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Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

rudatron posted:

There's also real limits on the technological advancement that has occurred, and no easy way past then, and especially no easy way past them in scientific funding keeps getting cut, to make up for budget shortfalls, in this age of austerity.

Let me give you an example. The majority of your food depends on plants, growing plants. If you were to get every single scientist into the same room, ask them to build a 'replacement' for a plant, could they design something as equally complex? No, they couldn't. Not in a 100 years could they even try, we're nowhere near that level of technical capability. Living things right now are far, far more complicated than your stupid smartphone or whatever, all human beings are doing is tinkering a bit with them to make them more useful.

Part of this is increasing the 'harvest index' (the proportion of biomass that is a useful product) of plants, but you can't take that too far - you actually need like, roots and leaves and poo poo for the plant to grow. Part of that is using fertilizers, to meet all nutritional needs of the plant. Part of that is killing every other living thing in the field, with herbicides and pesticides, so said nutrients only go to the plants you want.

But at the end of the day, the 'medium' you are working with is a loving plant, and in needs arable land, and water. You cannot innovate around that, you cannot push past that limit, because it's a fundamental limitation of the tool you're working with. As such, bringing up analogies with microprocessors or flight or whatever is missing the scale of the problem here.

That's not to suggest that the problems are intractable, or that technology can't solve the problem - in a real sense, it has to, there's no other option. But you've got to be realistic about it, you can't be flippant about the problem, and you can't just dismiss it.

We grow enough food right this second to feed 10 billion people. Then we throw a bunch away.

We already in the west eat so much food that many of the leading causes of death are "ate too much food"

We also grow hundreds of pounds of corn then go through giant complicated processes to make them into a couple pounds of hamburger that we then sell for 89 cents.

We also grow nearly a billion tons of tobacco per year in the US. Plus uncountable acres of lawn grass that we fertilize just because we want to.


Like, human food production has an awful lot of "slack" left before it leads to extinction. Starvation isn't happening on earth because there isn't enough food or agricultural capacity. It is easy to make some hank hill jokes about how a world where steak cost more or lawns weren't economical to fertilize isn't a world worth living in. Or if we had to stop throwing away tomatos with blemishes to feed everyone. But it's a world that wouldn't exactly be a hell dystopia.

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Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord
Like 100% the US will decide to have millions die rather than redirect corn production from making mcdonalds hamburgers but that is a political issue not a technological one. We don't lack the technology to feed human, just the will to.

I imagine if in 150 years einstein 2.0 invents magic zero point quantum wave dark matter engines that create limitless energy by drawing it from alternate universes or whatever that we'd still manage a way to have poor people in africa. Basically until we stop wanting that to be a thing. It's already not a technological issue preventing us from fixing extreme poverty. Inventing technologies won't solve it since current technologies already could if we actually wanted to.

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