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Keep in mind though that the Conservative voter base is quite literally dying off, and last time the Tories literally cannibalised nearly the entire UKIP voter base. They have nowhere else to go.
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Dec 5, 2019 09:52
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| # ¿ May 13, 2024 03:00 |
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I’ve traditionally been a “don’t get your hopes up too much” kind of guy, and I am honestly feeling quite hopeful about this election. While we are currently living in The Worst Timeline, I just cannot see how the Tories can possibly get a majority based off the last few years. Think about it. The last time they had a majority was under David Cameron in 2015. This is the time where the Blairites were still fully in control of Labour and making a right hash of things, and while UKIP was still a thing the Lib Dem vote totally collapsed and bled a lot of it to the Tories. The press was going in hard against Labour despite them chasing the Tories to the right and after all that their majority was loving tiny. Keep in mind as well that David Cameron was a far better campaigner and public speaker than anyone they’ve been able to field since. Theresa May went into her election being revered by the press, Tories, gammons, melts and liberals as being the next Thatcher on a chest thumping “WOOOO BREXIT” high. According to that same press, May was the most popular prime minister since Winston Churchill, and the press went in hard against Labour getting increasingly shrill and unhinged as time went on. She made a right fuckup of her campaign of course, but the media being what they are and the nature of the Tory voting base blunted that somewhat. The media were awash with predictions of a massive Tory majority because of The Will of The People and wanting her vision of Brexit. She lost her majority – despite the relentless negative campaigning by the press against Labour and opinion polls predicting a Labour wipeout. Despite devouring almost the entirety of the UKIP vote and cruising on that Brexit high. Now we get to 2019 and we see the same relentless negative media coverage against Labour and the same chest thumping predictions of the Tories winning. Except:
I may be talking out my arse of course, but Labour base is mobilised and the message is getting out there. Personally I think the Tories being the largest party in a hung parliament is their absolute best case scenario, and in either case we are not going away if the outcome is less than favourable to us. My personal belief is that millennials and zoomers will become as loyal to the Labour vote as boomers and gen X are to the Tories. They became lifelong tories because of rubbish bins and being able to buy their council house, and millennials and zoomers will become lifelong Labour voters because of the utterly lovely hand we’ve been dealt generationally, and the insulting dismissive attitude of previous generations when the issue gets raised. I mean, gently caress, I’m a fully paid up member of the Labour party with a membership card and everything. If you could travel back in time to 2014 and told younger me that I’d join a political party I’d laugh in your face. Change is coming folks, what we are witnessing now is the desperate kicking and screaming of a generation and class trying to hold onto their power and beliefs in a changing world. They aren’t going to go quietly, so we must make sure we can shout louder than they do.
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Dec 5, 2019 11:38
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Here’s a nice distraction from Tory hell world.   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khLbg_uAhcI So next year we are getting a new Half Life, the RE3 remake, and hopefully a Corbyn government. Stay positive folks.
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Dec 10, 2019 20:36
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I put my postal vote in last week as did my other half. Both Labour obviously. Can’t see us taking Gravesham but stranger things have happened.
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Dec 12, 2019 11:00
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Another for RLB or Rayner.
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Dec 13, 2019 10:03
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| # ¿ May 13, 2024 03:00 |
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Happy new year folks!
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Jan 1, 2020 01:01
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