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this thread is for discussions pertaining to one (1) french election.
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Apr 21, 2017 22:18
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pity reply
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Apr 22, 2017 00:43
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did le penn win yet
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Apr 22, 2017 00:45
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No that's sunday away. And she might (hopefully) not win.
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Apr 22, 2017 00:47
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people still havent picked up on my hot portmanteu the frenchlection
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Apr 22, 2017 00:49
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Clinton would have won under the french system because France doesn't apportion votes by acreage, but the legislatives would probably have hosed her presidential victory up because France takes gridlock seriously.
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Apr 22, 2017 00:58
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melenchon v. le pen, we'll get to the bottom of this 'bernie would have won' nonsense
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Apr 22, 2017 01:57
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Huge surprise: Obama supports the neoliberal capitalist candidate
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Apr 22, 2017 02:08
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aliens do exist and they want Le Pen as their next leader
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Apr 22, 2017 02:15
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In a reversal of 2002, Le Pen will crush with 80+% of the vote in the runoff.
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Apr 22, 2017 02:18
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merde
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Apr 22, 2017 02:54
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Baloogan posted:this thread is for discussions pertaining to one (1) french election. don't we get three rounds of runoff posting or something
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Apr 22, 2017 04:06
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I'd normally feel like the OP should include current polling, but my guys is that it's going to be wrong, just like US polling vis-a-vis Trump and Brexit. Le Pen will perform better than expected, and either outright win, or get narrowly defeated in the second round.
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Apr 22, 2017 04:28
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c'est son tour
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Apr 22, 2017 04:39
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MaxxBot posted:Huge surprise: Obama supports the neoliberal capitalist candidate obama is cancer and he can go gently caress himself
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Apr 22, 2017 10:28
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i thought there were 2, like, they do 1, and then another
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Apr 22, 2017 10:29
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Zas posted:i thought there were 2, like, they do 1, and then another First round of vote is tomorrow (Apr 23). Top 2 do it again May 7
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Apr 22, 2017 11:01
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http://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/pr...in-dimanche.php here's a thing on the elections. it seems the first round has started as of an hour ago quote:Le vote pour le premier tour de la présidentielle vient de débuter à Saint-Pierre et Miquelon. C'est le premier département d'Outre-mer à voter avant la Guyane à 13 heures. Dans cette collectivité de l'Atlantique nord, près de 5000 personnes sont inscrites sur les listes électorales.
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Apr 22, 2017 12:43
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https://twitter.com/OdoxaSondages/status/855445880803086336 tfw ur a fascist hoping for a bounce in the polls after a terrorist attack but then trump jinxs it
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Apr 22, 2017 12:43
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after brexit and the us election i would be nervous to be a center left dude with a 1-2% poll advantage
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Apr 22, 2017 12:52
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Zas posted:after brexit and the us election i would be nervous to be a center left dude with a 1-2% poll advantage When it gets to the second he will probably do better, if he gets through. The nightmare scenario for the EU and really for anyone French who just wants to get on with their life not caring about politics is a JLM-Le Pen win in the first round, because you then have a choice of a euroskeptic populist left versus a euroskeptic populist hard right. The French are extremely unhappy with all of the candidates on offer so this is like the US election all over again.
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Apr 22, 2017 13:05
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yeah i know i just mean in the graphic he only has like a 2% advantage in the 2nd round too. i didnt check if that was some kind of poll or other projection though
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Apr 22, 2017 13:13
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The second round is a whole other election, so it'd be Macron or whoever else vs Le Pen (who I think people have more or less decided WILL get through - probably rightly, because there are likely a lot of shy pétainistes about). Almost the entire left except for a handful of super dumbasses will vote Macron over Le Pen in that situation, plus a lot of the centre right.
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Apr 22, 2017 13:16
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lol if it ends up as Fillon - Le Pen though, that would be un spanner dans le works as they say, because they have mostly the same outlook in terms of being extremely French about muslims and so on but Fillon wants to sack a million public workers and extend the working week to 48 hours to reinvigorate the economy (mdr). At that point who knows who'd win, a lot of the left will not turn out.
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Apr 22, 2017 13:18
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Zas posted:yeah i know i just mean in the graphic he only has like a 2% advantage in the 2nd round too. i didnt check if that was some kind of poll or other projection though that graphic is for the first round only, the link has polling data for voting intentions in the second round as well and shows macron with a 24% lead in the Macron v. LePen scenario. Fillon and Melenchon do worse against LePen, 14% and 8% leads respectively. in the extremely unlikely event LePen fails to make the first round, Macron beats Melenchon by 20% and Fillon by 30. there's no data for Fillon v. Melenchon so if the two front runners get annihilated by a freak meteor strike it's anyone's game
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Apr 22, 2017 13:20
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Fallen Hamprince posted:that graphic is for the first round only, the link has polling data for voting intentions in the second round as well and shows macron with a 24% lead in the Macron v. LePen scenario. Fillon and Melenchon do worse against LePen, 14% and 8% leads respectively. in the extremely unlikely event LePen fails to make the first round, Macron beats Melenchon by 20% and Fillon by 30. there's no data for Fillon v. Melenchon so if the two front runners get annihilated by a freak meteor strike it's anyone's game 
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Apr 22, 2017 14:02
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Fallen Hamprince posted:that graphic is for the first round only, the link has polling data for voting intentions in the second round as well and shows macron with a 24% lead in the Macron v. LePen scenario. Fillon and Melenchon do worse against LePen, 14% and 8% leads respectively. in the extremely unlikely event LePen fails to make the first round, Macron beats Melenchon by 20% and Fillon by 30. there's no data for Fillon v. Melenchon so if the two front runners get annihilated by a freak meteor strike it's anyone's game Freak Meteor Strike, 2017 
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Apr 22, 2017 14:59
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you have the most petty and specific red text on the forums
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Apr 22, 2017 15:35
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zegermans posted:you have the most petty and specific red text on the forums its awesome I'm really impressed
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Apr 22, 2017 15:36
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most important france election q: which of the candidates is most likely to have sex with their close relatives and kill their spouse?
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Apr 22, 2017 15:46
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zegermans posted:you have the most petty and specific red text on the forums Fallen Hamprince posted:most important france election q: which of the candidates is most likely to have sex with their close relatives and kill their spouse?
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Apr 22, 2017 15:56
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Macron wins two of the "who do I vote for?" categories, and arguably the most important. Most likely to beat Le Pen Best Accelerationist's Choice
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Apr 22, 2017 15:58
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mister magpie posted:Macron wins two of the "who do I vote for?" categories, and arguably the most important. Full Accelerationism is probably Fillon, Macron is the closest to a status quo candidate in this election. Melenchon or LePen would work too depending on how horny they are for Frexit.
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Apr 22, 2017 16:02
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My line of thought was that status quo was the fastest way to continue to anger the electorate
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Apr 22, 2017 17:27
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why would a politician campaign on firing a million voters?
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Apr 22, 2017 17:57
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JhKA1uX2UmI
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Apr 22, 2017 17:59
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Why are French politicians incapable of not loving things
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Apr 22, 2017 18:05
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Baloogan posted:this thread is for discussions pétaining to one (1) french election.
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Apr 22, 2017 18:26
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zegermans posted:Why are French politicians incapable of not loving things it's strange to me! if it's not through a hole in a sheet like mormon jesus intended then i'm not interested! good news though! https://twitter.com/ByCommonConsent/status/855412298189373441 BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 18:49 on Apr 22, 2017 |
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Apr 22, 2017 18:32
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| # ? Apr 23, 2024 14:24 |
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list of good articles by conservative writers about france's political / social crisis: + https://www.city-journal.org/html/french-coming-apart-15125.html + http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-battle-for-france-french-elections-eric-zemmour/
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Apr 22, 2017 18:36
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