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gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

1stGear posted:

Is the drug problem in the country actually as serious as Duterte supporters claim?
Yes, there is a drug problem in the country. It's been a thing for a long time, and something that multiple administrations have tried to deal with, with varying degrees of success.

Here's a document from the administration of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, back in 2001, where drug trafficking is described as the #1 domestic threat to the country, with an estimated 1.7 million regular drug users, or about 2% of the country's population at the time.

It's not difficult to score drugs if you know where to ask and where to look. The slums and lower classes abuse crystal meth, which we call shabu, and then the cocaine problem is similar to white suburban America.

What's problematic is that Duterte and his supporters use it as leverage for just about everything that they want to do and justify.

The Philippines lacks the ethnic and racial tensions of other countries, so he's basically turned to drug traffickers and drug users as his fascistic "Other" of choice, with a side-order of indefensibility because it is of course exceedingly difficult to argue and advocate on the side of people who are otherwise literally breaking the law and shooting back at policemen and killing them.

This is going to be a clumsy analogy, but you know how Sanders drew flak for resting a lot of his campaign platform on "income inequality"? That institutional racism is going to be alleviated by taxing the rich and reducing the GINI coefficient? It's kind of like that, but with drugs.

That is, once Duterte cleans out the drug problem, it's going to boost the Philippine economy, because the country will be so safe that foreign investors will be better encouraged to come here. Once Duterte cleans out the drug problem, it's also going to resolve corruption in the government sector, because all those bribes and kickbacks that delay and overcost public works programs are apparently being done by high-level drug lords. Once Duterte cleans out the drug problem it's also going to resolve Manila's traffic problem, for God knows what reason.

gradenko_2000 fucked around with this message at 06:05 on Aug 25, 2016

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gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
On economics:

We keep making comparisons to Donald Trump winning the Presidency, right? One of the fears of a Republican President in the White House is that it would allow them to go whole hog on the Free Market ideology.

The Duterte administration plans to pass tax reform that will reduce income taxes, from 32% to 25% at the highest bracket.

This was another big bullet point of his campaign promises: economic literacy in the country is fairly low, and most people resent the gently caress out of having a big chunk of cash taken out of their paychecks for a government that they've been trained to think does nothing and isn't capable of doing anything, and not a lot of people know what progressive taxation and tax brackets are, so Candidate Duterte promising to lower taxes was a big thing for winning over middle-class voters.

But that buries the lede in the story:

quote:

To compensate for the foregone revenues from lower personal income tax take, earlier pegged by the Department of Finance at P139 billion, the Duterte administration proposes the following compensating measures:

expand the value-added tax (VAT) base by limiting exemptions to raw food as well as other necessities such as education and health;

increase the excise tax on petroleum products and index it to inflation;

levy a tax on sugary products;

relax bank secrecy for fraud cases, and

include tax evasion as a predicate crime to money laundering.

And this very Paul Ryan-ish follow-up next year:

quote:

The second package planned for passage in June next year will reduce the corporate income tax rate to 25 percent from 30 percent over time and simplify provisions to improve compliance.

And that's not all. The administration also plans to "reform" Estate Taxes as well.

All this coming from a candidate that ran on the platform of "the Aquino administration failed to let the entire country feel the economic bloom" is really disappointing, to put it mildly.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Disharmony posted:

To be fair with Duterte though, his heart is in the right place and has a can-do attitude that allowed him to pull off some surprising none-drug related poo poo faster than I thought. The 911 hotline has been doing well, the Freedom of Information bill, even the MRT is back to running decently (comparable to 5 years ago) - and its barely been two months.

My take on this is that Duterte knows how to get things done directly, because as Davao Mayor, what he said goes, but he doesn't know how to cooperate.

The 911 thing is under his purview as an Executive, so he got that done immediately
The FOI is an Executive Order that only covers the Executive, so he got that done immediately, but it's not the same as passing a bill through Congress.
The MRT's new trains were acquired by the previous admin, and yeah he threw out the previous admin's Transportation Secretary (who was a piece of poo poo), but again, under his purview as the Executive

But he can't stand criticism.

He picked a fight with the Chief Justice for not immediately having justices kowtow to his list of drug-involved officials, and he picked a fight with a sitting Senator for wanting to investigative EJKs.

And now the Senate is having hearings on whether or not to give the President special and emergency powers to resolve Manila's traffic problem, because the only thing he knows how to do is to do it himself, at his direct orders.

Kthulhu5000 posted:

Out of curiosity, what is classified as an illegal drug in the Philippines? gradenko_2000 mentioned meth and cocaine use as a thing, but how wide is the spectrum?

Marijuana is also an illegal drug*. Ecstasy is also an illegal drug. Does that help? I'm not sure what the scope of your question is.

* as in, super-duper Reefer Madness illegal. There's a very small millenial population that knows of the "legalize weed, dude!" belief, but a vast majority of the country still believe it turns people into the Hulk and you can OD on it and all that stuff, and legalization is not discussed at any level in politics.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Argue posted:

Edit: vvvvv Honestly, if you're middle class or above, aside from 911 now working (and laughably conflicting with Pizza Hut's delivery hotline), you'll never feel a difference in terms of safety. This whole thing is a big check-your-privilege reality check for me, and I'm annoyed that a lot of my middle-class Duterte-supporting friends don't.

This is absolutely true.

A lot of my friends completely bought into the Duterte hype because they wanted less traffic, less taxes, faster passport and driver's license processing, and general anti-establishment dissatisfaction (especially since the previous admin had some very latent, indefensible faults of their own). The anti-drug/anti-crime schtick was basically an afterthought compared to "I don't want the government to keep taking a quarter of my paycheck"

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Cross-posting from the PYF Awful Graphs thread:

gradenko_2000 posted:

A "matrix" of leaders and personalities behind the Philippine drug trade:



Combined with the Fox News quality graph on murder statistics earlier this week:


And this is shaping up to be a really fun administration for "truthiness"

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
There's a new Time article out on Duterte's anti-drug, anti-crime campaign.

quote:

But how bad is the Philippine drug problem? According to UNODC data, the highest ever recorded figure for the prevalence of amphetamine use (expressed as a percentage of the population aged 15 to 64) in the Philippines is 2.35. That is a high figure, but then the equivalent figure for the U.S. is 2.20, and the world’s real amphetamine crisis is among Australian males, where the prevalence is 2.90.

When it comes to illicit opioid use, the Philippine prevalence rate is just 0.05, compared to 5.41 in the U.S., and 3.30 in Australia. For cocaine, the Philippine figure is only 0.03. In the U.K., it is 2.40, in Australia 2.10 and in the U.S. also 2.10.

2.35% of the population falling into amphetamine use would roughly match the figures cited in the 2001 government letter of instruction I shared earlier:

gradenko_2000 posted:

Here's a document from the administration of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, back in 2001, where drug trafficking is described as the #1 domestic threat to the country, with an estimated 1.7 million regular drug users, or about 2% of the country's population at the time.

So the Time article's figures and the official government's numbers are similar, but Time helpfully points out that Australia's amphetamine, opioid and cocaine problems are much more severe, and yet Australia is not, last time I checked, a post-apocalyptic wasteland overrun by warlords and gangs.



Donkwich posted:

I dunno, I'm pretty nervous about the guy seen in "cockpit areas" (whatever that means).

It means a pit for cock-(as in male chickens)-fighting

gradenko_2000 fucked around with this message at 17:52 on Aug 25, 2016

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

PT6A posted:

Heroin is a "safer drug"? What kind of deadly-rear end poo poo is going around over there? Heroin and other opiates are killing more people here than any other drug by far.

It's not. It's really not.

It's just that shabu/crystal meth is the primary drug of the lower classes, while the suburbanites use cocaine and heroin.

So really all he's saying is "I don't want to have the police conduct warrantless house-to-house searches of rich-rear end people like we're currently doing in the slums, so I'm going to make the completely unsubstantiated claim that heroin and cocaine are safer so that I have an excuse to not need to do that"

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Background:

Last August 7, the President read and released a list of more than 150 officials that he claims is or was involved in the drug trade. The list is simply names, with no corroborating evidence, and no official charges have been filed against any of the people named.

Some of the officials named on the list were members of the judiciary. The Chief Justice of the country's Supreme Court wrote a letter to the President, clarifying that a number of the Judges named in the list could not possibly have had links to the drug trade anymore, because they're either dead, or resigned, or are handling cases and trials that do not involve drugs.

The Chief Justice also instructed her Judges to please not voluntarily surrender themselves (as others have done) until and unless charges have been filed against them. She also asked that they be issued licenses to carry firearms for personal defense (as the expectation is that being named as a drug-involved figure will leave one open to being attacked by vigilante groups).

The President then shot back with a threat of declaring Martial Law, if the Judiciary will not "cooperate".

This was followed up by a statement later in the week by the President's chief legal counsel claiming that he would be entirely within his rights to do so, given the purported gravity of the drug situation in the country.

Five days after the initial release of the list and as this affair played out, the President then apologized to the Chief Justice.

In the news today:

The President, in a speech, launched into a new tirade against the Judiciary when he said that the Chief Justice's emphasis on a need for warrants before making arrests would "promote anarchy"

quote:

“Madame Justice, you are again wrong when you said, ‘Do not allow yourself arrested without a warrant.’ [More people will die because of that],” he said.

The President said Sereno’s statements would promote anarchy.

“It is a very dangerous statement. You will promote anarchy. There is no anarchy under my watch,” he said.

The 71-year old Chief Executive explained that a warantless arrest was possible if a crime was “committed in your presence.”

Sereno earlier cautioned the judges identified by Duterte as those with links to the illegal drug trade not to surrender to any police officers in the absence of a warrant of arrest.

Duterte told Sereno not to issue such statements.

“Ma’am, I am sorry. But please do not give such statements,” he said.

He challenged the Chief Justice to walk on the streets and find out how his war on drugs and criminality had improved the situation.

“At no other time [is the] streets of Manila almost freed of criminals. [Walk the streets] ma’am and find out,” he said.

What doesn't make sense is that the Chief Justice was referring to a scenario wherein judges might feel compelled to turn themselves in just because they were named-and-shamed through the President's drug blacklist, or that judges might get "visited" by the police and "invited" to turn themselves in, sans a warrant. She advised the judges to not do that.

Whereas the scenario that the President is describing, of making a warrantless arrest if one sees a crime-in-progress, is entirely different and does not apply.

To say nothing of the direct accusation that waiting for warrants before making arrests will lead to anachy.

Within the same speech, he also related a story about how he once threatened to shoot a judge who didn't want to sign an arrest warrant during his days as a prosecutor.

[The quote is entirely in Filipino, so this is my translation]

quote:

These judges, they're sarcastic idiots ... even me, when I was a public prosecutor, I don't have to name them but, there was this one judge, I really kicked him. Kicked him right there in his office.

He didn't want to sign. So I was having my doubts about him, and the police were getting antsy. This motherfucker might have been working for the other side. I say to him "Judge, you motherfucker, I'll kick you out." He said, "Yeah? Go ahead."

So I went down to his office, and I kicked him. I told him "You want me to shoot you?" He said "No, don't"

And then the audience laughed.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Helsing posted:

So if the government is gearing up to purge part of the judiciary along with all these officials then is this essentially a coup?

The administration is, at least in their words and their posturing, absolutely looking to purge anyone who isn't going to toe the line on letting the President have his way on pretty much everything.

He's basically setting himself up to use his 90%+ approval rating and fearmongering drug trafficking as an existential threat as justifications to headbutt Congress and the Supreme Court all the way to a constitutional crisis unless they play ball.

I just don't know about the semantic tangle of whether or not that's considered a coup.

doodlebugs posted:

I was watching finipinio news on SBS and they talk in tagalog but they occasionally speak a complete sentance in perfect English WTF is up with that

The national and official language of the Philippines is Filipino, which is a combination of largely the Tagalog language spoken by about 90%+ of the population, plus loan words from provincial dialects, plus Spanish, plus English.

Except speaking Filipino fluently enough to use it 100% of the time is rare, and especially when there are modern words and phrases that have no good translation into Filipino. So most people fall back on reverting to English whenever they want to say something that Filipino either can't cover or they're not fluent enough to know how to cover.

Switching back and forth between the two is called "Taglish", or a portmanteau of Tagalog and English.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Ytlaya posted:

Given that the drug situation is not actually nearly as severe as Duterte portrays it, why exactly is Duterte so incredibly popular? I mean, Trump certainly has a significant support base in the US, but nothing near the almost ubiquitous support Duterte seems to have.

The first thing to remember is that drug-users are, more-or-less, indefensible.

They're somewhat of a perfect scapegoat for Otherization because even in a scenario where a person admits that the police and vigilantes are killing drug-users and drug-pushers willy-nilly, it's still very much an acceptable thing because for one they were already literally breaking the law (as opposed to, say, what happens to African-Americans in the US) and for another you're supposedly sparing the rest of greater society from other crimes they would have done had they lived or were not persecuted.

Whenever people bring up that summary execution of drug-users is a violation of human rights, it's a very common retort here to say that the people who were/will be raped and/or murdered by crazed drug addicts did/would have their human rights also violated, and why aren't you caring about those?

.

The second thing to note is that Philippine politics prior to Duterte is (at least perceived to be) very establishment, and very centrist. Imagine an Overton Window spanning from maybe George HW Bush on the far-right end, and Bill Clinton on the liberal end, with lots of patronage politics and corruption to boot.

And then Duterte runs on a populist, anti-establishment platform:

1. The Aquino administration's economic gains were a waste because it wasn't felt by the common man
2. There is lots and lots of corruption in the system, which slows everything to a crawl, including physically slowing everything to a crawl because the previous administration failed to address the traffic problem in Manila
3. The drug problem is severe and dire and the people are tired of criminality
4. I, Rodrigo Duterte, can fix all these because during my time as Davao Mayor, I rid the city of crime so that people feel safe walking along the streets, I implemented a 911 system which shows that I can cut through all of the bureaucratic red tape, and I have instituted reforms which made Davao a model city, something that even the previous administration has acknowledged
5. The outgoing administration wants you to vote for their next Liberal Party candidate in the name of consistency and continuation with the previous administration. That would be wrong, because you're just going to get 6 more years of bad rule. Vote for me. I will upend the system, and my campaign slogan is "Change is Coming"

.

The third thing to note is that the Philippine presidential election does not have primaries and does not have run-offs. All of the candidates are running at the same time, and whoever gets the most votes, wins.

So Duterte wins with 39.01% of the vote. Mar Roxas, the candidate from Aquino's Liberal Party trying to run on an image of incumbency, comes in second place with 23.45% of the vote. Grace Poe, another moderate liberal that ran as an independent, got 21.39% of the vote. And then Jejomar Binay, the kleptocratic former Vice President, got 12.73% of the vote.

To put this in perspective, imagine a four-way race between Donald Trump 2016, John Kerry 2004, Joe Lieberman 2000, and Jeb Bush 2016 (and the outgoing President is Jimmy Carter). Nobody votes for the establishment conservative (Jeb) because he's already been outed as a piece of poo poo, the Democratic vote is split between Kerry and Lieberman, and Trump wins with a slim plurality.

.

All of these factors combine to produce a nominally wildly popular President, because of the perception that he slew (or will slay) a lumbering, corrupt system, and especially since steps he has taken using Executive fiat in his first 50 days further reinforces the belief that he is a man of action that will get things done, goddamn the red tape.

The criticisms leveled against him as a brutish thug tend to bounce off of him because A. we're supposed to have already known that he was going to be like that going in, since that was already his image as Mayor of Davao and that seemed to work for Davao, so we're supposed to excuse it, and B. because of "well, who're you going to support instead? Everyone else sucks"-style all-sides-are-equally-bad thinking.

There's a bunch of stuff I'm glossing over or heavily summarizing, such as the polarization of social media within a 6-month period and Candidate Duterte's disinformation campaign, the real failings of the Aquino administration that made it difficult to defend against them, the background of how the liberal moderate vote ended up being split between Roxas and Poe, and others that we may eventually get into over this thread, but this post is long enough.

Ask away if there's anything you'd want to be elaborated upon.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Xelkelvos posted:

The FPTP thing in the Philippines is pretty maddening too all things considered. The whole government structure was copied wholesale from the US at the time iirc with little consideration as to how and why those particular things were put into place. With an essentially cemented two party system, FPTP is no different than most other forms of voting, but with more than two very large political organizations at play, FPTP becomes a nightmarish thing particularly because it seems there's no galvanizing reason to merge parties beyond "gently caress that guy/party" and once that's done, the whole coalition/makeshift party breaks apart because of corruption and favoritism or the fear of it happening to them, putting all of the people from one of the pre-merged parties into positions of power and all of the others told to hit the bricks.

You've been able to put into words something I've been struggling to express for a long time with regards to the party system in the Philippines.

Because it's absolutely true what you said - there aren't really any parties in the Philippines because everyone just jumps ship to whoever won as soon as the elections were over.

Like, international news made a big deal over how President Aquino had a Supermajority in both houses of Congress after the 2013 midterms, but nobody ever made the connection that the only way he pulled that off was because of massed Congressional defections from other parties into the Liberal Party boat.

And that happened again this year: the PDP-Laban Party that Duterte ran under was a rump party with one governorship, one sitting Senator and maybe a handful of Representatives prior to the election, but then just days after the election when it became clear that Duterte was the Presumptive President, they had tons of defections and were able to declare a Supermajority in the House, and then it was the Liberal Party that was reduced to a rump.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
http://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/iq/144331-data-drug-problem-philippines

quote:

EXPLAINER: How serious is the PH drug problem? Here's the data

1) The latest official estimate of drug users in the country is 1.3 million as of 2012.

Perhaps the first relevant statistic in any drug war is an estimate of the extent of drug use. After all, drug-related crimes ultimately stem from drug use.

In his first State of the Nation Address, President Rodrigo Duterte said that, based on data from the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency (PDEA), there were about “3 million drug addicts” in the country “two or 3 years ago,” and possibly 3.7 million now.

However, a closer look shows that relevant drug law agencies came up with much lower official statistics in recent years.

In 2008, a survey conducted by the Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB) estimated a much lower figure of 1.7 million drug users nationwide (1.9% of the 2008 population). In 2012, the DDB in cooperation with the Philippine Normal University came up with a separate study that put the figure to be even lower at 1.3 million (1.3% of the 2012 population).

Both figures actually represent a huge decline of drug users from the 6.7 million reported by the DDB way back in 2004. It appears, then, that the extent of drug use in the country seems to have actually gone down from 2004 to 2012 (6.7 million to 1.3 million) – or a total decline of 81% in 8 years.

The DDB attributed this steep decline to supply and demand reduction efforts, like "intensified operations" of drug law enforcement agencies and "drug demand reduction programs."

2) The number of drug-related raids and arrests in 2014 were the highest in a decade.

First, note there was a significant drop in drug arrests and raids around 2004, and the trend started to increase around 2013. In fact, the number of drug raids and arrests conducted by PDEA in 2014 was the highest since 2004 and 2006, respectively. The number of admissions into drug rehabilitation centers also increased to more than 10,000 in 2014.

3) Rehab patients tend to be male, poor, and addicted to shabu.

First, rehab patients are overwhelmingly male (around 10 males for every female), and the mean age is around 30 years. Nearly a third have reached some level of college while over a quarter have reached some level of high school.

The unemployed are more likely to be in rehab than the employed, while more out-of-school youths are in rehab than students. Three out of 4 rehab patients have a monthly family income of less than P11,000 (just above the poverty threshold), while the average monthly income of rehab patients is around P16,000.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
The front-page news in one of our national broadsheets yesterday was this:

quote:

‘Junkies are not humans’
DEFINE HUMAN BEING, DUTERTE TELLS RIGHTS GROUPS


DAVAO CITY, Philippines—Junkies are not humans.

That is how President Rodrigo Duterte sees drug users whose bodies are piling up as he presses his brutal war on drugs.

International human rights groups and the United Nations have raised concern about the killings, but Mr. Duterte, addressing soldiers at a military camp in his hometown Davao City on Friday night, said those groups should review their concept of human rights.

“These human rights (advocates) did not count those who were killed before I became President. The children who were raped and mutilated [by drug users],” he said.

“That’s why I said, ‘[W]hat crime against humanity?’ In the first place, I’d like to be frank with you, are they (drug users) humans? What is your definition of a human being? Tell me,” he said.


Mr. Duterte, 71, was angry at persistent criticism of his bloody crackdown on the illegal drug trade, which he launched right after taking office on June 30, with instructions to police to kill suspects who would resist arrest.

He promised bounties and protection from prosecution for officers who would kill drug lords, drawing criticism from UN special rapporteur on summary executions Agnes Callamard.

“Directives of this nature are irresponsible in the extreme and amount to incitement to violence and killing, a crime under international law,” Callamard said in a statement posted last week on the website of the UN high commissioner for human rights.

“Claims to fight illicit drug trade do not absolve the government from its international legal obligations and do not shield state actors or others from responsibility for illegal killings,” she said.

UN special rapporteur on the right to health Dainius Puras added that the fight against illegal drugs must “respect the human rights of each person.”

[...]

‘Use human rights properly’

In his speech to troops here on Friday night, he said those criticizing his war on drugs should use the concept of human rights “properly in the right context if you have the brains.”

“Now, if your gray matter between the ears is melting, I cannot help you if that’s your understanding,” he said.


The Philippine National Police chief, Director General Ronald “Bato” dela Rosa, told a Senate inquiry last week that 1,946 drug suspects had been killed since the launch of the campaign.

Of those killings, 756 were by police and the rest by other killers and the cases were under investigation, he said.

Police say the other killers could be vigilantes or drug syndicates, whose members are killing each other.

Mr. Duterte argued that the deaths were necessary because a war could not be waged without killing.

Military camps for rehab

He, however, asked the military to make available its camps for the rehabilitation of more than 700,000 drug users who had turned themselves in for fear of ending up dead.

“Give a little space, in the mountain, not here (in the city). You cannot rehabilitate these guys there if they remain (here). You have to isolate them,” Mr. Duterte said.

“And for those that cannot be repaired … these are really the (legally insane). They become dysfunctional,” he said.

Interestingly, Mr. Duterte has never referred to drug users as “victims” who can still recover from addiction, as claimed by individuals and institutions involved in drug rehabilitation programs.

Mr. Duterte claimed that experts from the United States had told him that continued use of shabu (methamphetamine hydrochloride) for one year would “shrink the brain,” putting the users beyond redemption.

He said his critics should understand the extent of the drug problem in the Philippines, where there are 3.7 million people hooked on illegal drugs.

“This is no easy problem,” he said. “This will pull down this country.”

Again, Mr. Duterte lambasted the United Nations and other critics of his war on drugs.

He said the United Nations broke protocols when it issued a statement expressing concern about the killings.

“When I was mayor, you can really criticize me … call me names. But these dimwits forgot that I’m now a President and I represent a country,” Mr. Duterte said.

“Do not go outside to the media and start blabbering your mouth because I represent a sovereign state,” he said.


Mr. Duterte said he did not care about what human rights advocates and experts from the United Nations were saying about his campaign against drugs.

“My business is to protect the people of the Philippines and keep intact the integrity of the republic. That is my solemn and sacred duty,” he said.

Please no one give this man a smartphone and access to Twitter.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

blackguy32 posted:

Super interesting. I work with almost all Filipinos (most of them seem to gravitate to night shift at hospitals) and some like that the voting system doesn't seem corrupt anymore yet dislike the current president.

2016 was the fourth election cycle that was done under computerized/automated voting.

The last manual election, done in 2004 and lead to the election of Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo (her first full term, but her second term in general) was racked with allegations of massive vote fraud.

So yeah, the actual winner of the elections notwithstanding, it's been pretty nice that the electoral process itself has been a lot more trustworthy.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
President Duterte tells Senator De Lima to 'hang herself'

quote:

MANILA, Philippines – President Rodrigo Duterte wants his fiercest critic in Congress, Senator Leila De Lima, to step down.

"[You should resign], you resign," said Duterte, addressing De Lima during a short speech on Monday, August 29, in Tacloban City.

Not one to mince words, Duterte even said if he were in her place, he would take his own life.

"If I were De Lima, ladies and gentlemen, I will hang myself. The innermost of your core as female being serialized everyday," said the President.

He was referring to De Lima's private affairs, including her supposed romantic relationship with her driver, that are now public knowledge largely due to the President's announcement during the Philippine National Police service anniversary.

Duterte, who previously blasted De Lima for "immorality," said the lady senator would make a bad example for women.

"[With all that's been exposed about you, you should resign. What kind of a role model are you to women? Can you tell them to follow you?]" said Duterte.

Last week, Duterte made public a matrix supposedly showing personalities involved in the New Bilibid Prison illegal drug trade. Senator De Lima and former Pangasinan governor Amado Espino Jr, now Pangasinan 5th District representative, are the two highest public officials in the matrix.

Emphasis mine. That's a direct quote, no translation.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Here's an interesting parallel to American social media. Remember the photo supposedly of Ambassador Stevens' body being dragged through the streets of Benghazi that turned out to be completely fake and was actually from Argentina?

The Duterte administration is also engaging in such antics.

quote:

MANILA, Philippines – If you are on Facebook, chances are you've seen the above photo on your feed.

Among those who posted it is Peter Tiu Laviña, campaign spokesman of President Rodrigo Duterte, to question human rights critics of the President.

Supporters of the administration have also spread the photo online, with other netizens sharing it as well. It turns out, however, that the photo was not even taken in the Philippines.

In an August 27 post, Laviña denounced human rights, bishops, and "presstitutes" or media outfits critical of the Duterte administration for their supposed silence on the rape and murder of the 9-year-old girl pictured above

"Truly revolting – Nine-year-old raped and murdered and we haven't heard condemning this brutal act from human rightists, bishops and 'presstitutes' who are derailing the government's war against drugs and crime. Among others, they are more concerned with the human rights of criminals and worried about our country's so-called 'image' abroad," Laviña said.

He added: "They clearly exhibit elitist mindsets in trying to keep up with the Joneses to be good in appearances but rotten to the core. Ngek! Our righteous battles against drugs and crime are fierce and relentless because we face the Devil himself. We cannot be soft or let our guards down lest we ourselves will be devoured and be defeated!"

Former senatorial bet Rafael Alunan III, another Duterte ally, posted an article about Laviña's remarks and hit critics for their "selective reasoning, cognitive dissonance at work."

But on Monday, August 29, a journalist debunked the viral photo, after finding out that the killing did not happen in the Philippines. The rape and murder of the child actually occurred in the municipality of Altamira in Brazil in December 2014. The victim's name was Evelin Nicole da Silva Sousa.

A quick check online would confirm the victim's identity and the crime through legitimate news websites in Brazil.

Critics have slammed the use of the photo, saying it is misleading and Laviña should apologize for "misrepresentation."

Rappler tried to reach Palace Communications Secretary Martin Andanar for comment. He has yet to respond as of posting.

This is not the first time fake items and news headlines have spread online, purportedly favoring the President.

Now, keep in mind that this is not some rando admin of Extremely Pissed Off Right-Wingers 2. Peter Tiu Lavina was the President's campaign spokesman during the election period.

And he's posting stuff like this: [Direct link to the actual Facebook post]

quote:

To win the war against drugs, we need to be resolute like #PresidentDuterte. There should be no neutrals in this righteous crusade against evil. Let those fence-sitting nitpicking Humpty Dumpties realize that they are derailing our total victory against this menace. They are clearly on the side of if not protecting the drug lords.

So it's not just like if Trump had won - it'd be like if you handed over the White House staff to the likes of Rob Morrow and Jerry Falwell.






And To elaborate on this not being the first time that this has happened, another marked incident occurred back in mid-April this year, wherein this image of Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong supposedly endorsing Rodrigo Duterte made rounds on Philippine social media:



It gained enough notoriety that the Singaporean Embassy in Manila had to issue a press release confirming that the image and the statement was fake

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Yesterday, the Presidential Communications FB page made this post (now deleted):



Problem is, it's completely made up

The 2012 UN World Drug Report, linked here as a PDF, contains no such metric, and especially since the report only covers regional groupings, of which the Philippines is under "East and South-East Asia" which is shares along with Brunei, Cambodia, China, the DPRK, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, the ROK, Singapore, Thailand, Timor-Leste and Vietnam.

===

Christine Amanpour did recently conduct interviews with both Senator Alan Peter Cayetano, who was President Duterte's running mate and now a staunch administration supporter in the Senate: Facebook video link

And then also Senator Leila De Lima, former head of the Department of Justice, now chairperson of the Senate Judicial Committee that called for hearings regarding extra-judicial killings

https://twitter.com/camanpour/status/770688547699294208

===

Here's a local editorial that tackles the current vibe of Philippine social media when it comes to political discussions

quote:

Here’s a classic appeal to emotion post by eugene_dlc1973 addressed to Gamboa: “Where do you currently reside? Have you ever tried walking alone in one dark alley of a slum area? Or have you even tried walking in the Malate area with your wife and a small child in the middle of the night? If you say yes (to) those questions, do you feel safe or (do) you keep looking over your shoulder while walking? Have you ever bumped into some kids (three to be exact), 15 years old or so, with knife and steel pipe (in) their hands, trying to decide if they just need to stab you or hit you with the pipe or both? Very courageous kids because they (were) so high at the time … Maybe you don’t worry about (these) things, because you are caged (in) a well-secured posh subdivision and travel in your luxury car and only visit high-end malls and restaurants, or maybe you are not even residing in Philippines …”

Instead of directly arguing against the legal, moral and practical points raised by Gamboa, readers like eugen_dlc1973 try to appeal to fear and guilt to assert their stand.

Similarly, supporters of extrajudicial killings often post on social media their now ubiquitous question: “Where is the Commission on Human Rights (CHR) when innocent civilians are murdered, raped and robbed by drug addicts?” There is a straightforward answer to that question—that is, the CHR’s constitutional mandate is not fighting crime but fighting human rights abuses involving civil and political rights, so they have nothing to do with daily crimes and police work. It is like asking where the nurses and doctors are (not the fire department) to put out a raging fire. But the emotion-laden rhetorical question suits those who would rather not see the CHR meddle in the government’s war on drugs.

quote:

Perhaps even more alarming is that up to 42 percent of the comments can be categorized as ad hominems. A reasoning contains this logical fallacy, according to the IEP, “if you make an irrelevant attack on the arguer and suggest that this attack undermines the argument itself.” For example, Magnetic Levitation writes, “Inquirer is a tabloid with tabloidic-minded authors. Be a real writer for once.”

And when an exchange turns personal, it often quickly gets out of control, with each party resorting to insults and name-calling. Instead of exchanging viewpoints and learning something new, the discourse degenerates into a childish, mean-spirited game of one-upmanship. Do_SJC, for instance, calls another reader a “Dutertard,” which is predictably followed by an exchange of “Sabog,” “Idiot,” and “Shonga.”

The rest of the comments (24 percent) are simple statements with no arguments to add. They are unqualified statements of support, a simple LOL, or totally unrelated to the topic.

It should be noted that this particular comments section does not include actual threats of bodily harm either to the author or other readers. It is not uncommon for readers hiding behind anonymous handles to become belligerent enough to issue dire, thuggish threats.

===

And finally, President Duterte is set to meet with both Obama and Putin

quote:

Washington (Reuters) — U.S. President Barack Obama is expected to meet with Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte on Sept. 6, and plans to touch on human rights as well as security concerns, the White House said on Monday.

"We absolutely expect that the president will raise concerns about some of the recent statements from the president of the Philippines," White House Deputy National Security Adviser Ben Rhodes told a media briefing when asked whether inflammatory remarks by Duterte about women, journalists, and others would be a topic of discussion.

quote:

MANILA, Philippines – Of all President Rodrigo Duterte’s upcoming bilateral meetings with world leaders in Laos, his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin is the one he looks forward to the most.

“That I look forward to. [I like Putin more],” said Duterte on Wednesday, August 31, on the sidelines of his event with overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Terminal 2.

Asked why he was excited to meet the Russian leader, Duterte said, “[We're the same]”

At first, he was coy about revealing why he thought Putin and he shared certain traits.

But as he pulled away from reporters, Duterte, with a mischievous grin, said, "[Maybe when it comes to girls]."

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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SynthOrange posted:

A statistic today puts the total deaths at 2000+. I thought it was still in the three digits. :stare:

Where'd you see it? The numbers can vary depending on how these deaths are being classified. Indeed, that argument over what death should be counted under which statistic is a point of contention going into the Senate inquiry into extrajudicial killings.

gradenko_2000
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Philippine National Police (PNP) chief Director General Ronald dela Rosa is set to visit Colombia “within the next month” to see for himself how they “won the war on drugs.”

quote:

Dela Rosa, who has been chief of the PNP for two months now, is among the key officials in President Rodrigo Duterte’s so-called “war on drugs.”

“[I’m going to visit] Colombia. [We have plans to visit next month],” Dela Rosa told Rappler in a chance interview on Thursday, September 1

When asked why he was going to visit, Dela Rosa said: “to observe [how they won, what they did to win the war on drugs].”

Critics have cited the experience in other countries such as Colombia, Mexico and Thailand in battling drugs to hit the Duterte administration.

“[Let’s see. But why is Colombia clean now? How come Thailand is now clean?]” said Dela Rosa, when asked about how critics mention other countries’ experiences in battling illegal drugs.

:ughh:

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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And that's not even the stupidest thing Senator Cayetano has said recently!

Cayetano doubts BBC story on hired killer of drug dealers

quote:

Senator Alan Peter Cayetano, one of the staunchest allies of President Rodrigo Duterte, expressed doubts on an international news report about a woman allegedly hired by the police to kill drug pushers and users in the Philippines.

International news agency BBC shared the story of Maria, not her real name, who carries out contract killings as part of the government-sanctioned war on drugs.

Cayetano, however, is unconvinced. With more than a million people wanting the Duterte administration to fail, it is possible that the news item is fabricated, he claimed.

Naturally. I mean there are one thousand and one, a million people, who would like that story to be true, or would offer a fake [story] to discredit the anti-drugs war, and the drug lords will do that,” Cayetano told reporters on Wednesday, August 31.

“[If that is really drug-related, why do you have to put a cardboard on the drug lord, right?] So you know, you have to think there’s an interplay of interests,” he added.

Cayetano said the reporter should be appointed to the National Bureau of Investigation for finding a rare assassin who would choose to reveal herself.

[The one who got the report, he should be appointed head of the National Bureau of Investigation because he was so good to find a gun for hire, out of 100 million Filipinos, who would reveal herself and would even pinpoint the PNP.]” he said.

Thinking aloud, Cayetano said it is a mystery to him how a gun for hire would want to reveal herself to anyone.

“[I'm not ignoring these reports, as there should still be an investigation. But it is a mystery to me that, first of all, gunmen for hire don't easily admit their roles. So we have to be cautious that we are not used. I'm not saying it's not true, but he is really good. If it is true, he should head the investigation team.]” he said.

And the head of the Department of Justice also has blinders on:

[Justice Secretary] Aguirre: Bank account of ex-driver received millions from [Senator] De Lima

quote:

The bank account that allegedly received millions of pesos from Senator Leila de Lima when she was still Justice Secretary belonged to her former driver, Justice Secretary Vitaliano Aguirre III disclosed on Thursday, quoting a former employee of the senator.

Aguirre confirmed that an employee of the Department of Justice (DOJ), Jonathan “Jong” Caranto, had executed an affidavit against De Lima claiming that she had instructed him to deposit millions of pesos to the bank account of Ronnie Dayan.

Caranto was one of two employees who had allegedly executed affidavits against her. The other employee was named in some media reports as a certain Edna “Bogs” Obuyes.

Dayan, on the other hand, has been tagged by President Rodrigo Duterte as De Lima’s alleged bagman who had collected drug payoffs for her.

Asked how the account would be linked to De Lima when it was not under her name, Aguirre said, “(Our investigation has not ended yet so we will still see how it is linked, whether it could be linked to her or not.)

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Vegetable posted:

Also great posts OP, really appreciate your detailed summaries. All I know about Duterte are his controversial comments. Interesting that he's for gay marriage -- how does that fly in a country where I assume people are pretty deeply religious?

The Philippines is, AFAIK, the only remaining country that still does not have divorce, so that should say something.

The campaign bullet points on Duterte's gender progressivism notwithstanding, same-sex marriages here are unlikely under a combination of the aforementioned conservatism of the Filipino culture, combined with the legislature being rather busy dealing with the President's War on Drugs, while also adopting Paul Ryan's economic plans when they get some free time to themselves.

quote:

Something I would not tax at all is inheritance of the family home. Not the 6 percent proposed, but zero. Why impose a heartless payment on a family suffering loss, and even putting at risk ownership of the house (many wouldn’t have the 6 percent and have to sell)? Home ownership is not by the husband or wife, or whoever else, but by the family. As long as the family retains the house, there should be no tax.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Reset the clock, because the President just had another hot take.

Duterte: Drug war's death toll just like Clint Eastwood, Liam Neeson films

quote:

For President Rodrigo Duterte, the rising number of casualties in his administration's drug war is far from alarming.

The president made this point amid growing international criticism from the international community on the spate of killings that started when he took office on June 30.

Duterte noted that films have been justifying the killing of criminals long before he took over as president.

It is always an eye for eye at the end of the day. Who taught us? The movie of — who is that? Clint Eastwood personified it that way and most of us saw the picture,” he said, noting how authorities could not simply let drug addicts kill innocent people.

What is the difference between Liam Neeson killing a lot of Europeans and Americans because of what happened to his daughter? That is the same thing that is happening. That is why the scriptwriter knows what happens in the minds of human beings and they write it and they make it into movies and they showed us and gave us an example and we think the movie is good and we should follow it,” Duterte added, referring to Neeson’s blockbuster “Taken” series.

Duterte then further said those films should have been blocked from screening if they do not set good examples.

“I could be an average family man. Now how about the Clint Eastwoods in the police department? If it is bad, it should have been not shown at all because it would poison the mind of the world. But since it was good and it was only rated R for adults, everything is now shaped up by the culture in the world… so what goes in the minds of Americans,” he said.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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CronoGamer posted:

Not to jump to conclusions but this is probably gonna be an ASG retaliation to his crackdown in the Sulu archipelago, yeah?

Pray that that's all it is.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Badger of Basra posted:

What does a "state of lawlessness" entail? Is it any different from a state of emergency?

We have our version of the Vox explainer articles!

A "state of lawless violence" was previously declared by then-President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo back in 2003 when mosques in Davao were bombed. NYT article

The difference was that this only covered Davao City, whereas the declaration made by President Duterte today is nationwide.

What is supposedly being invoked is Article VII, Section 18 of the Philippines' 1987 Constitution, which states:

quote:

SECTION 18. The President shall be the Commander-in-Chief of all armed forces of the Philippines and whenever it becomes necessary, he may call out such armed forces to prevent or suppress lawless violence, invasion or rebellion. In case of invasion or rebellion, when the public safety requires it, he may, for a period not exceeding sixty days, suspend the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus or place the Philippines or any part thereof under martial law. Within forty-eight hours from the proclamation of martial law or the suspension of the privilege of the writ of habeas corpus, the President shall submit a report in person or in writing to the Congress. The Congress, voting jointly, by a vote of at least a majority of all its Members in regular or special session, may revoke such proclamation or suspension, which revocation shall not be set aside by the President. Upon the initiative of the President, the Congress may, in the same manner, extend such proclamation or suspension for a period to be determined by the Congress, if the invasion or rebellion shall persist and public safety requires it.

I am not a lawyer, but the precedent established by President Macapagal-Arroyo is that you can declare a state of lawless violence, and therefore call upon the armed forces to prevent or suppress this violence, and that is different from a declaration of Martial Law.

That is, President Duterte specifically said he is not suspending the writ of habeas corpus, nor is he declaring Martial Law (not that he unilaterally could), nor is he making a request to Congress regarding the declaration of Martial Law. Further, that Martial Law is not and would not be appropriate in this situation since a declaration of ML requires an "invasion or rebellion", but if you only ever call it that first clause, of "lawless violence", then the need for ML does not exist.

And I'm saying all this from a "strict Constitutionalist" perspective, with maybe half my tongue in my cheek.




Talk is cheap, and like Argue I don't wish to make mountains out of molehills. The President did say that he is not declaring Martial Law, and that he is not suspending the writ of habeas corpus, which is good, but on the other hand, he has declared this state of emergency across the nation, and he has said the following:

quote:

Specifically, Duterte said he was allowing searches of motor vehicles at checkpoints.

"[You should stop at police checkpoints.] If you see a sign and there are soldiers flashing their lights, switch off your headlights, switch on the light inside your cars because I'm authorizing them to search," Duterte said.

"So if you do not have anything to hide, I am suggesting that you be liberal enough to understand us because we are trying to cope up with a crisis now," he added.

Duterte said the authorities received information warnings against an attack by the Abu Sayyaf Group, but could not frisk citizens at the risk of being branded "fascistic."

"They gave us the warning. Not only in Jolo, but in other places. We were forewarned, we were ready,"
Duterte said, noting that his top law enforcement and intelligence people were in Davao City for that reason.

"Unfortunately, we cannot frisk or order people to stop and search because that could be fascistic. Then that is not a democracy anymore. That is the price of being a democratic state," he added.

Duterte dispelled notions of his 'state of lawless violence' declaration repressing civil liberties.

"Any action at all taken by the security forces will be in furtherance to stop terrorism. And I am including drugs because there are so many killings unfairly attributed to the police," Duterte said.

"I have this duty to protect the country, keep intact the integrity of the nation," he added

The president also made it clear that citizen's movements would not be controlled, nor would there be random searches, as these would be "fascistic."

"Government is here with you, as much as humanly possible. We will protect everybody," assured Duterte.

He also called on citizens to be vigilant and cooperate with the security checkpoints.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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nopantsjack posted:

They post cautiously about not wanting to make mountains out of molehills as their blatantly insane president proudly sets up death squads. but he won't frisk people to stop a bomb and blames democracy and namedrops fascism.

I guess I'm sort of hedging my posting bets here because it's far too easy for me to go "see! this was all Duterte's plan! We're slipping right into being a police state!" Alex Jones-ish nuttery

And yeah, okay, maybe the literal imposition of Martial Law is actually becoming a police state in a way that Alex Jones' paranoid rants about Obama aren't, but still. There are a lot of people out there who are using this as cover to further rally behind the President, no matter what he does, and I have no wish to be tasteless or ghoulish.

https://twitter.com/moneyedCapital/status/771934588667060224

That sort of thing.

Argue posted:

CNN Philippines is reporting that the "State of Lawless Violence" is in effect only in Mindanao, Sulu, Basilan and Tawi-Tawi, and that there was a miscommunication regarding it being implemented nationwide. However, the guy who said this also said that it was "declared not only because of Davao blast but also for crime, drug war".

Edit: the wording isn't clear; it could be me who's misunderstanding it. Another way to interpret it would be "we actually meant to say it was nationwide, and it was a miscommunication that it would only be in Mindanao". Source here: https://twitter.com/cnnphilippines/status/771935844387131393

See, that's confusing, because:

https://twitter.com/inquirerdotnet/status/771918246341644288

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Argue posted:

I'm seeing a lot more of this than I'm actually seeing anyone "celebrating". I'm actually kind of offended that people think the anti-Duterte crew saw this and thought "this is my chance to jab Duterte" or "hah, they deserve it" (there's a popular post on FB right now where someone paints us as such).

That's kind of what I meant. I'm seeing more people go "LOOK AT THE LIBERALS CELEBRATING THIS!!! DUTERTE WAS RIGHT ALL ALONG!!!" than any actual proof of any actual celebrating.

And then there's also the people who are very transparently running ... can I call it an online false flag without coming off as a nut?


gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Romneysmirkafterbenghazi.jpg

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Nyarai posted:

Also, Duterte's nickname is Digong. Can anyone explain why? Google's been no help.

It's a childhood name rooted in the Visayan dialect.

Sephyr posted:

Asked a filipina friend for her take on the issue. She e-mailed me this back.


Last two lines are her own contribution.

Sweet Jesus :psyduck: This would not be out of place in the Crazy Political Forwards thread, and there's a ton of poo poo to unpack, but I will try and address at least two big points that haven't been talked about before.

quote:

You don't understand the depth of desperation until you've lived here. The things you hear in the news do not even scratch the surface.

We are angry, desperate, and frustrated, and we hope you can see that.

It will be back to Third World, most-corrupt-country-ever status for us.

This is the people buying into the administration's Ur-Fascist dichotomy.

The drug menace needs to be so powerful, pervasive and all-encompassing that we need to be willing to hand over our liberties and swallow whatever extreme measures the administration wants to enact in order to stop it. Why, if it were any other President, the Philippines would have been destroyed by now! Such is the existential threat we face.

But the drug menace is also vulnerable. The police are have taken in hundreds of thousands of surrenderees. They've broken up numerous gangs, arrested hundreds of pushers, and hauled in billions of pesos worth of drugs. The crime rate has dropped, and people feel more safe.

Because at the same time, the drug menace can also be defeated, within six months, even. So that we can be saved. By Duterte.

quote:

Duterte was forced to run for President by the Filipino people

This guy is 71 years old. He has nothing to lose (except his life, which apparently does not bother him) and everything to gain.

You know how in very early American history, it was considered unbecoming to campaign for President? That you were supposed to be drafted by the people and other people were supposed to campaign for you? It's kind of like that.

In the run-up to the deadline for candidates to submit their candidacy to our Commission on Elections, Duterte made repeated promises that he was not interested in the Presidency, and he did not want to run. Most people took him at his word, and the deadline came and went with him not filing, and everyone else doing so.

But there was a big stonking loophole in the Philippines' electoral laws: in the event of a candidate withdrawing their candidacy, they could be replaced by someone else within 60 (or 90? can't remember off-hand) days. So there was this one guy, Martin Dino, former mayor of one of Metro Manila's cities, that filed a candidacy under the PDP-Laban Party, which was Duterte's party.

It didn't take people very long to figure out that Duterte was going to use this loophole to jump in to the race months after the mudslinging had already started between all of the other candidates, but even then, he continued to say that he did not want to run for office.

And so there was this movement to draft Duterte. People organized rallies and meetings to try and convince Duterte that he had a base of supporters ready to go out and campaign for him, if only he'd throw his hat in the ring.

And this all culminated on the final day of the deadline for the loophole candidate-replacement rule, wherein the news was reduced to waiting at the Manila Airport to await Duterte as he flew from Davao on a private plane just to make the afternoon close of the Commission on Elections.

It was a huge deal at the time, because the entire set-up tugged at peoples's heartstrings all across the nation. They bought it hook, line and sinker that Duterte didn't actually want to be President, and was only doing this out of the goodness of his heart, and that we had nothing to fear from him being power-hungry because he never wanted the job in the first place.

It gave him a massively advantaged starting position in the polls, like a "post-announcement bump" that never went away until the elections.

===

This specific emotional appeal also allowed him to form an attack line against Mar Roxas, who was the candidate for the Liberal Party, which was then currently in power under the leadership of President Aquino.

See, Mar Roxas was supposed to run for the President in the 2010 elections, but when former President Corazon Aquino died in 2009, there was enough public fervor and sympathy that the party threw their weight against having her son, Benigno Aquino, run for the top spot instead. And so Mar Roxas stood aside and ran for Vice President instead, except he lost. But because Roxas "gave way" in 2010, it was sort of expected that he would run in 2016 even before Aquino was inaugurated.

So we're entering this 2016 cycle with a candidate, Roxas, who believes it's "his turn", versus a candidate, Duterte, who's made himself look like the reincarnation of Cincinnatus. And that allowed Duterte to form rhetoric that turned Roxas' partial-incumbency advantage against him. People didn't like the idea of Roxas' inevitability, and since he was due to "inherit" the Aquino administration and was running under their banner, the palpable failures of the administration were retroactively projected onto him.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Rodatose posted:

Did the Philippine-American War and its hundreds of thousands of dead civilians like, not happen, or what

The President has been really good at playing the xenophobia card:

The US has no right to even criticize the Philippines because their cops are shooting black people, and they invaded Iraq, and they're bombing innocent people in Syria

The UN has no right to even criticize the Philippines because they were ineffective in Uganda (and Uganda was much worse!), and the head of their Human Rights Council is from Saudi Arabia which has a much worse human rights violation record, and they've been unable to stop the Syrian Civil War


And then this recent attack is going to let them play that up even more by shifting some of the blame onto America: if only the US hadn't created ISIS by destabilizing the Middle East, we wouldn't have this radical Islamist problem in Mindanao right now.

And when American police kill African-Americans, those people are ostensibly innocent. When the Philippine police end up killing people, they're killing drug dealers and drug pushers who were fighting back, and is that not completely justifiable? All they're doing is ridding society of its worst elements, after all.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/580203/news/nation/duterte-on-discussing-human-rights-with-obama-nobody-has-the-right-to-lecture-me

quote:

President Rodrigo Duterte on Monday said he does not owe US President Barack Obama any explanation regarding the issues on extrajudicial killings and human rights abuses hounding his three-month-old administration.

"The Philippines is not vassal state. We have long ceased to be a colony of the United States," Duterte said at a press briefing in Davao City before leaving for Laos for the ASEAN Summit where he is expected to meet with Obama.

“You must be respectful. Do not throw away questions and statements. [You motherfucker, I'm going to cuss you out right there in the middle of the forum. Don't do that to me.] Tell that to everybody,” the President snapped.

Duterte, who is being criticized for his bloody war against illegal drug syndicates, also blasted unnamed columnists for acting like "lapdogs" of Obama and the US.

"I do not respond to anybody but to the people of the Philippines. [I don't care about him.] Who is he?" Duterte said before noting what happened when the US occupied the Philippines before World War II.

“As a matter of fact, he has so many—America has one too many to answer for the misdeeds in this country. [Up to now we still haven't had even a whisper of an apology from them.] That is the reason why Mindanao continues to boil. [You said], that was the last century, [that those wounds are] from generation to generation. As a matter of fact, we inherited this problem from the United States. Why? Because they invaded this country and made us their subjugated people,” the President lashed out.

Despite everything he said, Duterte clarified that he is not going to pick a fight with Obama, but continued to stress Philippines' independence.

“There are a lot of you so much about extrajudicial killings then connect it with Obama. I do not want to pick a quarrel with Obama, but certainly I would not appear to be beholden to anybody… This is an independent country. Nobody has the right to lecture on me. God. Do not do it,” he said.

[You want] the right word? [We're going to treat each other like pigs if you try to do that to me]. I do not accept that preposition that anybody is superior that me. We are supposed to be equal there. My country might be small, hardly keeping up with the economic problems but I will not allow myself—[you insult me, you insult the entire Filipino people],” Duterte then warned.

On September 2, White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest said that Obama will not pull any punches on human rights during his meeting Duterte.

Meanwhile, Duterte previously said that Obama needs to listen to him and understand the illegal drug situation in the country first before discussing human rights issues during their bilateral meeting.

Despite the growing international criticisms against his campaign versus drugs, Duterte is firm that this war will not end until there are no more pushers in the streets.

[If you won't stop dealing drugs]—the campaign against drugs will continue. [Many people will due because of it]. Plenty will be killed until the last pusher is out of the streets. Until the drug manufacturer is killed, we will continue and I will continue and I do not give a poo poo to anybody observing my behavior,” the President maintained.

"It will continue until such time I can proclaim to the nation that we are drug-free. And that is my only purpose in this presidency, so be it. If you remove me because of the killings, then it shall be so," Duterte stressed.

The President then turned the table and slammed the US for the supposed human rights violations against migrants.

"Everybody has a terrible record of extrajudicial killing. Why make an issue of fighting crime? [He can't even handle his own problems over there at the Mexican border]. Look at the human rights of America along that line. The way they treat the migrants there," Duterte pointed out.

[translations] are all mine.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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It's probably that things just aren't that bad enough yet to justify a chilling of relations.

Like, I'm not saying Obama is Reagan, but the US didn't do anything about Marcos except prop him up while he was still firmly in power, and then told him to get out of town once it was clear that he wasn't.

A policy which itself (correct me if I'm wrong) was also similar to how the US responded to Egypt during the Arab Spring.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Tarantula posted:

It might buy you some cool points at home

That's it. That's entirely it.

He knows that there's enough of a contingent of the Filipino people that want to reject a "colonial mentality" enough that he can get away with it and his approval ratings will still shoot up.

Like, I've seen even moderates go "I mean, he may have been foul-mouthed, but he does have a point, the US shouldn't be meddling"

(which, of course the flaw in that reasoning is that yes, the US and the rest of the world are entirely entitled to give a poo poo about how the government conducts our war on drugs, because these are internationally-recognized human rights)

gradenko_2000 fucked around with this message at 03:39 on Sep 6, 2016

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Y-Hat posted:

The first exposure I had to Duterte was someone posting on Facebook that his presidency is what would happen if someone based their political platform on YouTube comments. It's not far off the mark. How likely is a Marcos-style state of emergency in the future, what would start it, and how long would it take before Duterte says "gently caress everything" and implement it?

http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2016/09/04/1620388/panelo-state-lawlessness-being-drafted-even-davao-blast

quote:

MANILA, Philippines — Chief presidential legal counsel Salvador Panelo on Sunday clarified that the proclamation of a “state of lawlessness” was already planned even before the night market blast in Davao City.

[The State of Lawlessness was not triggered by the explosion in Davao]. Actually, [that was already in the planning stage],” Panelo said in a radio interview with dzBB.

“In fact, [we were already drafting a proclamation before it happened],” he added.

Panelo said the executive order on the state of lawlessness would most likely be released on Sunday or Monday. Duterte on Saturday morning made the declaration and called on the military to suppress lawless violence.

The chief presidential legal counsel explained there were four factors that prompted Duterte to declare a state of lawless violence which include the anti-illegal drug campaign, criminality, terrorism and the Abu Sayyaf Group. He clarified that this state would be applied nationwide and not in just in Davao City.

[The problems I cited are also nationwide. Terrorism isn't just focused on Davao. The terrorists are also targeting Metro Manila, and all the large cities, they're planning on blowing us up here as well. So why would you localize the declaration],” Panelo said.

[The] drug men are all over the land, [and so is criminality so we really have to make it nationwide],” he added.

Panelo said despite tightened security measures, the public should not worry about a possible martial law and that the writ of habeas corpus would not be suspended. He said a curfew would depend on security forces while there will be increased checkpoints in various areas.

[This is so that the President can use the Armed Forces and we would have a much stricter rule of law ... nothing has changed], our normal activities every day,” Panelo concluded.

This, on top of Duterte having already previous threatened the imposition of Martial Law, and this Panelo person that followed-up the President's statement with how it would have been totally justified had he done so.

So while I emphatically believe that the Davao incident was not an "inside job", I am also firmly in the belief that the government is just waiting for the right time and opportunity to either make a justifiable declaration of Martial Law, or to simply erode civil liberties via other means to the point where it's de facto Martial Law anyway.

And a lot of his rhetoric has been to shift public opinion in a way that would make it acceptable.

To wit, there wasn't an immediate huge public outcry when Marcos declared Martial Law, because a significant chunk of the population accepted it as a necessary step to curb a Communist insurgency. Playing up the drug war as an existential conflict is cribbing from that playbook.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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"If you don't like the country, get out" is my favorite Bush-ism making a roaring comeback.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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CronoGamer posted:

He's also already regretting the insult: http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/duterte-expresses-regret-over-obama-comments-spokesman/3103660.html So we're basically following the same track as his insult to the Pope last year. Meeting is being rescheduled for a later date now.

Who would've thought spouting bullshit off of the top of your head could have negative repercussions? Welcome to the big leagues, Rody, we're not in Davao anymore.
It's a non-apology, because it's basically blaming the media (again) for interpreting the President's words in a way that Obama found to be insulting to him.

Like, the current spin is

"He wasn't actually cursing at Obama, he was threatening to curse at Obama if Obama brought up the issue of human rights during the Laos meeting"

Which isn't really that different because Josh Earnest already confirmed that that was a topic that was going to be brought up, which is why the local media asked Duterte about it in the first place.

KiteAuraan posted:

Hasn't MILF been a thing for like, at least 50 years now?

Yes.

Fun little history lesson:

Ferdinand Marcos had plans to expand the territory of the Philippines, as most right-wing dictators are won't to do. His target was the island of Sabah, which the Philippines has had an on-and-off nominal claim upon due to ancient disputes over whether it was supposed to have been part of the Philippines over some deal that the local rulers made with British colonialists.

Marcos' plan was to take a group of young Muslim Moros from Mindanao, train them to be commados, and send them over to Sabah to foment insurrection, dissent, and general chaos, with a long-term view towards turning Sabah into enough of a powder keg that he could step in to restore order.

So these young Moros were sent to train in the island of Corregidor, which one may remember as being the last stand of American forces in WW2 against the Japanese invasion of the Philippines. At some point, Moros discovered the ulterior motive behind their training, and they refused to go along with the plan, as that would involve attacking their fellow Muslims.

Their military trainers instead had them all killed, so that no witnesses would be left. Except one of them did escape - swam from Corregidor back to the Philippine mainland, and managed to relay his story to his fellow Mindanaoans.

This incident would come to be known as the Jabidah Massacre, and was the instigating event behind the radicalization and drive for autonomy of the Moro people.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Duterte warns terrorists: I can eat people

quote:

President Rodrigo Duterte said that he won’t hesitate to be a 'cannibal' if terrorists will not stop attacking the country.

“These guys are beyond redemption. [It's hopeless]. ISIS, [you seem them there in the] Middle East. They’ve burned 20 young girls for refusing to have sex. [What else do you expect me to do when faced with that],” the President ranted in front of the Filipino community in Laos Monday night as he talked about the recent terror attacks in the Philippines.

[You know, I can eat people. I'm going to tear open your flesh, just give me some salt and vinegar, I'm going to eat you. Yes, it's true. If you really push me to go the edge, I can eat people, just give me some salt and vinegar, I'm going to eat someone right in front you],” Duterte said.

On late Friday night, Roxas Night Market in Duterte’s home city of Davao was bombed, leaving 14 people killed and 70 others hurt.
The terrorist group Abu Sayyaf initially claimed responsibility for the incident, but later said it was an allied group behind the attack. Authorities, meanwhile, have yet to pinpoint those responsible for the bombing.

The incident prompted Duterte to release Proclamation No. 55 declaring a state of national emergency on account of lawless violence in Mindanao to step up police and military operations against terrorism.

The bombing came after 15 soldiers were killed amid intensified offensives against Abu Sayyaf after they beheaded an 18-year-old man. The bandits also threatened to attack other highly urbanized centers such as Metro Manila, Cebu, and Davao.

[I said in Visayan], walay sukod sa balos [revenge has no measure]. [I do not owe you anything. So go ahead, just keep bombing us over and over. When the time comes, I will eat you alive] I will devour you and if I have to erase you, [I want - I said - after all is said and done, not even one coconut tree will be left standing there. Not even a single tree, nothing will be left standing. So there],” the President snapped.

Duterte warns Abu Sayyaf: I will eat you alive

quote:

VIENTIANE, Laos — I will eat you alive.

President Duterte issued this grim warning to the terrorist Abu Sayyaf Group as he sought for understanding from Filipinos here regarding his take-no-prisoner strategy against criminality and the narcotics trade.

After hurling invectives at US President Barack Obama, the foul-mouthed Duterte turned his ire on the Abu Sayyaf, the al-Qaeda-linked terror group that has denied involvement in last week’s bomb attack that killed 14 people and wounded 67 others in the President’s hometown of Davao City.

Defending his tough stance against criminality, he said lawless elements like terrorists were already “beyond redemption.”

“If I have to face them, you know I can eat humans. I will really open up your body. Just give me vinegar and salt, and I will eat you,” the President told a gathering of the Filipino community at Feungfar Convention Center on Monday night.

“That’s true. If you annoy me to the fullest… I will eat you alive. Raw,” he said, eliciting chuckles from his audience, who included children.

Referring to the Abu Sayyaf, he said: “Go ahead. Set off bombs. Time will come when I will eat you in front of the people. I will devour you and if I have to, erase you.”




To be clear, I'm now instead underlining parts of quotations that I've had to translate myself, and I'm linking two articles of the same subject because the second one was already completely translated into English, just to give people an idea of what that's supposed to sound like.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Chomskyan posted:

So did Duterte call Obama a son of a whore or not? Annoying people (Duterte supporters) on Facebook are claiming it wasn't directed at Obama or something

Okay, so the thing to understand about the quibbling over this news is that this all on the scale of Donald Trump and his surrogates saying he totally didn't mean to say people should shoot Hillary Clinton when he said something about 2nd Amendment people finding a solution.

It's plausible deniability wrapped up in arguments over semantics, tenses, and literal versus metaphorical translations.

The first thing to note is that he said the words. He did, there's no question. People are going to argue and debate over the specific translation.

"Putangina mo" is a contraction of "Puta ang ina mo"

"Puta" directly translates to whore
"ina" directly translates to mother

So that phrase is "Your mother is a whore", but applying any modicum of context will mean it translates to "son of a bitch" just as well, because if your mother's a whore, then you're a son of a bitch, right? Personally, I translated it to "motherfucker" just because of the emotional weight behind the imprecation, but CNN and BBC will disagree with me for taking creative liberties with the translation.

Spin 1: He wasn't cursing at Obama, he was threatening to curse at Obama if Obama brought up the issue of human rights and extra-judicial killings during their meeting in Laos. I find this a difference without a distinction. The White House already confirmed that as being on the agenda, so whether or not it was going to be in future isn't a meaningful difference.

Spin 2: He wasn't cursing at Obama, nor at future Obama, but rather at the reporters. That's still not something you do in polite company in front of news cameras.

Spin 3: He wasn't cursing at Obama, nor at future Obama, nor at the reporters, but rather he was frustrated at the situation the Philippines found itself in, and uttered a curse the same way you might say it if you stubbed your two. That's still not something you do in polite company in front of news cameras.

Ultimately, I don't know of any world leader, whether it's Obama, or David Cameron, or Angela Merkel, or even Vladimir Putin, that's had to resort to such crude language in order to make their points. I mean, they even made an entire skit/joke about how Obama has to have an "anger translator" to express how he really feels. That the Philippine President doesn't have any such filter is, to put it mildly, disappointing.

And excusing that behavior just because it wasn't literally pointed at President Obama is ultimately a distraction from the issue - that the President shouldn't be anywhere near a hot mic.

KingEup posted:

I work on a dementia ward and I'm starting to think this guy has some frontal lobe disorder, like as in he actually can't help but say what he thinks no matter how offensive.

That would also explain his tendency to make sexual comments at inappropriate times or situations.

It's cheap armchair psychology on the level of calling Trump a narcissist, but my dad also has taken to believing Duterte might have frontal lobe disinhibition.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Secretary Clinton made remarks about the cancellation of the meeting with the Philippines, saying Obama "made exactly the right choice"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyFn8QoBVv4

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Background:

Back in 2011, Filipino journalist Maria Ressa, who was a former chief of CNN's Manila bureau, founded Rappler, whose main draw was better integration with the internet and social media for news distribution and presentation. It was new and it was hip - think of a cross between Vox and Vice News, with maybe just a bit of Huffington Post thrown in.

I bring this up because while there has been an undercurrent of "the mainstream media is biased against Duterte" ever since the 2016 campaign season, this most recent incident with the Duterte-Obama meeting and its subsequent cancellation owing to the President's remarks, seems to have hit an especially strong nerve:



"Talangka" is the Filipino word for "crab", and "utak talangka" then translates to "crab-bucket mentality"

The point here is that anyone who is criticizing the Duterte administration is supposedly suffering from crab-bucket mentality: they don't want the Philippines to progress, so they're dragging the rest of the country down with them by unfairly attacking the President at every turn, up to and including engaging in dishonest, biased media tactics in order to do it:





And how Duterte's brand of leadership is actually what we need, drat the torpedoes:



And this last one I'm going to show is a direct intersection with the complete off-the-rails section of American conservatism, all because the article seems to depict Hillary Clinton as a foul-mouthed politician, which thereby excuses Duterte's own behavior:



And so was Rahm "We got the votes, gently caress 'em" Emanuel:



And so was even Obama (because he said the N-word when dictating his audiobook that one time?):



Now, this may just be me hitting the fringes of political discourse, but by God is it ever an ominous fringe, as we've basically hit "Obama's America" levels of polarization and media bubble-ness within the span of about a year.

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gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

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Volcott posted:

I'm really impressed they managed to get 9/11 levels of OUR COUNTRY RIGHT OR WRONG out of putting the boots to a bunch of low-level drug dealers.

I think the takeaway here is that even if you had a McCain or a Romney Presidency, you'd still have an insane level of polarization regardless because besides the empowerment of the standard conservative platform as being a legitimate basis for governance, there would still be a division as far as liberals being called-out as "haters" and "sour grapes" for having the temerity to question the government's actions.

Which, as I alluded to previously, already existed during the Bush era as far as "get out if you don't like it here", but stepped up to 11. Calls against "the liberal media" would be much more rabid once the case is made that MSNBC, et al are literally trying to execute a government takedown via misquotes, misrepresentation and "clickbait journalism"

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