- tsa
- Feb 3, 2014
-
|
Gallup polling from March 2008
28% of Clinton supporters would vote for McCain over Obama.
CNN article from May 2008 on exit polls
33% - 38% of Clinton supporters said they'd vote McCain over Obama while 12%-17% said they'd stay home.
In comparison less than 20% of Obama voters were saying they'd vote McCain over Hillary.
Seems pretty comparable. People always say they're not going to vote for the other candidate in the middle of the primaries and then come around by November. Through the other option being too horrible, their preferred candidate convincing them to vote their opponent, their hated rival candidate winning them over, or a combination thereof. Which makes a lot of sense because during the primary you're focused on the differences between one side's candidate instead of the similarities while also being in an ideological competition that is woven together with 56 or so mini competitions where your team wins or loses.
Major difference is bernie supporters are mostly young kids, it's hardly a reliable demographic to begin with. Who knows but a significant dip in youth vote (a return to pre Obama levels) this year if Hillary wins certainly wouldn't be a surprise.
Just look at off year elections for a perfect example, young people are the least likely to be scared to the polls. Or 2004 for that matter. Both are big contradictions to what you are saying.
You also need to keep in mind that hyper politicization across the voting spectrum is a recent thing, again even back to 04 this is quite evident-there were lots of dems that stayed home that year because they'd rather vote for a candidate they liked rather than vote against Bush. I would guess younger dean supporters were a big part of that.
|
#
¿
Mar 10, 2016 16:34
|
|
- Adbot
-
ADBOT LOVES YOU
|
|
|
#
¿
May 16, 2024 20:14
|
|
#
¿
Mar 10, 2016 16:34
