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Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

I think it would initially look more like secession than a coup. Basically, team Trump goes way over the line about something or other, and California declares itself an independent country (they're really the only state in a position to make such a bold move and possibly get away with it), tells its citizens and corporations that they don't need to pay federal taxes anymore, and takes control of all military installations in its borders. Trump will have the same choice Lincoln did about whether to let them go, or to try and make them stay by force. If he lets them go, other states will probably also secede (maybe just Oregon and Washington, due to geographical reasons). If he fights them, it will depend on how things play out that would determine whether other states rally to California's defense or stay on the sidelines. It also depends heavily on who the military sides with. Trump is not Lincoln. He'd probably do something incredibly stupid like bomb a civilian town, and then we'd have nationwide chaos. It would only be amidst the riots and police/military crackdowns that a more traditional coup could take place, where Trump is assassinated or some military generals declare themselves in charge and Trump flees to Moscow.

Obviously, none of this is likely.

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Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

Rent-A-Cop posted:

LOL. With what army? The Marine Corps would be running the state within 24 hours.
In the scenario I laid out, California doesn't just up and decide to leave suddenly. Something causes it to happen, which would not be popular with a lot of people. The military is generally right wing, but it's hard to say which way military people would go if the President really did go off the deep end to the point that states are seceding and they're being ordered to attack their own. The army that would take over a military installation is the army that's already stationed there.

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