|
To anyone who hasn't checked, Tester has pulled out the win! MT Sen holds! If Sinema pulls out this last race it will absolutely poo poo on Trumps attempts to spin this defeat, especially since it will come a full two days after his declaration of victory and probably headline that night's news as a result. The timing will make it almost as bad as not pulling off a net gain at all. Whats the update on the last few house races? Are we still looking at +32 to 35, or could we even bust that?
|
#
¿
Nov 8, 2018 00:14
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 10, 2024 04:11 |
|
|
Reposting for the benefit of a more on-topic thread: Based on NYT's current stats for unfinished races, House D's are looking at a final tally +34 or +35. The blue favored races are all at ~+1% or more except for one that's at +0.6. However, out of the R-favored races there are FOUR running at +0.6 or less. Which means that +39 is not impossible. However, at this late state I feel like even super close races like these are unlikely to be wrong. The NJ-3 race just called as an upset against an earlier R victory declaration was listed at D +0.9 by the Times.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 8, 2018 03:28
|
|
|
SINEMA TAKES THE LEAD IN AZ! 350k votes still on the table, and NONE of those currently counted are from her stronghold in Pima county!! The lead is only ~2k votes so this still may not happen, but dear god, the odds are now truly in our favor. And the gap in FL just keeps getting smaller. I refuse to actually believe that Florida will flip, but if it does we'll be able to say the Republican Party took the most advantageous Senate election map in the history of this country and got ONE seat out of it.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 9, 2018 01:41
|
|
|
The Glumslinger posted:I'm sticking by my prediction that LeBron is gonna run for office shortly after he retires. He's richer than most of the self-funded assholes out there and already has a huge fanbase Considering that rather dire article somebody posted earlier today about how Ohio is all-but lost to Red State status, the idea of LeBron running for office has me rock-hard.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 9, 2018 03:47
|
|
|
Ur Getting Fatter posted:Oh yeah, definitely agree that the recount needs to focus on Nelson but in a world where I could choose one or the other to win their bid, I'd choose Gillum. I think the value in destroying Trump's narrative on being responsible for "stopping a blue wave," might be pretty substantial going into 2020. There was too much Split Decision coverage after the midterm because of that presumed 55/45, and giving the media the nice juicy steak of "The thing trump hinged his argument on literally exploded in his face in an unambiguous way," would be too much delicious scandal for their typical Both Sidesism to pass up.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 9, 2018 04:24
|
|
|
I've learned a lot about Montana since Trump got elected and it seems impossible cool and good for such a rural state. Why does it suck so much less than every other lovely wasteland like Idaho or the Dakotas?
|
|
#
¿
Nov 9, 2018 20:34
|
|
|
Mahoning posted:This is a good article about Ohio The thought of Ohio being permanently lost is legit scary because the common wisdom, which I can recall being repeated even when I was small child hearing about President-elect Clinton, was that Ohio is kind of the political axis of america, the quintessential bellweather for national and especially presidential politics. Both teams could win and which one wins it sets the tone for the rest of the nation. It's hard to process that just not being the case anymore, even in a world where Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and even Texas are trending more and more blue every year and the electoral map has plenty of other places for democrats to go win. I hope Ohio's state party and fix their mess. Sherrod Brown seems really cool, and if he can win without being a Manchin and selling his soul then its absurd that other Ds in the state can't.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 21, 2018 23:16
|
|
|
Not to mention Floridas going to be underwater in 20 years. The Lost Electoral Votes of Atalantis is my working title for the best-selling adventure novel that will allow me to afford bread post-retirement
|
|
#
¿
Nov 21, 2018 23:39
|
|
|
goethe.cx posted:the thing is that even if espy won, the seat is up again in 2020, so the outcome really doesn't matter It matters as a moral victory by further reinforcing the fact that the Blue Wave was real and that Trump's declaration of victory despite the loss the house was hollow. It matters because Mississippi is a republican stronghold and a defeat there is a further condemnation of Trumpism and makes it that much more likely when/if the moment comes the party will cut bait on him and his way of doing things, which in turn will be a nasty blow to surging right wing populism/grassroots fascism. It matters because authoritarians need constant perceptions of victory or their cults of personality implode, so every single defeat Trump can be dealt has value no matter how small or transient.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 24, 2018 07:40
|
|
|
Lycus posted:That's a change. It gratifies me immensely that Trump's Who's Who of right wing notables have become a Who's That thanks to his "golden touch." How many supposed rising stars of Conservativism has he left on the floor with cut throats in his wake? 30? 50?
|
|
#
¿
Dec 8, 2018 10:00
|
|
|
I choose to see McSally's appointment as a sign that Ducey smells Trump's blood in the water. McSally's campaign's electoral post-mortem all but laid her defeat entirely at Trump's feet for turning independents against her and not breaking the 80% overall approval threshold among GOP base voters. Putting her in the seat after that is all but an openly thrown gauntlet. This isn't to say McSally will be anything but a rubber stamp for neonazi bullshit, as McCain pretty much was, but the more Republicans who are positioning themselves to stick knives in Trump's back when/if the moment comes the better I say. We've long been worried about what happens if Trump gets to the point of Nixon but the party refuses to turn on him, so less to-the-hilt Trumpians and more political hack opportunists, particularly in the Senate, is in the aggregate a good thing I think.
|
|
#
¿
Dec 19, 2018 07:52
|
|
|
The Glumslinger posted:https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1077399792429486080 I recall an op-ed about a million years ago about how self-proclaimed centrists and former republicans who can't stomach what their party has become and are considering voting for democrats better understand that democratic candidates aren't going to compromise core party values, such as being Pro-Choice for instance, to make it easy for them. Either get on board or sit the elections out, because Democrats are (in his view anyway) finally recognizing that being Democrats instead of Diet Republicans is what's winning them elections. These handful of party-swappers that keep popping up make me wonder what values they're bringing with them, and how they expect to survive future elections and primaries if they don't believe in core planks of the Democratic Party Platform. It's an even more prescient question for them to consider given the fact that Blue Dogs got put down all over the electoral map in 2018. The Party is moving left at a decent clip, and if you can't swim fast enough to catch it you're only going to drown anyway.
|
|
#
¿
Dec 25, 2018 04:38
|
|
|
Any Kentucky goons who can give us the lowdown on the Governors race? I remember hearing about the D challenger polling ahead, and Mr. Bevin was in the news today for calling school children wimps and making that Chud Queen who refused to do her job and let people get married pay up to those she wronged. Made me curious. (also the thought of a competitive governors race allows me to dream of KY-Sen being an actual fight in 2020. No skull would be sweeter to put on a pike than Mitch)
|
|
#
¿
Jan 30, 2019 21:51
|
|
|
So, if Fairfax also goes down because this sexmonster accusation ends up being real, what happens to Virginia's political landscape? Because this is now starting to seem really really bad.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 5, 2019 03:52
|
|
|
I don't want to tell VA goons what to do, but I stromgly suggest you all unplug. You're only going to get more upset right now. Take a day, two even, and come back with some emotional healing under your belt before you have a giant breakdown. Then see how the situation has progressed while you were gone and see how you feel about it, then start calling delegates and congresspeople.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 6, 2019 19:27
|
|
|
Cross-post from USPOL: https://twitter.com/EmGusk/status/1094377636825088000?s=20 The fact that the strongest block of support to stay in office for Northam is African Americans is pretty interesting. It's looking more and more like he's going to survive this tornado of madness. It really was a perfect storm for Northam. Fairfax being exposed as a sexmonster, Herring also coming out with his admission and therefore the threat of a Republican taking the mansion, and then finally that revelation the other day about the State Senate Majority Leader's yearbook that was just full to busting with openly racist language and photos to remind everyone what an R governor in Virginia really means. If I were in Virginia I'd still be pissed as hell at Northam, for the racism as a matter of course, for the threat this poses to the taking back of the legislature and the state's strength as a blue bastion, for the lovely was he's handled it all, and particularly for that story that when the heat was on the most he was thinking about ditching the party and becoming an I Governor rather than just doing what was right. But it looks like he's not going anywhere. However, if Virginia Dems (and the goon in this thread) can take anything positive away from all this, I hope it's that both the national and state parties did the right thing pretty much the whole way, and still are doing so. Fairfax is facing impeachment if he doesn't step down. Herring is working with the Black Caucus to make amends with the community. And if that poll number among black respondents is anything to go by, enthusiasm for Team D has not been strangled in it's crib.\ Keep fighting friends, your home seems to have your backs. 
Sanguinia fucked around with this message at 02:00 on Feb 10, 2019 |
|
#
¿
Feb 10, 2019 01:57
|
|
|
I'm not going to lie, if it puts a stake through Mitch McConnels black, traitorous heart I'll take the Purplest Dog in the Democratic Party in his place.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 21, 2019 05:19
|
|
|
The way that the two sides of this conversation seem to be "I am upset that Lee Carter made it so Right To Work Repeal is off the table for the entire year," and "I am pleased that Lee Carter gave me new and exciting reasons to hate Democrats," is certainly providing some interesting insight into the pulse of D&D's community.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 21, 2021 01:13
|
|
|
Neurolimal posted:I'm inclined to blame people voting against a good bill because they dont like a guy than the guy beingva jerk on twitter. Do you honestly not feel like Carter being abandoned by other Virginia socialists, progressive politicians including the bill's cosponsors AND labor unions over this stunt is indicative that maybe there was more to those no votes on a good bill than personal dislike, tweets and Liberals Hating Leftism?
|
|
#
¿
Feb 21, 2021 07:57
|
|
|
Those rules sound really similar to standard alcohol rules to me, which seems fine?
|
|
#
¿
Mar 1, 2021 17:55
|
|
|
Discendo Vox posted:Aren't you forgetting someone? Carter Delinda Est
|
|
#
¿
Mar 31, 2021 19:12
|
|
|
Dr. Arbitrary posted:I swear, Arizona just needs to sink into hell or something. I don't even know anymore. TheDeadlyShoe posted:lol I re-upped my teaching contract for next year right before my board shut down masks, and was just starting to talk myself into not going back on it and sticking with the plan to try another year in AZ when this poo poo appeared. I wrote a letter to my Superintendent asking for some kind of response to this because it literally makes teaching Social Studies an untenable financial risk if it passes. Curious what she'll have to say.
|
|
#
¿
May 9, 2021 08:14
|
|
|
Dr. Arbitrary posted:A family member of mine who's a teacher told me yesterday that she was asked to stop developing her curriculum for the civil rights movement until further notice. Funny, my principle hadn't even heard of it and told me not to worry, and he's pretty center-right. He did say he was going to ask the Super about it at the next principle's meeting though. I already wrote her and she hasn't written back yet.
|
|
#
¿
May 10, 2021 22:43
|
|
|
Doctor Teeth posted:why on earth did he run for governor lol. the leg. needs members who don't suck Ego
|
|
#
¿
Jun 9, 2021 01:32
|
|
|
So Arizona finally put its CRITICAL RACE THEORY IS THE REAL RACISTS crap under the state budget about a week ago, and three days ago the Governor signed it into law as a separate bill so that it would cover ALL State institutions, not just schools. Here's what the final text ended up being:quote:A. A TEACHER, ADMINISTRATOR OR OTHER EMPLOYEE OF A SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHARTER SCHOOL OR STATE AGENCY WHO IS INVOLVED WITH STUDENTS AND TEACHERS IN GRADES PRESCHOOL THROUGH THE TWELFTH GRADE MAY NOT USE PUBLIC MONIES FOR INSTRUCTION THAT PRESENTS ANY FORM OF BLAME OR JUDGMENT ON THE BASIS OF RACE, ETHNICITY OR SEX. So this is the attempted knife to the heart of accurate history teaching to benefit white supremacism. It might as well read "When teaching about slavery, manifest destiny, eugenics, Jim Crow, patriarchy or any other horrible poo poo Americans did in the past, you cannot present any form of blame or judgement against White Men." Its written intentionally vaguely of course, but we all know how it'll be interpreted by the chud parents who are aching to destroy the Liberal Commie Indoctrinators they think are poisoning their children's minds. You want to know the best part? Right after this was put into the budget, Gov. Ducey signed a bill which requires an additional year of history education related to Genocides, including the Holocaust. Somehow I just bet that if I pass blame or judgment on the ethnic group responsible for THAT nobody around here will have a problem with it. Well, some of them will, but I don't need to explain that one to you all... quote:B. A TEACHER, ADMINISTRATOR OR OTHER EMPLOYEE OF A SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHARTER SCHOOL OR STATE AGENCY WHO IS INVOLVED WITH STUDENTS AND TEACHERS IN GRADES PRESCHOOL THROUGH THE TWELFTH GRADE MAY NOT ALLOW INSTRUCTION IN OR MAKE PART OF A COURSE THE FOLLOWING CONCEPTS: This section would make me laugh if it wasn't so horrifying that this is actual, codified state law now. It reads like The Facebook Feed Of That One Uncle. The fact that they really believe teachers are teaching white children that they should feel psychological distress for the crimes the ancestors or that if they are white they are born immoral or that a Academic Achievement was invented to oppress other races is just... so bizarre. I mean, yeah, for the last one there are certainly plenty of examples of things along those lines being used as dogwhistles and fig leaves for racism, and I assume that is what these Nazis are trying to ensure nobody teaches any children, but the way its written reads like they think teachers are literally instructing kids to become welfare queens because THE MAN made up working hard to keep them down. Which is probably what they think Marx believed, so I guess that IS what they think teachers are teaching. quote:C. AN ATTORNEY ACTING ON BEHALF OF A PUBLIC SCHOOL MAY REQUEST A LEGAL OPINION OF THE COUNTY ATTORNEY OR ATTORNEY GENERAL AS TO WHETHER A PROPOSED USE OF SCHOOL DISTRICT RESOURCES WOULD VIOLATE THIS SECTION. And the poo poo cherry on the sundae! The original text of the bill planned to make teachers civilly liable for a $5000 fine, but the state dems and some Republican defectors fearing for their seats forced them to change the fine target to the schools and districts. But don't you think they weren't going to get their pound of flesh, because the teachers can now face a maximum penalty of CERTIFICATE REVOCATION if they teach the wrongthink! Yaaaaaaay. Now, this all seems really horrible, right? Well, there's an interesting wrinkle: this is the text from the budget version. The list of concepts not to be taught is separate from the general provision against "blame or judgment." But in the separate law Doucey signed the other day, HB 2906, that list of concepts not to be taught is rebranded as the DEFINITION of "blame and judgment!" quote:D. "BLAME OR JUDGMENT ON THE BASIS OF RACE, ETHNICITY OR SEX" MEANS THE FOLLOWING CONCEPTS: So, this is actually amazing, because it totally neuters the law. Before, Section A was worded in such a nebulous way by not defining "blame or judgment," that any history teacher would have to be constantly looking over the metaphorical shoulders, because all it would take is some kid's parent thinking you're trying to force their baby into feeling The White Guilt and you'd be in the crosshairs. But now they have strictly defined what "blame or judgment," means, and its the litany of dumb Breitbart Headline Bullshit That Doesn't Actually Exist. They've literally sabotaged their own anti-Critial Race Theory law at the one yard line. Truly, Republican incompetence has reached new heights. They can't even Nazi properly at this point. --- Now, if you'll indulge me a moment, I would like to share another amendment to the state budget which passed the House but was not carried forward by the Senate in the final budget: quote:To help families, civic institutions, local communities, school district governing boards and charter schools prepare students to be civically responsible and knowledgeable adults, the State Board of Education shall work with the School of [Civic and] Economic Thought and Leadership at Arizona State University, the Center for the Philosophy of Freedom at the University of Arizona, and the Sandra Day O’Connor Institute to: If the general wording of this little amendment doesn't already concern you with its heavy jingoist, nationalist, American Exceptionalist and implied violent overtones, here's a disturbing fact: those first two organizations which the State Board would have been MANDATED to work with to develop the new civics curriculum? They're Koch-funded Conservative think tanks. The third one, in case it isn't obvious, was founded by a Republican SCOTUS Justice, and while it claims to be non-partisan, I'm pretty skeptical when its Lecture Series proudly promotes how Former President Bush and Colin Powell are two of their most prominent headliners. And if that wasn't enough for you, here's an earlier part of the proposed amendment that makes it clear (in case you couldn't guess) what it means by "victims of other nations' governing philosophies who can compare those philosophies with those of the United States." quote:The academic standards prescribed by the state board in social studies shall include personal finance, and American civics education AND A COMPARATIVE DISCUSSION OF POLITICAL IDEOLOGIES, SUCH AS COMMUNISM AND TOTALITARIANISM, THAT CONFLICT WITH THE PRINCIPLES OF FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY ESSENTIAL TO THE FOUNDING PRINCIPLES OF THE UNITED STATES. This amendment was a literal attempt to force teachers to teach Militant Neo-Red Scare Propaganda as if it were civics, and indeed to not only do it themselves, but to forcibly include state-funded testimonials from Cuban Expats and any other counter-revolutionary they can find to sit in front of a camera and tell children that every bad thing that happened to them and their family was because of Communism and nothing else. Like, its not enough to try and control what the teachers teach, they want to mandate, at the state level, ideologically compliant primary sources. Jesus loving christ, I've said it before but I need to get the hell out of this state and into a securely blue one. The AZ GOP may be imploding, but I don't want to be around while there is even a single breath in their bodies. I'm more and more terrified of what they might do in their death throes every day, and the other red states are trying to do even worse. If their goal is to try and turn their schools into ideology factories by making sure no teachers who care about actual education and facts are willing to risk living under their governments, kudos, its working.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 16, 2021 05:12
|
|
|
Discendo Vox posted:Excellent writeup. Do you have links to these bills? I'd like to forward them to some people to try to get them off their asses. https://legiscan.com/AZ/text/HB2898/id/2422560 Here's the budget bill. Its massive obviously so control+f "blame" to get to the relevant sections. If you want to get angry you can also control+f mask to see where they made it illegal for school distracts to mandate masks or vaccines. https://www.azleg.gov/legtext/55leg/1R/adopted/H.2898FloorBURGES2_Merged.pdf Here's the failed Red Scare amendment https://www.azleg.gov/legtext/55leg/1R/bills/HB2906H.pdf And here's the stand-alone ban on all state institutions from teaching THE WHITE HATE
|
|
#
¿
Jul 16, 2021 07:30
|
|
|
I have to say, if the GOP manages to giftwrap a Senate Seat in OHIO, the loving Chud Virginia which is so far gone its almost certainly unrecoverable for generations to come, I will be truly impressed.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 24, 2021 07:00
|
|
|
Richmond is a Chud Bastion?
|
|
#
¿
Sep 28, 2021 03:08
|
|
|
Reposting from news: I just got an email from AZ DOE saying that the Maricopa County courts struck down the ban on vaccine and mask mandates for schools AND the dumb (but toothless in the final legislative language) 'anti-CRT," laws as unconstitutional! Plus the State Supreme Court refused to stay the ruling which means any schools in the state can not only mandate masks, BUT MANDATE VACCINES while the ruling is being appealed. God drat, this is the best I've felt in a while Our district won't do poo poo though.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 29, 2021 20:50
|
|
|
PerniciousKnid posted:I'm surprised blue Virginia can't repeal RTW when a voter supermajority in red Missouri repealed it by referendum. Things change. A year is forever in politics. Every indication we've gotten says the votes were there before, and then Lee Carter's Ego ruined it for everyone. Now maybe the votes aren't there. Or maybe they still are. Who knows. Maybe Friendbot can give us an update on what's actually happening.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 12, 2021 22:10
|
|
|
And Cuomo fleeing the Governor's Mansion in disgrace to avoid his own party impeaching him doesn't change their war calculus? State level politics can be so wild.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 19, 2021 01:00
|
|
|
PhazonLink posted:So any tea leaf reading from NY and NJ's first weekend of early voting? I heard NJGov's early voting has been extremely impressive so far and seems Dem favored, but I can't find the source
|
|
#
¿
Nov 2, 2021 18:13
|
|
|
BIG FLUFFY DOG posted:It does actually own that we seem to be in an era of perma-high-turnout elections even in off-year and specials. Shame about everything else for our democracy but that’s great. I just wish that our modern definition of "high turnout," wasn't 30-50% of the population at BEST
|
|
#
¿
Nov 2, 2021 22:20
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 10, 2024 04:11 |
|
|
achillesforever6 posted:https://twitter.com/thehousered/status/1455727396255117316?t=wmZA6KwEXvQCdjwPfaOpzw&s=19 And like that, my anger about her getting screwed takes a big knife to the heart. gently caress charter schools, gently caress "school choice," and gently caress scabs.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 3, 2021 06:20
|
|