Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Clinton would have won under the french system because France doesn't apportion votes by acreage, but the legislatives would probably have hosed her presidential victory up because France takes gridlock seriously.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
At the end of the night, France is still going to have one less fascist elected than the US.

Tragically Poutoumentum was not real, though.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
"Based on my experience Le Pen has been president since 2000" - a very convincing argument

Seriously reading this thread you'd think Le Pen has the majority of seats at the national assembly rather than the PS (she has 2).

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
It's not hard to imagine when his campaign is basically the "Bloomberg runs as the third party PUMA candidate" run at this point

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Karl Barks posted:

the french are vain as hell

Literally why both leftie candidates have one or two days' worth of stubble.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Comrade Cheggorsky posted:

don't worry, Le Pen wont win, le bleu wall will hold

Yes, tragically Le Pen would possibly win if the system to apportion votes was based on how many heads of cattle are in each department.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Azathoth posted:

Could someone who understands French elections explain to me how she's a viable candidate for the presidency despite having only a couple of people from her party in their legislature?

You get to be candidate if you can hoodwink 500 mayors to sign a petition for you, out of a bit over 36000 communes.

Presidential candidates with little in the way of official party presence behind them are common as a result, and the presidency and national assembly aren't even on the same electoral schedule. Le Pen is basically a protest vote for people who otherwise vote UMP or Random Right in the legislatives, with only about half her presidential vote total ever materializing during legislative elections if even that.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
We saw how well that played out in a country that establishes which regions has votes based on size and where literally 40% of the population would still vote for one of the major parties if they found a way to resurrect Hitler and put him in charge.

The terrible banker is leading by nearly 30 points.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Condiv posted:

"polling was right this time! that must mean it's fixed and we can trust it again!!"

Polling was right in the US elections too. They were within the margin of error nationally in November.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
"The fascist candidate won in areas where he polled with razor thin margins of defeat, polling has betrayed me" is the rallying cry of people who don't understand a thing about stats.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Because France's system is essentially built so that the first round allows a plurality of ideas (also because chances are most of that 6% would never have voted by someone endorsed by the PCF and it's hard to get over the ego trip of leading the majority party)

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

wizard on a water slide posted:

Does anybody know enough about the culture of the French far right to speculate meaningfully on whether Le Pen's gender is a hindrance, asset, or non-factor in her chances?

Mostly a non-factor; the tiny fraction that didn't want her in charge is represented by one of the 1% no hopers already and she's broadly anti feminist.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
I'm still seeing no site with actual results posted, it's entirely the ipsos preliminary results.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Wow, who would have thought a banker wouldn't be too hot on leftism.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Yes, I'm sure the PCF is burning to vote for the nazi.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
These are margin of error results, Le Pen is still not winning the runoff.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

jBrereton posted:

I think there are definitely people in France Insoumise who will more than entertain the notion of voting for Le Pen just to gently caress with the EU because they're idiots.

Right now the only idiot I'm seeing is the person entertaining socialists voting for a nazi.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Le Pen isn't just a loving frexit vote.

But of course in the brokebrained lib mind, the only political issues that matter seem to be summable with "but Trump" and "brexit" no matter what country this is clumsily applied to.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
She didn't get a plurality. Macron's count started pulling ahead half an hour ago. Also Melenchon might just barely tie Fillon.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
lol @ US libs who would really love the Macron Le Pen to be the real situation of Clinton Trump when it was more a Macron-Fillon runoff.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
So the sort of final tally, at 97% of the votes counted is

Ministere de l'Interieur posted:

M. Emmanuel MACRON 8 528 585 18,19 23,86
Mme Marine LE PEN 7 658 990 16,33 21,43
M. François FILLON 7 126 632 15,20 19,94
M. Jean-Luc MÉLENCHON 7 011 856 14,95 19,62

I gotta say, as much as I hope this shuts up the "But Trump" objection to polling, I know this is a vain hope. Those were some incredibly close margins.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
It's almost twice his 2012 score (and his equivalent in 07 was Besancenot)

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Tingfinder posted:

Well, every single other political party gave support to Macron and urged to vote against Le Pen, so i really hope the people stop voting to shoot themselves in the foot. Fanaticism and extremism is a horrible way to counter fanaticism and extremism.

Le Pen has literal nazis in her inner circle:

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/13/world/europe/marine-le-pen-national-front-party.html

Yeah, the nytimes is kind of slow on the uptake there. It's already been known for years that she changed literally nothing besides the packaging.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
The french academy doesn't ban borrowings though. The last spelling reform included a ton of them mostly so that they fit the phonetics of the language (as spoken in Paris, lol). And there's a bunch of prescriptivists who would cream themselves if english had such a thing.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Coolguye posted:

german, spanish, and japanese also do not have governmental governing bodies

spanish you can kinda understand because like english it's the primary language across half of the globe, but germans happily incorporate 'sorry' and other brief englishisms whenever they're useful to the situation. japanese has an entire character set specifically to make foreign words easier to integrate into the language, and the number of english and german knockoff words in common use has increased steadily over the last 2 to the outrage of approximately nobody

france is pretty unique in the amount of effort they exert to keep their linguistic tree fort to themselves

they do not


so long as they're french enough by the academy's subjective elitist standards lol


it's less disdain for americans and more disdain for literally everyone who is not french

The real academia española and the association of spanish language academies say hi.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

walgreenslatino posted:

why do people keep saying this, PVV picked up 5 additional seats, they're the second largest party in the House

Isn't "second party in the house" really not much of an accomplishment in a country like the Netherlands with their clown car of political parties?

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

jBrereton posted:

Die 👏 Gesellschaft 👏 für 👏 deutsche 👏 Sprache 👏 is 👏 fictitious.

That's because they call it the council for orthograph or something aggressively boring like that.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
The stranglehold the french academy has is a fantasy, people use english words all the goddamn time.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Meanwhile back in America "Well you know, I may think he's a dangerous, unhinged fascist, but I think dropping bombs on Syria was very presidential"

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
I'm sure the french will absolutely never vote for a man who sleeps with both the mother and the daughter

Well maybe he won't get quite 100% of the vote that way.

Agnosticnixie has issued a correction as of 04:24 on Apr 25, 2017

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

jBrereton posted:

I think dominique venner was so deep down the pied-noir rabbit hole he wasn't even in FN although I could be wrong on that

It's more that he was basically the originator; pretty much everyone on the french far right saw him as a political prophet, including Marine.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Chokes McGee posted:

* does not apply if not white or heterosexual

Macron had ongoing rumors that he had a male lover on the side during the elections, doesn't seem to have hurt that much.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

I don't think the cultural values of medieval England have anything to do with Macron or Melenchon but that's just me.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Fallen Hamprince posted:

i'm extremely horny for city of london death

loving up english banks is almost as presidential as having a mistress.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
His hometown is in the middle of Le Pen-land (she got 30% in the department as a whole).

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
She can't handle anything beyond softballs in general since she's a crazed ultracatholic with about as much ability to handle hard questions as her aunt and grandpa.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

hakimashou posted:

How can you be French and be a Vichy like Le Pen?

Many people are just bad.

I imagine it's very easy when you spent your youth trying to establish a fascist dictatorship in France and were involved with the pied-noirs' attempts to pull a Franco.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
So Melenchon has put out a statement that was basically "I will not vote Le Pen and I call on you to not make this terrible mistake", which I'm sure still has anglo media holding their breaths and ready to blame France Insoumise rather than the actually likely guilty party, namely the roughly 30-50% of Republican voters who are probably going to give Le Pen most of her runoff bump.

Also he's definitely calling on people to focus on the legislatives.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
Did u know Bismarck and Nicholas II were really leftists? Really makes u think

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
I'm sure her votes are going to get her that much vaunted electoral college victory somehow.

  • Locked thread