
Washington           4-5, 6-6
Oregon State         0-9, 2-10
Duckies take the Civil War but don't look great in the process, while Washington wins the Apple Cup and is now in. P12 sends 10 of their schools bowling, which is good on them and they'll be filling several available slots.

South
pre:
UCLA              5-3, 8-3     @USC      6-3, 9-3
USC               5-3, 7-4     UCLA      5-4, 7-5
Utah              5-3, 8-3     COL       6-3, 9-3
Arizona State     4-4, 6-5     @CAL      4-5, 6-6
Arizona           3-6, 6-6
Colorado          1-7, 4-8     @UTAH     1-8, 4-9
Bowl Teams: Stanford, UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, Utah, USC, Cal, Arizona State, Arizona, Washington


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            7-1, 10-1    FSU, SECCG     7-1, 10-3
Georgia            5-3, 8-3     @GT            5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          4-3, 7-4     VAN            5-3, 8-4
Vanderbilt         2-5, 4-7     @UT            2-6, 4-8
Kentucky           2-6, 5-6     LOU            2-6, 5-7
Missouri           1-7, 5-7
South Carolina     1-7, 3-8     CLEM           1-7, 3-9


Mizzou's offense didn't show up for their coach and thus Gary Pinkel's career is over, unless someone takes mercy on his 5-7 and gives him one last ride into the sunset on a 120 yard offensive "effort". ALT PUNCHLINE: Mizzou's offense only works in microaggressions.

West
pre:
Alabama               6-1, 10-1    @AUB       7-1, 11-1
Ole Miss              5-2, 8-3     @MSST      5-3, 8-4
Arkansas              5-3, 7-5
Texas A&M             4-3, 8-3     @LSU       5-3, 9-3
LSU                   4-3, 7-3     A&M        4-4, 7-4
Mississippi State     4-3, 8-3     MISS       5-3, 9-3
Auburn                2-5, 6-5     BAMA       2-6, 6-6
bert

Bowl Projected Teams: Alabama, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Georgia, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Arkansas, LSU, Auburn


American

East
pre:
Temple            6-1, 9-2     UCONN       7-1, 10-2
South Florida     6-2, 8-4
UConn             4-3, 6-5     @TEMPLE     4-4, 6-6  
Cincinnati        3-4, 6-5     @ECU        3-5, 6-6
East Carolina     3-4, 5-6     CIN         4-4, 6-6
UCF               0-8, 0-12
USF and UCF did their parts, USF winning and forcing Temple to beat UConn for the division, while UCF goes winless and should have the #1 pick over Kansas due to lower SOS.

West
pre:
Houston     7-1, 11-1    AACCG         7-1, 12-1
Navy        7-1, 9-2     ARMY          7-1, 11-1
Memphis     4-3, 8-3     SMU           5-3, 9-3
Tulsa       3-5, 6-6
SMU         1-6, 2-9     @MEM          1-7, 2-10
Tulane      1-7, 3-9
Houston hands Navy their first ever conference loss and takes down the West, and by all accounts should be favored in the 'Murica CG and go to the Fiesta, which means they'll poo poo it away like they did the last time they were in position to go to a major bowl. Tulsa beats Tulane and they're in.

Bowl Projected Teams: Houston, Navy, Memphis, South Florida, Temple, UConn, Cincinnati, Tulsa, East Carolina


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     8-0, 10-2    CUSACG     8-0, 11-2
Marshall             6-2, 9-3
MTSU                 5-2, 6-5     @UTSA      6-2, 7-5
Old Dominion         3-4, 5-6     FAU        4-4, 6-6
FIU                  3-5, 5-7                  
FAU                  2-5, 2-9     @ODU       2-6, 2-10
Charlotte            0-7, 2-9     @RICE      0-8, 2-10
WKU beats Marshall again and should be hosts/favorites in the CUSACG. They'd be dark horse candidates for the G5 spot, except they lost to Indiana and one of the rules of getting a NY6 bowl spot is Don't Lose to Indiana. Got Mizzou last year and it trips up the Hilltoppers here.

West
pre:
Louisiana Tech     6-1, 8-3     USM       7-1, 10-2 
Southern Miss      6-1, 8-3     @LATECH   6-2, 8-4 
UTSA               3-4, 3-8     MTSU      3-5, 3-9
Rice               2-5, 4-7     CHA       3-5, 5-7     
UTEP               2-5, 4-7     @UNT      3-5, 5-7
North Texas        1-6, 1-10     UTEP     1-7, 1-11
Bowl Projected Teams: Western Kentucky, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion


Independents

pre:
BYU      8-3     @USU      9-3     
Army     2-9     @NAVY     2-10
Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     7-1, 9-3     MACCG        7-1, 10-3
Ohio              5-3, 8-4
Akron             5-3, 7-5
Buffalo           3-5, 5-7
Kent State        2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        2-6, 3-9
UMass             2-6, 3-9
BG's reppin' the East. Ohio's win over NIU ends up meaning nothing, but it does mean Ohio might avoid having to leave the states for their bowl. Buffalo can't beat UMass and that knocks them out, lowering our projected teams that much more.

West
pre:
Northern Illinois     6-2, 8-4     MACCG      6-2, 8-5
Toledo                6-2, 9-2
Western Michigan      6-2, 7-5
Central Michigan      6-2, 7-5
Ball State            2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-8, 1-11
Boatrowers beat Toledo and thus we end up in a four-way tie for first, and on the combo breakers NIU wins, but goddammit WE HAVE THE SITUATION FOR MAC THUNDERDOME!!!!!!!! If you don't remember my brilliantly insane idea from a few years ago, here's how MAC THUNDERDOME works:

-There are two games going on concurrently, in this case NIU vs. CMU from one set of hashmarks to the outside and Toledo-WMU from the other. The middle of the field is No Man's Land, you may enter at any time but no penalties will be called there.
-Consequently, if someone wanted to enter No Man's Land and interfere with the other game.....
-As we'll probably have several injured/dead players in No Man's Land, a Zamboni with a plow in the front will patrol No Man's Land and push any bodies out of the killingplaying fields. As it is considered part of the playing field, said Zamboni can be used as a screen/weapon/ride/etc...
-A live representative of each team's mascot will be allowed onto the field. That means NIU's awesome Huskie dog, a horse for WMU, a Native American for CMU, and a bunch of live ammunition for Toledo.
-Every now and then a red white and blue football is tossed onto the field. This is the moneyball and if you score on this play it counts double.
-Oh yeah, the Zamboni has a single upright with a bell attached to it. If you ring the bell with the football you get a point.
-As in traditional MACtion rules, first to 100 wins. This means if you want to try and kick a GW field goal and now need 9 men to block 33, well.....
-30 minutes after MAC THUNDERDOME ends, the winner will take on Bowling Green in the MAC Championship Game.

This would be broadcast on PPV and either be the greatest game ever and/or have several officials arrested for war crimes. I wish it was real.

Bowl Teams: Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Ohio, Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Akron


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Air Force          6-1, 8-3     @NM, MWCCG       7-1, 9-4  
Utah State         5-3, 6-5     BYU              5-3, 6-6
Boise State        5-3, 8-4
Colorado State     4-3, 6-5     @FRESNO          4-4, 6-6
New Mexico         4-3, 6-5     AF               4-4, 6-6
Wyoming            1-6, 1-10    UNLV             1-7, 1-11
Boise wins to finish at 8-4, and we'll see where in the order they go.

West
pre:
San Diego State     7-0, 8-3     NEV, MWCCG     8-0, 10-3
Nevada              4-3, 6-5     @SDSU          4-4, 6-6
San Jose State      4-4, 5-7
Fresno State        2-5, 3-8     CSU            2-6, 3-9
UNLV                2-5, 3-8     @WYO           3-5, 4-8
Hawai'i             0-8, 2-10    ULM            0-8, 3-10
SJSU can't get the upset and they're done for. MWC bids are settled.

Bowl Teams: San Diego State, Air Force, Boise State, Utah State, Colorado State, New Mexico, Nevada


Sun Belt
pre:
Arkansas State          6-0, 7-3     @NMSU, TXST       8-0, 9-3     
Appalachian State       5-1, 8-2     ULL, @USA         7-1, 10-2
Georgia Southern        5-1, 7-3     USA, GAST         7-1, 9-3
Georgia State           4-3, 5-6     @GASO             4-4, 5-7
New Mexico State        3-3, 3-7     ARKST, @ULM       3-5, 3-9
South Alabama           3-3, 5-5     @GASO, APP        3-5, 5-7
Louisiana-Lafayette     3-3, 4-6     @APP, TROY        4-4, 5-7
Texas State             2-4, 3-7     @IDAHO, @ARKST    3-5, 5-7
Troy                    2-5, 3-8     @ULL              3-5, 4-8
Idaho                   2-5, 3-8     TXST              2-6, 4-8
Louisiana-Monroe        0-7, 1-10    @HAW, NMSU        0-8, 2-11
Georgia State gets a win but they still need to upset Georgia Southern somehow to go bowling and that ain't gonna happen. The three teams on the ropes have to somehow take down the SoCon teams that have come in and ran poo poo just to limp into a bowl. Coastal may come in and never lose a game here.

Bowl Projected Teams: Arkansas State, App State, Georgia Southern


# of currently eligible teams: 72
# of projected teams: 77 - 10 (ACC, P12, SEC) 9 (AAC) 8 (B1G) 7 (MAC, MWC) 6 (B12, CUSA) 3 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Stanford (Pac-12 Champs)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Michigan State (Big Ten Champs)


Peach Bowl: Ohio State (At-Large) vs. Florida State (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC rep) vs. Oklahoma State (Big 12 Champs)
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Houston (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Iowa (B1G Rep) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 Rep)

So from where the rankings are right now, I have:

#3 Oklahoma losing to #11 Oklahoma State
#4 Iowa losing to #5 Michigan State
#6 Notre Dame losing to #9 Stanford
#10 Michigan losing to #7 Ohio State
#12 Florida losing to #13 Florida State and then probably #2 Alabama as well

#7 Baylor has already lost to #19 TCU, though Baylor will get one last shot to improve it's standings. Clemson/Bama/Sparty handle business to take the first three, but after the Irish take an L do you go with Stanford jumping five spots to get in, Oklahoma State with the better win but having to jump seven, or does Iowa simply not move? This also goes under the assumption that the committee doesn't somehow backdoor Ohio State into #4 again, which I don't think they'll do since they won't reward someone who didn't win their division, much less their conference. The committee has shown that they're willing to really move teams around, but seven spots even though OkieLite has the most impressive win? I really don't know what you do here, tbh.

Since I need to decide something, I'll give Stanford a win over a ranked team in UCLA and that extra win is enough to push them over Oklahoma State, and thus the cries that the Big 12 needs a title game are heard once more. We also learn not to count teams/conferences out, and too much poo poo happens. Of course, Notre Dame will end up winning and getting in because God is Real and it's the Fred Phelps-type God because gently caress You That's Why.

From there, Oregon slides into the Rose Bowl as the Pac-12 now place two here, they'll face Iowa in the Rose. Florida's two losses aren't enough to knock them behind Mississippi State who wins the Egg Bowl, but if Ole Miss wins they might get to the Sugar at 9-3 over a slumping Gator squad. Oklahoma State heads to the Sugar as the Big 12 champs. At-Large's, Notre Dame draws Houston but ends up in the Fiesta, as Ohio State/FSU draw the Peach for geographical concerns.

And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Arizona
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma vs. UCLA
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. LSU
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Pitt vs. Mississippi State
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Texas A&M
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Northwestern vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. Washington State
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Penn State vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          NC State vs. Auburn
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Memphis vs. Arkansas
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     TCU vs. Ole Miss
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Old Dominion vs. New Mexico
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. Baylor
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Akron vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Nevada vs. Central Michigan
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Duke vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. USC
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          East Carolina vs. Virginia Tech
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Louisville vs. Washington
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Arizona State vs. Western Kentucky
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Miami vs. Utah
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Temple vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     UConn vs. BYU
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Nebraska*
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Cincinnati vs. NIU
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Toledo vs. Utah State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Southern Miss
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     Rutgers* vs. Georgia Southern
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Ohio vs. Missouri*
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     San Diego State vs. Cal
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Louisiana Tech vs. Colorado State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. Arkansas State
We still need three teams to go bowling. Nebraska hits everything you want from a 5-7 teams (name value, traveling fanbase, stable coach, good APR) and thus they're in first and head out west to the Poinsettia, who somehow back into a fairly intriguing game. Rutgers is next by APR, but they don't have a stable situation, nor great name value or a traveling fanbase. Still, two bowls we need to fill are on the east coast, and thus they head to New Orleans and face Georgia Southern. Needing a third with Washington in, Mizzou comes up and the intrigue of one last ride for Gary Pinkel easily wins, they head to Montgomery and face Ohio.

Whole bunch has changed in the past couple days. Whole bunch more will change by the time I do this in 24 hours.

* # ¿ Nov 28, 2015 08:05
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 BTW, I'm putting BYU out in Hawai'i because the basketball team is playing a tourny out there at the same time and thus doing a package deal to entice fans to travel works. If they chose Vegas they'd have to do Hawai'i again later or hope that they'd be in a conference by then and can just ignore the previous agreement.

* # ¿ Nov 28, 2015 08:18
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Gut feeling (for the second time thanks for eating my post forums)

#1 Clemson #2 Bama #3 Iowa/Sparty winner (keeps Sooner from playing Cotton as underdog) #4 Sooner

If Clemson/Bama loses, Stanford prob gets in and committee will rank USC going into the P12 title game for justification.

If two of Clemson/Bama/Stanford lose, Ohio State might get in depending on where they put UNC going into this weekend.

If all three lose then lolololol gently caress it make it Oklahoma vs. the Big Ten WHICH IS WHAT IT SHOULD BE ANYWAY SINCE THE MOST GLORIOUS BIG TEN IS THE ONLY CONFERENCE DESERVING AND FURTHERMORE I

* # ¿ Nov 29, 2015 05:19
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 13: Just ignore your problems they'll work themselves out in the end

Legend:
Bold = bowl eligible
Italic = projected eligible
strike = bowl ineligible

ACC

Atlantic
pre:
Clemson           8-0, 12-0    ACCCG      8-0, 13-0
Florida State     6-2, 10-2
Louisville        5-3, 7-5
NC State          3-5, 7-5
Syracuse          2-6, 4-8
Wake Forest       1-7, 3-9
Boston College    0-8, 3-9
ACC Atlantic > SEC East, though that ain't a high bar to clear right now. FSU getting to 10 wins opens the door to an NY6 bowl at least.

Coastal
pre:
North Carolina     8-0, 11-1     ACCCG    8-0, 11-2
Pittsburgh         6-2, 8-4
Miami              5-3, 8-4
Duke               4-4, 7-5
Virginia Tech      4-4, 6-6
Virginia           3-5, 4-8
Georgia Tech       1-7, 3-9
At some point the committee, which has shown a willingness to forgive bad early losses, is going to have to give UNC their due, and if the Heels aren't top 10 come Tuesday then drat yo (and it means Clemson better win). Good on Frank for everything and proving that old people not understanding the ever-changing social norms will never not be hilarious. No 5-7 teams here so the ACC's got their roster and that's it.

pre:
Notre Dame     10-2
Called it. :smug:

Bowl Teams: Clemson, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Miami, Louisville, NC State, Duke, Virginia Tech


Big Ten

East
pre:
Michigan State     7-1, 11-1    B1GCG      7-1, 12-1     
Ohio State         7-1, 11-1
Michigan           6-2, 9-3
Penn State         4-4, 7-5
Indiana            2-6, 6-6
Rutgers            1-7, 4-8
Maryland           1-7, 3-9
Sparty takes care of business and now are win and in. Ohio State beat the hell out of Michigan enough that if the B1GCG is a blowout, they've got an argument for the Rose (and would prob make it over Iowa because :tenbux:). Good on Indiana for not falling apart and finally getting in. Rutgers mighta had a shot had they won, but at 4-8 they fall out and let's see how the bloodshed goes in Jersey.

West
pre:
Iowa              8-0, 12-0    B1GCG              8-0, 12-1
Northwestern      6-2, 10-2
Wisconsin         6-2, 9-3
Nebraska          3-5, 5-7
Minnesota         2-6, 5-7
Illinois          2-6, 5-7
Purdue            1-7, 2-10
Good on Northwestern for getting to 10 wins, and let's see if it gets them to a good Florida bowl and not shipped out to the Holiday (it won't). I'm un-striking the 5-7 teams because, well, they're not dead, and considering geography and fanbases and all at least one team from here is gonna go bowling, if not more.

Bowl Projected Teams: Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Indiana, Nebraska, Minnesota, Illinois


Big 12

pre:
Oklahoma           8-1, 11-1
Oklahoma State     7-2, 10-2
TCU                7-2, 10-2 
Baylor             6-2, 9-2     TEX       7-2, 10-2
West Virginia      4-4, 7-4     @KST      5-4, 8-4
Texas Tech         4-5, 7-5
Texas              3-5, 4-7     @BAY      3-6, 4-8
Kansas State       2-6, 5-6     WVU       2-7, 5-7
Iowa State         2-7, 3-9
Kansas             0-9, 0-12
The committee has shown to be inconsistent and fickle, but there's no reason to drop Oklahoma out of the playoff. Falling from 3 to 4 to avoid them playing in the Cotton and being home favorites as underdogs is fair (unless they jump Bama for 2 and then it is fair), but there's no reason to keep them out. K-State is still alive but needs to upset the couchburners, and RIP Kansas rehire Mangino.

Projected Bowl Teams: Oklahoma, Baylor, Oklahoma State, TCU, West Virginia, Texas Tech


Pac-12

North
pre:
Stanford             8-1, 10-2     P12CG          8-1, 11-2
Oregon               7-2, 9-3
Washington State     6-3, 8-4
Cal                  4-5, 7-5 
Washington           4-5, 6-6
Oregon State         0-9, 2-10
God loves Stanford more than Notre Dame.

South
pre:
USC               6-3, 8-4     P12CG
Utah              6-3, 9-3
UCLA              5-4, 8-4
Arizona State     4-5, 6-6
Arizona           3-6, 6-6
Colorado          1-8, 4-9
USC fires their drunk coach and somehow ends up winning the South, which was supposed to be a murderer's row and ended up eating itself alive and spitting itself back out.

Bowl Teams: Stanford, Oregon, USC, Utah, UCLA, Washington State, Cal, Washington, Arizona State, Arizona


SEC

East
pre:
Florida            7-1, 10-2    SECCG     7-1, 10-3
Georgia            5-3, 9-3
Tennessee          5-3, 8-4
Vanderbilt         2-6, 4-8
Kentucky           2-6, 5-7
Missouri           1-7, 5-7
South Carolina     1-7, 3-9


With how bad they've looked in the past month, it's more than likely that Bama will be punished for not slaughtering the Gators then Florida would get credit for beating the Tide. The Sugar Bowl's not even in Florida's grasp right now. Kentucky and Mizzou have changes, Mizzou's is better due to APR and Pinkel's Last Ride, whereas UK's #1 in hoops and that's all that really matters in Lexington.

West
pre:
Alabama               7-1, 11-1    SECCG       7-1, 12-1
Ole Miss              6-2, 9-3
LSU                   5-3, 8-3
Arkansas              5-3, 7-5
Texas A&M             4-4, 8-4
Mississippi State     4-4, 8-4
Auburn                2-6, 6-6
Bama wins twice as LSU doesn't fire Les Miles and Saban cackles with his dark energy hail lucifer. Ole Miss is looking Sugar bound unless Florida discovers how to play football.

Bowl Teams: Alabama, Florida, Ole Miss, Georgia, LSU, Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Auburn, Kentucky, Missouri


American

East
pre:
Temple            7-1, 10-2     AACCG       7-1, 10-3
South Florida     6-2, 8-4
UConn             4-4, 6-6  
Cincinnati        4-4, 7-5
East Carolina     3-5, 5-7
UCF               0-8, 0-12
Temple wins and now will head to H-Town, and if they pull the upset 11-2 should be enough to get the Owls into the NY6. Cincy denies ECU a sixth win and we'll see if a mediocre southeast bowl needs a mediocre southeast team to fill it.

West
pre:
Houston     7-1, 11-1    AACCG         7-1, 12-1
Navy        7-1, 9-2     ARMY          7-1, 10-2
Memphis     5-3, 9-3
Tulsa       3-5, 6-6
Tulane      1-7, 3-9
SMU         1-7, 2-10
Well Memphis murdered the poo poo out of SMU in a fine sendoff for their coach. Navy's got Army and then the Military Bowl.

Bowl Teams: Houston, Navy, Temple, Memphis, South Florida, Cincinnati, UConn, Tulsa, East Carolina


C-USA
East
pre:
Western Kentucky     8-0, 10-2    CUSACG     8-0, 11-2
Marshall             6-2, 9-3
MTSU                 6-2, 7-5
Old Dominion         3-5, 5-7
FIU                  3-5, 5-7                  
FAU                  3-5, 3-9
Charlotte            0-8, 2-10
Old Dominion loses to FAU and most likely keeps C-USA from getting a sixth team, good job costing everyone like $18,000 jerks. WKU hosts the CUSACG.

West
pre:
Southern Miss      7-1, 9-3     CUSACG   7-1, 9-4 
Louisiana Tech     6-2, 8-4 
Rice               3-5, 5-7     
UTEP               3-5, 5-7
UTSA               3-5, 3-9
North Texas        1-7, 1-11
Good on Southern Miss going down and putting a hurting on LaTech to win the division. Rice and UTEP have five wins but neither's an attractive option.

Bowl Projected Teams: Western Kentucky, Southern Miss, Marshall, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion, Rice, UTEP


Independents

pre:
BYU      9-3     
Army     2-9     @NAVY     2-10
BYU's playing basketball in Hawai'i during Christmas so it makes sense to head there over Vegas this time around, which means they won't.

Bowl Teams: BYU

MAC

East
pre:
Bowling Green     7-1, 9-3     MACCG        7-1, 10-3
Ohio              5-3, 8-4
Akron             5-3, 7-5
Buffalo           3-5, 5-7
Kent State        2-6, 3-9
Miami (OH)        2-6, 3-9
UMass             2-6, 3-9
West
pre:
Northern Illinois     6-2, 8-4     MACCG      6-2, 8-5
Toledo                6-2, 9-2
Western Michigan      6-2, 7-5
Central Michigan      6-2, 7-5
Ball State            2-6, 3-9
Eastern Michigan      0-8, 1-11
In case you didn't read the last update, we have a four way tie for first and that is the perfect scenario for MAC THUNDERDOME! Here's how MAC THUNDERDOME works!!!!!!!!:

-There are two games going on concurrently, in this case NIU vs. CMU from one set of hashmarks to the outside and Toledo-WMU from the other. The middle of the field is No Man's Land, you may enter at any time but no penalties will be called there.
-Consequently, if someone wanted to enter No Man's Land and interfere with the other game.....
-As we'll probably have several injured/dead players in No Man's Land, a Zamboni with a plow in the front will patrol No Man's Land and push any bodies out of the killingplaying fields. As it is considered part of the playing field, said Zamboni can be used as a screen/weapon/ride/etc...
-A live representative of each team's mascot will be allowed onto the field. That means NIU's awesome Huskie dog, a horse for WMU, a Native American for CMU, and a bunch of live ammunition for Toledo.
-Every now and then a red white and blue football is tossed onto the field. This is the moneyball and if you score on this play it counts double.
-Oh yeah, the Zamboni has a single upright with a bell attached to it. If you ring the bell with the football you get a point.
-As in traditional MACtion rules, first to 100 wins. This means if you want to try and kick a GW field goal and now need 9 men to block 33, well.....
-30 minutes after MAC THUNDERDOME ends, the winner will take on Bowling Green in the MAC Championship Game.

This would be broadcast on PPV and either be the greatest game ever and/or have several officials arrested for war crimes. I wish it was real.

Bowl Teams: Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Toledo, Ohio, Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Akron, Buffalo


Mountain West

Mountain
pre:
Air Force          6-2, 8-4     MWCCG       6-2, 8-5  
Boise State        5-3, 8-4
New Mexico         5-3, 7-5
Colorado State     5-3, 7-5
Utah State         5-3, 6-6
Wyoming            2-6, 2-10
Air Force loses to New Mexico and thus will head to San Diego for the MWCCG. Four way tie for second, which doesn't set up MWC Thunderdome because they don't play in any domes.

West
pre:
San Diego State     8-0, 9-3     MWCCG     8-0, 10-3
Nevada              4-4, 6-6
San Jose State      4-4, 5-7
Fresno State        2-6, 3-9
UNLV                2-6, 3-9
Hawai'i             0-8, 3-10
SDSU runs the table and they'll host Air Force. SJSU has five wins and might have some appeal in a southwest bowl, maybe. Rainbows, bitch.

Bowl Teams: San Diego State, Air Force, Boise State, New Mexico, Colorado State, Utah State, Nevada, San Jose State


Sun Belt
pre:
Arkansas State          7-0, 8-3     TXST        8-0, 9-3     
Appalachian State       6-1, 9-2     @USA       7-1, 10-2
Georgia Southern        6-1, 8-3     GAST       7-1, 9-3
Georgia State           4-3, 5-6     @GASO      4-4, 5-7
South Alabama           3-4, 5-6     APP        3-5, 5-7
New Mexico State        3-4, 3-8     @ULM       3-5, 3-9
Louisiana-Lafayette     3-4, 4-7     TROY       4-4, 5-7
Idaho                   3-5, 4-8
Troy                    2-5, 3-8     @ULL       3-5, 4-8
Texas State             2-5, 3-8     @ARKST     3-5, 5-7
Louisiana-Monroe        0-7, 1-11    NMSU       0-8, 1-12
Three teams in as ArkySt wins a share of the Fun Belt, three more kinda with chances and an upset would really help the conference out. It won't happen because App and GASO are good and GAST/USA aren't.

Bowl Projected Teams: Arkansas State, App State, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, South Alabama, Louisiana-Lafayette


# of currently eligible teams: 76
# of projected teams: 76 - 10 (ACC, P12, SEC) 8 (B1G, AAC) 7 (MAC, MWC) 6 (B12) 5 (C-USA) 3 (SB) 1 (Indep)

College Football Playoff

Orange Bowl: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Oklahoma (Big 12 Champs)
Cotton Bowl: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Michigan State (Big Ten Champs)

Sooners win in dominating fashion and make it easy. Clemson and Bama are in provided massive brainfarts don't happen (and the SEC is out if that occurs), while Sparty/Iowa is win and in. Simple enough if everything goes to plan.

Peach Bowl: Iowa (At-Large) vs. Florida State (At-Large)
Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss (SEC rep) vs. Baylor (Big 12 rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Houston (Group of 5 rep)
Rose Bowl: Ohio State (B1G Rep) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 Champs)

Ole Miss takes over the SEC's spot in the Sugar with Florida having fallen apart. Baylor pounds Texas and that's enough to put them over Oklahoma State. Iowa's loss keeps them from the Rose Bowl again as Ohio State gets the berth where they face Stanford, Pac-12 being the ones left out after all. Iowa goes to the Sugar and faces Florida State, who's late wins put them over Oklahoma State, and Notre Dame gets the Group of 5 rep Houston in the Fiesta. Fairly drama-free unless you count Noles over Cowpokes and even that's not a hill to die on.


And the rest:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Nevada vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Oklahoma State vs. Oregon
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     West Virginia vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Pitt vs. LSU
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Florida
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Northwestern vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. USC
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Penn State vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          NC State vs. Mississippi State
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Temple vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Illinois* vs. Utah State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. TCU
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Akron vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Central Michigan vs. Minnesota*
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     Duke vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. UCLA
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Arizona State vs. Virginia Tech
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Louisville vs. Nebraska*
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Washington vs. Southern Miss
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Miami vs. Utah
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Memphis vs. Western Kentucky
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. BYU
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Arizona
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             Tulsa vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Western Michigan vs. Colorado State
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Marshall
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	Mountain West vs. Sun Belt	     vs. Georgia Southern
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. Missouri*
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     San Diego State vs. Washington State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Louisiana Tech vs. New Mexico
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             UConn vs. Arkansas State
So there's 14 teams at or projected to go 5-7 and we've got four spots to fill, including a very lucrative and selective Pinstripe Bowl with it's $2m payout. By APR, here's how they stack up:

Nebraska
Missouri
Minnesota
San Jose State
Illinois
Rice


Nebraska goes first and with the Big Ten already having a tie-in to the Pinstripe they gladly slide in there and keep the payout in-house. Mizzou is next and they head south to the Camelia for Pinkel's sendoff. Detroit might have made sense and the Quick Lane, but Minnesota is third in line and makes more geographical sense. SJSU is fourth, but we already have a MWC team there and thus they get passed over. Illinois is next and while they're not intriguing, Rice is up next and they're even less of a draw. Kentucky is way down in the APR and behind the other eligible teams so the Big Ten ends up sending all three of their 5-7 teams, giving them eleven total and tying the SEC for the most.

Depending on the rankings on Tuesday I might run this back, and do a disaster scenario where Clemson/Bama/Stanford all lose and how that would shake out, just for shits and giggles.

* # ¿ Nov 29, 2015 10:01
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

kayakyakr posted:

One thing you missed: Kansas State will be 5-7 in your scenario with their 576 APR. That ties them with Missouri and likely sends the fightin Bill Snyders bowling.

Dammit I knew I was gonna forget someone. Put them in Arizona over Illinois.

* # ¿ Nov 29, 2015 20:12
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

DOOP posted:

If Temple upsets Houston, would they go to the Fiesta and a ND rematch?

Unlikely, in the same way that it wouldn't have been Navy had the Shippers won (even though I screwed that up earlier). Temple/Iowa to the Fiesta, ND/FSU to the Peach.

* # ¿ Nov 29, 2015 20:57
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 The best case is it'll be some combo of APR scores/name value/geographical considerations since no one wants to travel across the country to see their dumb 5-7 team get their rear end beat/coaching stability/general appeal/who the gently caress knows. Basically, it's a way to get the Nebraska's of the world, good programs in a down year, to a bowl instead of the Kent State's of the world, where they draw not a drat thing.

In theory this would also be a chance to pump the brakes on bowls for a bit, but with UAB/Coastal Carolina set to join that frees up 24 more wins and that can make the difference between a drought and a surplus of bowl teams. Add in that midweek bowls beat whatever ESPN has planned otherwise for those nights and I hope you're ready for 4 and Bowl at some point in the future. At least that might get us closer to a 128-team tournament, because if you want me to watch Eastern Michigan play football put them against Alabama or someone and tell me it matters, like how you couldn't get me to watch someone like Maryland/Cal basketball from a neutral site in November but hold it in March and I'll break my back for it.

* # ¿ Nov 30, 2015 19:34
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Bahamas is great for the players, who get the trip of a lifetime and hopefully aren't saddled with a killjoy coach who treats this like the second championship and locks them in their rooms with nothing but tape and protein shakes.

It's murder on staff and logistics, to get all these people cleared for overseas travel and getting all your stuff overseas and to try and sell fans and boosters on a travel package with what's literally no notice, and when they somehow don't sell all these seats the school had to pay full price for they get blamed. Someone's going to lose their job because MTSU/WMU went to the Bahamas and it sucks for them.

* # ¿ Dec 1, 2015 23:23
  • Quote
C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 So I was going to do two scenarios, one where everything went chalk and one where chaos reigned, but when I started the first one I realized it basically echoed my predictions from this past weekend, so no need to rehash that. Instead, I'd like to present to you a little thing I like to call APAWWWWWWLLLLLLOCALYPSE NOW (note telling MV to make this the GDT title tia)

In this scenario:

#10 UNC defeats #1 Clemson in the ACC Championship Game
#18 Florida defeats #2 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game
#4 Iowa defeats #5 Michigan State in the B1G Championship Game (Sparty's favored)
#20 USC defeats #7 Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship Game
Texas defeats #12 Baylor
#22 Temple defeats #19 Houston in the 'Murica Championship Game

From there, the committee starts to drink heavily, and comes up with this:

Cotton Bowl: #1 Iowa (B1G Champs) vs. #4 Clemson (ACC Rep)
Orange Bowl: #2 Oklahoma (Big 12 Champs) vs. #3 Ohio State (B1G Rep)

Iowa's the only undefeated team, and having finally proven themselves, get the number one spot. You'd think they'd go to the Orange, but instead choose the Cotton as they're ranked against #4 Clemson, who stay afloat by virtue of crashing down upon everyone else's bodies. The committee decides with their only loss being to a Top 10 team (thanks UNC!), it keeps them ahead of Notre Dame (whom Clemson beat), Alabama (2 losses), Sparty (2 losses), and TCU (not as good with Doctson out). Oklahoma would have rather had the Cotton, but they'll settle for the Orange and the #2 seed. They get Ohio State, who the committee have no choice but to put in after ranking them ahead of Notre Dame. The other three conference champs (UNC/Florida/USC) aren't as highly regarded as the Buckeyes, although UNC is crying bloody murder.

Peach Bowl: North Carolina (ACC Champs) vs. Temple (G5 Rep)
Sugar Bowl: Florida (SEC Champs) vs. Oklahoma State (Big 12 Rep)
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Florida State (At-Large)
Rose Bowl: USC (Pac-12 Champs) vs. Michigan State (B1G Rep)

Rose gets USC, which even in a down year they're happy for, and Sparty somehow fails up into the Rose Bowl. Sugar swallows hard and ends up taking Florida, who match up with Oklahoma State who win a tiebreaker over TCU via H2H, but would lose a three-way if Baylor's involved. UNC ends up at #5 even after beating Clemson, and goes to the Peach Bowl where they face Temple, the G5 rep. Notre Dame and FSU don't play and somehow aren't affected, and move their matchup across the country to the Fiesta.

From there the bowls shake-out like this:

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             Nevada vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             TCU vs. Stanford
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     West Virginia vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Miami vs. Ole Miss
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Alabama
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Northwestern vs. Georgia
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Penn State vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Virginia Tech vs. LSU
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Houston vs. Mississippi State
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Illinois* vs. Colorado State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       Pitt vs. Baylor
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Akron vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Central Michigan vs. Nebraska*
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     NC State vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. UCLA
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Auburn vs. Arizona
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Duke vs. Washington
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Arizona State vs. Western Kentucky
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Louisville vs. Utah
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Memphis vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. BYU
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. App State
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Kansas State*
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             UConn vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Toledo vs. New Mexico
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Southern Miss
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	C-USA vs. Sun Belt	             Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas State
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Ohio vs. San Jose State*
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     San Diego State vs. Washington State
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Minnesota* vs. Utah State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. Georgia Southern
Now, this assumes that Bama falls below ND/FSU and while I doubt that would happen, we can dream and this is pure chaos so why not. Akron/CMU/the Arizonas/Washington all get left to the wilderness to chase money for the conferences, hence Washington to the Bronx and Arizona to lovely Shreveport. From the 5-7 pool, Nebraska to Murder City, K-State to Poinsettia, SJSU to Camellia, and Minn to New Mexico and Illinois to Zona.

If Chaos Reigns, this is what it might look it. We can only dream.

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 08:37 on Dec 2, 2015

* # ¿ Dec 2, 2015 08:32
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

HOTLANTA MAN posted:

USF and WKU in the Miami Beach Bowl per Brett McMurphy. That should be pretty fun.

May The Dinger Machine again roar it's approval for TDs.

* # ¿ Dec 3, 2015 22:31
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 GEORGIA STATE BEAT GEORGIA SOUTHERN AND IS NOW BOWL ELIGIBLE! SUCK IS 5-7 TEAM THAT WILL PROBABLY BE SAN JOSE STATE!

Also 2nd post has been re-purposed to show who's going where. Don't thank me all at once.

* # ¿ Dec 5, 2015 23:21
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 Week 14 - Well that kinda sucked?

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL - ORANGE BOWL: #1 Clemson (ACC Champs) vs. #4 Oklahoma (Big 12 Champs)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL - COTTON BOWL: #2 Alabama (SEC Champs) vs. #3 Michigan State (B1G Champs)

Sooner fans might howl over not getting a pseudo-home game at the Cotton Bowl, but it gets justified by putting the 12 win teams over the 11 win teams, besides Sparty's super-flukey loss is better than losing straight up to Texas.

NEW YEARS BOWL - SUGAR BOWL: Ole Miss (SEC Rep) vs. Oklahoma State (Big 12 Rep)
NEW YEARS BOWL - PEACH BOWL: Notre Dame (At-Large) vs. Ohio State (At-Large)
NEW YEARS BOWL - FIESTA BOWL: Florida State (At-Large) vs. Houston (Group of 5 Rep)
NEW YEARS BOWL - ROSE BOWL: Stanford (Pac-12 Champs) vs. Iowa (B1G Rep)

Having put up a fight in the B1GCG and proven that they weren't a fluke despite the weak schedule, Iowa gets to finally head to the Rose Bowl where they'll face Stanford. Ole Miss stays above Florida and goes against Oklahoma State, who finishes second in the Big 12 thanks to Baylor's loss. Notre Dame and Ohio State gives the Peach Bowl a hell of a matchup, while FSU has to go across the country and face Houston, the G5 rep.

And the rest.

pre:
Cactus Bowl	        Jan. 2	Tempe, Ariz.	        Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             West Virginia vs. Cal
Alamo Bowl	        Jan. 2	San Antonio, Tex.	Big 12 vs. Pac-12	             TCU vs. Oregon
Liberty Bowl	        Jan. 2	Memphis, Tenn.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Kansas State vs. Arkansas
TaxSlayer Bowl	        Jan. 2	Jacksonville, Fla.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC                  Pitt vs. Georgia
Citrus Bowl	        Jan. 1	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Michigan vs. Florida
Outback Bowl	        Jan. 1	Tampa, Fla.	        Big Ten vs. SEC	                     Northwestern vs. LSU
Holiday Bowl	        Dec. 30	San Diego, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12                   Wisconsin vs. USC
Music City Bowl	        Dec. 30	Nashville, Tenn.	ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC	             Penn State vs. Tennessee
Belk Bowl	        Dec. 30	Charlotte, N.C.	        ACC vs. SEC                          Virginia Tech vs. Mississippi State
Birmingham Bowl	        Dec. 30	Birmingham, Ala.	American vs. SEC	             Temple vs. Auburn
Texas Bowl	        Dec. 29	Houston, Tex.	        Big 12 vs. SEC	                     Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl	        Dec. 29	Tucson, Ariz.	        C-USA vs. Mountain West	             San Jose State* vs. Utah State
Russell Athletic Bowl	Dec. 29	Orlando, Fla.	        ACC vs. Big 12                       North Carolina vs. Baylor
Armed Forces Bowl	Dec. 29	Fort Worth, Tex.	Big Ten/Big 12 vs. Mountain West     Arizona State vs. Air Force
Quick Lane Bowl	        Dec. 28	Detroit, Mich.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Central Michigan vs. Nebraska*
Military Bowl	        Dec. 28	Annapolis, Md.	        ACC vs. American                     NC State vs. Navy
Foster Farms Bowl	Dec. 26	Santa Clara, Calif.	Big Ten vs. Pac-12	             Indiana vs. UCLA
Independence Bowl	Dec. 26	Shreveport, La.	        SEC vs. ACC                          Duke vs. Arizona
Pinstripe Bowl	        Dec. 26	New York, N.Y.	        ACC vs. Big Ten                      Louisville vs. Washington
Heart of Dallas Bowl	Dec. 26	Dallas, Tex.	        Big Ten/Big 12 vs. C-USA	     Nevada vs. Southern Miss
Sun Bowl	        Dec. 26	El Paso, Tex.	        ACC vs. Pac-12                       Miami vs. Washington State
St. Petersburg Bowl	Dec. 26	St. Petersburg, Fla.	American vs C-USA                    Memphis vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl	        Dec. 24	Honolulu, Hawaii	American vs. Mountain West/BYU	     Cincinnati vs. San Diego State
Bahamas Bowl	        Dec. 24	Nassau, Bahamas	        C-USA vs. MAC                        Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky
GoDaddy.com Bowl	Dec. 23	Mobile, Ala.	        MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern
Poinsettia Bowl	        Dec. 23	San Diego, Calif.	Mountain West vs. Army	             Boise State vs. Akron
Boca Raton Bowl	        Dec. 22	Boca Raton, Fla.	American vs. MAC	             UConn vs. Northern Illinois
Idaho Potato Bowl	Dec. 22	Boise, Idaho	        MAC vs. Mountain West	             Ohio vs. New Mexico
Miami Beach Bowl	Dec. 21	Miami, Fla.	        American vs. C-USA	             South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
New Orleans Bowl	Dec. 19	New Orleans, La.	C-USA vs. Sun Belt	             Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas State
Camellia Bowl	        Dec. 19	Montgomery, Ala.	MAC vs. Sun Belt                     Toledo vs. App State
Royal Purple Bowl	Dec. 19	Las Vegas, Nev.	        Mountain West/BYU vs. Pac-12	     Utah vs. BYU
New Mexico Bowl	        Dec. 19	Albuquerque, N.M.	C-USA vs. Mountain West	             Minnesota* vs. Colorado State
Cure Bowl	        Dec. 19	Orlando, Fla.	        American vs. Sun Belt	             Tulsa vs. Georgia State
There's always politicing and backdoor deals and everything so I don't expect this to hold. Only three 5-7 teams (Nebraska/San Jose State/Minnesota) get in, and unless Nebraska gets blocked from going to the Quick Lane we'll get a MWC matchup in a bowl game as I have SJSU facing Utah State in the Arizona.

We've seen leaks in the dam already, it'll bust tomorrow. Happy bowl season everyone!

* # ¿ Dec 6, 2015 06:36
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

anne frank fanfic posted:

Close to a oregon baylor bowl until evil tcu used their weather machine

You would have gone to the Sugar had you beaten TCU. So it's even worse. At least the RAB has a fun twitter...

* # ¿ Dec 6, 2015 06:54
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008
 OP is fully up to date, and thus the bowl prediction season is over :( Next week we get to go full :911: and then start fapping over MACtion/Fun Belt matchups! Here to no defense!

* # ¿ Dec 7, 2015 01:55
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

DJExile posted:

Doesn't this mean your game gets called by Robert Kekaula? Because that owns

No they exile Mark Jones and Rod Gilmore every year, even though Fun Bobby would be a much better option. Start the change.org petition and I'll sign it as many times as necessary.

e- so I don't double-post Vegas Bowl sold out already.

C. Everett Koop fucked around with this message at 21:15 on Dec 7, 2015

* # ¿ Dec 7, 2015 21:07
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# ¿ May 28, 2024 20:42
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C. Everett Koop
Aug 18, 2008

MourningView posted:

Mark Jones deserves all the best thing in life, including paid vacations to Hawaii every year.

I have no beef with Mark Jones, other than that he's not Big Bobby Kekaula and that's the man who needs to be on national TD calling the Hawai'i Bowl and maybe the Playoff Final.

* # ¿ Dec 8, 2015 03:40
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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > The Football Funhouse > CAN I GET SOME MACTION FROM THE BACK SECTION (2015 bowl chat)