Who do you wish to win the Democratic primaries? This poll is closed. |
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Joe Biden, the Inappropriate Toucher | 18 | 1.46% | |
Bernie Sanders, the Hand Flailer | 665 | 54.11% | |
Elizabeth Warren, the Plan Maker | 319 | 25.96% | |
Kamala Harris, the Cop Lord | 26 | 2.12% | |
Cory Booker, the Super Hero Wannabe | 5 | 0.41% | |
Julian Castro, the Twin | 5 | 0.41% | |
Kirsten Gillibrand, the Franken Killer | 5 | 0.41% | |
Pete Buttigieg, the Troop Sociopath | 17 | 1.38% | |
Robert Francis O'Rourke, the Fake Latino | 3 | 0.24% | |
Jay Inslee, the Climate Alarmist | 8 | 0.65% | |
Marianne Williamson, the Crystal Queen | 86 | 7.00% | |
Tulsi Gabbard, the Muslim Hater | 23 | 1.87% | |
Andrew Yang, the $1000 Fool | 32 | 2.60% | |
Eric Swalwell, the Insurance Wife Guy | 2 | 0.16% | |
Amy Klobuchar, the Comb Enthusiast | 1 | 0.08% | |
Bill de Blasio, the NYPD Most Hated | 4 | 0.33% | |
Tim Ryan, the Dope Face | 3 | 0.24% | |
John Hickenlooper, the Also Ran | 7 | 0.57% | |
Total: | 1229 votes |
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Agent Burt Macklin posted:This is so great. Laura Dern is incredible right now on Big Little Lies, and there is this whole subplot about her melting down about her seven-year-old melting down about climate change. I will NOT not be rich!!!
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 14:50 |
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# ¿ May 12, 2024 10:54 |
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Cerebral Bore posted:Unless you've literally been in a coma for the past four years this debate won't be your first impression of Bernie Sanders, so I dunno what the hell you're on about. Hey man, you gotta get that Coma Vote.
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 15:21 |
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At least Solvent is gone, except in the hearts and minds and posts of people who are a little too laissez faire with the drat quote button. Williamson is a joke candidate and yes, joke candidates are annoying, but I think it’s ok to celebrate awesome things like rooming with a very good and famous actor, or having a natural speaking cadence identical to melodramatic Twin Peaks overacting. Let people have fun! You would have to be as crazy as, well, Marianne Williamson to vote for her, so we don’t have to worry about signal boosting that much, IMO.
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 15:46 |
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WampaLord posted:
Hah! It’s genuinely good to have you back, dude. You post content and make the best Simpsons references in the thread. Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 15:54 on Jun 28, 2019 |
# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 15:52 |
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RuanGacho posted:It's a very weird feeling to me to consider the debates where we have to listen to hot takes about whats wrong and right in what is said from literally everyone who has no business telling the left what to think. I won’t bother linking it because a) paywall and b) stupid, but blue blood Republican columnist David Brooks’ column in the NYT today is titled “Dems, Don’t Drive Me Away”. The loving Never Trump Republicans think they’re the base of the Democratic Party these days.
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 16:32 |
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Trump seemed like a joke to us and to the MSM, but Republicans took him very seriously from the start. He was at the top of the polls within, like, 20 minutes of calling Mexicans rapists. Williamson is at 0-1%. She’s not a threat and we can absolutely make her our fun meme candidate.
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 19:29 |
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Williamson now has higher unfaves than faves according to that chart, because people don’t actually want Melisandre to be President.
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# ¿ Jun 28, 2019 20:52 |
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LinYutang posted:It's not. Until you take it in the context of Bernie's 2016 campaign, in which he wasn't running a serious operation for most of it and was getting better results than four years of campaigning later. Uh, you know there’s more candidates this time, right? E: Like I understand that there is a relatively large number of Dems who refuse to get behind* Sanders for reasons that are hard to understand, and unrelated to policy or leadership, but to say that anybody’s polling in July is their “ceiling” isn’t really a supportable statement. * They will if he gains a critical mass of support, like what happened with Never Trumpers. Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 00:36 on Jul 1, 2019 |
# ¿ Jun 30, 2019 23:14 |
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I don’t have any confusing triangular graphs to back me up but my understanding is that Bernie “isn’t doing well” with black voters simply because Biden is and you can’t (in the paradigm of a poll) support two candidates at once. If/when Biden crashes Bernie should be picking up a lot of black voters, because they actually “like” him - in a fav/unfav sense - more than white voters.
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# ¿ Jul 1, 2019 00:42 |
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I’m just thrilled that we finally have some confirmation that Biden being consistently, obviously awful actually can impact his numbers. Bernie’s fight with Harris and Warren will be tough as hell, especially with the media going out of their loving minds to tear him down while treating the other two kindly. But as bad as Harris is I consider her to be a substantial improvement over Biden - our worst case scenario gets a little less worse when he finally goes down.
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# ¿ Jul 1, 2019 21:26 |
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Marxalot posted:I love how all these polls swing by about 10% depending on who runs it What exactly do you think “margin of error +/- 5%” means?
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# ¿ Jul 1, 2019 21:27 |
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Marxalot posted:That nerds shouldn't pay too much attention to this garbage whether it means the news happens to be good or bad for Your Guy(or Gal) that particular day. It's only useful for trying to make weak dunks online. I definitely agree that every poll between now and February 3rd is, as they say when publishing sports betting lines, for entertainment purposes only.
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# ¿ Jul 1, 2019 21:46 |
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Heavy neutrino posted:???? It's definitely not what you think it means. Well, ok, I just thought Marxalot's kvetch was kind of silly, and noticed that the numbers line up neatly. I figured I was probably applying it in a technically incorrect sense. Fortunately if a single stats guys see you gently caress up some stats it will become a learning experience very quickly!
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# ¿ Jul 1, 2019 23:32 |
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Proponents of M4A should say it’s good for businesses because that will make the policy seem Smart and Sober and Responsible to a certain type of voter, and the mechanism by which it could hypothetically benefit businesses (lower costs) is easy to explain and understand. And if business owners and corporations say they don’t actually want it, just double down and repeat that it’s good for them anyway. That’s Republican-style messaging: if you can make an argument for something, do so, whether it’s “true” or not. Except instead of Evil Republican poo poo, this would be in the service of the greatest American reform in 70+ years.
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# ¿ Jul 2, 2019 14:13 |
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VitalSigns posted:If all those businesses who stand to benefit from M4A supported M4A now and were being thwarted by the power of the healthcare lobby that would explain it, but businesses manifestly do not support M4A even though it would benefit the company's bottom line. So again why haven't they figured out what oxnard has figured out? Are they just bad at making money? Risk aversion? E: I’m also not sure how a critical mass of Bad Opinions could fuel something like this - the policy could help them but their collective ideological bias prevents them from seeing that, even in a situation where they supposedly operate, out of financial self interest, “objectively” or “quantitatively”. Considering how much capitalists flip out about socialism across the board, they could be rejecting something that could help them just out of General Wrongness. Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 15:51 on Jul 2, 2019 |
# ¿ Jul 2, 2019 15:46 |
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It doesn't matter literally at all whether you call Pete antivax, as long as we know his position and that his position is bullshit and actively harmful. You can say he is or isn't antivax, but it depends on your definition of the word and I don't really see what's to be gained from arguing over that.
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# ¿ Jul 3, 2019 03:35 |
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Gripweed posted:There's no way. Either Bernie will have won and Mayor Pete style robots will no longer be leaders in the Democrat party, Trump will have won and there will no longer even be the illusion of free elections in a bunch of states so who cares, or Harris will have won, served one term, and been replaced by a King/Crenshaw ticket after which elections are formally canceled King? Steven King? He could barely win his own house district. He would need Pete Davidson to tell literally thousands of anodyne jokes about him to improve his national profile enough. And probably also go back in time and be a Troop.
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# ¿ Jul 3, 2019 14:10 |
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VitalSigns posted:I want Bernie to win, but look at this poll, let's all give up and agree Biden is the nominee. I really want Bernie to win though, as a Bernie supporter, let's all give up ok. This gimmick was old four months ago. Generously.
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# ¿ Jul 3, 2019 17:59 |
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Willie Tomg posted:Trump was polling at 1% by this time in 2015 for gently caress's sake. Source? Considering we are post-escalator anniversary that seems way wrong to me. I remember him taking off pretty much immediately, and then everybody spent six months assuming he would collapse at some point. I could be wrong.
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# ¿ Jul 3, 2019 19:45 |
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Thanks, I’ve updated my internal timeline.
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# ¿ Jul 3, 2019 20:03 |
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sexpig by night posted:every time I think you're a one note poster you come back with gold. He is a one note poster, but the note is gold.
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# ¿ Jul 5, 2019 01:30 |
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A 10% reduction in something that usually outpaces inflation in its growth would be loving huge but ok whatever guys.
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# ¿ Jul 5, 2019 19:48 |
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I don’t know what the policy is, and it all depends on that, but that’s a worthwhile goal. I agree that in a campaign context it sounds tiny and unimpressive. “Stop the explosion in the cost of housing” would sound a lot better, even if 10% is technically 10% better.
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# ¿ Jul 5, 2019 20:22 |
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Thanks for reading that poo poo so we don’t have to, MPF. Seems like the main effect would be to funnel some tax dollars/write offs to developers who don’t need them, with the possible side effect of a modest decrease in the growth of rents. It’s not, like, terrible, but it wouldn’t have much of an effect on anybody (except the developers getting free money to do roughly what they would’ve done anyway).
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# ¿ Jul 5, 2019 20:59 |
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BENGHAZI 2 posted:The thing about saying ten percent reduction and an extra five percent in your pocket and so on is they sound great until you look at what those numbers mean and you realize that people still have loving jackshit and are still starving because when you're making 7.25 an hour an extra five percent is loving nothing Geez it was really foolish of Warren to just have this one policy. I mean, come on, Liz, ever heard of minimim wage? Why not do something with that? These candidates, boy I tell ya.
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# ¿ Jul 5, 2019 23:44 |
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Personally, I’ve always been against “busing”. I mean, am I the only one who thinks there should be another “s”???
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# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 00:01 |
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MSDOS KAPITAL posted:Well good to know that if all her proposals that's she's definitely going to weasel out of after the primary are enacted in total and to the letter then we will mitigate some of the damage inflicted on the working class over the last forty years. Not reverse it, I mean we're not doing speeches about democratic socialism over here that would be laughable - just stop it right where it is now and preserve the status quo which totally doesn't suck rear end for 99% of the country. Maybe you should read the posts where i actually said what I think about the policy rather than acting like I'm over here with my liberal loving pom poms out calling it the best white paper I've ever seen. Maybe you should talk about the actual (inadequate) content of the proposal, like Main Paineframe, instead of going into a god drat Smug Soliloquy where you explain the whole world to my poor, misguided capitalist naif self. If someone just takes the most absurd Full Communism Now position and makes useless posts about how rent should be like, one hundred pecerent lower, maaaan! it's not worthy of your brilliant, beneficent offerings, but if I say "this proposal from my second-preference candidate doesn't really do much of anything except give money to developers," but decline to use it as a launching pad to rant about how Warren and liberalism are terrible in every sense, I'm subject to this ridiculous condescension. Please.
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# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 15:46 |
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If you were going back 12 hours you could've also gone back to the posts where I said I was unimpressed by the policy, instead of just picking out a particular post where I mock you. I stand by my previously stated positions on the plan, and I also stand by my posts mocking you. I thought the policy was legitimately promising when interpreted as "rents 10 years from now will be 10% lower than they are now", yes. And I thought it was silly for you to complain that it was insufficient when making $7.25 an hour when it is Mrs. Warren's explicitly stated preference that not you nor anyone make $7.25 an hour. And it's not terribly surprising to me that that a true 10% reduction is not what the plan actually aims for. Not to keep bringing up Main Paineframe, but as he still as a working brain and the ability to discuss issues with people, he posted some very helpful information on the guts of the plan, and it's definitely somewhere on a scale between "meh" and "sucks". You see, I'm willing to change positions in the face of evidence, but yelling "LIBERAL!" at me over and over again isn't going to do much except keep this thread's infinite hate-cycle spinning. Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 16:22 on Jul 6, 2019 |
# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 16:20 |
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twodot posted:So your problem here is you fell for a lie, and other people, not falling for the lie, said "Hey this is some bullshit" before the lie was carefully explained to you by another poster? Like that other poster was not doing original research or investigative journalism, they just read the policy and then quoted words other people wrote here. Okay, sure. Here's a post I made before MPF did a dive into the text: Mellow Seas posted:I don’t know what the policy is, and it all depends on that, but that’s a worthwhile goal. I agree that in a campaign context it sounds tiny and unimpressive. “Stop the explosion in the cost of housing” would sound a lot better, even if 10% is technically 10% better. So it's more "I didn't make a direct and damning judgement until I had more information literally 10 minutes later", while also disagreeing with people who stated a 10% drop in rents was useless (actually achieving that would be a pretty big deal, and is also not anything I stated definitely the plan would do). But if you want to call that "falling for a lie", ok, if that makes you feel better. RuanGacho posted:Mellow Seas strikes me not as a liberal but apparently representative of the general public more than the typical left leaning poster here. It's like one part "representative of the general public" and nine parts "aware the general public exists and they think things" but considering this is one of the nicest things anybody's ever said about me here ("not a liberal!") I'll take it.
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# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 17:32 |
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twodot posted:Uh, yeah, if you read a headline and your reaction is "I have no idea what it means, but it is good, I will read the substance later", then you have fallen for a lie. They are on purpose exploiting a cognitive bias to create sticky impressions before you get a chance to do a real evaluation, and you have fallen for it. Or maybe it had no effect on my opinion of the candidates, and, again, was completely resolved as a learning process within 10 minutes, but ok, If it makes you feel better. I never even formed a concrete opinion about the proposal so what people are complaining about here is that I didn't have a knee jerk reaction of "Warren did this, so it's bad". Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 17:39 on Jul 6, 2019 |
# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 17:37 |
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twodot posted:Yet you are still here complaining that other people were correct earlier than you. It had no effect on you whatsoever, you just independently felt compelled to first defend it as a worthwhile goal despite openly acknowledging you know nothing about it, and are now continuing to defend the fact you were wrong during a time when other people were right. No effect at all. Impressions aren't sticky, no sir. Correct about what? A 10% reduction in rents is a worthwhile goal and I stand by that. Warren's plan doesn't accomplish that. I never said it would. One person actually went and read the text and proved that, while others said the same thing they always do ("Warren did it, so it's bad"). I mean, that position is going to be right sometimes, because sometimes Warren's plans are bullshit, and this is one of those times! Hey twodot! gently caress off! (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ¿ Jul 6, 2019 17:42 |
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Marxalot posted:That's kind of shocking. Aren't those the pod save america weirds? It's almost like they and their listeners don't consider Bernie and the rest of the party to be locked in mortal combat for the soul of America, and that's just something you guys do. There are people who support Bernie and when you ask them why they'll say "he's the most liberal". I would guess a majority of his backers don't even believe in the abolition of free markets!
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# ¿ Jul 11, 2019 19:39 |
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I can't believe things have degraded to the point where we have to pile on "civil offenses aren't crimes", a tautological statement, as some nefarious poo poo-lib trickery.
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# ¿ Jul 14, 2019 16:20 |
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Edit: oops
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# ¿ Jul 14, 2019 16:20 |
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VitalSigns posted:Should being in the US without documents be prosecuted as a civil offense, Mellow Seas? That's not my preferred position but don't act like this conversation didn't start with willful misframing of Warren's position. And although - as you know! - I support Bermie, I really strongly doubt he's going to eliminate "illegal immigration" as a concept. Be a lot cooler if he did, etc
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# ¿ Jul 14, 2019 16:28 |
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I apologize with all sincerity and solemnity on behalf of the "words mean things" caucus.
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# ¿ Jul 14, 2019 16:51 |
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Can we all just take a moment to recognize that "numbers fuckstein" is a not-clever way of describing a concept of dubious utility?
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# ¿ Jul 15, 2019 17:25 |
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Cerebral Bore posted:You do know that this is the laziest and most cowardly way of trying to get people to agree with you, right? Cowardly? Weird take, bro. I had forgotten that it was in this doodle and yeah, ok, it's pretty funny there. If I just wanted to gently caress with y'all I would've brought up the Jewish thing like Pembroke Fuse, but I couldn't get behind that argument in an intellectually honest way. Yes, I argue in good faith - my annoying you all is entirely organic!
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# ¿ Jul 15, 2019 18:46 |
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On that St. Anslem poll, sometimes all you need is a smell test, and Bernie getting under 10% in NH is completely implausible. The cross tabs just show how they were able to get this impossible result.
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# ¿ Jul 16, 2019 14:40 |
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# ¿ May 12, 2024 10:54 |
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Our HIV medications are miraculous and everybody, everybody who needs them should get them. But like... You guys have heard of, for example, the placebo effect, right? How the body responds to an illness and a medication is very much tied in with mental wellness and positive thought.
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# ¿ Jul 25, 2019 19:50 |