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Berkeley/Bay Area: We're building some luxury condos/apartments which is fine, but not really enough and there's huge problems with lack of student housing combined with crunch of people moving here because it's still cheaper than SF and people just stick around in their same apartment after graduating. I think we'll see a lot of demolishing of single/double story of businesses along University Ave and finishing/beginning to construct some more highrises (it takes like 5 years from start to finish, so maybe not that many) which will be good but even the luxury apartments of today will probably still be higher-end apartments 10 years from now. Maybe another 10 years they may be more market-rate and new luxury places will take their spot, but most of the city will still be single family/duplexes/some triplexes. Also will probably continue to see exploding homelessness. Pretty much same trend for other two big cities (SF, Oakland). Oakland will see a large increase in tech business as people move out of the more soulless south bay and setup shop here with it's close proximity to SF and generally more housing options (but still getting expensive) and culture. This will prolly spill over and effect prices here a bit in Berkeley. I think Fruitvale/south international blvd areas will still be pretty poor in 10 years but maybe getting a little better. African American population there will still continue to heavily decline as it has over the past 10 years, and more poor people who were pushed out of SF to Oakland may be pushed further out to like Pittsburg/Antioch or elsewhere. Meanwhile Oakland (like SF) will continue to see increasing amount of white 20 somethings as they fly away from their parent's suburban cul-de-sac midwest city or whatever and seek out city life and city opportunities, but can't quite afford SF prices. But overall probably won't be much different other than worse traffic, BART will not even be close to expanding and so it'll just be overcrowded as poo poo (the new cars will provide some temporary relief) and we really aren't building any significant public transit systems--so everything will just be same but more overloaded.
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Sep 4, 2016 06:31
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| # ¿ May 21, 2024 02:46 |
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Vivian Darkbloom posted:I live in Merced, CA. It's a small city in the Central Valley of California -- think Stockton with less people. The economy cratered in '08 and has sorta-kinda recovered, with unemployment currently 4.5 points higher than the state as a whole: Merced is pretty hosed but as long as the UC system will keep dumping money to desperately prop up Merced, it will do better than most Central Valley cities like Stockton/Bakersfield/Fresno/etc which are mostly hosed. But I really don't see it having a huge future and most students don't really want to go there. They might have success trying to carve out a Davis-lite emphasis as a ped/bike friendly self-contained college town with great ag science and heavily invest in STEM fields, but it won't have any of the advantages that Davis has (decent enough weather, close proximity to a lot of jobs in Sacramento with great ties to governmental programs, Tahoe, <1 hr drive down to the bay) and I don't see it striking even copper in the next 10 years, even 20 years.
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Sep 4, 2016 21:28
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Shbobdb posted:Depending on how Brooklyn Basin develops, I think Fruitvale/ S International could explode pretty quickly.
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Sep 6, 2016 17:43
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