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I think Paper is the safest move for the first throw. We are both going to be looking at the same sources for RPS openings and I don't think Scissors are going to come out this early. They will probably throw paper as well. E- even if they take Scissors we may take a loss but we are establishing we are more traditionally predictable which we can use to our advantage later. I think the safest opening is the smartest one here GNU Order fucked around with this message at 22:53 on Feb 13, 2017 |
# ¿ Feb 13, 2017 22:51 |
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# ¿ Apr 28, 2024 20:52 |
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I think they will consider throwing paper again to be the riskiest play, so I think we are safe throwing Rock. We all know about winner stays, loser moves so even if we stabilize with a draw I think we'll come out ahead. I predict they will throw rock as well but if they try and overthink themselves they could throw scissors and we could steal a win.
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2017 17:09 |
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AlphaKretin posted:Curses! If I'm remembering the write-up about player psychology correctly, we're expected to change while our opponent is expected to stay the same - but they know we know this. The danger in trying to use player psychology to decide what they'll pick is that it's more than likely that they're doing the same thing and then it just turns into 4th dimensional chess where we're trying to determine how deep down the logic hole our opponents are so we can go one layer deeper. I prefer to use it to think about which throw they won't do, and playing around that. And personally I think paper again is their riskiest play.
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2017 17:17 |
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I could be entirely wrong but I wouldn't expect somebody to try and take a risk with an early lead, considering we threw the obvious opening. If we tie this round I could totally see them trying to get cute tho
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# ¿ Feb 14, 2017 17:38 |
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There is no way they throw Scissors, considering they've thrown Paper and now Rock. I think Paper is the safest move, and I predict they will stay Rock
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# ¿ Feb 15, 2017 19:13 |
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It is time to unleash scissors
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# ¿ Feb 16, 2017 19:11 |
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To actually provide context to my vote, once again look at it from their side. We go rock rock then venture out into paper. Where would we go next? I do actually think it's time we do Scissors because I predict they stay, thinking Paper is still safest
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# ¿ Feb 17, 2017 02:55 |
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ScissorsScissorsScissorsScissorsScissorsScissorsScissorsScissors E- I should probably explain why huh. I cannot believe that they will go back to paper but at some point somebody needs to do it. Looking at both of our patterns there is justification for them to throw all three, tbh I think they will throw rock again but I've only been right half the time GNU Order fucked around with this message at 18:07 on Feb 17, 2017 |
# ¿ Feb 17, 2017 18:01 |
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gently caress them for defiantly refusing to pick scissors. Scissors is noble and Scissors is powerful E- without trying to think more than one move ahead, they seem weirdly adverse to scissors (was it our opening rock salvo?) and considering how they reacted after our first loss this could be the time to take a win back, and force them into throwing scissors next round to tie it back up GNU Order fucked around with this message at 21:14 on Feb 20, 2017 |
# ¿ Feb 20, 2017 21:05 |
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What, did they make a pact at the start to refuse to throw scissors? gently caress it then, I'm just gonna vote Paper until they win.
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# ¿ Feb 21, 2017 20:01 |
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Picking scissors a second time was the fatalistic/dumb choice, and for them to think it's what we would go with is mind boggling to me.
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# ¿ Feb 21, 2017 20:03 |
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BrightWing posted:Ok, let's calm down a moment, it's RPS, not the end of the world. It is this kind of causal attitude that brought us to this point. Apparently this is all just fun and games to some of us. I was under the impression that this would be a serious match. If you're not willing to die for the glove you shouldn't be voting for the glove
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# ¿ Feb 21, 2017 21:52 |
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Paper, they're not gonna throw scissors until they lose
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# ¿ Feb 22, 2017 20:52 |
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They are clearly refusing to play the game in a way we thought they would. Trying to ascribe the same logic to them now would be pointless. Remember the "loser switches, winner stays" concept? That doesn't just apply to throws, it applies to strategy. We're on what our third attempt at a strategy? While they are who we thought they were. If you want to get them to throw scissors we're going to have to beat them, and then beat them again.
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# ¿ Feb 23, 2017 20:00 |
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Paper seems safest but it also seems really obvious. Now that they lost two in a row I wonder if they'll start trying to play for real again, which to me says they'll follow the chain down to paper. I say we chase them, Scissors. Old, safe me would vote paper but sometimes you gotta go for it
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# ¿ Feb 27, 2017 21:05 |
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I'm going to reserve voting because I want to consider all options. BUT! Just throwing this out. Would it be crazy if we threw scissors again? The answer is yes, but it might just be crazy enough to work Their scissors bias must mean to them that scissors is weak and paper is safe. We caught them once and I could see them falling back to "loser moves winner stays" and trying to invert it. My gut has been wrong before but I could see them staying paper GNU Order fucked around with this message at 17:46 on Feb 28, 2017 |
# ¿ Feb 28, 2017 17:44 |
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Looking at our own throw history, we've only thrown paper once. We also just won by doubling down on the winning play. Both teams went on a rock streak, but ours was more recent. I still don't see them throwing scissors, so personally question becomes do they think we will stay scissors to match our last set of wins, or do they expect us to do that obvious play and will circle around to rock to beat it. Again my gut leans to the former
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# ¿ Feb 28, 2017 17:59 |
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I'll go ahead and make my vote for Paper but I still think they're going to throw paper again
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# ¿ Feb 28, 2017 22:53 |
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Also we should unglove when we make our winning throw (which will be this one)
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# ¿ Feb 28, 2017 22:58 |
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Purely pragmatically, the difference between tying 4-4 and tying 3-3 means nothing to me. We mounted the 11th hour comeback before a rogue agent sabotaged us for the gloveless menace. Betray
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# ¿ Mar 1, 2017 15:12 |
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It's kind of a buzzkill that the game isn't ending with RPS, though. What about a couple day's recess followed by a heads up, winner-takes-all, crow-free, RPS Royale?
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# ¿ Mar 1, 2017 15:17 |
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# ¿ Apr 28, 2024 20:52 |
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BrightWing posted:Cooperate We may have been fiendishly betrayed, but it's not left's fault, they've been good sports. Can we be sure of this? We go from about to be swept to about to make a whirlwind comeback and one of our members blows it all up? I'm not one to peddle in conspiracy but at this point I can only trust the glove
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# ¿ Mar 1, 2017 16:57 |