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Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes
Let's just take a look at the top names on the betting market:



obvsly BETO is prob tier 2 candidate now but they haven't added him yet

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Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Al! posted:

why is eric holder putting his name in the hat

who the gently caress is even eric holder to anyone except a guy obama hired because he did such a good job legally protecting latin american anti-union death squads

literally everybody in the democratic party is running that's why

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes
atm a Democratic dog ( a literal dog) is prob 40-50% to win vs any Republican incl Trump, a republican dog is prob 40%-50 to win against any democrat in a national election

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Shear Modulus posted:

apparently kasich said he might try and primary trump

if he does he is going to lose even worse than he did in 2016

Kasich will lose no matter what even if trump literally says vote for kasich not me and then blow him on live tv

but if the economy goes really badly by late 2019 I could see him winning NH and getting 25-30% (buchanan 1992 level) vs TRUMP

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes
if Kasich "only" loses the primary 75%-25% or so that's actually really, really bad for TRUMP

the three times serious primary challengers happened to incumbent presidents have all saw the other party win the general

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

how is this possible? her MA numbers are like almost identical to her national ones

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

double negative posted:

even people in ma who like her just want her to stay in the senate

but even if everyone hates her MA should hate her less than the rest of the country

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Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes
nobody in usa outside very commited liberals and libertarians gives a poo poo about foreign policy outside of "we are blowing up terrists rite?

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