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I want in. It's never too early to be wrong about fantasy football.
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Apr 30, 2017 09:24
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My bad. PMed it to you now.
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May 6, 2017 01:14
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ODB deserves to be the 1.01 pick for this alone.
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May 8, 2017 17:47
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1.10 Dez Bryant 2.03 Devonta Freeman Even after his injuries, I doubt I'll be dropping Dez any in my rankings. He's just too good at finding the end zone and ought to get fed in year 2 of the Dak Prescott Era.
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May 9, 2017 03:53
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RisqueBarber posted:I hope you're right but I think Dak will have an RG3 kind of second year
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May 9, 2017 20:03
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Sataere posted:I think third round is an acceptable spot to take rookies. Taking Zeke in the first last year was nuts, despite the results.
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May 9, 2017 23:49
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Sataere posted:It's a fair point. I liked Zeke last year, I just didn't like his ADP. The problem with evaluating rookies in fantasy is there are do many factors we don't know. Dumb coaching can really get in the way of talent, because "rookies gotta earn it" or some such bullshit.
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May 10, 2017 00:18
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I like Pryor's situation on paper... but I still get a bad feeling about him. His game logs don't seem too concerning aside from 3/4 TDs basically coming in the first month. But Cleveland's evaluation of him dropped considerably by the end of the year. There was talk in early October that Pryor was one of their rare few untouchables in trade talks but then the offseason comes and they basically pegged Pryor and Kenny Britt as roughly the same value. Struck me as weird. Also weird was the ire he was drawing from cornerbacks around the league, like he was talking poo poo a lot more than others. Makes me think there's an ego issue there, the "thinks he's better than he actually is" kind. I'm worried about the risk of him not meshing well with a new coaching staff. As for my picks... 3.10 Sammy Watkins A risky pick in the third but easier to swallow in bestball formats. I would've taken Keenan Allen if he had fallen one more pick. I normally like to avoid receivers with foot issues but I wasn't entirely sold on any of the other top guys available here. A healthy Watkins can dominate and play against the best cornerbacks in the league. He can put together some truly explosive days so I just need to build on my depth to help protect against any setbacks he might incur. 4.03 Joe Mixon Joe Mixon is a bad person but goddamn did he land in an ideal spot. Immediately relegates Jeremy Hill to backup/tradebait and he's great on passing downs too so I don't expect a pure committee with Gio either. I think he'll be one of the offensive focal points on the Bengals and the top rookie RB. RB1 upside.
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May 11, 2017 00:52
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Sataere posted:I'm not sure how I feel about Brady. On the one hand, there is no denying he has been dominant. On the other hand, I worry that Roger Goodell found the painting he has been hiding in his attic.
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May 11, 2017 06:38
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I wish Kelce had gone earlier so I'd feel less bad about not drafting him. I was all about targeting Gronk or Reed early last year in redraft leagues since I thought there was a huge dropoff after them in terms of PPG. This year it'll probably be Gronk/Reed/Kelce as my top targets but I'm not in love with any of them this time. Kelce had his huge monster second half but was pretty underutilized by the KC offense prior to that so part of me worries he won't repeat as a Top 3 play. But he's probably still the safest bet.
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May 12, 2017 00:07
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5.10 Emmanuel Sanders One of them "reliable vet with solid floor" picks. I thought he was a solid value at the bottom of the fifth and I felt like I needed a guy like him after swinging for the fences with a few of my picks so far. 6.03 Matt Ryan Getting Ryan as the 7th QB off the board felt like great value to me. I know he doesn't have Shanahan as his OC any more but Ryan still has a ton of weapons in that offense and ought to know what to do with them. I think he still has a decent chance to repeat as a Top 3 QB. Could wait longer at QB but sixth round felt like a good time to make a move like this.
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May 13, 2017 22:39
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7.10 Desean Jackson An excellent complement to Mike Evans in TB, I think he's in for another solid season. Always good in best ball, I think he'll be a more reliable option in redraft leagues this year as well. 8.03 Martellus Bennett He may have gone later but I like this spot, grabbing him as the 9th TE off the board. I'm imagining all those DFS lineups with Jared Cook in last season's playoffs, only this time it's Black Unicorn and it's even better.
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May 16, 2017 04:55
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Leperflesh posted:I would say that first and second round TE draft picks frequently make a meaningful contribution. My gut feel is that they bust no more often than other 1st and 2nd round rookies bust. Drunk Nerds posted:I did. After he's traded to the Ravens.
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May 16, 2017 23:21
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Leperflesh posted:I think you and I might have different expectations for how a TE outside of the top five guys in the league can be anticipated to perform. I feel MFL ranked the rookies way too high relative to the non-elite veterans. There's still a sizable gulf between those tiers and I think the "shiny new toy"-ism of the rookies can lead someone into a trap.
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May 17, 2017 02:43
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Drunk Nerds posted:yeee. although, I didn't know that they had actual rankings, I've just been sorting by ADP Seriously there are like ten names left that I would still take over Evan Engram at this point. And Jason Witten is even lower than Adam Shaheen and Tyler Higbee for gently caress's sake!
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May 17, 2017 05:15
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I dig the Garçon/Rishard Matthews picks. Really underrated players at their current ADPs. Could even rise a round or two before real drafts start and still be worth it.
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May 17, 2017 16:44
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9.10 Samaje Perine https://twitter.com/ScottBarrettDFB/status/864608552085835776 I don't put any stock in Rob Kelley's status as the incumbent. He's a former UDFA they got lucky with but nothing more than an average talent really. They seem pretty high on Perine right away so I believe the starting job will be his easily. Which should translate to some nice volume on an above-average offense. 10.03 Frank Gore Old man Gore keeps trucking along. The Colts drafted Marlon Mack to add a homerun element to their backfield which will hurt Gore's volume some but I'll never doubt Gore until he actually retires. Should still offer a solid floor week-to-week. Victims of the uncertainty surrounding the lesser RB talent, I think both will see their ADPs rise quite a bit before real drafts.
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May 19, 2017 01:01
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I want to believe in Charles still... but Chiefs doctors were apparently recommending he should retire. 
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May 19, 2017 16:44
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Thielen, Doyle, and Ebron are all good value this round. I really hope Doyle's ADP can stay this low. It's still early but so far, he's one of my favorite targets when waiting on TE. Ebron is also a better target this year than last. Still think it'll be more like another incremental gain than true jump to breakout status but he'll bring real TE1 upside this year.
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May 20, 2017 00:01
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Ebron's red zone target share isn't great is my only hangup with him now. That'll probably keep him out of the Top 5 even if he's healthy. If the RBs weren't as involved in the Lions passing game as they are, his TD upside would be much higher. But things are spread too thin between all the position groups.
Tiptoes fucked around with this message at 00:30 on May 20, 2017 |
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May 20, 2017 00:25
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11.10 Tyrell Williams He had a 69/1059/7 line as a second year player. I don't exactly know how the Chargers WR shares will be divided but I would be surprised if Tyrell wasn't a big part of their passing game again. 12.03 Cameron Brate Had the same number of red zone targets as Mike Evans (19) last year. Even with the addition of OJ Howard, I think Brate is an ascending talent who has real chemistry with Winston. Brate can play as the F type TE while Howard works more inline. Howard is a far superior blocker and the Bucs like to use plenty of 2TE sets. I'm a believer in Brate remaining a meaningful piece of this offense while Howard is a rookie.
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May 21, 2017 03:45
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I try to take these slow drafts as seriously as possible but I'm far more interested in the process than the end result. It is literally impossible for me to care enough to draft multiple kickers. I just can't do it.
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May 22, 2017 20:01
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Just a deep sleeper that I like enough to write a blurb about. There's always a guy left that I feel is worth mentioning.
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May 22, 2017 21:41
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Hooray no kickers! Also I wonder how much the Joe Williams hype narrative will push up his ADP. Offers real nice upside in the 12th but has already been talked up by fantasy twitter so I worry that could rise to a more unreasonable level later in the summer. I'm sure Shanahan will find ways to use him even if Hyde is healthy but I'd probably bet against Williams being ready for feature back duties in 2017 so I don't think he overtakes a healthy Hyde. It's a good thing Hyde is one of the more injury prone backs in the league though.
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May 23, 2017 07:15
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13.10 Sam Bradford Pickings for QB2 are looking real slim so I decided to just grab the best QB on the board. Then I got concerned that Brian Hoyer might be injured by Week 5 so I grabbed Sam Bradford instead. Whatever Matt Ryan will just put up Top 5 numbers every week. 14.03 Curtis Samuel The dual-threat rookie joins an offense, and specifically a group of receivers, that underwhelmed last year and lost Ted Ginn (52/754/4 last year) in the offseason. I think Cam bounces back but I'm still underwhelmed by the veteran receivers so I do think Samuel will carve out a meaningful role as a rookie. The offense needs playmakers and he's definitely a playmaker. Over 1600 yards from scrimmage with 15 TDs in college last year and ran a 4.31 forty. He's supposed to play a lot of slot where they'll depend on his ability to create plays after the catch and they can also get the ball in his hands on jet sweeps/end arounds or even line him up in the backfield. And with 4.31 speed, I think he'll be used on deeper passes that Ginn would run. Panthers took him 40th overall so they're definitely high on his potential. And while I hate to be all "He's 2017's version of Tyreek Hill!" he checks a lot of those boxes for me and you don't need to match Hill's ridiculous TD rate to be valuable.
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May 25, 2017 00:23
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Hooray I drafted some dudes! 15.10 Chris Thompson Even in half-PPR, I ought to be able to steal a few top 24 weeks with Thompson. I would be less enthused about him in redraft leagues as he's largely a passing down specialist but they'll use him on some key plays and in the red zone. More likely to make appearances in DFS lineups than my season-long teams but I think there's solid value to this pick. 16.03 Robert Woods He's already getting talked up as a breakout player. I'm not sure I buy it as he's probably miscast as a #1 for the Rams but lots of opportunity there with him potentially seeing as many as 100-120 targets. Jared Goff looked like a dude who wasn't ready for the major leagues last year and I don't know if he will be in this upcoming season so that's the big X factor here but this early in the process, I like to gamble on upside. Figure I'll have a better feel for this situation later in the summer.
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Jun 2, 2017 06:34
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17.10 Jimmy Garoppolo It's a longshot but I wasn't fully satisfied with my QBs. I mean Brady has his pact with the devil so it's doubtful Jimmy G starts any games. But if he does, he could put up elite QB1 numbers in that system. The Pats offense is loaded and he can run that system with no limitations. 18.03 Oakland Raiders I immediately regret this decision. 19.10 Jerick McKinnon He is now the "useful vet on passing downs" for the Vikings or at least he has the most experience with their offense. Also currently splitting first team reps with Dalvin Cook because Murray is still recovering from offseason ankle surgery. I'm not a believer in Murray and think Cook will pressure him for early down work and McKinnon will play the biggest role on passing downs. 20.03 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cheap option in the 20th round but they're still a young defense that had decent streaming value last year. Think the unit can take a step forward this season. Tiptoes fucked around with this message at 02:09 on Jun 16, 2017 |
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Jun 16, 2017 01:59
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| # ¿ Apr 28, 2024 08:26 |
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Leperflesh posted:Dream of Crabtree-Fournett-Cation/Drunk Nerds Leperflesh posted:The Glennophant Man/Sataere Leperflesh posted:Fantasy Fartball/Tiptoes I think my only real regret was taking Sanders in the 5th over Martavis Bryant. I could've taken a bigger swing if I knew I could've targeted D-Jax and Tyrell later but I wasn't expecting to get them where I did.
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Jun 21, 2017 08:05
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