TheNakedFantastic posted:

I don't think the centuries answer is very useful, it's a non answer that should just be "we don't know" instead of a timeline. If you look at the history of AI it's actually made very large amounts of progress despite several "winters" since the field began, especially recently. We're already on the verge (i.e. very good performance in a decade) of AI being competent enough to handle real world physical tasks (driving, locomotion, physical manipulation). Neural networks and machine learning have also been rapidly advancing in a way no one predicted even a decade ago. How close any of this puts us to human level AI isn't understood but I think people are being a bit too dismissive of a field that's less than a century old.