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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mRAE5tx7y4

WHERE CAN I WATCH THIS?

http://www.c-span.org/ will have coverage throughout the night

In addition, these streaming sites often show the cable networks, which will be covering it.

http://www.livenewschat.eu/
http://www.stream2watch.co/live-tv/us/
http://www.hulkusc.com/

Please suggest in the thread any other streams.

RESULTS

http://www.wmur.com/politics/2016-full-new-hampshire-presidential-primary-election-results/37649066

IRC

https://client00.chat.mibbit.com/?server=EU.synirc.net%3A%2B7001&channel=%23Poligoon

VOTING

Voters will, for the first time, be required to show an ID in order to vote. Valid forms of ID include a NH driver's license, NH DMV non-driver ID card, military ID card, passport, or a student ID card from most schools and college in New Hampshire.

New Hampshire is a "mixed" primary, meaning that people who are registered and affiliated with a political party may only vote in that party's primary. You may change your party affiliation at the primary, but you will not be able to vote in the primary if you do so. If you are registered and officially "unaffiliated" with either party, you may vote in either party's primary. Doing so will officially affiliate you with that party, though you may change your affiliation at a later date.

Voters may register to vote at the polling location.

POLL TIMES

Midnight: Polls open and close in Hart's Location (41 RVs), Millsfield (22 RVs), and Dixville (9 RVs). By law, polls are not allowed to close before 7pm unless all voters in the township have voted, so these locations get 100% voter participation, though some have already voted by absentee ballot.

7-8am: Polls open in most locations.

11am: All polls must open by this time.

7pm: All polls, except those in New Hampshire's 13 cities, must close. Networks will begin reporting results at this time.

8pm: All polls close.

REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES

  • Bush, John Ellis "Jeb"
  • Carson, Benjamin Solomon "Ben", Sr.
  • Christie, Christopher James "Chris"
  • Comley, Stephen Bradley, Sr.
  • Cook, Timothy "Tim"
  • Cruz, Rafael Edward "Ted"
  • Cullison, Brooks Andrews
  • Drozd, Matt
  • Dyas, Jacob Daniel "Daniel", Sr.
  • Fiorina, Carleton Sneed "Carly"
  • Gilmore, James Stuart "Jim", III
  • Graham, Lindsey Olin
  • Huckabee, Michael Dale "Mike"
  • Huey, Kevin Glenn
  • Iwachiw, Walter N.
  • Jindal, Piyush "Bobby"
  • Kasich, John Richard
  • Lynch, Frank
  • Mann, Robert Lawrence
  • Martin, Andy
  • McCarthy, Stephen John
  • Messina, Peter
  • Pataki, George E.
  • Paul, Randal H. "Rand"
  • Prag, Chomi
  • Robinson, Joe
  • Rubio, Marco A.
  • Santorum, Richard John "Rick"
  • Trump, Donald John, Sr.
  • Witz, Richard P.H.
  • Uncommitted
  • Write-in

REPUBLICAN PROCESS

23 National Convention delegates are to be bound proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide [RSA 659:93].

A 10% threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates.

Allocate delegates based on the 23 × candidate's vote ÷ total statewide vote. Round to the nearest whole number.

Any delegate positions that remain open are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total.

DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES

  • Adams, Jon
  • Burke, Steve
  • Clinton, Hillary Diane Rodham
  • De La Fuente Guerra, Roque "Rocky"
  • Elbot, Eric
  • French, William D.
  • Greenstein, Mark Stewart
  • Hewes, Henry
  • Hutton, Brock C.
  • Judd, Keith Russell
  • Kelso, Lloyd Thomas
  • Lipscomb, Steven Roy
  • Locke, Star
  • Lovitt, Robert
  • McGaughey, William H., Jr.
  • Moroz, Raymond Michael
  • O'Donnell, Edward T., Jr.
  • O'Malley, Martin Joseph
  • Sanders, Bernard "Bernie"
  • Schwass, Graham
  • Sloan, Sam
  • Sonnino, Edward
  • Steinberg, Michael Alan
  • Supreme, Vermin
  • Thistle, David John
  • Valentine, James
  • Weil, Richard Lyons
  • Wolfe, John
  • Uncommitted
  • Write-in

DEMOCRATIC PROCESS

24 of 32 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's New Hampshire Presidential Primary.

A mandatory 15 percent threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be pledged National Convention delegates at either the congressional district or statewide level.

16 district delegates are to be pledged proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State's 2 congressional districts.

In addition, 8 delegates are to be pledged to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide. (5 at-large National Convention delegates and 3 Pledged PLEOs).

Finally, 8 delegates from New Hampshire will attend the convention unbound: the 5 Democratic National Committee members, 2 members of Congress (1 Senator, 1 Representative), and 1 Governor.

Joementum has issued a correction as of 03:00 on Feb 10, 2016

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Some hold rallies, some hold parties. Only one holds a "celebration". #StillStanding

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

THA TITTY THRILLER posted:

I thought I had my mind made up on Sanders, but I'm interested in hearing more about this Star Locke.

EDIT: Oh wow, the reality is much more racist than the name lead me to believe.

Sure, he might be a huge racist, but he's got a foolproof plan to fund education using bottle deposits.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

potato of destiny posted:

New Hampshire doesn't exactly have the strictest ballot access requirements in this great land, do they?

To get on the ballot you give the Secretary of State a check for $1,000. That's it.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Yeah, unfortunately there's a lot of that in the Democratic candidates, like Keith Judd who you might remember as the guy who got 40% of the vote against Obama in the 2012 Democratic primary in West Virginia, despite being in federal prison.

Or William H. McGaughey Jr., Democrat, of Minneapolis who is running to restore "dignity for white people".

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Going to sleep now and when I wake up we'll know who 62 people voted for in the 2016 Presidential primary in New Hampshire. :)

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Jim Gilmore is only down by nine votes!

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Platystemon posted:

Relying on a sample like Dixville Notch is just asking for a “Dewey Defeats Truman” situation, basically. They’re great predictors, till suddenly they are not.

Scientific polls are as good as it gets.

Let's dispel with this fiction that Dixville Notch doesn't know what they're doing. They know exactly what they doing.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

baw posted:

so if rubio isn't in the top two here the slow-motion train wreck we've been watching for the past seven months begins to rapidly pick up speed right

Depends on who's is in the top two and what the spreads are.

If the top three are Trump at 30, Cruz at 20, and Rubio at 20, with the rest of the field splitting the remainder, then not much about the race has changed.

If the top four are Trump at 30, Cruz at 20, Kasich at 20, Rubio at 15 with the rest of the field splitting the remainder, still not much has changed because Kasich has no realistic plan past New Hampshire.

If Rubio and the Governors all tie at around 12%, then we're hosed. (Well, not really hosed, it actually just would make a Cruz nomination more likely.)

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Now if the top four are Trump at 30, Cruz, at 20, Jeb! at 20, and Rubio at 15, we're in for a wild ride.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Yeah, my scenarios also all have Trump in first, which isn't a sure thing either :)

The bigger point is that it's hard to see how Kasich or Christie could take a surge in NH and turn it into a viable campaign post New Hampshire. I think their ceiling is doing as well as Santorum did in 2012, able to hang on into the Spring, but unable to build the organization needed to take on a frontrunner when the contests start bunching up. Jeb! is the only one of the three with the resources to do that, but he's Jeb! so I'm not going to hold my breath for that to happen.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
I just remembered that Scotty B. endorsed Trump. :laffo:

https://twitter.com/SenScottBrown/status/697071092423327745

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/dbernstein/status/697085966952046593

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Quote of the morning, “After Des Moines, they’re calling it Gilmentum. Gilmentum, yeah, it’s what they were calling it after Des Moines.” ~ Jim Gilmore

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Everything is going exactly as he planned....

https://twitter.com/billyballsohard/status/696583088332259328

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
He knows that hotels have laundry service, right?

https://twitter.com/politico/status/697112999887249408

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mRAE5tx7y4

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/ClickHole/status/697119025810317313

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/ErikWemple/status/697134879536975872

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
New England owns.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

crazy cloud posted:

This is awesome what's it from?

http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2016/02/people-candidates-meet-new-hampshire

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Crisis averted.

https://twitter.com/FeliceBelman/status/697140985294426112

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Bqhatevwr

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Josh Lyman posted:

MSNBC just had a Republican voter on. He said we can't let Hillary wins because it'll be 4 more years of Obama, including stalemate with Congress.

Yes, because that's Obama's fault.

Let's dispel with this fiction that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
#DontTellAnyoneAboutTheBern

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:

Trump is the favorite by far in the last scenario, you just for some reason can't accept that possibility.

It seems silly to me to accept something that's not going to happen, but you do you!

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Quote of the day, "I am? How am I doing?" ~ Lindsey Graham, on being informed he's on the ballot.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Lyapunov Unstable posted:

Does anybody have a working MSNBC stream?

Check out the OP.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Only 15% of GOP primary voters say immigration was the most important issue :eyepop:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Chuck Todd just said "Joe Biden" :negative:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Interior Department trolling Jeb!?

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Vox Nihili posted:

Among Indies, Fox News is reporting:

Trump 29
Kasich 18
Bush 14
Cruz 13

MSNBC showed similar numbers for first-time voters.

If it holds, egg on my face. I didn't trust the ARG poll that Kasichmentum was real.

The bigger news is the Jeb! surge though.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

evilweasel posted:

So what's the worst-case scenario for the GOP? I'm thinking Kasich 2nd might just be it, because nobody is leaving the race now because they got beat by Kasich besides maybe Christie, and even if Jeb! loses to Rubio he's staying in if Rubio can't get 2nd.

Kasich in 2nd is bad, but Kasich in 2nd and Jeb! in 3rd is a nightmare for them. They need winnowing.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Basically sums up tonight:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
https://twitter.com/StevenWCVB/status/697192918629687296

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Secretary of State on the phone with the Attorney General about this at the moment. :lol:

Great job, New Hampshire. :bravo:

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
The Merrimack traffic jam is harming children :(

quote:

The traffic jam did no favors for the students trying to sell baked goods in the high school corridor to benefit a science olympiad, as beleaguered-looking voters who had finally arrived mostly barreled past in haste toward the gymnasium -- despite creative entreaties from one student touting “Bernie brownies,” “Cruz cupcakes,” and “Chris Christie crispy treats.”

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