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quote:Allocate delegates based on the 20 × candidate's vote ÷ total statewide vote. Round to the nearest whole number. Interesting. So they use Hamilton’s Apportionment Method (which sucks).
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Feb 9, 2016 02:39
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Fuschia tude posted:He won 84% of the sub-30 vote in Iowa. I'm not sure that Millenials have much to do with him failing. 
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Feb 9, 2016 02:58
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Minsky posted:Young people are who carry him in polls. What I saw was that, according to the entrance polling, the same demographic was weakest in turnout when it came time to actually caucus. Maybe if your lovely generation had turned out less, Bernie would have won. 
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Feb 9, 2016 03:12
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All I’m saying is that maybe the solution isn’t to get out the young vote, it’s to suppress the old vote.
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Feb 9, 2016 03:23
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Omi-Polari posted:Not a statistician but my understanding is that most of these predictors are totally worthless since we only have a handful of elections to go by, and an enormous number of variables that can gently caress everything up. You can make informed guesses, like who will likely win New Hampshire considering the state's culture, polls making Trump the probable choice, etc. but the rest is just a wash. Relying on a sample like Dixville Notch is just asking for a “Dewey Defeats Truman” situation, basically. They’re great predictors, till suddenly they are not. Scientific polls are as good as it gets.
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Feb 9, 2016 09:19
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Phlegmish posted:Kasich ruined their predictive value by personally calling every voter. No way Kashit is winning it. In the past, many candidates visited Dixville Notch, but Kasich was the only one this year.
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Feb 9, 2016 12:45
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Thump! posted:Has New Hampshire made Gilmore the POTUS yet? He’s only behind by nine votes!
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Feb 9, 2016 13:37
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If ˇJeb! somehow pulls off second, they might as well hand Trump the nomination. Kasich or Christie would have an uphill battle, but they’re workable candidates. ˇJeb! is a low‐energy loser. Rubio is somewhere in between. e: Yeah, Kasich and Christie lack ˇJeb!’s resources, but with a strong second‐place finish (“strong” compared not to Trump, but to third place), they’ll get resources fast. Platystemon has issued a correction as of 14:17 on Feb 9, 2016 |
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Feb 9, 2016 14:13
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| # ¿ May 10, 2024 08:41 |
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NH SOS posted the write‐in tables. Dem | Rep Of course every major candidate got write‐ins in the other party’s primary, but other highlights include: Sarah Palen [sic] got a vote in the Republican primary. Sheriff Joe Arpaio got a write‐in from Merrimack county in the Democratic primary.
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Feb 13, 2016 14:14
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