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cams posted:tbh i wanted to put trump at 0% There's a reasonable probability that ISIS, or homegrown ISIS-supporters, will stage a minor attack within America (Or upon American interests abroad) during the election campaign and killing some insignificant number of people, resulting in the latent cowardice and insecurity of the American public voting Trump into power.
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Dec 30, 2015 09:50
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cams posted:66% hillary Swap Jeb and Rubio and I more or less agree.
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Dec 30, 2015 09:56
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Wheeee posted:There's a reasonable probability that ISIS, or homegrown ISIS-supporters, will stage a minor attack within America (Or upon American interests abroad) during the election campaign and killing some insignificant number of people, resulting in the latent cowardice and insecurity of the American public voting Trump into power. americans suddenly having a really important reason to pay attention to the presidential election, like a strong need for foreign intervention caused by a catastrophic event, means trump is done. Jewel Repetition posted:Swap Jeb and Rubio and I more or less agree. cams has issued a correction as of 10:10 on Dec 30, 2015 |
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Dec 30, 2015 10:08
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Gonna be lots of disappointed voters itt
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Dec 30, 2015 12:39
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Barack Obama, wearing a disguise that fools no one and using the name Baquack Obamailure. srsly tho it's gonna be Hildawg
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Dec 30, 2015 14:05
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Jewel Repetition posted:Swap Jeb and Rubio and I more or less agree. 75% chance of Dem victory feels pretty optimistic to me.
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Dec 30, 2015 21:43
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Wheeee posted:There's a reasonable probability that ISIS, or homegrown ISIS-supporters, will stage a minor attack within America (Or upon American interests abroad) during the election campaign and killing some insignificant number of people, resulting in the latent cowardice and insecurity of the American public voting Trump into power. I think if something like what happens in Paris happened here. (mutiple coordinated attacks with bombings) or something worse. i could see that.
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Dec 31, 2015 04:19
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cams posted:no, i think the american public would still go with hillary if it happened during a trump/hillary general. it would greatly benefit any other republican, but i think a scared america would rather take clinton than donald trump. she seems safer to the idiot low information voter who might otherwise vote for trump because he's not a washington fatcat. At her best Hillary comes across as a stone cold killbot so she comes across much better when giving a speech about ISIS than the stiff unnatural political Hillary pretending to run a relaxing, genuine birthday party. I'm not really sweating the foreign policy side and am more worried about HIillary being asked to tell a joke.
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Dec 31, 2015 14:32
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a dangerously important task for a president, truly
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Dec 31, 2015 17:27
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Hillary. If for nothing else than the middle of the political spectrum sort of understands that the Republican party offers approximately zero when it comes to civic leadership.
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Jan 1, 2016 17:31
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Electing Hillary is like electing your flatulent stroke-prone grandma President. Maybe that's why she wanted the bathroom to herself at the debates. *NEWS FLASH* HILLARY FARTS! I can't blame her. Seriously, she took a bad whack in the sconce a while ago. She might die in office. So who she picks as VP might be very important. ... E: I would like to see Trump win it, just because I wanna see where this is going. I think millions of Murkins are so sick to death of the smell of horse-poo poo drifting on a wind blowing from an easterly direction* that they feel the same- let's kick over the gambler's poker table and see who starts shooting. I'm old enough so I don't care much if it all melts down into chaos and your kids cook like tempura shrimp in nuclear fire. Crackle crackle pop sizzle POP-POP. Baking like potatoes in the ashes of their iPhones, X-Boxen, suburban McMansions and foolish American Consumerism in general. Fuckem. ... E: *Stolen from Frank Zappa. zimboe has issued a correction as of 14:42 on Jan 2, 2016 |
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Jan 2, 2016 13:53
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Betting markets have it about 60% Democrats vs 40% repubs which feels about right. It's definately not 70-30. So with that I say: 58% Hillary 0.5% Bernie 0.25% O'Malley 0.25% Biden (Really someone gets drafted at the convention if something bad happens to Hilldawg) 22% Rubio 10% Cruz (crushes Iowa and no one else can get their shut together, Rubio continues to run for Florida governer) 2% Trump (really this is 'chance that trump doesn't lose to badly in Iowa, wins NH, there is a major terrorist attack on US soil during the early primaries but after Iowa and the economy tanks in the general') 2% Jeb! (Route is places 2nd in NH behind trump and Rubio explodes somehow) 3% Christie (Route is win NH 1% The field ( This might be too high) It's hard to predict the not Rubio establishment picks and trump because there are so many factors at play. Is Rubio going to start trying to win? If not there are several plausible establishment candidates, who is going to do best at NH, which is the most likely springboard for consolidation. I think Cruz is a real shot now. The Non Hillary democrat chance is basically 'Actual scandal or adverse health event on Hillary'
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Jan 9, 2016 13:01
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Nessus posted:Hillary Rodham Tessier-Ashpool.
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Jan 9, 2016 15:38
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where are all the white women with titties at
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Jan 15, 2016 15:08
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Ted Cruz is a supermegaultra genius who's been planning this run for his entire life and has ingeniously set the chessboard for his liking. He's not seen as the wacko insane fringe candidate because of Trump, yet once people realize Trump isn't electable and Trump can't compete from a position that isn't power, Cruz is right there to swallow up all of Trump's supporters, white hoods and all. No one from the establishment has any kind of support and given four/eight more years of Dems holding the White House, especially Hillary whom they've been at war with for the better part of three decades now, they'll line up, wallets out, and take that Cruz dick hard. Cruz/Haley, who aced her audition of "go on TV and don't come off as a Palin-level moron" the other night; the teeth thing will go away with time and surgery. Cruz obliterates Hillary in the debates, just thrashing her at every turn, it's like Floyd Mayweather in there against Christopher Reeves. When Hillary nominates a white man as her VP since the Castro twins won't attach themselves to a sinking ship (and if not we'll just have Mama Castro sent packing...), we can play the female card in defense mode to block and the race card on offense with Nimrata. Cruz clears 350 electoral congress votes easily and brings America back to where it needs to be. I mean, I'm voting D, but still.
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Jan 16, 2016 03:41
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My money is on Romney. I know nobody is really talking about him but I think the field is ripe for him to swoop in and take Republicans by storm as a dark horse candidate. Still has a couple days before Iowa primary to announce...
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Jan 16, 2016 20:46
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C. Everett Koop posted:Ted Cruz is a supermegaultra genius who's been planning this run for his entire life and has ingeniously set the chessboard for his liking. He's not seen as the wacko insane fringe candidate because of Trump, yet once people realize Trump isn't electable and Trump can't compete from a position that isn't power, Cruz is right there to swallow up all of Trump's supporters, white hoods and all. No one from the establishment has any kind of support and given four/eight more years of Dems holding the White House, especially Hillary whom they've been at war with for the better part of three decades now, they'll line up, wallets out, and take that Cruz dick hard. There's only one thing standing in his way... Birtherism, it's not just for Democrats.
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Jan 16, 2016 20:50
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It's going to be Trump, stop kidding yourselves.
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Jan 17, 2016 00:25
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Cruz can't lose.
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Jan 17, 2016 06:20
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i will be president
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Jan 17, 2016 06:21
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People who literally hate Trumps guts are still more willing to vote for him than Hillary I'm starting to find out. Even those who are democratic. So I don't know, my gut is starting to move towards trump if he can pull it off. I'm seriously at the point where I'll vote for him without any irony because I hate this whole thing and figure what the gently caress can he do worse than any of the others?
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Jan 17, 2016 14:00
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It's gonna be Trump. The leadership of both political parties hate him. So suck my Trump, assholes.
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Jan 18, 2016 07:28
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lmao at this loving country if the wife of a multiple-rapist gets into office. More embarrassing than Donald loving Trump. Bernie is going to win Iowa and NH, possibly SC as well. Biden is going to endorse him outright, Obama might as well for shits and giggles. His odds are going to climb drastically in the next couple months unless something serious happens. Bernie 2016.
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Jan 18, 2016 07:59
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The Shortest Path posted:lmao at this loving country if the wife of a multiple-rapist gets into office. More embarrassing than Donald loving Trump. Uh... what?
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Jan 18, 2016 08:04
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enraged_camel posted:Uh... what? BILL CLINTON IS A RAPIST U RETARDED gently caress
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Jan 18, 2016 09:28
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Mendicant posted:BILL CLINTON IS A RAPIST U RETARDED gently caress No he's not.
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Jan 18, 2016 09:29
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Jewel Repetition posted:No he's not. He might be, no one really knows! But everyone sure acts like they do.
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Jan 18, 2016 12:28
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Vox Nihili posted:He might be, no one really knows! But everyone sure acts like they do. I know someone that might know! Maybe Trump will ask Jeffery Epstein?
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Jan 18, 2016 12:57
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I refuse to vote for a rapist or a maybe rapist or someone who might be related to a rapist so I can only vote for someone who I know has never had sex. It's one more reason to vote for Ted Cruz because his wife and children are a false flag.
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Jan 19, 2016 02:41
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Vox Nihili posted:He might be, no one really knows! But everyone sure acts like they do. Fine, he's [i]probably[i] not a rapist. C. Everett Koop posted:I refuse to vote for a rapist or a maybe rapist or someone who might be related to a rapist so I can only vote for someone who I know has never had sex. Oh thank god he didn't have sex.
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Jan 19, 2016 03:17
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Clinton. But I've been Coakley'd before.
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Jan 19, 2016 04:01
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Even if he's not a rapist it's pretty hosed up how he acted like a sexual predator towards a young intern and then changed the narrative so she was a jezebel who seduced him.
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Jan 19, 2016 15:56
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There are some nuanced arguments in this thread, but I feel that Bernie Sanders will be the president.
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Jan 19, 2016 17:20
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Petey posted:Clinton. Looking at how susceptible Hillary is to Bernie Sanders in Iowa and NH, I don't see her commanding a powerful lead in the national polls and maintaining it- she's Martha Coakley on a national level. I don't want her to be in the general because 'too big to fail' fails a lot these days.
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Jan 19, 2016 17:38
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I heard she's gonna change her name to Hillary Clemson
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Jan 19, 2016 19:14
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Petey posted:But I've been Coakley'd before. I just looked her up and apparently she is now DraftKings' legal advisor 
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Jan 20, 2016 04:45
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lots of time wasted on bad predictions in this thread. the President is going to be the same network of banks and defense contractors that it always is, who cares which doll they set up in front of the shop
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Jan 21, 2016 17:38
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Earwicker posted:lots of time wasted on bad predictions in this thread. the President is going to be the same network of banks and defense contractors that it always is, who cares which doll they set up in front of the shop thank you for your cool, edgy and original opinion. it opened my eyes to the reality.
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Jan 21, 2016 17:41
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unfortunately it is not cool or edgy nor is it an opinion, it is simply a fact
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Jan 21, 2016 17:45
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you have convinced me
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Jan 21, 2016 17:47
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