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Powell is and always will be a volume play. I've lost count of the number of times he's been a free reliable bye week guy for me, but he ain't gonna supermova like a rawls of Howard etc.
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# ¿ Sep 16, 2017 01:36 |
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# ¿ May 22, 2024 18:04 |
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rb snap counts
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# ¿ Sep 19, 2017 13:31 |
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The problem with streaming kickers is that folks often end up chasing yesterday's points. They set themselves up to always be starting the players most likely to regress to the mean (kickers are more random than other positions, so big-scoring games are more noise and less signal than big games from, say, a quarterback). It's tough for a strategy like that to beat a person who sticks with one kicker and gets to benefit from the long-run mean over weeks (so, for example, if we think dome kickers have a slight edge, increasing your sample of dome games increases the probability that this edge will manifest itself in a practical margin). Like, it's probably possible to stream kickers in a way that yields a net positive expected points, but it would likely take an awful lot of work to beat the market.
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# ¿ Sep 23, 2017 17:12 |
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Silly Burrito posted:That's why I invest in a low cost kicker index fund. Literally the only thing to look for in kickers is low overhead costs, minimal active management, and diversification across leagues. This is the perfect metaphor.
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# ¿ Sep 23, 2017 17:53 |
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Washington always seems to have these great passing down guys. Roy Helu was quietly one of the best pass catching backs in the league for a while before a single year of misuse in Oakland was enough to kill his career.
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# ¿ Sep 25, 2017 14:47 |
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Interesting. https://twitter.com/allbrightnfl/status/919284331301961728 I'm down. I like Hyde but Breida was my preseason lotto ticket in 3 of my 4 dynasty leagues.
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# ¿ Oct 15, 2017 01:15 |
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Titans are now 11-1 when Derrick Henry gets 7 or more rushing attempts, and 1-8 when he doesn't. I'm sure a lot of that is allowing Henry to salt away games that they're already winning, but still, that's a hell of a split.
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# ¿ Oct 17, 2017 13:36 |
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Suave Fedora posted:Hot drat just a 4th? Shoot, they got him in the 5th, and got some great games out of him. Not bad for half a contract's worth of an RB who may have a degenerative knee condition that could end his career at basically any time.
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# ¿ Oct 31, 2017 14:55 |
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Dion Lewis looking like LevBell Light out there.
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# ¿ Dec 31, 2017 21:19 |
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# ¿ May 22, 2024 18:04 |
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Some quick GroundControl stats and pictures from 2017. Apps will be updated by the end of the week.
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# ¿ Jan 4, 2018 03:04 |