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Salt Fish posted:Instead of insisting people don't talk about A you should say something interesting about B, for example answering my earlier question about climate change blogs. can you repeat that question please
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# ¿ Jan 4, 2016 14:19 |
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# ¿ May 14, 2024 00:04 |
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Ok I replied in the GM thread
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# ¿ Jan 4, 2016 15:42 |
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Trabisnikof posted:US regulations on fraced wells has significantly improved since the practice started, "green completions" is the law now, which means dealing with methane among other things. That's not a very high bar
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# ¿ Jan 5, 2016 09:43 |
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Shayu posted:I thought we were to stop climate change? It is the only solution. You cannot live the Western life but save the Earth, this is truth I have discovered. We must all relinquish our decadent life styles, return to proper life, eat rice and drink water. Use the toilet in the grass.
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# ¿ Jan 5, 2016 11:37 |
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Anosmoman posted:We're producing energy in a way that's harmful to the environment but that doesn't mean we have to stop producing energy. In the 1980s we were using CFCs for refrigeration and it was depleting the ozone layer. Now we don't anymore - and yet we still somehow have refrigerators. No you see ~system change~ should be the first goal of conservation rather than just doing things that conserve the environment regardless of whether they help bring about the end of kkkapitalism/materialism/globalisation
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# ¿ Jan 5, 2016 13:23 |
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Shayu posted:Why you want people to die so much? Are you trolling or just a colossal retard? Increasing arable lands is a terrible idea because farmland even when farmed less intensively cannot support most biodiversity. You will destroy all remaining primary habitats that are not literally the side of a cliff and kill off entire ecosystems on the way, and people will hunt everything edible that remains to extinction because natural prey populations don't recover faster than billions of people can sharpen sticks and stones. Protip: pollution is not the only thing destroying the planet. Farms as they exist now make what kind of poison foods exactly?
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# ¿ Jan 8, 2016 10:34 |
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Lotka Volterra posted:This is true, but we do produce a large amount of the world's food and for that reason any declines with an increasing population are troublesome. Even then, it's not clear where the yield gains would come. If it's in areas with sensitive habitat, we've traded one problem for another. 9.6 to 12.3 billion is still a major concern even if it has leveled out by the end of the century. Most population growth will happen in Africa (+3 billion or so) and Asia (+1 billion-ish). Africa especially is being farmed by subsistence farmers with badly domesticated perennial crops in many regions. Some proper irrigation, fertiliser use and targeted breeding/GM on the crops to bring their resource allocation in line with annual and therefore better domesticated crops and to have less famines etc. due to bad weather would go a long way.
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# ¿ Jan 9, 2016 00:22 |
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Mystic_Shadow posted:Now that 2015 seems to have broken all the records, they're going to ditch the "no warming since 1998" and will instead use "no warming since 2015" as their go-to phrase. Best case, we'll go back to +1°C and then climb back to the 2015 value in 10-15 years. Hiatus Hiatus Hiatus
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# ¿ Jan 20, 2016 18:59 |
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onepixeljumpman posted:Having my fourth "descend into a shaking mess over climate issues" moment was enough to make me come back to the forums. At least the thread's palatable. Thanks, UP, for reminding me that I can marry all this to my social concerns as well instead of convincing myself I need to divide my attention. 1) eat less beef 2) don't drive a SUV with truck nutz dangling from the exhaust pipe 3) don't get suckered into eco-hipster fads of the week like gmo free local food from nuclear-free family farms, which don't tend to be actually useful Budgets for adoption of new energy forms on a national scale have been done and range from completely imaginary to somewhat solid. suck my woke dick fucked around with this message at 00:23 on Jan 25, 2016 |
# ¿ Jan 25, 2016 00:19 |
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Trabisnikof posted:There seems to be this idea that somehow it is better to do X first and then handle climate change in our post-X world. I dont think there is time for such delays. We have to address climate change within the existing frameworks.
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# ¿ Jan 27, 2016 14:11 |
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El Grillo posted:I've always thought we need nuclear to get through this as renewables' intermittency and the cost of storage solutions is too big a hurdle to get over without backup. Guardian just released a report on storage developments in the UK and globally and it looks interesting Not sure what it means regarding the cost vs. nuclear debate though: http://www.theguardian.com/environm...9581&CMP=ema-60 quote:e: hot drat, world's largest windfarm off Yorkshire coast: http://www.theguardian.com/environm...9581&CMP=ema-60 good: *no NIMBY whining *wind is not quite as ludicrously variable at sea (though still more than enough to necessitate storage) *doesn't take up land *often bigger, so can use stronger high winds bad: *more expensive & harder to maintain *may or may not have damaging effects on seabirds, whales and fish and stuff. some case studies and circumstantial evidence for or against exists, but nothing coherent *takes up seabed habitat
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# ¿ Feb 5, 2016 13:36 |
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Note: nuclear is increasingly load-following.
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# ¿ Feb 7, 2016 21:54 |
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Trabisnikof posted:Xenon poisoning is a big reason why most nuclear plants can't throttle like that. No plant in the US is load following afaik. All current designs can, though, even big clumsy 1.6GW French Surrender Reactors.
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# ¿ Feb 8, 2016 18:44 |
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Trabisnikof posted:You're right that all modern designs can, I'm just not sure about if older designs can within their licensing requirements. I bet the vast majority can't in the US, but that vast majority is a minority of US electricity generation that will probably never exceed baseload so all the throttling can be done by more modern non-poo poo power plants.
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# ¿ Feb 8, 2016 19:10 |
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Evil_Greven posted:Oh, Australia... quote:Marshall, a Silicon Valley entrepreneur, became CSIRO’s CEO in Jan. 2015 and immediately announced that CSIRO would focus on innovation over basic science.
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# ¿ Feb 9, 2016 08:59 |
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*reallocates research points from environmental science to power plant development* *clicks "finish turn"*
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# ¿ Feb 9, 2016 09:04 |
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Hello Sailor posted:Climbate Change: Are We Headed for an Insurmountable Cliff? Imagine four climates on the edge of a cliff.
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# ¿ Feb 13, 2016 23:26 |
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Potato Salad posted:Scalia died today. rip in piss, but probably no
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2016 14:48 |
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Potato Salad posted:The poles are, in addition to reflectors, massive heat radiators.
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# ¿ Feb 28, 2016 13:09 |
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Potato Salad posted:Pro nuke here: I don't see how we can continue to expand our nuclear program without an operational long-term repository a la Yucca Mountain. Comedy option: pay Sweden for waste storage. Massasoit posted:I hold a MS in Environmental Science, and I challenged students on why they didn't like nuclear energy (since I'm pro nuke) and it all comes down to lack of any information/anti bomb. I'm surprised you didn't get any anti-centralisation answers.
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# ¿ Mar 21, 2016 22:24 |
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Potential BFF posted:Given their safety record and USA! USA! USA! military-wank why not push to have new nuke plants built, run, and overseen by the US Navy. Which is how the nuclear industry started out, before going on to be mostly functional for a few decades. Potato Salad posted:drat, that's...convincing in ways I have not consisted. South Korea is the current example of an industrialised country doing nuclear right, and they're pretty much doing precisely what Morbus put on his list. China is the other example of a country trying to do it right, though it will take a few years to see if it turns out well. If small modular reactors take off, it will probably be easier for the US/UK to get it right. Even if you don't crank up the rate of megawatts worth of nuclear generation deployed per year, SMRs are small enough that you'll need to build truckloads of them in a factory line to replace the half-dozen one-off giant reactors that would otherwise get built. They're also small enough to be more resilient so it should be easier to just plop them down pretty much anywhere safely.
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# ¿ Mar 22, 2016 08:13 |
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Trabisnikof posted:I don't understand how the investment in those sorts of "farming" projects will actually be better for the climate than traditional ag can be. Like sure, LEDs use less electricity to grow plants than other lights, but traditional farms use the sun for free. Ultimately it's something like vertical farming (except underground), which lets you substitute energy for land use. Potentially a good idea, but only if rolled out on a meaningful scale supported by Full
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# ¿ Mar 22, 2016 19:46 |
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Wanderer posted:One of the big reasons why this kind of farm appeals to me is that a lot of modern cities have a bunch of spaces like London's WWII bomb bunkers that are currently unused. Manhattan is famously as deep as it is tall, with tunnels a thousand feet below ground level, and a lot of other cities have something like it, e.g. the Seattle Underground or Los Angeles's several half-finished subway stations. Right now, they're doing nothing except occasionally serving as a historical attraction. The CO2 sequestration is limited to however much standing biomass the crops have. Once people have eaten and metabolised/shat out their food it goes back into the atmosphere as CO2. A few subway tunnels or cold war bunkers filled with shelves for growing lettuce can never be more than a blip. It could, however, be a good start to validating larger scale indoor farming as a concept so it can eventually be rolled out on a meaningful scale. suck my woke dick fucked around with this message at 21:42 on Mar 22, 2016 |
# ¿ Mar 22, 2016 21:40 |
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Wanderer posted:The whole thing is blips. Every running combustion engine is a blip; every moron who throws a plastic bag out the window is a blip. This is about making enough small gestures at once, not making two or three big ones, and it always was. Getting rid of a billion combustion engines is not a blip. Building ten thousand nuclear reactors is not a blip. Filling every unused subway tunnel and cold war bunker on earth that exists with lettuce growing shelves is a blip. Unless this underground farming thing leads to wider applications of indoor farming in large-scale purpose-built indoor farms it can never be more than a blip even in an unrealistic best case scenario. Radbot posted:Maybe we can see a single example of a proposed carbon sequestration project that, even in someone's wildest dreams, would capture a gigaton of carbon a year. Of course, that's nowhere near where we'd need to be, but let's start there. Reforesting half of China and Brazil. Probably multiple gigatons per year at that scale.
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# ¿ Mar 22, 2016 22:12 |
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Gammymajams posted:Uh, who the gently caress thought fracking would save the climate? People who believe in the invisible hand of the completely unregulated free market.
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# ¿ Mar 28, 2016 20:02 |
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Oh and Germany because gas can in principle buffer out spikes in electricity demand or supply in our badly organised renewable rollout (except it turns out gas plants running solely to fix cloud and wind and consumer randomness are money pits and utilities are fighting to get rid of the things again)
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# ¿ Mar 28, 2016 20:20 |
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Batham posted:Meanwhile, in Germany (because nuclear energy is EVIL) ... blowfish posted:Oh and Germany because gas can in principle buffer out spikes in electricity demand or supply in our badly organised renewable rollout (except it turns out gas plants running solely to fix cloud and wind and consumer randomness are money pits and utilities are fighting to get rid of the things again) Except for Bavaria, which seriously planned to get 50% of its energy from Russian gas.
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# ¿ Mar 28, 2016 22:52 |
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Rime posted:Climate models have underestimated Earth’s sensitivity to CO2 changes, study finds don't worry, you can pet your dog and pretend everything is alright
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# ¿ Apr 7, 2016 22:24 |
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Grouchio posted:Since the media tends to focus coverage on climate skeptics and deniers far more than the scientific community, what can stop them from doing so? Why do these deniers have so much power over the US sheeple? Partially, but another part is that media have largely turned towards a mealy mouthed fair-and-balanced style of reporting, which (except in the case of blatant political drum-beating like with Fox News) boils down to taking a story, looking for two sides on it, and giving both sides the same air time or article space, without any critical evaluation of claims besides quoting both sides saying the other side is poo poo.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2016 19:39 |
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Grouchio posted:Which translates into less people than necessary believing that climate change is serious/a thing because...? Because it implies climate change denial is a position with merits that is seriously debated by Smart People, because the average citizen is not educated to evaluate the evidence presented on most topics.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2016 19:46 |
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Grouchio posted:Our lack of restrictions on Freedom of the Press (like the ones Canada or the UK has) is seriously going to be the end of US someday. Not that the UK is better at the moment, because their restrictions don't seem to do anything beyond protecting individual subjects of attention (especially if rich and/or powerful) in practice.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2016 20:15 |
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Isaac0105 posted:Don't be so optimistic about nuclear. I can understand why people would be so sympathetic towards it- it's not oil, it's not coal, the idea of nuclear tickles the mind about its possibilities (especially in light of possible tech improvements, like breeder reactors or fusion). But I'd really like to emphasize that as a solution it is not permanent. Even if we manage to make a global nuclear transition (a gargantuan if) then uranium is still a non-renewable resource and we would just be kicking the ball down the road, pushing forward the inevitable collapse and downsizing that our civilization needs to undergo. Possible tech advances are not a way out of this because they don't exist right now - believing that they will be around to bail us out seems just a form of faith to me. And further, I suspect that even if these fusion/thorium/breeder reactors come around, there will be some other resource limit that will knock them on their rear end anyway later down the road. Remember that even if the fuel for something like fusion is insanely abundant, what might not be so abundant are the rare metals and minerals that will be required to construct these new reactors (and maintain them). If kicking the can down the road for thousands of years (which, given breeders, or even just extracting uranium from the sea for which a pilot project is being built, is a given) is not far enough for now, then nothing is. I also completely disagree that we should look forward to a collapse and downsizing of civilisation. Thinking that collapse is in any way necessary rather than merely a thing that happens if we gently caress up too badly means you're substituting a doomsday cult for environmentalism. quote:Safety is also an issue. I think people in this thread feel a bit smug with regard to the question of nuclear safety, because this question tends to attract a lot of irrational panic and religious doomsday beliefs. So indeed I agree that the people who claimed Fukushima would wipe out all life around the Pacific in a year were a bit silly to say the least, but that doesn't mean that nuclear is safe. Chernobyl was bad enough in my opinion - the figures of excess deaths range between thousands and hundreds of thousands (a few say millions). I am not trying to say that this is guaranteed to wipe us all out or something but it is very likely that at the very least, nuclearization of world energy means the permanent risk of Chernobyls and Fukushimas, constituting a massive safety risk, meaning nuclear is not safe. Chernobyl did not kill a million people, the "study" showing that is basically a back-of-the-envelope calculation of how many people got killed by the collapse of the Soviet Union that attributes those deaths to atoms instead. Deaths per unit energy produced are (even if we assume the higher not completely crazy numbers for Chernobyl are true, i.e. some tens of thousands of cancer deaths) are pretty low for nuclear, being comparable to renewables. If we had a Fukushima every decade that would also be completely ok compared to what we are currently doing. quote:Finally gently caress electric cars. The only solution to cars is "into the landfill" I would say. A big problem a lot of green types seem to have is the idea that we can have the society we have right now, except everything will be run using green energy sources. It really is an adorably naive idea. What is far more likely is that before the end of the century, the personal car will be dead, along with every social configuration depending on it (such as suburbia) US suburbia is stupid and needs some consolidating, but why does all personal transportation ever need to die?
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# ¿ Apr 18, 2016 11:18 |
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Isaac0105 posted:"A given?" Please. Right now even human survival over the next century isn't a given, let alone an unprecedented shift in energy production which (according to you) is a given because of a pilot project and an underdeveloped technology. All I am calling for is realism. Even if something like fusion was already well developed (say we had a few relatively safe working reactors that are producing more energy than it takes to run them) I would say that the transition would be very far from a given. Let alone in our actual situation. If we build breeders, or thorium reactors, or extract uranium from the sea, or develop fusion reactors, then those technologies could power our current civilisation beyond the scope of any long term policies we currently are or want to implement, i.e. for long enough. You will also note that the first reactor to over power any electrical equipment was a breeder reactor (EBR-1), that Russia just started up a commercial-scale breeder, and that India is currently building a commercial-scale thorium reactor prototype (bog standard CANDUs could already burn Thorium as an alternative fuel anyway if anyone bothered). It's not like doing this poo poo is impossibly hard. quote:I'm not sure what connotation "looking forward to collapse" is supposed to have. Rest assured I meant that we should look forward to it in the sense that one looks forward to a big disaster that it might be a good idea to prepare for, not as some kind of fun adventure that we should embrace because it will take us back to the golden age of hunter-gatherer tribes. Why do you think the fall of civilisation is an inevitable event that might as well be physical law, is what I'm asking. quote:My specific take on safety is this - supposing that I did agree with you and blowfish on the necessity and the inevitability of a global transition to nuclear, I would still highly prefer if there existed this swarm of highly agitated nuclear pessimists who yell "safety" into the ears of everyone responsible for the construction and maintenance of nuclear reactors. To pressurize them into keeping to their safety standards, you see. Failing this, please don't expect nuclear to actually be the "safest method of power generation". The vast majority of the world's nuclear power plants are lovely cold war leftovers operating past their original design lifespan. They aren't getting replaced in part because new plants have a much harder time getting approved despite being much safer. Still, even with a fleet of hand-me-down ancient reactors, and literal Chernobyl style RBMKs still operating, nuclear has an excellent safety record (or, depending on how you look at it, a less terrible safety record than everything else).
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# ¿ Apr 18, 2016 13:08 |
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Isaac0105 posted:If we build breeders, if we do thorium, if this and if that (and if some more) and then it's also an if that it will "power our current civilization for long enough". Reactors require plenty of rare resources to construct, what if we run out of those, even if we have enough reactor fuel? What if "we" (whoever we is supposed to be) cannot ensure a global scale transition to nuclear? It's not like "we" are living under some kind of highly organized and socially responsible world government, you know. Please provide any evidence beyond "well what if it happened" for us running out of raw materials before building some thousands of reactors. Note that I pointed out several examples of things that already exist or are currently in build, so again, this is not purely hypothetical. Your argument that we might not ensure a global nuclear rollout applies to every other global scale action, such as a global renewable rollout. What you're saying is "poo poo is hosed, and it's hard to unfuck poo poo, so let's just throw up our hands in despair and wait for the end times". I am saying we lose nothing by trying, so we might as well get to it and start fixing poo poo. quote:If you look at history, civilizations have a habit of falling. I already posted about this once - it can take many forms. I think it would be extreme to say they are all destined to fall all the way back to the stone age, but that's not really what I am arguing. I am saying that progress doesn't last forever, that some kind of fall will take place. The fall will be towards a society with a lower degree of complexity, what exactly it will be, I don't know (there's different scenarios and endpoints). quote:And about the last thing you said - when are you expecting this consciousness change towards a new nuclear age to take place? Techno-optimists like you always seem to be banking on some decisive moment when civilization will suddenly see the light and undergo some epic scale transformation to a bright new tomorrow. Maybe 20 years for now we will have even more run down cold war leftover reactors and still no fusion in sight? Do you really think that is less likely than a world dotted with fusion and breeder reactors? Civilizations really don't have these kinds of unprovoked transformative moments - the only time they transform at all is when they get a kick in the balls so fierce that the sheer pain shatters its delusions, making it scramble to adapt in chaotic and unpredictable ways. Well, when are you expecting the global sustainable rollout of enough renewable energy to actually deal with climate change? There might be more people who have a positive opinion of solar panels and wind turbines, but when you reach practical limits that doesn't help.
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# ¿ Apr 18, 2016 14:19 |
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Cranappleberry posted:There are absolutely changes that can be made to mitigate climate change and environmental damage, even at this late stage. However, most of these changes have to occur on a large scale. This is true, and the point that many ~grassroots~ environmentalists and activists miss. Climate change is a tragedy of the commons type situation, the people using those commons are more than you could feasibly argue with on an individual basis (you know, all seven billion of them), and the smaller scale success stories in fixing this type of scenario generally involve larger-scale policy decisions that turn openly accessible commons into a resource with restricted access. Even the most heartwarming "plucky little locals win against heartless multinational company that literally kicked your puppy"-stories, e.g. some cases where overfishing got fixed and replaced by more sustainable fisheries management, involve broader policy decisions, just with an additional step of "let's have a chat with the locals about how they can see themselves stop breaking things without making them think you're taking their stuff away".
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# ¿ Apr 22, 2016 08:01 |
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Radbot posted:Don't blame Greenpeace for using modern marketing tactics. I do blame them for having a massive anti nuclear hate boner to the point where it's actively counterproductive to climate change mitigation.
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# ¿ Apr 22, 2016 20:04 |
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Wanderer posted:I'd go so far as to say that it's the single thing keeping what passes for the American progressive movement from getting too much done. See also: (armchair) leftist circular firing squad
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# ¿ Apr 23, 2016 19:55 |
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Why get poo poo done with whoever also thinks that particular poo poo needs to get done when you could instead call each other out for being immoral bastards
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# ¿ Apr 23, 2016 20:28 |
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i am harry posted:You know that thing that god people say when they try to come up with a reason to have a religion: "but......what if you're wrong?" It sort of works if you apply it to climate change deniers, skeptics, lukewarmist, lutefisks and whatever other categories there were in that list. but that makes you sound like an r/athiest checkmate climateailures
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# ¿ Apr 30, 2016 20:26 |
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# ¿ May 14, 2024 00:04 |
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Placid Marmot posted:Each reporting station produces its own data. The thermometers that you observed (now they've increased to 51 degrees!) were not inside standardized Stevenson-screened boxes (unless you were finding weather stations and cracking them open!), so their measurements will always be higher than the true shade temperature. ITT we discover: it's hotter in the sun than in the shade
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# ¿ May 3, 2016 23:32 |