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Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



eXXon posted:

Leafs lose by failing to trade Polak. Did GMs watch the last playoffs and notice how godawful he was with the Sharks or what?

Once they decided they were buyers they were never going to trade a veteran off the team.

FWIW I think Lou and Babs 100% believe Polak is a valuable part of the team. I don't necessarily think they'll sign him again but I wouldn't be surprised either way.

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Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Before tonight, of the 102 goalies that have played at least 30 shootouts, Frederik Andersen is 86th with a save percentage of .603. In just this season, his sv% is .500, placing him 42 out of 51 goalies that have played in a shootout.

The Leafs are 1-8 in shootouts this season.

(for the record, James Reimer is .713 career and .750 this season)

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



I don't even mind that they traded him, I mind that they then traded a 1st and a 2nd for a guy that wasn't appreciably better or younger. It's one of those little cuts of mismanagement that add up.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



The Bruins had every right to sweep the Leafs back in 2013, but instead the Leafs pushed the series as far as it could possibly go. Then it ended the way it did, so maybe we should just accept and love the inevitable curb stompings.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007




Pretty rich coming from a goon :btroll:

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Historical W/L records are always hilarious, but especially so in this case where the Leafs don't even resemble the same team they were a year ago.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



aejix posted:

Probably a typo but hurling is very different from rugby. Watch some highlights from an All Ireland Final, it's an amazing, unusual and quite often violent game. It's awesome.

I am actually astonished he thinks the Canucks have a drinking problem (much like most of their fans now have after the past couple seasons) because a) hurling players are essentially unpaid and they're complete lunatics so I figured being on the piss 24/7 was part of the training regime, and b) drinking until you black out in a ditch and get run over by a tractor is a practically traditional Irish pastime.

Obviously the "reset" he's talking about is totally nuts but the lunchtime comment struck me as kind of weird, I don't think drinking a beer 30 hours before playing a game is something that should stand out to someone.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



The game is called very differently than what's in the rule book. A lot of the stuff people would like to see is already in there, but if the refs don't enforce it then...

Faceoff specialists are overrated because people are really bad at understanding odds/law of large numbers and don't understand the mental bias inherent in anecdotes.

Like, for some reason people actually believe stuff like playing 55% Brian Boyle in over 50% Nazem Kadri will somehow guarantee wins when the difference is almost literally zero over the course of a game. People seriously inflate the difference between good and bad players in the dot, there is a baseline of competence in the NHL and face offs occur in such insignificant quantity on a per-game basis to make the events almost random.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



It's definitely better to be good at face offs than bad, and there is definitely a difference between players, for sure. But the point stands, in the grand scheme of the hockey game it's more of a marginal skill, and the benefit of some ace-in-the-whole move or linesman gamesmanship is moot if you can just avoid score-close situations late in games anyway.

While we're speaking anecdotally, Boston scored their cup-winning goal over Vancouver off of a "lost" draw, and the assumption that faceoffs automatically mean control/possession is a flaw in these arguments.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Anyone that wants an explanation for Nyquist's regression doesn't need to look much farther than his shooting % year over year

Tatar's best season came under Babcock, he hasn't been able to shoot at the same rate before or after though, seems like maybe a deployment thing?

I think the real question for Detroit is what happened to Dylan Larkin between last year and now

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



I don't think any Leafs fan has a problem with the minutes or opportunity being given to the Leafs young players.

The guys that are on the fringes are all marginal players to begin with, and while we'll split hairs over them all day long it's outright false to say that Babcock isn't giving young guys opportunity.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Teemu Pokemon posted:

No one said this? I said that he did that in Detroit, like Blashill is currently doing, but he's not doing it in Toronto and Blashill didn't do stuff like that at WMU or in GR so find the common link hint: it's Holland

Ah ok I misunderstood the thread of causality there, ignore me

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Hand Knit posted:

It's cool the Leafs won but that was not a very convincing game. Marner basically was the offence that game.

e: Also, a probably rare occurrence from Leafs-Canes last night. The OT goal had two defenceman on the scoring play (Rielly from Gardiner). You probably don't see that a whole lot in OT at evens.

Gardiner got the assist while on the bench too, Willie really likes to drag the puck around.

Matthews is going through probably his worst stretch of the year and I'm worried he's finally hit the wall instead of this just being a typical slump.

Luckily cool heads are prevailing right now, but if the Leafs miss I shudder to think of the takes. It's to be expected though, he's never played a schedule even close to this before.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Stretch Marx posted:

I can see Komarov being replaced before Hyman simply because of Babcock.

Komarov's gone after next season either way, as loved as he is he's going to age out of the group soon and there's going to be guys pushing for spots.

Hyman just needs to get bumped down the roster, scoring 30 fewer points than the centre he's literally never been separated from is comical. He's the Carlyle-era Jay McClement of that line.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Arabian Jesus posted:

I think Hyman does a good job when you consider his role is entirely to just battle it out on the boards and pass it to Matthews.

Having said that this team needs to bring in some new defenders next year; I don't think I can handle another season of the Polak/Hunwick experience.

That's the narrative but the reality again is that he has 30 fewer points than Matthews, he's not some masterful set-up guy. He tracks down pucks really well, but he struggles to do anything useful with it once he's got it.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Like, if a guy's role is to be stapled to the hip of his team's best player, one of the most exciting young players in the league, and maybe not even crack 30 points in a season that role probably shouldn't exist.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



I think Laine's got to be the front runner, stuff I read seems to give him an edge and everyone loves goals.

Plus I think Matthews getting it would hit a performance bonus and the Leafs cap don't need that

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Yeah, this is why I thought the Leafs shouldn't have been buyers at the deadline. Boyle's been good though!

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Rielly's always given up a ton of shots and goals against, it's what fuels the arguments about Gardiner actually being the Leafs best defender amongst stat people. It's possible to be known for being an occasional bonehead and come out pretty well on aggregate, meanwhile there's tiny but growing despair for Rielly ever playing consistently decent defence.

The reasons Rielly gets the benefit of the doubt are a) he didn't spend a lot of time with Carlyle actively scapegoating him and similarly b) Jake has played a few more years on even worse teams. If Rielly is still playing this way two years from now the knives will come out.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



El Gallinero Gros posted:

So the Leafs have to be using their cap space on defencemen, yes?

Ideally yeah, as much as opinions are divided a guy like Shattenkirk would be a big boon. Ultimately the biggest strides on the roster are going to come from the development and graduation of all the young guys though, imo.

What I'd hate to see is the team lose out on the marquee FA signings and settle for giving medium contracts to middle pairing guys. The bottom pair can be improved for basically no money and it's diminishing returns otherwise.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



El Gallinero Gros posted:

Wouldn't Alzner make a somewhat significant difference?

Aren't caps fans saying he's bad now? Or was that another defender

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



El Gallinero Gros posted:

Ha! Well, shows what I know. I guess the underlying point I was making is that wouldn't most of the UFA defencemen be better than Hunwick or Polak?

Yeah but you can pretty easily find guys for ~$1-2M that are better than those plugs, and the next tier of defenders probably won't be a significant upgrade on Carrick/Zaitsev/Marincin. One of the big pitfalls of Leafs teams post-lockout was stocking up on middling defenders all making $4M so the team ends up capped out and without any high-end talent.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Hand Knit posted:

Valiev and Dermott, I guess. Certainly nobody of the quality that you would expect them to solve any real problems soon.

I know some people are saying not to sleep on Dermott (Kristen Shilton most recently) but I haven't seen anything out of him when I watch the Marlies. Over the last several years people have been overrating Marlies' D pretty severely, so it's troubling when reviews of the org's top prospects are so mixed.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Kalenn Istarion posted:

I say this as a true blue Canadian:
Don Cherry is dumb as a bag of rocks

:hfive:

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Kalenn Istarion posted:

Hear hear

Problem is who do you put him with?

Curious why Marner and Matthews haven't been tried together.

Babcock says it's because both of them can drive lines on their own, which is true. Bozak and JVR separated from Marner basically can't exit their zone with control, and Matthews managed to make Hyman/Brown look like a competent scoring line for a while. Combining them is diminishing returns if it renders another line helpless.

I'd have liked to have seen Kapanen/Leipsic called up at some point but injuries didn't cooperate well with that.

In terms of who's actually on the roster it's almost criminal that Leivo is sitting the way he's played this season, and I'm not even that high on the guy.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Hyman is an actually ok PKer iirc, which is something. I don't think he should sit, just that he's over his head the way the team is currently constructed.

The elephant in the room when talking about the Leafs roster is always going to be Matt freakin Martin. Pretty crazy how a deal like that ripples through the entire team.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



eXXon posted:

He scored a goal last game so he's immune to criticism for the rest of the season. Also hits. We know nothing's going to happen to him until a new, younger, smarter GM gets hired so whatever.

Actually, since Boyle came along, the 4th line has been running about ~60% CF%, so they're no longer a massive liability, although I assume they're still heavily sheltered.

Boyle's been great all things considered, but just about anyone would have made an impact over Smith.

Point still stands, Martin's presence means someone better than him is sitting regardless of the situation, which has ramifications throughout every line when you've got guys like Hyman/Sosh and Komarov needing spots too.

I'm a little concerned about Lou, this is going to be a really important offseason for the team. Even if he can bring himself to part with Polak I'm not certain that he won't just replace him with some equivalent. Last summer was not encouraging, and I don't think he or Babs are going to quit with their insistence on role players until someone makes them.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Hyman has 3 ES points total in his last 24 games, he's utterly dependent on Matthews making things happen for him and is a black hole when he fades, which is why we're talking about him now. Matthews wouldn't have a scoring drought if Hyman was a competent offensive player.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Don't get me wrong, the whole reason the Leafs are doing as well as they are this season is you can basically throw anyone half-decent on Matthews' line and have them look like a legitimate threat, or at the very least a plus-possession line.

But it's not apparent yet whether or not Hyman is above replacement in that scenario, they've literally never been apart at ES, and the team's recent struggles are leading me to lean against him.

I think it's likely that people were overrating Hyman, and while I don't think replacing him with someone else would jump Matthews 20 points I do think the line and team as a whole would benefit from someone more suited to playing offence in that slot.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Remember when the Leafs traded Kessel and everyone was like "they didn't even get Pouliot/Maata for him?!?" and now it turns out that they were all bad

Still gonna be a little bit sad when Vegas takes Rychel in the expansion draft though

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Just think, someone had it in their power to do the right thing but instead they volunteered as a liver donor for Eugene Melnyk.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



So are people still doing #hockeyporn ??

https://twitter.com/reporterchris/status/844026660219424772

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



I want TOR-OTT and BOS-MTL in the first round and I will be very upset if the Islanders ruin that


-e- oh wait the wildcard is dumb and that might not be possible

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Frederik Andersen is injured, meaning the Leafs starting goaltender is now Curtis McElhinney, and also that they will miss the playoffs

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



So postgame Mike Babcock says that it was the Sabres team doctor that requested Andersen be pulled, presumably due to concussion protocol. The Leafs team doctor didn't travel with them on this trip, which seems incredibly stupid, and so the Leafs couldn't give Andersen his baseline test and he had to stay out.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Kalenn Istarion posted:

That seems kinda sketchy, I mean I'd hope someone isn't loving around with concussion protocol for on-ice reasons but agree it's real dumb of the leafs not to have their own guy there to check it out.

The thought occurred to me but I think it's too cynical to assume it was done for gamesmanship, the Sabres were all over the crease and Andersen caught a lot of contact. Just seems crazy to me that the Leafs don't have a team doctor at every game.

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



N: Kasperi Kapanen was called up

V: that's good

N: he's skating on the fourth line and Ben Smith got moved up

V: that's bad

N: Andersen started practice

V: that's good

N: he left early and the nets belong to Curtis McElhinney and Garrett Sparks

V: that's bad

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



That's Garrett "first Leaf goalie to ever get a shutout in his debut" Sparks to you

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Arabian Jesus posted:

Is Boyle hurt? I thought we traded for him so that we never had to watch Ben Smith play again...

He's fine but Leivo and Sosh are injured and call-ups are limited so Smith is playing as a winger.

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Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



DuhSal posted:

I thought Kapanen was taking Smith's spot in the lineup? Smith was only in because Sosh and then Leivo were hurt. Unless someone else is hurt, I don't think Smith is playing.

Hyman Matthews Nylander
Marner Bozak JVR
Komarov Kadri Brown
Martin Boyle Kapanen

Oh Nylander wasn't doing rushes for whatever reason so Smith was on Matthews' wing iirc. It's a non-story, just funny.

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