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NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

OwlFancier posted:

I don't think, for example, you would win a majority campaigning on reparations, shorter prison sentences, major police reform, self ID, a commitment to closing the wage gap or a proposal to solve the systemic inability of the judicial system to handle cases of sexual assault. Despite all of those things being good and important.

It's a list that has nothing to do with actual material conditions of the working class. A lot of it's also really nebulous stuff that doesn't a serious policy proposal out there. This sort of thing is a big part of the reason why leftists lose the working class, they create a bunch of divisive pet projects where even if people aren't against the idea they will disagree on implementation details or priority.

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NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

OwlFancier posted:

Uh, buddy I dunno if you know but like, the working class includes a shitload of black people, women, prisoners and would be targets of cops, trans folk, and rape victims... In fact I would suggest all of those groups are disproportionately working class.

You must have an interesting definition of the what "the working class" is if you think none of those things have any bearing on us.

How does reparations help trans people get hormone therapy? How does police reform help a starving mother feed her children? You just fragment things until there's no hope for solidarity. Your list isn't things that I'm necessarily against, but if you don't even have one item in there about the primary class struggle then you're part of the problem and you should do some searching.

NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

OwlFancier posted:

You appear to be suggesting that action, any action, is all that matters, doesn't matter if it makes any sort of sense or what it achieves, only that you do something.

Which, uh, I'm not sure that's any better than theorywanking?

Do you actually read the things that you're responding to? UnknownTarget, would you agree with OwlFancier's summary of your statement?

NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

Beefeater1980 posted:

Ok so there are two wealth gaps:

- Gap between oligarchs (capitalists) and everyone else

- Gap between developed and developing world.

We know that about half of the world’s wealth is held by a tiny number of disgustingly wealthy individuals.

We also know that most of the world’s extreme poverty is in the developing world, primarily Sub-Saharan Africa, but that thanks to neoliberalism pockets of extreme poverty are also springing up even in rich countries.

The logical conclusion, I think, is to take the wealth of the obscenely rich and distribute it mostly to the poor of the developing world, plus to the utterly destitute of the developed world.

Once you’ve done that then you can distribute the surplus to the poor-but-not-destitute. But unless you let some places get rich first (or stay rich longer), you’re doing that for ~7+bn people at the same time. Since the richest 1% owns about half the world’s wealth, and you’ve already burned some of that alleviating crippling poverty, that probably doesn’t mean increased wealth for the average employed blue collar worker in a developed country for a little while. Or does it?

Some numbers (if anyone has more accurate ones then go for it):

Total wealth in world: 360 trn
Assets of millionaires: 180trn

Median net wealth US 69k USD (0.3bn ppl)
Median net wealth Europe 24k USD (0.59bn ppl)
Median net wealth China 21k USD (1.1bn ppl)
Median net wealth ROW: 7k USD (5bn)

So we’ve expropriated 180 trillion, and we want to share it fairly.

To level up ROW to China: 5bn x $14k = $70trn

We have 110 trn left

To level up China + ROW to Europe = 6.1 bn x 3 k = 18 trn

We have 92 trn left

To level up ROW to US = 6.6bn x 45k = 297 trn

92-297 = -205trn

So we run out of money and have to start expropriating wealth from workers once we get to the US basically. As a non-American that doesn’t bother me too much of course.

Ironically, 40 years of neoliberalism have reduced the scale of the task by narrowing the wealth gap between the west and Asia (mostly China). A lot of socialist policy in the Anglosphere at least is about dismantling free trade and reimposing barriers, which would slow that trend. But that’s the law of unintended consequences for you.

E: I was expecting the money to run out a lot earlier but turns out that in addition to China narrowing the gap, our capitalist class right now is REALLY rapacious. Who knew?

The big issue here is that you've created numbers that are divorced from reality. Most of the wealth of millionaires isn't in food and houses that you can ship off to Nepal, it's ownership in corporations. If a village in Kenya gets their 100 shares of Amazon stock from Bezos, does that actually help them? Is there a market to sell the stock anymore? Do they start taking an active part in the management of the company (and if they do, do they have any ability there)? What about land wealth, how do you transfer that to another continent?

A lot of these problems do have solutions and the problem isn't completely intractable but this sort of analysis doesn't really tell you what the next steps are.

NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

unwantedplatypus posted:

You can't look at the current way society is structured and make an argument that it is the natural way humans have and will always organize themselves. We are ultimately limited by the laws of nature. An agricultural mode of production only creates a small surplus, such that the vast majority of people must work as farmers to feed themselves. There are two options, either evenly distribute the surplus, or set aside a group of people who will not work to feed themselves, but instead dedicate their time and energy on some other, specialized task. It does not matter what our "nature" is. If 99 cultures choose the former option, and 1 culture chooses the latter option; and the latter option makes a culture more likely to survive, over time the world will fill with hierarchies as a product of necessity.

But when the mode of production changes, so too do the restrictions we operate under.

Do you have an example that bears this out? This mostly sounds like a just-so story than an actual explanation. My understanding is that you see hierarchies come up in any organization that hits the size where everyone can't communicate with each other effectively, not because of organizational specialization.

NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

Purple Prince posted:

In theory at least allocating resources to problems in an objective way, without a central coordinating mind, ought to be the sort of job distributed computing is good at.

However the problems with actually trusting AIs to do this are well documented.

So I guess the question might be: how can we engineer an AI central planner to avoid both the failures of human socialist central planning and the systematic biases of a market system?

How do you figure that? The basic problem is similar to the bin-packing problem, which is combinatorial NP-Hard. Throwing an AI at it simplifies it by introducing unknown bias from the person creating the training data set.

NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

OwlFancier posted:

I'm not sure the only options are capitalism or feudalism. I also am not sure that there is a hard distinction between "people allocating labour" and "market forces" given that markets are operated by people, often an increasingly small number of people given the trend towards market domination by larger and larger corporations.


Is this something you genuinely don't understand and need explained or are you just being obtuse?

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NovemberMike
Dec 28, 2008

OwlFancier posted:

That would broadly be the point I was making.

Society doesn't run on some magic gestalt entity called The Market making decisions, it runs on a handful of assholes in charge of your company making decisions for everyone else based on what makes them richest. It can only "efficiently assign labour" according to one value (the maximum benefit to the owners) and only as well as the assholes in charge can make that decision, which is often not very well at all.

It is already running on an oligarchic group of people deciding how to assign labour, it never stopped.

This is a bit overly reductive. Markets behave differently to command economies, if you're willing to just pretend that they're the same to make a point then you're ignoring a lot of nuance. Oligarchs do have an outsized influence on markets, but they're still much weaker than they are in a command economy. It wasn't the oligarchs pushing Blockbuster out of business.

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