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Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Powell is and always will be a volume play. I've lost count of the number of times he's been a free reliable bye week guy for me, but he ain't gonna supermova like a rawls of Howard etc.

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Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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rb snap counts

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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The problem with streaming kickers is that folks often end up chasing yesterday's points. They set themselves up to always be starting the players most likely to regress to the mean (kickers are more random than other positions, so big-scoring games are more noise and less signal than big games from, say, a quarterback). It's tough for a strategy like that to beat a person who sticks with one kicker and gets to benefit from the long-run mean over weeks (so, for example, if we think dome kickers have a slight edge, increasing your sample of dome games increases the probability that this edge will manifest itself in a practical margin).

Like, it's probably possible to stream kickers in a way that yields a net positive expected points, but it would likely take an awful lot of work to beat the market.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Silly Burrito posted:

That's why I invest in a low cost kicker index fund.

Literally the only thing to look for in kickers is low overhead costs, minimal active management, and diversification across leagues. This is the perfect metaphor.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Washington always seems to have these great passing down guys. Roy Helu was quietly one of the best pass catching backs in the league for a while before a single year of misuse in Oakland was enough to kill his career.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Interesting.

https://twitter.com/allbrightnfl/status/919284331301961728

I'm down. I like Hyde but Breida was my preseason lotto ticket in 3 of my 4 dynasty leagues.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Titans are now 11-1 when Derrick Henry gets 7 or more rushing attempts, and 1-8 when he doesn't.

I'm sure a lot of that is allowing Henry to salt away games that they're already winning, but still, that's a hell of a split.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Suave Fedora posted:

Hot drat just a 4th?

Shoot, they got him in the 5th, and got some great games out of him. Not bad for half a contract's worth of an RB who may have a degenerative knee condition that could end his career at basically any time.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Dion Lewis looking like LevBell Light out there.

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Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

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Some quick GroundControl stats and pictures from 2017. Apps will be updated by the end of the week.

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