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Oct 1, 2018 08:25
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Anidav posted:Be honest here, how many of you think Scott Morrison will win the next election. Honestly I think it's far more likely Morrison's tendency to impulsively jump at everything is going to eventually backfire spectacularly and make things much worse.
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Oct 2, 2018 06:18
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Aesculus posted:I can't wait for the Strayan to pump out 500 articles about how ScumMo's fightback will lead the LNP to victory and Labor is doomed if they don't switch leaders now.
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Oct 14, 2018 11:38
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Question Time: Bill Shorten: The Prime Minister has complained that voting for anybody but the Liberals in Wentworth will destabilise his government. But didn’t this Prime Minister destabilise the government in the first place when he and his colleagues deposed Mr Turnbull? Is government instability the only reason we are having the Wentworth by-election, and will the Prime Minister explain to the people of Wentworth why Malcolm Turnbull is no longer the Prime Minister of Australia? Scott Morrison: We're cutting taxes for small businesses.
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Oct 15, 2018 04:20
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Question Time, paraphrased: Joel Fitzgibbon: You said on Saturday the agricultural policy visa is dead, but Barnaby Joyce said there is no such thing as dead in politics. Is the policy now a zombie? Scott Morrison: You're a zombie.
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Oct 15, 2018 05:08
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https://twitter.com/primroseriordan/status/1051969380441944065 Great work campaigning for that by-election PM Sharks.
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Oct 16, 2018 00:52
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Gentleman Baller posted:How hard would it be for the LNP to get rid of mandatory voting? I assume it's not too easy but how else are they going to get around their gently caress up with the plebiscite? Surely they planned for this.
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Oct 16, 2018 01:58
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Scott Morrsion doesn't seem like he's backing down over Israel in Question Time. Meanwhile: https://twitter.com/davidlipson/status/1052044945031196677?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Oct 16, 2018 04:58
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Lid posted:https://twitter.com/tom_allard/stat...h-politics-live Hope the Wentworth by-election is worth all this. 
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Oct 16, 2018 06:26
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edit: dang beat posting the message from our PM about the Canberra bubble.
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Oct 18, 2018 05:35
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You Am I posted:I'm so not loving watching that
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Oct 18, 2018 06:37
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Schlesische posted:So they're saying Sharma is driving the horse but having to carry Hewson and Turnbull's legacy?
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Oct 19, 2018 01:37
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Opposite that picture the Australian's Cut & Paste section is titled "If Labor doesn't dog-whistle to Nazis its siren songs appeal to a few fans of Hitler".
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Oct 19, 2018 01:49
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Antony Green's almost ready to call it for Phelps.
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Oct 20, 2018 09:02
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Phelps is now ahead on primary votes.
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Oct 20, 2018 09:10
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Oct 20, 2018 09:50
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They really don't have anything other than "We're not Bill Shorten" do they.
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Oct 20, 2018 10:29
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The Wentworth postal votes seem fairly strong for Dave Sharma. I'm not sure if there can be enough to make up the gap but it looks like the final result will be fairly close.
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Oct 21, 2018 00:09
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Do they fast track the delivery of postal votes in by elections or could there be up to 6000 more postal votes floating in the system? edit: because other than that, if I'm reading the AEC results page correctly, there's only 1266 postal votes left to go with Phelps 884 votes ahead. (also maybe a few pre-poll?) Trapezium Dave fucked around with this message at 00:40 on Oct 21, 2018 |
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Oct 21, 2018 00:33
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Senor Tron posted:The postal votes are still going to bring it dangerously close.
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Oct 21, 2018 07:48
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I hadn't realised the correction was that big. That looks like it would need every uncounted postal envelope to be in the mail to beat.
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Oct 21, 2018 07:59
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It looks like they've counted the thousand odd postal ballots they had waiting for processing with only a couple of hundred change in the vote difference. Phelps is 1626 ahead.
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Oct 21, 2018 08:57
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https://twitter.com/GrogsGamut/status/1054139837119250432norp posted:Awesome, they aren't gonna learn a drat thing.
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Oct 21, 2018 23:54
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Nick Cater posted:The Liberals' core vote is in lamington land, not cupcake country.
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Oct 22, 2018 00:40
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Blamestorm posted:I swear this creeping Americanism is infectious. The big puzzler for me is how all these commentators think an affluent seat like Wentworth, prior to the weekend always conservative and home of multiple Liberal ministers and leaders, does not qualify as part of the "Liberal base".
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Oct 22, 2018 01:20
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Amoeba102 posted:American politics has us beat with the Rino Dino acronymns. All we have is Lino. Maybe Aussie it up and call them Garrys instead.
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Oct 22, 2018 04:24
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https://twitter.com/ScottMorrisonMP/status/1054608586125402113
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Oct 23, 2018 06:54
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drunkill posted:Vic libs lamo 
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Oct 23, 2018 07:44
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iajanus posted:Anyone with an Australian sub able to post what they think the effects of Labor's negative gearing cuts are? Labor risks $12bn housing hit Simon Benson, National Affairs Editor Labor's $32 billion plan to end negative gearing for existing homes and slash the capital gains discount would lead to a fall in new housing construction of up to 42,000 dwellings over five years and 32,000 fewer jobs across the country, according to independent modelling of Bill Shorten's key property policies. Warning of a significant contraction in housing supply, which could further strain the major capitals Sydney and Melbourne struggling to cope with population growth, the modelling forecasts a downturn in housing supply equivalent to accommodating 100,000 people. A report commissioned by Master Builders Australia, using similar modelling techniques to that of the former Labor government's Henry Tax review, has forecast a potential $12bn downturn in construction activity in the first five years of the policy's implementation. The report, based on independent peer-reviewed modelling conducted by Canberra-based Cadence Economics, suggests that with housing supply already contracting, Labor's policy to limit negative hearing to new homes and cut the capital gains tax discount from 50 per cent to 25 per cent would "exacerbate" the current downturn in the construction cycle. In NSW, it would deliver a $1.4bn hit to building activity in the first year, representing a 6 per contraction in the sector. In claims that housing construction conditions have weakened considerably since Labor's policy was released in February 2016 and the section is now more vulnerable to shocks. Opposition Treasury spokesman Chris Bowen has been briefed by MBA on the modelling, which is the first assessment testing the impact of Labor's negative gearing and capital gains tax policies on construction jobs and housing supply rather than propery prices and rents. The modelling, using worst and best-case scenarios, shows construction would fall by between 10,000 and 42,000 dwellings in the first five years from implementation. This would lead to between 7500 and 32,000 fewer jobs. The value of the contraction to the industry is estimated at between $2.8bn and $11.8bn. The contraction in renovation activity would be between $50 million and $210m. When Labor's policy was devised more than two years ago, it was released against the backdrop of a heated property market. Continued on page 6, which is where I'll leave the transcription.
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Oct 24, 2018 00:12
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Tgent posted:Did he really say "the sensible centre-right" lmao
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Oct 24, 2018 01:30
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Anidav posted:Why does tone care about Gillard portrait?
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Oct 24, 2018 02:56
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