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iospace posted:I'm going to give that WaPo a caveat of being an RV poll instead of LV, otherwise seems about right. Its an online poll, which, while not to be dismissed, should be viewed with a bit of skepticism. That said, if we start seeing more polls with states like Texas even within the margin of error, then we can celebrate.
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Sep 6, 2016 12:19
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iospace posted:When someone on the side that is winning says "yeah, this isn't right", I'm more inclined to agree. I've already posted my anecdotal evidence of my latino students/girlfriends' latino family all registering to vote and being more engaged here in Texas, but it's gonna take a hell of a lot of change to move Texas that much this year. I'd expect another 10 years of olds dying, young hispanics turning 18, and out of staters moving in to overcome the Republican voters in Texas.
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Sep 6, 2016 12:26
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TheNinjaScotsman posted:I am an otherwise healthy woman who currently has pneumonia, maybe Hillary and I can hang out and swap z-packs How much time do you have left 
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Sep 12, 2016 02:39
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Fojar38 posted:Working hard despite being sick is a pretty good presidential quality imo I said it earlier in the thread, but that's the only way to spin this to salvage the situation a bit. Otherwise, just wait it out and show up at the debates without dying.
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Sep 12, 2016 02:49
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Chokes McGee posted:Here's what's weird to me. Clinton is leading with: 2012 Turnout - (CNN/ORC Trump +2 Margins) *Blacks - 13% (Collectively with Latinos C +53) *Latinos - 10% (Collectively with Blacks C +53) *Women - 53% (C+14) *College or more - 47% (C +27) *People under 44 - 46% (C +26) *Non-Hispanic White - 64.1% (T + 21) *45 y/o or more - 54% (T +15) *Men - 47% (T +20) *No College 53% (T + 15) Trump can win if he kills it among non-hispanic whites, since they make up a majority of the electorate. Same goes for the olds.
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Sep 15, 2016 06:08
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Petr posted:In other words, Trump is going to win. Nope! Obama lost whites by 20 points, and olds 10 points or so too. Hillary just has to make sure young people and minorities turn out. Keep in mind that if we see something like 60% white turnout for the Republicans this time, which isn't unreasonable, that would hit the Republicans hard because that's their entire coalition. The Dems just need to make sure young whites show up - all indications show Latino and AA turnout to remain solid.
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Sep 15, 2016 06:11
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Petr posted:I'm just saying, the statement "if Trump kills it with whites and olds, he will win" is functionally equivalent to the statement "Trump will win." Can, not will! It's just his only real path to victory, and still relies on REALLY killing it and keeping the Dem voters from showing up. Ice Phisherman posted:I mean really whites are all he's got left. He's bringing in almost zero black votes and hispanic votes are deeper down for the republicans than they've ever been. He has to overperform with white voters and Hillary's crowd has to underperform. Trump also has a lower ceiling than Clinton does at around 43% which can dip all the way down to 35% if he really, really fucks up. I have a bad feeling Trump will get through the debates without offering a single policy other than blustery build the wall type poo poo, and somehow come out looking alright. Maybe that's just pre-emptive arzying.
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Sep 15, 2016 06:22
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highme posted:Captures the subject matter perfectly This perfectly conveys the whole "special ed kid who somehow got into politics" vibe that Walker has.
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Sep 26, 2016 22:53
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Cross-posting from the debate thread, so we can see which questions are trending for the next debate! 
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Sep 28, 2016 05:38
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canepazzo posted:Actually the h2h numbers for that PPP poll are a solid 10/10: Wowsa! That's one of the best Hillary numbers in FL in a long time.
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Sep 29, 2016 12:46
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That south park is back video was poo poo, but South Park on the debate is better: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TlqKFlU7YAs The whole Mr. Garrison is Trump plot has been fairly funny.
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Oct 1, 2016 08:01
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