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mkultra419
May 4, 2005

Modern Day Alchemist
Pillbug

Ardennes posted:

In all likelihood, the reason there won't be a nuclear war is relatively simple, rich people have to live in the same world we do and they like the world they built for themselves and control. Nuclear war isn't in their interests, although nationalism and saber rattling might be.

But nationalism and saber rattling tends to create more opportunities for an absurd chain of events leading to a civilizational collapse scenario. It may still not be very likely, but the consequences are so dire we should be very concerned with anything that increases that likelyhood.

I heartily recommend Command and Control by Eric Schlosser to anyone interested in the mechanisms we have around preventing the accidental detonation of nuclear weapons. It covers the basic history from the first nuclear weapons up to the systems we have today as well as describes the near misses along the way.

If you do look at the historical record, its clear that the cause of a lot of those accidents (or why they might have resulted in triggering a nuclear war instead of just a messy accident) were directly or indirectly caused by the US being on a war footing with the USSR. Anything that puts us back closer to that situation is going to once again increase the chances of some stupid accident spinning things out of control.

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