|
Anyone know what time results are expected in VA? Can't find any sources on that.
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 16:33
|
|
|
|
| # ? Apr 27, 2024 19:57 |
|
|
KOTEX GOD OF BLOOD posted:Anyone know what time results are expected in VA? Can't find any sources on that. Polls close at 7 pm EST. Expect results to begin trickling in afterward. It’ll probably take several hours (maybe overnight) before the big three races are called since they’re expected to be so close.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 16:37
|
|
|
I just asked this in USPol, but are there any reports about Virginia voter turnout today that I can wig out over? Any reporters whose Twitter accounts I should check in on?
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 17:21
|
|
|
In particular, NOVA always reports quite late. The rise in early voting has helped with this, but not completely. Even if Youngkin gets everything else he needs to win (flipping Biden voters in the suburbs, turning out Trump voters in rural areas, low turnout among black voters), high turnout in NOVA could still be enough to eke out a win for TMac. The New York Times should have a needle or a needle-like object to watch, and they're usually pretty good about taking that kind of data into account.Eric Cantonese posted:I just asked this in USPol, but are there any reports about Virginia voter turnout today that I can wig out over? Any reporters whose Twitter accounts I should check in on? I've seen mixed reports so far-- high turnout in Falls Church, decent but not great in Charlottesville. I'd be wary of trusting anybody reacting to turnout numbers right now; in a close race like this there's a lot of folks interpreting inadequate data in ways that inevitably tend to confirm their biases. For bird farts from the number geeks, I use this list, and click on some of the less-prominent people they retweet. Quorum fucked around with this message at 17:28 on Nov 2, 2021 |
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 17:23
|
|
|
Ballz posted:Polls close at 7 pm EST. Expect results to begin trickling in afterward. It’ll probably take several hours (maybe overnight) before the big three races are called since they’re expected to be so close. Will there be an exit poll released around the times the polls close?
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 18:08
|
|
|
PhazonLink posted:So any tea leaf reading from NY and NJ's first weekend of early voting? I heard NJGov's early voting has been extremely impressive so far and seems Dem favored, but I can't find the source
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 18:13
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455625211362095111?s=20 Still a coin toss; no longer an assured GOP victoire
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 21:21
|
|
|
Grouchio posted:https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455625211362095111?s=20 When was it ever an assured GOP victory?
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 21:29
|
|
|
Youth Decay posted:When was it ever an assured GOP victory? On Twitter and Politico and rags like that.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 21:55
|
|
|
It does actually own that we seem to be in an era of perma-high-turnout elections even in off-year and specials. Shame about everything else for our democracy but that’s great.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 21:56
|
|
|
It's never been assured, but the polling has been a lot closer than 3 years ago. Anyway, I'm told early voting in Alexandria was very busy, and I just got back from voting myself. It was busy, and this with some pretty foul weather this afternoon.
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 21:58
|
|
|
BIG FLUFFY DOG posted:It does actually own that we seem to be in an era of perma-high-turnout elections even in off-year and specials. Shame about everything else for our democracy but that’s great. I just wish that our modern definition of "high turnout," wasn't 30-50% of the population at BEST
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 22:20
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455636884680544259?s=20
|
|
#
?
Nov 2, 2021 22:20
|
|
|
My condolences, VA goons.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:11
|
|
|
Grouchio posted:My condolences, VA goons. Going to be an exciting term
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:16
|
|
|
And before any of you get wild ideas on why McAuliffe lost, just remember: o A lot of VA is still fairly conservative even among Dems o CRT was sort of the shorthand; the anger was with schools generally o Parents are going to be angry about schools a long time; the pandemic was worst on parents without question. o There was little if any support for parents; Youngkin won't make that better, but the alternative didn't either. o It was an across-the-board failure, but it was a huge failure and frankly, covid rates among kids never justified how long schools were out. It was destroying people. o Kids, according to (my friends') teacher friends, are just loving terribly behaved now, and are performing terribly. Parents are furious. o Schools were closed longest in VA of almost any state. People are mad mad. o So never run a terminally online guy in the primaries. You might be left with a subpar candidate who beats him.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:22
|
|
|
Grouchio posted:My condolences, VA goons. well it means the CRT bullshit has some legs which means the dems and progressives need better ways of combatting it or making some sacrafises with it its bad for 2022 obviously but i also think part of the reasons Youngkin will probably win is he came off as a "moderate" and seperate from trump. the GOP probably wont learn that lesson. so you will get obvious loving craizes like parnell winning primaries in PA and running around with trump. so gently caress if i know. plus the inflation poo poo and various other poo poo probably. that and they didnt run on the actual accomplishments, running on "gently caress trump" isnt the worst but when the dude is playing boring "resonable" moderate on TV who doesn't "openly" kiss trumps rear end, then it doesn't. hopefully we can learn from this. Dapper_Swindler fucked around with this message at 01:26 on Nov 3, 2021 |
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:23
|
|
|
My heart just aches for everyone in my community who are going to genuinely suffer because of this. Some good things were cemented into law in the last two years, but a lot still depends on the governor. And a lot of it is because of fake bullshit that mostly just serves as a mask for the seething racism of the white suburbs.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:36
|
|
|
Quorum posted:My heart just aches for everyone in my community who are going to genuinely suffer because of this. Some good things were cemented into law in the last two years, but a lot still depends on the governor. i think the legeslature can still hold and the senate isnt up for a vote today. so it might just end up, red govenor with Blueish legislature. not great but i dont think we will as horribly backwards.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:37
|
|
|
I'm not well-versed on my Virginia electoral law. Does this mean Virginia's going to be a "stop the steal" state in 2024? I imagine the legislature is going to be in GOP hands too.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:38
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455692529790328835
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:39
|
|
|
Grouchio posted:And before any of you get wild ideas on why McAuliffe lost, just remember: it doesnt help that story came out about that person who attacked a girl in restroom and apperently the school knew they were bad news and the right made it a trans panic issue and the school hosed up enough that kids walked out. If this time next year Covid is a past nightmare, schools have been opened with vaxxed kids for almost a year, the economy has recovered, labor demand is down, and people are just happier in general about the President and congress that does more so we will see then. also "We're not teaching CRT" is a losing position probably, though i think that was more of a pet issue that helped the trumpkins get out. Dapper_Swindler fucked around with this message at 01:45 on Nov 3, 2021 |
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:41
|
|
|
Eric Cantonese posted:I'm not well-versed on my Virginia electoral law. Does this mean Virginia's going to be a "stop the steal" state in 2024? I imagine the legislature is going to be in GOP hands too. Elections in VA are handled by a five member Board of Elections. Because the GOP won this election, three of the Board's members will be Republicans for the next four years. Appointments are subject to confirmation by the General Assembly, and fortunately the Senate wasn't up this year and will stay Dem by a 21-19 margin, but I don't expect that to be a serious hurdle. So, there's a serious chance the answer is yes.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 01:56
|
|
|
I was doing some reading and I just found out that labor unions have a history of running strong turnout operations for Democrats, if only there were something the Democratic trifecta could have done to strengthen labor unions ahead of this election, can't think of anything though oh well.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 02:10
|
|
|
Danica Roem won re-election at least. 
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 03:38
|
|
|
Wow, looks like India Walton lost in Buffalo. Tough to lose to a write-in who you already beat, even if it is the incumbent.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 04:03
|
|
|
Ballz posted:Danica Roem won re-election at least. That's nice
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:12
|
|
|
surf rock posted:Wow, looks like India Walton lost in Buffalo. Tough to lose to a write-in who you already beat, even if it is the incumbent. https://twitter.com/thehousered/status/1455727396255117316?t=wmZA6KwEXvQCdjwPfaOpzw&s=19 She also used scabs to print material for campaign stuff
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:06
|
|
|
Lol no political change is ever going to happen so long as gen x and boomers are still alive and able to vote lol
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:09
|
|
|
.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:19
|
|
|
achillesforever6 posted:https://twitter.com/thehousered/status/1455727396255117316?t=wmZA6KwEXvQCdjwPfaOpzw&s=19 And like that, my anger about her getting screwed takes a big knife to the heart. gently caress charter schools, gently caress "school choice," and gently caress scabs.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:20
|
|
|
Brown's victory doesn't matter because now that he won the city council surely is going to abolish the office of mayor like they said they would do, because according to their announcement of it right after Walton won the primary it was their problems with Brown that made abolishing the mayor necessary.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 11:04
|
|
|
As a former Virginian, i cant believe the strategy of "mention the former president a bunch and never talk about what im gonna do to help people" didnt work for mccauliffe
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 11:40
|
|
|
Im not happy that youngkin won, but i am happy that used car salemans rear end motherfucker will hopefully go away forever
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 11:42
|
|
|
mandatory lesbian posted:Im not happy that youngkin won, but i am happy that used car salemans rear end motherfucker will hopefully go away forever Much like covid, terry-mac recedes temporarily before returning the next cycle in a more aggressive, virulent form, do not grow complacent
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 12:05
|
|
|
On the one hand, an anti-mask, anti-vaccine fascist got elected as governor of VA. On the other hand it looks like against all odds Richmond might have voted against the regressive tax on the poor and rejected ONE Casino and Resort. Who am I kidding it's not because it's the ethically correct decision, it's because the front group for the business is minority owned and vowed to primarily employee minority workers. This country is broken and I don't think it can be fixed. Can't wait for the new mysterious surge of COVID to hit the hospitals once the rear end in a top hat tries to dismantle all precautions.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 12:16
|
|
|
WebDO posted:On the one hand, an anti-mask, anti-vaccine fascist got elected as governor of VA. On the other hand it looks like against all odds Richmond might have voted against the regressive tax on the poor and rejected ONE Casino and Resort. I put the casino down mostly to simple NIMBYism myself, although I'm sure the deliberate play to black voters was a factor. I just don't see the parts of town that came out against this casino proposal being super enthusiastic about any casino. It's probably the right outcome, and it's the one that means the moneyed interests with the well-funded, slick advertising campaign don't get what they want. A stopped NIMBY is right twice a day, I guess!
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 13:11
|
|
|
Grouchio posted:And before any of you get wild ideas on why McAuliffe lost, just remember: That's like the same point repeated 6 time! T-Mac's campaign was really bad. He concentrated on an anti-trump message, he made unforced errors that gifted soundbites to the Rs, and did not co-ordinate well with local orgs. They spent too much time looking for Biden-voting Rs that were not really there. I'm exceedingly bummed that that bad campaign has likely lost us the other statewide posts too. I'm not sure where you get "Schools were closed longest" - they shut down at about the same time as everyone else in '20, there were generally hybrid in-person options since the start of this (calendar) year, and they've been in-person since the start of the school year. Which is not to say that the covid hangover is not real; behaviour is bad and students are a bit feral; they've forgotten or didn't get a chance to learn a lot of the norms around how to be in school, and it's been a rough time for parents. McAuliffe certainly didn't focus on how he as governor would address those things, but I don't think Virginia's schools had a particularly bad response. It wasn't a huge failure, given, you know, the ongoing global pandemic. Not sure about the terminally online guy point, either. You can't stop people running, and his presence in the race didn't make any difference to the final outcome.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 14:08
|
|
|
I got some of those mailers from Youngkin emphasizing that he had Trump's endorsement, and the McAuliffe mailers emphasizing that Youngkin had Trump's endorsement. It was surreal. McAuliffe ran on nothing but fear of Trump and failed.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 14:50
|
|
|
|
| # ? Apr 27, 2024 19:57 |
|
|
Halloween Jack posted:I got some of those mailers from Youngkin emphasizing that he had Trump's endorsement, and the McAuliffe mailers emphasizing that Youngkin had Trump's endorsement. It was surreal. McAuliffe ran on nothing but fear of Trump and failed. So these were real mailers? https://mobile.twitter.com/waltshaub/status/1455716232007757825 I wanted to share this here but I seriously couldn't tell if this tweet is fake
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 14:57
|
|