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first, second, and third tier debates between 5pm and 10pm
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Nov 26, 2018 19:00
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CNN's candidate promo with the fancy moving light takes 15 minutes to play through
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Nov 26, 2018 19:00
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surprised the hologram of JFK won't be running
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Nov 26, 2018 19:01
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logikv9 posted:CNN's candidate promo with the fancy moving light takes 15 minutes to play through https://youtu.be/D6AlQiWatD4
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Nov 26, 2018 19:08
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bernie
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Nov 26, 2018 19:51
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how is bernie going to win southern primaries
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Nov 26, 2018 20:14
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cargo cult posted:how is bernie going to win southern primaries probably by getting more votes than the other candidates if i had to guess
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Nov 26, 2018 20:25
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Why don't they ever start over in CA? I hate how we are basically the Dems' biggest gun and we're also ignored because we're so late in the primary cycle. Who loving cares what the goddamn South wants? Those states vote for shithead Republicans in the general anyway. Sorry I know there are Dems/progressives down there too but uh really why do they influence so much of who the Dem candidate will be considering those states nearly always go GOP in the general? I hate the DNC more and more it's just literally a controlled opposition party. COMRADES has issued a correction as of 20:30 on Nov 26, 2018 |
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Nov 26, 2018 20:28
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COMRADES posted:Why don't they ever start over in CA? I hate how we are basically the Dems' biggest gun and we're also ignored because we're so late in the primary cycle. Who loving cares what the goddamn South wants? Those states vote for shithead Republicans in the general anyway. iirc this is happening for 2020
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Nov 26, 2018 20:30
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Good then Bernie will win
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Nov 26, 2018 20:30
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Gringostar posted:iirc this is happening for 2020 Correct! quote:Mon, Feb 3 Iowa Caucuses Closed
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Nov 26, 2018 20:31
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cargo cult posted:how is bernie going to win southern primaries does he have to? this is not sarcasm I genuinely don’t know.
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Nov 26, 2018 20:48
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Lightning Knight posted:does he have to? this is not sarcasm I genuinely don’t know. The primary will be proportionally allocated among candidates that get at least 15% of the vote. So there are lots of ways to make the math work where any candidate doesn't need to come first in any of the races in the South to win the nomination.
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Nov 26, 2018 20:53
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Trabisnikof posted:Correct! yabbut when will cali finish counting? before 3/10?
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Nov 26, 2018 20:53
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if somebody runs away with 60-70% of the vote again then it'll basically be Tough poo poo unless the other candidate can counter that with 60-70% wins somewhere rlse
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Nov 26, 2018 21:20
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can't wait for another round of pictures of politicans horrifically eating at state fairs
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Nov 26, 2018 21:22
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Lightning Knight posted:does he have to? this is not sarcasm I genuinely don’t know. Not necessarily no. It's very possible for Bernie to end Super Tuesday with a majority of delegates without winning any of the southern states. Or even winning the majority of the contests because of a divided field. However not winning outright in the south ups the pressure to do well in California. My read of the race is that Bernie has three real tests to emerge as the front-runner, and he needs to do two of them to be the true front-runner: 1) Win in Iowa and not get upset in New Hampshire. The definition of "win" in Iowa is gonna be subjective, but at a minimum he needs to come away with the most delegates. 2) Win the majority of the delegates from the Southern states. That doesn't mean winning every state, just beating all of the establishment wing in delegates overall 3) Win outright in California. There's a variety of goofy scenarios where he might only do one but still be the front-runner because of the clowncar but if he does two, he's in the driver seat, if he does all three the other candidates will start dropping quick.
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Nov 26, 2018 21:28
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if there's still at least two non-sanders candidates in the race after the early states then you can call it right there
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Nov 26, 2018 21:54
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logikv9 posted:can't wait for another round of pictures of politicans horrifically eating at state fairs i hope the slew of ancient monsters has their fixodent ready because they're going to have to gnaw on a lot of overcooked pork chops with a stick stuck thru it
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Nov 26, 2018 22:07
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So looking at the early races and cleaning up the formatting from my earlier post....quote:[Pledged Delegate Count] (Primary Status) The 15% rule combined with the fact that ~65% of the delegates are pledged by CD not statewide vote leads to some fascinating combinations in a wide election. It is completely possible for the candidate with 30% of the vote to get 60% of the delegates and a candidate with 20% of the vote to get the remaining 40% of the delegates while a whole host of other candidates do better than 10% and get nothing. Also the California delegate count is massive, since delegate counts are weighted by how Democratic each state is in addition to population.
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Nov 26, 2018 22:12
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Trabisnikof posted:Also the California delegate count is massive, since delegate counts are weighted by how Democratic each state is in addition to population. lmao, so who is going to be the f. clifton white of 2020
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Nov 26, 2018 22:13
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It's gonna be Beto and frankly I'm perfectly okay with that. Make Bernie Senate Majority Leader.
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Nov 26, 2018 22:15
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:if bernie doesnt win im voting Susan Sarandon for the Green Party as should everyone in cspam, so thank u for your service I'll vote PSL thank you
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Nov 26, 2018 22:18
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Found out how theyre gonna ratfuck bernie. They're gonna make him debate at the kiddie table and basically deplatform him and when people call it out theyre gonna invent some dumb metroc whereby he's not good emough to debate a cop or a handsome empty suit from texas
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Nov 26, 2018 22:38
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I think it'll be easier than that. Shortly before the voting happens they'll announce a new rule that anyone on there has to have been a registered Democrat for at least a year.
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Nov 26, 2018 22:41
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COMRADES posted:I think it'll be easier than that. Shortly before the voting happens they'll announce a new rule that anyone on there has to have been a registered Democrat for at least a year. nah they already added the rule for that quote:https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/25/politics/democrats-superdelegates-voting-changes/index.html
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Nov 26, 2018 22:55
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i wasn't paying attention. Bernie??
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Nov 26, 2018 22:56
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Its meaningless lol they can't even make him stay a democrat. I'd lol if he campaigned for the nomination and, making sure nobody else is in a position to take it and win, declines it like he did the vermont dem nomination
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Nov 26, 2018 22:57
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im dreading these primaries more than anything in the world
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Nov 26, 2018 23:12
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basic hitler posted:Its meaningless lol they can't even make him stay a democrat. I have a suspicion that it might have some bullshit ballot access ramifications. Instead it's my fervent hope that he wins the nomination and then gets up one stage and says that he's a Democrat and that what he stands for is what Democrats stand for and that he's gonna primary anyone who doesn't get with the program.
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Nov 26, 2018 23:13
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THS posted:im dreading these primaries more than anything in the world more than ever the psalm of our era rings true: dehumanize yourself and face to bloodshed
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Nov 26, 2018 23:19
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Willa Rogers posted:that list of potential candidates is Succ Succ Succ Goose This title is really insulting to Klobuchar. Succ Succ Succ Grey Succ, please.
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Nov 26, 2018 23:23
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Trabisnikof posted:more than ever the psalm of our era rings true: dehumanize yourself and face to bloodshed wise sentiment
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Nov 26, 2018 23:23
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THS posted:im dreading these primaries more than anything in the world same but opposite
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Nov 26, 2018 23:40
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Azathoth posted:I have a suspicion that it might have some bullshit ballot access ramifications. That would rule. If Bernie got noninated and instead of it being a masturbatory coronation where delegates get replaced by actors for being too uppity, he uses it as a platform to sieze the party and loving threaten all the succ thats forced to clap and smile to the sincere cheering adoration of all delegates present
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Nov 26, 2018 23:43
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and then tehy all stood up and clapped
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Nov 26, 2018 23:53
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dem nominee bernie says that his first action as head of the party is to restucture the dnc and dccc by replacing them with aoc's primary bad dems initiative
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Nov 26, 2018 23:53
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while the thread title is excellent bernie is specifically associated with hens and not gooses
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Nov 26, 2018 23:54
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:It's gonna be Beto and frankly I'm perfectly okay with that. Make Bernie Senate Majority Leader. nice impersonation of a lib OP
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Nov 26, 2018 23:59
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Azathoth posted:Instead it's my fervent hope that he wins the nomination and then gets up one stage and says that he's a Democrat and that what he stands for is what Democrats stand for and that he's gonna primary anyone who doesn't get with the program. this is exactly what happened with republicans becoming a unified party of Trump, and succdems are somehow even more feckless than the republican "moderates", so there might be some hope there
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Nov 27, 2018 00:05
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