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Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Bizarro Watt posted:

Chaffetz sounds like your run of the mill Reddit troll.

I wonder what his favorite sub is.

It's CoonTown.

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Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So when this bill fails miserably tomorrow who gets thrown under the bus first?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
CNN is reporting that Trump is now making personal phone calls to representatives pleading that they vote yes. I wouldn't imagine he'd be doing that if they weren't terribly desperate. Especially considering it's more likely to backfire on him and inspire more 'No' votes.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So is there an updated count of No and Leaning No votes?

Edit: haha great timing. So how many Nos are coming from the Freedom Caucus?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

Nothing dies today. Plus we don't even know what bill is getting voted on today! They repealed the rule preventing them from putting a bill on the floor and voting on it the same day!

Doesn't that make it more likely that the No votes will stay No since they can't be sure that they got any changes they wanted?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Trump is going to fall on his face so hard if everything hinges on his "deal making skills."

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

repealing the EHB will get the freedom caucus on boa...

https://twitter.com/justinamash/status/844764546698924032

uh oh

(he probably wants the pre-existing conditions part dropped too. you know, to help the sickest.)

Does this dude speak for the Freedom Caucus?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So the meeting of the damned should be starting any moment now yes?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So is this meeting going on or not?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Any chance of reporting of the meeting while its in progress or at least some leaks?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
If this makes it into the Senate that number will go even further down as people have more time to digest just how terrible it is, especially after whatever poo poo the Freedom Caucus got.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

eviltastic posted:

It's not the meeting, but there's some reporting on the people who aren't in the meeting:
https://twitter.com/LisaMascaro/status/844951862386343937

Does this mean that some of the HFC refused to go to the meeting?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Haha the expert deal making ability of Trump everyone.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

RocktheCaulk posted:

Let's all remember the Republicans have no balls though and will roll over for some scraps in the end.

Cool thanks for be low effort Nothing Matters post.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So this is a sure sign of pure desperation on the part of Ryan right?

Safe to say that today's meeting was a disaster?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

Yep. Freedom caucus still wouldn't agree, and "moderate" defections just keep piling up. Anything that gets the HFC on board almost certainly means enough moderates jump to "no" to kill it.

Washington Post has the "no" votes up to 37.

37?! Wow it's gone up like 10 in the past day.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So how many more moderates are ready to jump ship over the new concessions to the HFC that still didn't even get those psychos onboard?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Fulchrum posted:

That Koch brothers announcement was a starting whistle.

The system works! :downsgun:

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

So how long until Republicans begin pretending that the bill didn't even exist in the first place?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Which is more humiliating for Trump, it being shot down in a vote or just thrown away without a vote?

Or are you saying that Ryan will force a vote no matter what to try and share the blame for failure?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

He will definitely force a vote. The blowback is going to be immense and he's going to need the additional targets for the base's rage.

Nice.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Craig K posted:

i legitimately don't know who the gently caress this bill as is WOULDNT royally piss off

Trump. He'd brag about literally anything passing at this point.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

i go to meetings for 2 hours and the cbo tells the house they're spending almost $200b extra to cover zero additional people

my sides

How does that even happen.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So CNN is saying that there are 26 Nos and 4 Leaning No. What happened to the 37 from earlier?

edit: weird, Washington Post on their main page is saying 35 No and 16 Leaning No. That's a pretty large differential between the two sites. What's up with that?

Shimrra Jamaane fucked around with this message at 23:36 on Mar 23, 2017

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

There's two ways of getting numbers:

1) Adding up every "I won't vote for this bill" statement that hasn't been retracted
2) Leaks from internal whip counts or other internal estimates

Most media counts are #1, and that can be wrong when someone has privately told leadership they'll vote yes but not made it public. It can also vary on what they consider definitive, or too old.

#2 can be self-serving leaks and aren't verifiable (and may vary on how firmly they need someone to be before saying they're a "no").

So is it safe to say that The Truth... is Somewhere in the Middle?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

So what are they going to do, just silently glare at eachother for an hour?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

evilweasel posted:

Final bill will include EHB repeal and is likely a final gamble that when push comes to shove HFC will bend. I think it won't even matter as I think they may not have moderates with the EHB repeal.

It's not over until the actual vote happens though.

But if you had to put money on it the NOs are pretty safe bet I think.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

eviltastic posted:

I think I was right, ryan wants delay/pulled vote, and Trump is having none of it:
https://twitter.com/MajorCBS/status/845310870607548418

haha go down in flames you gently caress

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

eviltastic posted:

Yuuuup.

Ryan wants to run for the hills, Trump wants names.
https://twitter.com/TimAlberta/status/845311572264275969

If Trump starts going after Koch backed NO votesrs let the GOP Civil War begin.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So what happens if Boss Baby Trump demands a vote no matter what gently caress the results. Will it have to take place?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Excellent. How many Nos from today alone does that make?

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Hopefully this blows up in their face like last time especially since they need it done by Friday at the latest.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Fulchrum posted:

Have they done anything yet that couldn't just be empty promises and bluster?

Apparently not and they only have until Friday to do anything so it's all probably a non-starter.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
After the humiliating embarrassment that was Trumps last attempt at this I'm happy he's so willing to stick his dick back in the hornets nest.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
So they've already reached 22 No's on this new bill that has the HFC on board. If Trump demands a change so that states can't request waivers that just means we go back to the first bill which had zero HFC support, which was more than 22 No's.

So either way this latest attempt to bring down Obamcare is dead in the water. Again.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Fulchrum posted:

So, this is it for the year, right? They needed a budget resolution to be able to repeal Obamacare, they need to do the budget now, so they've lost this years window to actually repeal, and will need to try again in 2018, when the threat of voter backlash is worse?

From my extremely limited understanding of the situation, I think so.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

The HFC is the gift that keeps on giving.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Oh wouldn't it be sooo loving sweet if they hold the vote only for it to fail. Like maybe if a couple Lean Yes' get visited by the Ghost of Christmas Future tonight or something and gently caress up the whip count.

Shimrra Jamaane fucked around with this message at 01:19 on May 4, 2017

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
As someone in MA would it be useful for me to call/mail representatives in other states? Maybe lie about where I live?

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Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
gently caress I thought Arkane got banned a long time ago.

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