Fiction posted:

Funny enough, the neoliberals are loving the center-left in France too because of Emmanuel Macron, who's formed his own party and is basically splitting the center-left vote, ensuring a second round of the right-wing guy who wants to cut entitlements and likes Russia and hates foreigners and the far-right lady who wants to keep entitlements and also likes Russia and hates foreigners.

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Kurtofan posted:

That's the first round, we already know she's going to win it (with about 25% of the vote I believe, Macron is like 23%). The second round is what matters, whoever against her is going to get the votes from the left, center and right handily.

the worst possible scenario, so guaranteed to happen posted:

That would leave voters a choice between Le Pen and either Hamon or Melenchon, neither of whom is seen as market-friendly. It might also broaden support for the anti-euro, anti-immigration Le Pen.

A runoff against either Hamon or Melenchon “is the most favorable situation for Marine Le Pen to win,” Bruno Jeanbart, an OpinionWay pollster, said in an interview.

“For a candidate from the left to win he needs, at minimum, to win as many votes from the right in the second round as Marine Le Pen. If it’s Emmanuel Macron a transfer of votes from the right is easy to imagine. If it’s a candidate much further to the left anchored in a radical program, that’s a different story.”

Kurtofan posted:

what's the context here

twoday posted:

https://twitter.com/gryffix/status/840916805552082946