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SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

no my argument is that printing a bunch of the worlds reserve currency and introducing it into super high-velocity circulation is going to wreck the global economy for some time

ubi doesn't require printing a bunch of money though so that's a weird argument to make

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Bulgogi Hoagie
Jun 1, 2012

We

SpaceGoku posted:

ubi doesn't require printing a bunch of money though so that's a weird argument to make

yeah good thing this argument stands even if we don't print any new money for ubi then

SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

yeah good thing this argument stands even if we don't print any new money for ubi then

this isn't really a correct assumption though

again, in 2009 the US was at 10% unemployment, now it's at 4.4%

in five years it went from 10% to 5.5%

this is essentially the same effect as injecting a large amount of spendable money into the economy that would happen with a gradual implementation of ubi

the global economy has not crashed

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Not a Step posted:

I mean yeah for something like factory work where the lines never stop and you just hire another shift's worth of workers, but for basically everything else declaring a 30 hour work week doesn't really *do* much. More time off is nice though, I guess.

it definitely would lead to more people hired but i see your point so let's drop the week to 20 hours

GlyphGryph
Jun 23, 2013

Down came the glitches and burned us in ditches and we slept after eating our dead.
Yeah its pretty ironic that replacing most of the financial safety net with a UBI would actually let us hew far more closely to free market systems and in a way that benefits nearly everyone.

I have no joke seen libertarians arguing for UBI on that principle

SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011

the market can't be truly free if there is coercion

bing bing bong bong so simple

Bulgogi Hoagie
Jun 1, 2012

We
ubi could probably work real good for states that do not control a global reserve currency and also really need inflation like japan

Corky Romanovsky
Oct 1, 2006

Soiled Meat
Well, world, we secretly implemented some economic policy 8 years ago. Sorry you had no warning to adjust your investments.

byob historian
Nov 5, 2008

I'm an animal abusing piece of shit! I deliberately poisoned my dog to death and think it's funny! I'm an irredeemable sack of human shit!

Rushi posted:

I feel this kind of thing quickly turns into people working in military production lines, and politicians needing reasons to keep the military production lines producing.

americas already like that so why not gimme a few bucks so i can eat too!!!!

Brother Friendship
Jul 12, 2013

R. Guyovich posted:

it definitely would lead to more people hired but i see your point so let's drop the week to 20 hours

:worship: the 20-30 hour work week w/ optional overtime :worship:

gimme dat fair wage

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

ubi could probably work real good for states that do not control a global reserve currency and also really need inflation like japan

The Japanese desperately need a raise because of the insane hours they work

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

Also so they can maybe stop working those hours and remember what a functional work life balance is like.

Coolguye
Jul 6, 2011

Required by his programming!

GlyphGryph posted:

Yeah its pretty ironic that replacing most of the financial safety net with a UBI would actually let us hew far more closely to free market systems and in a way that benefits nearly everyone.

I have no joke seen libertarians arguing for UBI on that principle

To qualify myself for this thread, economically I'm notably right of center especially for SA, but in my view it's a pretty simple logical line. If someone cannot participate in the free market, the free market is diminished and by definition does not work as well. A market functions as a collective brain for a society, which is why it's so awesome. Doesn't matter if I don't know how to make an awesome chair, as long as someone's in the market doing it for a reasonable price I can have an awesome chair just fine.

If UBI gets more people participating in the market at a higher level (by, for example, making beer or designing landscapes instead of cleaning houses and mowing lawns), then the market will benefit and become better.

It'd be nice to see some real data on the matter, though. It's really nice to think this is the case but nothing's reliable until it has data, and even then it's probably not completely right.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

everybody with half a brain in eurasia keeps their savings in dollars and erasing their money would definitely not be a massive boon to the developing world at all and would probably lead to a bunch of people dying but hey at least it would get rid of your student debt, america first!!!

i'm not worried about erasing the wealth of the Russian mafia and Chinese millionaires

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

Main Paineframe posted:

i'm not worried about erasing the wealth of the Russian mafia and Chinese millionaires

Honestly, it's a bonus benefit.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

if the united states implemented UBI it would lead to a global economic crisis so massive that people would beg for a return to the good times of 2009 as the dollar, the worlds reserve currency, would inflate to poo poo and crash everybody's savings

almost every single economist worth a drat thinks UBI would be a huge boon for the economy you moron

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo
truly people having disposable income to spend will spell the death for the western economy

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

Bulgogi Hoagie posted:

no my argument is that printing a bunch of the worlds reserve currency and introducing it into super high-velocity circulation is going to wreck the global economy for some time

Dunno, add UBI and raise the interest rate or something figure it out dude.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo
people having no money to spend on goods = insanely good for a consumer based economy

people having money to spend on goods = post-collapse soviet union

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
UBI, but for citizens only.

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
including citizens in canada k thx

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
in theory i should get canada's UBI and america's UBI according to my calculations so plz show me the money

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

Baloogan posted:

in theory i should get canada's UBI and america's UBI according to my calculations so plz show me the money

Nah, duel citizens get taxed twice because they're punk bitches.

Bulgogi Hoagie
Jun 1, 2012

We

Venom Snake posted:

almost every single economist worth a drat thinks UBI would be a huge boon for the economy you moron

in another universe maybe

SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011


quote:

A recent survey of economists at leading institutions purports to show that 58% oppose a universal basic income, while only 2% support it. However, the survey asked specifically about a UBI that replaces all other social insurance programs and is paid only to adults over 21. Many opposed these qualifications, not UBI itself.

quote:

Richard Schmalensee (MIT) said, “A properly designed negative income tax could be part of a better policy, but replacing everything is a bad idea.” Similarly, Eric Maskin (Harvard) replied, “A minimum income makes sense, but not at the cost of eliminating Social Security and Medicare.” And Christopher Udry (Yale) opined that UBI could work if “coupled with universal health care and tax reform … but we are far from that.”

quote:

For instance, the Nobel Laureate Angus Deaton voted “Disagree”, despite having recently come out in favor of “basic income grants”. Even distinguished MIT Professor Abhijit Banerjee — who is an advisor for GiveDirectly’s basic income pilot and recently wrote a compelling case for UBI in The Indian Express — voted “Uncertain”.

etc etc

Nix Panicus
Feb 25, 2007


Reading the article before posting it as a compelling argument might have been a smart move, but I get being so frothing at the mouth to poo poo on the low income gave you an irrestible sense of urgency.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Baloogan posted:

UBI, but for citizens only.

hmmm, socialism but only for those in certain nations within an existing state....there must be a way to abbreviate this

Coolguye
Jul 6, 2011

Required by his programming!

Venom Snake posted:

almost every single economist worth a drat thinks UBI would be a huge boon for the economy you moron

i'd be very interested to read these papers if you have access to them

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Venom Snake posted:

almost every single economist worth a drat thinks UBI would be a huge boon for the economy you moron

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy
ubi doesn't lead to inflation, that's just bullshit.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

rudatron posted:

ubi doesn't lead to inflation, that's just bullshit.

Well the reason folks say that is we have a simultaneous budget/revenue problem here in the U.S. that'd necessitate debt which would in turn lead to inflation. But if we fixed our tax brackets, closed our investment loopholes, and stopped spending the highest percentage in the world of our enormous budget on useless defense it'd be fine.

Agnostalgia
Dec 22, 2009
Hi everyone I'm the guy who thinks a policy whose result is equivalent to a 25% increase in U.S. mean household income would lead immediately to mad max. Please take me seriously.

H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

gat drat that's a great self own

SpaceGoku
Jul 19, 2011

rudatron posted:

ubi doesn't lead to inflation, that's just bullshit.

no but you see if you give everyone $15 minimum wage the price of a hamburger at mcdonalds will go up to $10

Brother Friendship
Jul 12, 2013

Agnostalgia posted:

Hi everyone I'm the guy who thinks a policy whose result is equivalent to a 25% increase in U.S. mean household income would lead immediately to mad max. Please take me seriously.

okay but I need you to take me seriously and not just laugh when I take my shirt off

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy

Agnostalgia posted:

Hi everyone I'm the guy who thinks a policy whose result is equivalent to a 25% increase in U.S. mean household income would lead immediately to mad max. Please take me seriously.
mean household income will be stable because you're funding it off taxes.

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy

Jeb! Repetition posted:

Well the reason folks say that is we have a simultaneous budget/revenue problem here in the U.S. that'd necessitate debt which would in turn lead to inflation. But if we fixed our tax brackets, closed our investment loopholes, and stopped spending the highest percentage in the world of our enormous budget on useless defense it'd be fine.
the reason is because there are a million and a half 'conservative think tanks', who decry every single policy aimed at helping those in poverty as economically bad, because ~<insert scary bullshit reasons>~. There's no mathematical basis for it, it all comes entirely down to virtue/moralistic bullshit, that the poor are poor because they deserve it, and making them not poor disrupts the cosmic balance or some poo poo

"inflation!!!" just happens to be the boogeyman that bulgogi has landed on, but he could just have easily landed 'laziness!!' or 'incentive to succeed!!' - they all have exactly the same empirical basis (ie none).

Coolguye
Jul 6, 2011

Required by his programming!

rudatron posted:

"inflation!!!" just happens to be the boogeyman that bulgogi has landed on, but he could just have easily landed 'laziness!!' or 'incentive to succeed!!' - they all have exactly the same empirical basis (ie none).
yeah i'm not even sure of the rationale for that one, inflation doesn't have anything to do with how many dollars people are earning, it has to do with how many dollars actually exist vs the perceived value of the economic engine those dollars represent. unless we are talking about providing the basic income for people purely by printing money and mailing it directly to their houses i don't see how the inflation angle follows.

Corky Romanovsky
Oct 1, 2006

Soiled Meat
If someone is earning minimum wage and suddenly is taking home double minimum wage, they will buy double the meals, double the attire, double the abodes. Since these are all limited resources, and consumption doubles, prices must also double. -noted moron

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H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde
claiming that inflation negatively impacts income is one of their disingenuous classics too

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