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axeil
Feb 14, 2006
To repeat, right now the Cowboys postseason odds are about 2%. Washington is about 8%. The loser of the game sees their odds fall to <1% so this is essentially an elimination game.

If Washington wins, their odds jump to about 14%

If Dallas wins, their odds jump to about 4%

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axeil
Feb 14, 2006

axeil posted:

To repeat, right now the Cowboys postseason odds are about 2%. Washington is about 8%. The loser of the game sees their odds fall to <1% so this is essentially an elimination game.

If Washington wins, their odds jump to about 14%

If Dallas wins, their odds jump to about 4%

Additional follow-up:

If Washington wins out their playoff odds are 51% (although they need help). Anything less than that and they're at 9-7 or worse and probably dead.

If Dallas wins out their playoff odds are an impressive 63% though. Again, they pretty much need to win out to have a prayer as 9-7 likely won't cut it.

edit: most of Dallas's superior % comes from playing the Seahawks down the stretch, which would help to weaken them.

axeil fucked around with this message at 02:35 on Dec 1, 2017

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
jesus christ this graphic.




GrimGypsy posted:

what about a tie because that's my true desire

:suicide:

I'm not doing Bayesian probabilities for ties, gently caress no

axeil
Feb 14, 2006



EXISTENCE IS PAIN

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

Suave Fedora posted:

This thread is goin’ places I can feel it

GIDDEY-UP



I love TNF NFC East clownball threads, I'm really excited for this. I hope we get more :wtc: graphics from NBC

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
THE CLOWNBALL GODS AWAKEN

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

FuriousxGeorge posted:

Do the Eagles clinch with a tie?

yes

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
:stare: what the gently caress was that

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
This is the game of the year holy poo poo

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

Kalli posted:

Since no one's enjoying watching this game, someone leaked Giants practice footage of JPP vs Ereck Flowers:

https://twitter.com/NYGDaily/status/936405839996387329

whoa, whoa I'm enjoying this immensely

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

fsif posted:

Who spiked Dak's Gatorade jesus

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
this game is gonna end 2-0 :laffo:

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
i literally cannot believe this game :stare:

HOW DOES THE CENTER FALSE START JESUS CHRIST

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
"he got maybe a quarter of a yard here"

"well at least he got the 2 penalties back!" :v:

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

BrownThunder posted:

This is a reminder to come enjoy these little tiny penalties and this bad game with tens of others in the SAS Discord: https://discord.gg/yHHYezh

but then how will all my shitposts be preserved for all of eternity???

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

J33uk posted:

I’m PiP-ing this with the Disney Holiday special and it’s pretty rad

Does it include Star Wars Holiday Special content? If not, it's trash.

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

J33uk posted:

There’s a Last Jedi look with Mark Hamill. I’m also going to be in there in two weeks with family so I kind of have to watch

I'm seeing Last Jedi with my girlfriend and her dad. I'm convinced it's gonna suck because I thought Episode VII was :geno: personified.

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

EvilBlackRailgun posted:

Holy moly the Cowboys might get a td tonight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Bix44C1EzY

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

mastershakeman posted:

it's insane how they wasted the best cast of any of the movies out of fear of doing anything interesting

Eh, I mean the success of VII lead to Rogue One, which is my favorite Star Wars movie so I'm good with it.

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
welp, i guess we're gonna have to wait till december to clinch

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
"false start, everyone except the center"

:allears:

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
welp, dak dead.

edit: cowboy dak snipe

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
:laffo: collinsworth throwing shade at the GOP

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
:fork:

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

blue squares posted:

omg what did he say

"washington, kind of having struggles here"

"yeah just like congress!"

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

true, but it's still kinda crazy to hear

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
TNF: starin' at dude's butts

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
what a strange drive, washington didn't turn it over

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

FuriousxGeorge posted:

And it's terrible. Sucks, I love the original.

same. it's silly and fairly simple. leave it at that.

axeil
Feb 14, 2006
alright time to go to the gym. enjoy it y'all.

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axeil
Feb 14, 2006
wow, this game got lopsided

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