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hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Top City Homo posted:

i have this theory that Macron is the idiot Hillary clone the media is told to root for

Hamon is the guy who should win but wont because Hollande is poison and the other M guy will be the stalking horse

Macron is terrible and the race is his to lose

He talked about "ad hominem attacks" during one of the debates, so he clearly sucks total rear end and is going to lose.

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hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Top City Homo posted:



just look at this piece of poo poo


this is FRANCE

are they really trying to convince me that the French are going to vote for a loving parasite banker?

The coolest thing is going to be French equivalent of Hillary dead-enders asking themselves how such a competent candidate could have failed.

These conversations will happen first on Twitter, and later to pass the time in LePen's concentration camps.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Melenchon/Bernie/your local variant: "We will give you free everything, and pay for it by taxing people far richer than you."

Liberals: "You piece of poo poo."

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Fallen Hamprince posted:

https://twitter.com/politico_daily/status/854310181634805760
this is fine everything is fine voting for brexit was definitely not a mistake jeremy's doing fine


Guess we'll see how everybody feels after five years of Tory absolutism.




Top City Homo posted:

burn the blairite, kill the neoliberal, purge the corporate shill


Give the royal family the Romanov treatment.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Endorsement by economists: the kiss of death.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Fallen Hamprince posted:

he's a piece of poo poo op

How would you vote if you were French? For me it would be an anyone-who-can-beat-LePen thing, but its hard to tell who that even is at this point.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Top City Homo posted:

Macron is a huge piece of poo poo

But in a Marcon-LePen runoff?

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

ISIS sympathizers really trying to get that LePen victory. They need the bump.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

rudatron posted:

Rich people will cut their losses and support Le Pen, because fascism is profitable and ethnic cleansing didn't doesn't hurt the bottom line.

LePen has been consistent about protecting the benefits, pensions, etc of French citizens. Without all the racism, anti-semitism, and Islamophobia her message would be fairly boilerplate socialist left.

Added together its a kind of National Socialism, if you will.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Top City Homo posted:

Paris is going to burn if Lepen wins


Fukken hope so.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

rudatron posted:

But their hearts not actually in any of that. The Nazis were pretty happy to backtrack the similar things they promised, in their time, to secure the loyalty of business interests. Le Pen will probably make a similar deal with the corporations/business leaders, to dump all that poo poo but keep the border and migrant stuff.

Agreed. But in the election even the lie of protecting your benefits will play better than austerity or means testing.

Plus you know LePen will have all kinds of great excuses later. "I didn't want to cut old age pensions, but, you know, the Jews and gypsies..."


hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

rudatron posted:

A Le Pen victory will result in an attack on labor & unions for the sake of business profitability, and the most extreme racists are going to be used as stike breakers/corporate lap dogs. The goal will be to increase productivity to compensate for the loss of cheap migrant labor & thereby maintain profitability.

That Le Pen is going to win anyway because 'woke' idiots imported migrant labor to depress wages, made no plans to integrate them into wider french society, and then mocked and insulted the people hurt by these policies, is the tragedy of our times.

None of this had to happen. Even accepting more migrants didn't have to result in a nativist backlash, if handled correctly, if migrant workers weren't just used as a tool to weaken native unskilled labor. But they were, so it did.

None of the authoritarian ethnic nationalist governments are going to be able to deliver on their economic promises, and in each case will take the kinds of actions you're describing to try and shore up the national economy from the top down. But it won't work. So the real tragedy is going to be when these populations willing to elect overt racists for a little economic and physical security end up with neither. What will they do then? I don't think someone like Trump thought that far ahead, but LePen was raised on this and knows exactly what the next move is.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014
This is LePen's best chance. We can say its a real threat, which wasn't true in the past.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

rudatron posted:

Are you agreeing with me or suggesting that Le Pen is going to do something different? Because I'm suspecting a full fascist/corporatist takeover.

I think we're at least half-agreeing? She will try to go the corporatist route but their economy will still tank, at which point I think she'll go full, old-school Nazi. That may even be her plan.

hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

Top City Homo posted:

now melechon's voters will have to double down for a fascist who wants to leave the eu and a neoliberal who tried to push policies that left the current president with 4% approval ratings

this is going to end badly

How many times can Macron say "nazi" and "fascist" in two weeks? Let's find out....

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hohhat
Sep 25, 2014

DrProsek posted:

Upside of the French election is my prediction yesterday didn't come true; I thought LePen would get 26% at least and Macron would underperform but it looks like that didn't happen at all. Polls basically predicted the result, no upset/last minute swell of support for LePen.

I still think there's no way Macron wins round 2 but I'm slightly less confident in that given that it looks like LePen if anything loses support in the days running up the the vote.

We knew Macron sucks, but its impossible to duplicate how much Hillary sucked, so the polling was accurate this time.

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