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The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Echo Chamber posted:

I'm actually quite surprised how much race baiting there is in the Republican lawn signs along Route 27. I don't think they're false flags. Surprised the NJ GOP is making sanctuaries the hill they'll die on. Are they expecting racism to help them in the down ballot?

the nj gop has been under a federal consent decree since 1982 over racial intimidation and ratfuckery

apart from gov bobby bacala it's literally all they have

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The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Quorum posted:

I've been taking polls for what people want to replace Monument Avenue with, so far my suggestion of Wahunsenecawh/Chief Powhatan for Jeb! Stuart's place is meeting with moderate acceptance but everyone can get behind dynamiting Jeff Davis and replacing him with Elizabeth van Lew

replace lee with oderus urungus

complete with motion activated cuttlefish of cthulhu

a true hero of richmond

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

FizFashizzle posted:

The Asheville mayoral election got hot.

This is all anyone in Asheville cares about : stop building hotels, and stop using air bnb


the incumbent was going up against a socialist waiter who ran on banning air bnb and free busfare.

asheville lost the fight against yuppiedom years ago

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Youth Decay posted:

I honestly thought Roem had no chance in hell, that hers was just a protest campaign. But I am seriously happy for her and for her district!

goes to show making traffic jam alleviation the centerpiece of your campaign pays dividends

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy
https://twitter.com/cd_hooks/status/928077733460144130

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Lightning Knight posted:

tl:dr high black turnout helped Northam a great deal in Virginia, and could provide a path to victory for Jones.

northam did about as well with black voters as hillary last year (gillespie gained 3 points over trump) but significantly better among whites, while turnout was roughly the same

i mean sure, match presidential election turnout in an off-off year election and the dems stand a chance, but that's not really a major revelation

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Lightning Knight posted:

It’s not that it’s revelatory, it’s that it offers hope. :yayclod:

reminds me there was an article on either 538 or maybe from william frey at brookings from before last year's election positing that faster-growing southern states (va, nc, ga, fl, tx in roughly that order) are going to become the next democratic stronghold while the rust belt becomes solidly republican

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

theflyingorc posted:

Are we seeing anything about Republican turnout

it would be nice to hear that R areas are down, all I've seen is reports that Dem areas are up

Regular Nintendo posted:

the weather is said to favor moore today

its expected to dip into the teens

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

axeil posted:

edit: in actual news, I just heard the electorate was 30% black. Is that good or bad for Alabama?

https://twitter.com/FOX6Hardison/status/940711042346356741

pretty good but jones will need to pick off at least 25% of whites when democrats normally only get about 15% in alabama

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Casimir Radon posted:

I'm surprised that their % of snake handlers isn't a lot higher.

those are charismatics and they're usually found in the mountains, which alabama doesn't have a lot of

alabama's evangelicals are mostly the joyless baptist variety

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Godinster posted:

Holy gently caress are white people in Alabama stupid, 70% for Moore

that's pretty good for jones

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

evilweasel posted:

Pretty good by historical standards, not good by what he needs to win. Not "its over" but not great.

he needs about 25% to make it a nailbiter


Quandary posted:

That doesn't change the fact that white people are the worst

well of course not, but that's significantly better than i expected

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

cheetah7071 posted:

That graph has terrible axis labels

it wouldn't be stats otherwise

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

axeil posted:

that's how the graphs actually look when you do things in SAS/R/Python/etc.

by default but it's like one line to relabel them

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

The Muppets On PCP posted:

good job not electing a pedophile

your bbq is still an abomination

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

sirtommygunn posted:

Excited to see everyone who came out for Moore attempt to distance themselves from him as though they didn't support a pedophile who yearned for the days of slavery.

https://twitter.com/KrangTNelson/status/940786812246773760

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy
awright a howell heflin shoutout

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Quorum posted:

The tweet I posted up thread about how the Jones campaign built a well-oiled get-out-the-vote machine from scratch in the course of a few months is important, because I guarantee you the Jones campaign did not do that on its own. Something like that requires expertise, and it requires money. But those are things the national party is well-equipped to offer, effectively parachuting in and handing the campaign tools rather than funding ads and running its own media strategy from Washington.

that had more to do with joe trippi than any national dem orgs, which intentionally avoided making a big push in alabama

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Grammarchist posted:

Are there any likely GOP votes in the Virginia Senate for Medicaid Expansion as of now? Kinda curious to see if "eligibility requirements" is a concession Northam's trying to sell them on to get the expansion through.

if he's actually promising to privatize it then he can probably nab a couple folks who have stakes in managed care companies or related services

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Lightning Knight posted:

The ERA as in the Equal Rights Amendment? She wants to pass that at the Virginia government level or ratify it to the Constitution?

presumably the former since it comes up every now and then in the state senate

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The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy
they should give this lady a permanent gig on tv

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAi_jcB0pks

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