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VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

AndreTheGiantBoned posted:

A question about marxism.
One important concept of marxism in economics is the definition of value of labour per se. If I am not mistaken, that concept is outdated, and superseded by today's economics definition of value, which is what someone is willing to pay for something. Although the latter for sure does not cover many aspects, it seems to be much better than the former.

In what it concerns history, marxism defends that history moves in the direction of full communism. I think that this is nonsense. Even if it is a possible outcome, why would it be the only possible outcome of history? The world seems to be more and more locked in a neo-liberal hellscape. It sounds more like a concept for rallying communists.

So, the question is, with two of its core concepts being outdated or disprovable, why do people throw the word "marxism" around as if it is still fit to describe the current reality? Are there other important aspects of marxism that are still relevant? Or is it just a marker for "socialist, fair society that we would like to live in", and each person interprets it as they want?
To me the primary meaning of being a Marxist is that I believe that democracy an capitalism are incompatible in the long term.

Marx himself believed that democracy will win during that inevitable collapse, leading (eventually) to a non-capitalist democratic society.
Modern history has indeed shown that a non-democratic capitalist society is actually more likely then Marx assumed.
But that is far from a fundamental argument in Marxism. And unless you consider fascism a reasonable goal refuting it won't point me towards your own political goals.

I don't actually know enough theory to argue for the LtV. But you can look at places where a simple application of LtV strongly disagrees with the current economic consensus. And you often find the LtV being closer to correct. Most blatant example is when in 2000-2008 the Market theorists predicted that everything is fine, while the LtV predicted that all those profits which are unconnected to labor are evidence for the existence of a bubble which will collapse soon.

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VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Owling Howl posted:

Farming is by definition ecologically destructive and harmful so your choice is whatever you personally feel is less bad. There's no good way to wipe out a forrest with thousands of species of plants and trees and the vast variety of insects and animals that live there in order to plant one type of grass. Ok so the grass is not genetically identical and you're not using pesticides. Fine but that forrest with all its variety is still gone. The idea that it's better is like saying a forrest fire is less bad because you didn't use chemicals to limit its spread. Sure more forrest was destroyed but it was destroyed in the right way!

I don't have a problem with banning all pesticides or exclusively growing heirlooms or whatever but you're just trading one bad thing for another. You're still loving the planet just in a different position.
By that definition reforestation is ecologically destructive and harmful.
A lot of those fields haven't been forests for so long that species have evolved that rely on them. Especially with the older field/hegerow pattern.

And stopping all forest fires is obviously harmful for the species that rely on forest fires. I can't even imagine why anybody would think otherwise.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
Farmers vote for policies that favor "Farmers", by which they mean the people who own the debt/stocks of the farms/agribusinesses.

Same as with artists, and probably all fields where independent workers/small businesses are perceived as being the norm.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Private Speech posted:

I think it might be a mistake for socialism to espouse limited consumption in the developing world - it's already hard enough to get people on your side when you promise them their lives will get significantly better, it'd be harder still if it were "actually you can't have nice things under socialism either, but we'll tell it to you straight instead of making empty promises like capitalism".

It's something almost all socialist movements that have succeeded politically ultimately acquiesced to. Aside from Pol Pot, but let's not talk about that given the mass murder that was involved.

A devastated planet under global socialism would ultimately still be better than devastated planet under capitalism that we are heading towards.
Limiting consumption in the developing world might not be necessary. While they might be a bit optimistic, I have read estimates that the current worldwide median standard of living can be sustainable. Which means that even under eco-socialism the poorer half of the world population would be better of then now.

Even under more pessimistic assumptions, the poorest 2 billions would likely be better of then now.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

V. Illych L. posted:

e. the point being, the EU is manifestly and actively anti-left and it's bizarre to me that (some) left-wingers see being in favour of the EU as a natural left-wing position to have

Have you ever heard what the far right says about the EU? I am trying to imply that all pro EU leftists are taking the opposite position to the fascists and then neglecting to examine the resulting position.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Omon Ra posted:

What do you want to discuss about those news? Why should Europe enable the propaganda of a hostile state that just invaded a country, and why would Europe want Putin to stay in power?

A lot of people in Europe want Putin to stay in power. It is one of the reasons he thinks he could get away with invading Ukraine.
Because the demonstrations against him are headed by the communist and other groups far left of him, which means any plausible replacement would be a communist. That is why they are generally missing in most news reports about the invasion.
I personally do think him being deposed in a liberal or communist revolution or even election would be the best possible outcome.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

morothar posted:

How do you get “life satisfaction” if you’re sick?

From what I understand it generally comes from not speaking English and having the translation you are given imply different things then in English.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

punk rebel ecks posted:

I'm actually surprised that she actually has legit good things in her platform.

Maybe my mind is too American but often thinks "right wing = never helping people under any circumstances".

Many right wing parties in Europe promise a lot of help to poor people. And not only the radical right, but surprisingly far into the centre. Delivering on those promises is another question entirely.

But, from what I understand wasn't that also Trump's platform? Or was I misunderstanding that? I didn't follow American politics that closely when he originally ran.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
Everything I have heard about the subject suggests that unplugging standby devices became unpopular because of a law that demanded that manufacturers reduce their the standby power consumption to insignificant levels.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
It will "create jobs" what more can you demand of politics?

Tesseraction posted:

Don't worry, he has a plan to pacify the furious: https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1585210243042185217

Do you have more on this? They massively waffling and unclear between them wanting legalizing or decriminalizing last I heard.

VictualSquid fucked around with this message at 12:28 on Oct 26, 2022

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

What? German energy policy has been very much driven by the left wing. The Greens have been a huge influence in pushing anti-nuclear sentiment and anti-fracking policies in Germany over the last 50 years. And Schröder's SPD was the most influential driving force behind the reliance on Russian gas. All of those are completely accepted facts, and all of those have been hugely damaging, terrible policies.

Buying a huge % of Europe's supply of gas from Putin's Russia was always a dangerous gamble and likely to go against Europe's energy security interests. It was highly questionable from 2008 when Putin began his invasions, and completely indefensible since 2014 - almost a decade ago.

My "proposed scenario" is the only real world scenario for supplying Europe with the gas it requires that doesn't involve being totally dependent on evil regimes like Russia or Qatar. For all of America's faults its a far, far more reliable, ethical, supplier than Russia or any of the Middle Eastern gas states.

Which German parties would you consider not "left wing" in either 2008 or 2014? And do you think they would have implemented the policies you propose if they had been elected, instead of the "left wing" CDU?

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

stephenthinkpad posted:

Markel was going to extend the lives of the nuclear power plants, and then decided against it. That was a big moment in Germany energy history, as big as Nordstream blowing up.

No, she actually extended the lives of the nuclear plants.
Then she hopped on the post Fukushima hype and reduced the lives again. But, she did it in a pro-nuclear way. By which I mean she also assigned massive amounts of bailout money to the nuclear industry.

And that absolutely changed German energy history.
Specifically by making sure that everybody who argues pro-nuclear (or anti-Green) in the German context is actually arguing that we should pay more money to the nuclear industry in exchange for them doing absolutely nothing.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

stephenthinkpad posted:

Do Germans actually believe pro nuclear is "anti green"?

Maybe they should just nationalize the NPP so they don't have to argue about putting money in the nuclear future.

Or do a "Airbus" jointed venture with France but on the NPP industry.

Within electoral politics, absolutely. Name a party that is pro-nuclear and not anti-green. And that is with us only considering the current situation.

And this discussion got to Germany with someone arguing that the CDU is "left wing". And implying that to be pro-nuclear you need to be more right wing.
I literally consider convincing the green party to be pro-nuclear more realistic then convincing the CDU or AFD to be anti-grift or pro-nationalisation.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

DeadlyMuffin posted:

Plenty of vocal opposition to nuclear power comes from hippie tree-hugging lefties. It seems to be something of a generational thing: I know several older hippy types who are completely irrational about all things nuclear. It wasn’t enlightened centrists protesting against building new nuclear power plants, or transporting waste.

So you believe that protests have more responsibility for government policy decisions then the actual government?
That implies that the best way to more nuclear power is to elect the green party into majority coalition partner status. Because then they will lose all their power and the resulting pro-nuclear protests will force the construction of more nuclear power plants.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

DeadlyMuffin posted:

I genuinely can’t tell what you’re trying to say here about pro-nuclear protests. Can you clarify?

Anti-nuclear protests have been successful, and did not require the protesters to be in power. Many of those protests have had an environmental justification.

I’m not arguing that they bear the entirety of the blame, far from it. But holding them blameless seems odd to me. The people who protested building new plants and transporting waste got what they wanted, for the most part.

Well you are saying that the Greens somehow dominate energy policy, while not part of the government.
So if the pro-nuclear movement wants to dominate energy policy, they should obviously use the same tactics. Which starts with electing the Greens into power, and then staging minor but impressive looking protests.

My actual believe is that the centrist "pro-nuclear" parties' power plant shutdown is primarily motivated by people like you. They know you will blame any of their decision on the protestors, and thus feel free to grift away, and do things like pay their donors to money to not run plants..

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Badger of Basra posted:

so what is you guys theory for why angela merkel made an anti-nuclear turn, if popular anti-nuclear sentiment isn't the reason

DeadlyMuffin posted:

This is not what I am saying though.

I’m not sure where the “people like you“ swipe is coming from here. I have no idea who you are, and you don’t know me either. I’ve been an advocate of fission power for a long time, ironically enough because I believe it to be the greenest option available. That is why I find the environmental arguments against nuclear power so frustrating, especially when I am talking to someone who I agree with on pretty much every point except this one. Having had these conversations with older hippy types, both in the US and Germany, who are very proud of the successful protests against new power plants or waste transport, I find the unwillingness to take any responsibility as it becomes increasingly obvious that it was a poor decision quite frustrating.

VictualSquid probably thinks it was me :-P

The Merkel government wanted to jump on the anti-nuclear bandwagon after the Fukushima disaster made it temporarily big.
e: I think because they wanted to distract from their other climate related inaction, but it might have been some other scandal.

Now if there actually was a pro-nuclear base within the CDU electorate you would expect those people to decide that turning off NPPs is anti-nuclear and stop re-electing the Merkel government. Which is why the CDU didn't seriously go anti-nuclear before.

But what happened what that the actually pro-nuclear voters followed the exact same arguments as presented by DeadlyMuffin and conclude that the most pro-nuclear action possible is to re-elect the government that is currently turning of the nuclear plants faster then ever demanded by the greens. Of course, without even attempting any protests, despite allegedly acquiring unprecedented proof of their effectiveness.

When I said "people like you" I meant people who use the same arguments as you are currently using. I suppose in this forum it is not expected that you have similar opinions to other people who use the exact same arguments as you do.


I suppose that the old cold war era anti nuclear protests did help with starting the anti-nuclear agenda. But primarily by cementing the anti-nuclear attitudes within the green parties. Then once the greens won elections on other issues they also demanded NPP shutdowns.

But the fact is that nuclear power was the first compromise the other coalition partners offered to the Greens. And then the shutdown was cemented by alleged pro-nuclear parties.
In part because of the moral hazard where those other parties could blame all negative outcomes on the greens.
And in other parts because gas plant shutdowns or gay rights are just much worse then nuclear shutdown to the average voter of a anti-nuclear party.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

DeadlyMuffin posted:

Most of your post reads like "yes the Greens were anti-nuclear but the real villains are those who conceded to them".

You're reading a lot of extra meaning into my posts that isn't there. My only real objection is to trying to absolve people who successfully fought against nuclear power from the consequences of that fight. Yes, cold war era anti nuclear protests did help with starting the anti-nuclear agenda. You feeling the need to couch it behind "I suppose" is an example of what I'm talking about.

Nobody ever says "we were wrong". Not even old hippies when I point out that had the power plants they protested against been built in the 70s and 80s Europe and the world would be in better shape. Not just geopolitically, but environmentally.

Yes, the real villains where the governments who made the bad decisions.
Even if that decision was to compromise with the greens on nuclear shutdown instead of coal plant shutdowns or gay rights.

Do you believe that the governments who shut down the plants have more or less responsibility for those shutdowns then the old hippies? And should they also apologise?
Do you believe that the people opposing those hippies in the 70s and 80s should apologise for declaring that climate change is not real?
And if you let this refusal to apologize influence your political decisions, which of those group's refusal is most important to you?
I am probably reading too much into your posts, but you seem to imply that that you consider the green movement as a whole more of a villain, then the climate change deniers that were in power during the 80s.

Also, the green parties have consistently demand a slow shutdown of nuclear and coal plants. Slow enough that all shortfalls can be absorbed by improved renewable power without any increases in fossil energy production.
The "replace nuclear with coal and gas" was the policy of the centrists who considered that their compromise with the green movement. I do feel like they have much more to apologise even on nuclear issues.

But, yes if I met someone who came to the green party for primarily anti-nuclear reasons they should admit that they were wrong about that specific issue. Though the ones that actually know that they were wrong are ready to apologise in my experience. The ones that don't apologise decide such because they still believe that they were right.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Owling Howl posted:

The reason I brought up GMOs is that it suffered much the same fate in public perception. In fact more so in that it was more or less banned at the EU level. Yet there are no corporate interests that stand to benefit from a ban.

Corporations obviously influence policy and public opinion but there are other mechanisms at work and they can be effective.

Yes, GMOs were chosen as a sacrifice by the centre the same way as Nuclear was.

The green protests demanded a stop of polluting energy sources (including nuclear, which was kinda dumb). And the centre compromised by shutting down Nuclear, but not coal or gas.

The green protests demanded a more sustainable/less corporate agriculture in general. And the centre compromised by passing harsh gmo regulations, but allowing nitrite abuse and factory farming.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

mobby_6kl posted:

I think we'll have a hard time untangling how much influence exactly which group had because each country has a bunch of them and different circumstances. But if you advocate kicking puppies for 50 years and someone finally does it...

Well, how exactly was that supposed to work, if you actually did shut down nuclear, coal, gas, and also let's not forget hydro too?

I am not sure if hydro was on the list att.
The green demands involved a process lasting 30-50 years, or even longer during which clean power generation methods would have been developed by well funded research. If that process had started in the 70s it would be done by now.
Or alternatively that well funded research could have led to actual studies showing that nuclear is cleaner then expected, or that running without nuclear was impossible.

The pro-nuclear merkel government (and their counterparts in other countries) stopped all of that. Except some flashy renewable generation that is primarily intended as an export industry, and didn't include funding for storage and transmission to make it reliable.
I am not implying that the defunding of that research by pro-nuclear governments happened because they were pro-nuclear. It was because everybody who identified as a pro-nuclear politician att was an austerity worshipper. Which is also one of the reasons why they never actually built new NPPs.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

stephenthinkpad posted:

Does the green know thorium based reactor is being developed. It's safer than the uranium reactors and its byproduct can not used for nuclear weapon?

Yes, the pro-nuclear wing of most green parties tends to focus on next generation reactors in our arguments with the rest of the greens.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

I've no idea how you got from my post that I think the CDU are left-wing. The CDU, CSU, FDP and AfD are the major not left-wing parties by any standard definition. The Greens even in opposition managed to move the overton window on nuclear power enough that some elements of their disastrous anti-nuclear policies were going to get enacted as long as any mainstream centrist government was in power. And would be enacted even more directly if/when they were in power as a coalition partner, as they were from 1998-2005.

Maybe from your complaints about the "left wing" government decision when talking about 2008 and 2014. I can only conclude that you consider the government at the time to be "left wing". I agree that that is not the standard definition which is why I put it in quotes.

And yes if the greens where closer to power, more of their anti-nuclear policies would have been enacted. For example we would have sufficient long term investment in infrastructure and storage to absorb the nuclear shutdown without relying on gas or coal too much. You seem to consider that a bad thing, I consider it a good thing.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
So you consider the nuclear shutdown under Merkel to be more representative of the European green position then the nuclear shutdown under Schröder. I believe the opposite.

To me the left wing anti nuclear position acknowledges the danger of fossil fuels. And thus it takes 30 years during which alternatives can be found. This was passed while the greens were in power.

The right wing anti-nuclear position assumes that the only danger of nuclear shutdown is to the operators shareholder profits. And thus they decide on large bailouts and quick shutdown. This was passed while the greens were not in power.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
So as you believe that the nuclear policies changes that didn't come from the greens are good.
Austerity politics in the Merkel years stopped all investments into energy infrastructure. You think that was good.
So you believe that the government should not build new power plants of any kind, but keep all currently existing ones running.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Doctor Malaver posted:

Why doesn't Euro have €1 and €2 bills, like dollar has? The 5€ bill is the smallest and a bunch of everyday stuff costs less. 5€ is 38 kn and we had 10 kn and 20 kn bills which served the purpose well. Now I have a choice of either paying every small expense by card (not always possible), or carrying around a pouch of coins. It actually feels like a step back -- now that we've joined the European future etc, my wallet is bursting at the seams and my pockets are full of coins.

Germany had 5DM coins before the Euro. There should have been a 2.5€ coin or even a 5€ if you want to think ahead inflationproof.
Anyways, the 5DM coin bought a pack of cigarettes at a vending machine. Vending machines accepting bills is still rare in Germany, and afaik the rest of the EU too, we skipped directly from coins to cashless.

I do think that that is at least half the reason.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Lord Stimperor posted:

My mums side of the family used to pay almost everything by cash. I remember her buying a new car, worth just a bit less than I took home in a year, in euro bills. Went to the bank with a stealthy grocery bag, and then to the dealer with the bag under her arm, head on a swivel. Totally not suspicious.

The time after that she paid digitally, but kicking and screaming. What if the bank, or the dealer, went bankrupt in the hours between the transfer and getting the keys? What if evil hackers waited until just then to hijack her transactions? What if the clerk receiving the funds just embezzled the funds? It was bizarre. Really had to step over her own shadow there.

My grandmother was the same, but she was old enough to actually see her government collapse which is probably the biggest predictor for distrusting electronic money.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

YF-23 posted:

Russia sadly holds a lot of institutional influence on the European left, leftovers of connections made during Soviet times. The good thing about that is that those people are slowly but surely aging themselves out of political relevance, and I don't know if the anti-Americanism of younger tankies is enough to sustain them in actual politics.

All statistics that I have seen show that the pro-Putin position has very little support on the left as a whole, even the far left.
With pro-Putin positions being overrepresented among politicians specifically.

I actually do not know if there is even anybody who has been elected as a leftist after openly expressing support for Putin's current invasion. As opposed to expressing such support only after being elected. Specifically the German "Die Linke" professed a neutral position on Nato/the EU in their election program, pre-invasion, and promised to support Nato in the hypothetical case where they get into a war on the morally superior side.
And now they are destroying their chance of re-election by supporting Putin.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Antigravitas posted:

There is no credible nuclear deterrent without a credible conventional deterrent.

The weak response in 2014 didn't deter Russia from starting an all-out ground war. A weak response to Russia's imperial conquest would absolutely invite Russia to test how much NATO members care about incursions into the smaller, weaker member states.

Russia has been pretty clear that it considers Moldova and the Baltics to belong to Russia. They have ample reason to be worried.

Yeah, and the Ukrainians spend most of 2014 to 2022 begging to be let into NATO. They did that because they believe that Putin would not attack NATO that directly and they believed that Putin absolutely would invade them further if they aren't in NATO. They were obviously correct on the second part despite NATO disagreeing with them, and I do think they are also correct about the first part.
Just like the Finnish post 2022 position.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
So, I just heard someone talking again about how in the US it is known that mail voters tend left and have for a long time.
In Germany it is known that mail voters tend right, though that might change recently. I did find stats for 2021 and mail voter went more to Greens and CSU; less to the Afd and different trends depending on erst vs. zweitstimme with the other parties.
Baffling, and almost certainly some rona influence there.

Anybody know how those statistics go for other countries? And the rumours about the statistics, I am almost more interested in them.

https://www.bundeswahlleiter.de/dam/jcr/8ad0ca1f-a037-48f8-b9f4-b599dd380f02/btw21_heft4.pdf


e: I did check the 2017 for comparison. And there are more votes for right of centre parties per mail and fewer for left. With the nazis and greens flipped around from the other parties and having the largest changes.
Looks like (open) nazis hated mail voting even before the rona, surprising.

VictualSquid fucked around with this message at 21:41 on Apr 13, 2023

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Libluini posted:

Something about this image seems wrong. I know Munich, because people in the Germany-thread keep talking about it and because it and its insanely high rents keep showing up in German media. How exactly is this "relative"-income calculated that Munich is put so far above the other German cities if your average income in Munich basically only gets you a closet nowadays? Is your living space not part of someone's "quality of life"?

This unexplained outlier makes me doubt all the other data, too.

I think it is just GDP per capita. So Munich blips as ultra-rich because people who live there earn enough to pay those ludicrous rents. While the people who live cheaper outside and commute into the city are in one of those barely above average income blips, presumably.
e: lol it uses some sort of dumb parity, yeah. Those all underestimate rent costs, and outside of rents Munich isn't actually that terrible.

The bigger problem with that graph is that the gap seems to be primarily defined by the size of the richest city. Munich and Seattle are relatively small, while London and Paris are relatively big. Leading to Germany and US having low geographic inequality by this measure despite having massive inequalities by reasonable measures.

VictualSquid fucked around with this message at 20:26 on Aug 12, 2023

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Tesseraction posted:

NGL it's pretty embarrassing that we (the UK), France, Italy and Spain are below loving Alabama even with our outlier regions factored in. To say nothing of being below Mississippi, the worst united state, without.

Maybe their "purchasing power compensation" assumes you spend 90% of your income on gasoline.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

Yes, but again, my point is that AfD have surged from under 1.9% ten years ago, and being regarded as extremists nutjobs, to now polling at 21% and being the second largest party in Germany - and still growing. Which is almost entirely down to the migration policies of the other major parties.

Their urban vote share being smaller than their rural vote share is entirely secondary to that country-wide growth. Its completely disengenous to suggest its just a rural party when its polling as the second largest party in some cities, and just got 9.1% of the vote in the most urban/liberal part of the country - Berlin's 2023 state elections.

Yes, all radical parties are getting massively boosted in recent years no matter the direction. Almost entirely because life in general is getting worse which favours radical politics over centrist politics.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

My thesis isn't that its the fault of just one fear, or that every fear applies equally to all AfD supporters, I've absolutely no idea how you could take that from my post. I listed a whole host of causes for fear of migration, and it wasn't even a full definitive list as implied by the 'etc'. I quote directly:

"What the modern left-wing parties generally don't do is actually address the fears of working class people of more strain on social housing/welfare, more competition for entry level jobs, more crowding in underfunded schools and hospitals, more competition for private housing, increased crime locally, fear of terrorism, fear of local cultural/social change etc."

Different ones of those apply to different demographics, its not uniform. Plenty of them also apply in rural areas. The fact that the AfDs support level is now both so high, and so widespread across all areas in Germany, would rather back this up.

"current German nativist tendencies need to be solved on a cultural level and through sensible social media regulation" - is absolutely the exact kind of refusal to engage with reality nonsense that was being debunked on the last page. You could completely ban all of Twitter, Instagram and Facebook tomorrow and the far-right would still keep rising in Germany, and the rest of Europe, because of the opinions of the working class being ignored on migration. Blaming populism on social media for right-wing support levels is a total cop out for the modern left's economical, social and cultural abandonment of the working class over the last 40 years.

All experiments I have heard of suggest the opposite.
Whenever a left wing party joins the right in pretending that killing immigrants would solve the housing/welfare/schooling crisis they lose votes. If they join in on pretending that crime commited by non-rich people is rising they lose votes.

That is because the people who share those assumptions have already found parties that support those "solutions". While the party loses the voters who actually want to solve those problems.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

I've no idea what "experiments" you're referring to but we have real world examples of left-wing parties adopting more popular immigration policies and recovering support very well. Denmark is the most obvious EU example recently, where the far right was very successfully defanged as a result.
There are regularly local chapters of left wing parties, including greens, who try pretending that immigration is actually the cause of all of current society's problems. The generally tank their vote in the following elections.

What is your proposed compromise position? You refuse to state it.
You can declare that all of societies problems are caused by immigration, or you can refuse to believe that.

Are you specifically arguing that left wing parties should start pretending that there is a mystical solution that can not be actually explained, but that should take center stage in all propaganda?

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

I'm not refusing to state anything, I would have thought I've been very clear in my stance that the modern left-wing parties need to have policy platforms that actually reflect the fears/desires of working class voters. Or else stop being surprised when working class voters decide not to vote for them.

This varies by country, but for example in Ireland, where I've seen the most recent polls, 80%+ of working class voters now want a complete halt to taking in any more asylum seekers from safe/not at war countries (the largest group last year, 20%, came from Georgia). Theres absolutely no need to "pretend theres a mystical solution" on this issue, the very obvious solution is doing exactly what the voters are telling you they want.

You still have not stated what position you want the left to take.
"We pretend that stopping immigration will help people" is already the centrist platform. Those voters are happy there.
"We will stop immigration because we hate poor people immigrants" is already the right-wing platform. Those voters are happy there.

Also is that questionary from Ireland one that defines working class as earning between "100k and 200k yearly", like the last graph you posted?

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
So you want left wing parties to choose definitions of "working class" that lead to graphs that support their policies. And to keep those definitions secret, I suppose.

I honestly can't believe that you can't find a party in your region that does exactly that. Here there are dozens, each with subtly different definitions and policies. Though the ones that end up hating immigrants generally identify as right wing.
And the most successful left wing ones are the ones that acknowledge that the working class contains more immigrants and other minorities then the bourgeois.

But, I would also say that it is becoming increasingly clear that your region is some strange place where everything is different from the rest of the EU, and you should take your advice to a regional thread.

VictualSquid fucked around with this message at 13:21 on Nov 30, 2023

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Angry Lobster posted:

Can a party be strongly nationalist and leftist at the same time?

I think left vs. right in electoral politics is mostly about self identification. So, theoretically there could exist one, but I have never heard of one.
The ones that might consider the statement tend to identify as rational centrist or some mysterious third thing.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.
I am still utterly baffled at the idea that your region has no party with the policy goals you demand. I am fairly certain that it is the only region in Europe where that is the case.
They generally do only get single digit votes because there is almost nobody who actually dislikes immigration and likes social services. Create one and find out if there is really none in your region.

Anyways, the German SPD recently became even more anti-immigrant, following their trend of the last 30 years, once again showing that your complaints are purely local or made up.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

I don't know if you're trolling or are you just completely and utterly unaware of the realities of European political systems?

The default in the EU in 2023 is that almost no parties of the traditional left reflect today's working class desires to heavily limit migration, if not end it altogether. And this is a major driver of why those parties have lost a huge percentage of working class votes to the populist right.

This has happened with the rise of the AfD in Germany, the RN in France, the Sweden Democrats in Sweden, the PVV in the Netherlands, the FdI in Italy and numerous others.

Huge numbers of working class, and lately middle class, voters across the continent are voting for these terrible parties pretty much solely on the basis of their being the only parties in favour of much more restrictive migration policy.

Its an ongoing car crash thats getting worse every year, and will end up with these parties in government sooner rather than later if nothing is done to listen to the concerns of the voters on this issue. And once those parties are in government they're not going to just change migration policy - they're going to roll back efforts to fight climate change, appease Putin, engage in rampant corruption, stack the judiciary etc - its going to be awful for everyone.

I have never met a person that hates immigrants and likes extending other social services.
There are parties trying to follow your argumentation, but almost nobody votes for them.

The SPD has been in favour of more restrictive migration policy for some time now.
Where exactly do you draw the line between "more restrictive migration policy" and "much more restrictive migration policy".
I am asking for the exact amount of hating immigrants that would convince you to vote for more social services.

VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

Which exact traditional major European left-wing political parties are on the record advocating for heavily limiting/ending migration?

The SPD's literal policy documents from the last German general election state:

Thats not remotely a migration policy that reflects current working class views, its the standard middle class/capitalist center-left pro-migration policy of the last 20 years.

The SPD has supported the brutalising of migrants at the EU borders whenever it comes to an actual voting decision, since the Schröder years.
I hadn't noticed that they are pretending otherwise in that announcement, but anyway the election you are referring to was one of the SPD's best results in years. The more obvious anti-immigrant push came more recently as reaction to the intensified Gaza conflict.

I suppose "traditional left wing" can be defined as excluding the SPD here. After all seeing anti-immigrant rhetoric as a bourgeois trap predates the communist manifesto and most "non-traditional left" attempts were more nationalist.

Anyways, you are saying you would vote for the SPD if they stated that they enjoy drowning migrants, but you would not vote for them if they continue to pretend that drowning migrants is a necessary evil. Correct? And that is more important to you then any other social policies, including weather if those people are actually drowned.

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VictualSquid
Feb 29, 2012

Gently enveloping the target with indiscriminate love.

Blut posted:

A deeply conservative, heavily religious, culture that impedes integration, promotes awful behaviour towards women, is often heavily anti-semetic, and is regularly violently incompatible with our hard won secular societies.

Similar problems would be occurring if Europe was taking in hundreds of thousands of white, hardcore evangelical Christian, gun loving, Trump voters from Alabama every year - its not about race in any way, its the problems of heavily conservative religion based culture.

Admitting in 2023 that we now know different cultures assimilate less well into Europe than others isn't racist, its just factual.

I have never been to ireland, so I will just grant you that those statement are actually true there. I just don't see how declaring that the irish are genetically culturally incapable of being working class would help the electability of any left wing party. This is an argument that has been ongoing since the days of Marx and the groups that accept immigrants have been consistently more successful.

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