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The problem with saying "much of the progress since 1950 has been a refinement of old ideas" is that, that's basically been true for every period of human civilization at some point. It's an ongoing process. There's a whole host of ideas out there that could radically change society. From nano-materials, which could be bigger than the widespread use of plastics, to AI, to space-based technologies, and genetically engineered chickens laying pharmaceutically-enhanced eggs. When/if these bear fruit and are economically mundane by 2050, you'll have people looking back and going "well this was refining tech developed in the 1990's, it's not actually new. I mean, I don't think we'll exponentially increase into a technological utopia, but we're far from hitting the ceiling here. Really, we just need WW III to come along so they can weaponize all this experimental poo poo, so that it can be later turned into consumer products for the ragged remains of humanity.
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# ¿ Jan 27, 2016 04:28 |
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# ¿ May 15, 2024 21:32 |