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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:sorta seems like this spreads pretty fast yall have they confirmed if its airborne?
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Jan 25, 2020 05:32
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I'm in Singapore where we have a couple dozen suspected cases and man oh man do I hope this virus does something to cut down on rush hour traffic.
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Jan 25, 2020 05:33
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https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220843228964016130?s=20 seems... bad?
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Jan 25, 2020 05:34
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probably fine tho
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Jan 25, 2020 05:35
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Murray Mantoinette posted:I'm in Singapore where we have a couple dozen suspected cases and man oh man do I hope this virus does something to cut down on rush hour traffic. 
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Jan 25, 2020 05:37
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:my mother called me when i was eating the buffet and we talked about things including the wuhan fish flu. she had just rewatched contagion the other day 1st off, why should I trust this rando? 2nd, is 3.8 really that bad? Measels spreads to 18 new people per person infection.
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Jan 25, 2020 05:37
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Charlz Guybon posted:1st off, why should I trust this rando? his bio links to a harvard professor with the same name, but I could theoretically see someone trolling in some way? I don't know though, seems like a lot of work for a troll? 80-20 real-fake?
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Jan 25, 2020 05:39
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Charlz Guybon posted:1st off, why should I trust this rando? here's the paper he's referencing. it's a preprint. team is epidemiologists and biostats people from Lancaster university this doesn't sound great: quote:With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.
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Jan 25, 2020 05:46
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Charlz Guybon posted:1st off, why should I trust this rando? I mean measles is one of the most infectious viruses out there. Nothing that you compare it to will be as transmissible as measles. Edit: an R0 value of 4 is about as transmissible as chicken pox Lote fucked around with this message at 05:57 on Jan 25, 2020 |
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Jan 25, 2020 05:55
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anyone cheering this thing on realize that bernard sanders is 78 years old
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Jan 25, 2020 06:00
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:my mother called me when i was eating the buffet and we talked about things including the wuhan fish flu. she had just rewatched contagion the other day hmmm, seems like this might be... bad?
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Jan 25, 2020 06:11
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vyelkin posted:hmmm, seems like this might be... bad? Regarding that paper, it being a preprint, is not really ready to be published. The reproduction number in that version of the paper 3.8 [A shocker of a number], apparently has been reduced to 2.5 after it got media attention. Heres another paper that tries to do the same thing in estimating the infection numbers. https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000044?emailalert=true At this stage however its all guesswork.
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Jan 25, 2020 06:15
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fish flu needs a r0 of 4.20 and a mortality rate of 6.9% for the memes
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Jan 25, 2020 06:20
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me, a simpleton: hmm, this flu may be bad, we should take precautions and do research you, a harvard intellectual: WE'RE ALL GONNA loving DIE
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Jan 25, 2020 06:20
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TeenageArchipelago posted:fish flu needs a r0 of 4.20 and a mortality rate of 6.9% for the memes https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext
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Jan 25, 2020 06:28
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Jan 25, 2020 06:36
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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...e-idUSKBN1ZN2J8 Maybe some of us have a chance.
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Jan 25, 2020 06:45
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Mantis42 posted:https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...e-idUSKBN1ZN2J8 In just three months time,
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Jan 25, 2020 06:49
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This reminds me of the Ebola thread a few years ago, 50,000,000,000,000 incoming deaths
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Jan 25, 2020 06:53
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Mantis42 posted:https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...e-idUSKBN1ZN2J8 Ah yes Vaccine right after the primaries How convenient
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Jan 25, 2020 06:56
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can't wait for this to be my first and final flu-like illness
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Jan 25, 2020 06:57
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Centrist Committee posted:This reminds me of the Ebola thread a few years ago, 50,000,000,000,000 incoming deaths i was dumb about ebola so im going to hold off on the freaking out until it gets undeniable
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Jan 25, 2020 06:58
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Centrist Committee posted:This reminds me of the Ebola thread a few years ago, 50,000,000,000,000 incoming deaths it's just a matter of when
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Jan 25, 2020 07:02
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lmao it's too late we're so hosed
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Jan 25, 2020 07:08
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:i was dumb about ebola so im going to hold off on the freaking out until it gets undeniable yah me too I’m just going to tune this out until I’m hauled off to the fema contamination camps
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Jan 25, 2020 07:09
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Wrong thread
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Jan 25, 2020 07:14
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fart simpson posted:a guy collapsed near my apartment in shenzhen yesterday and everyone freaked out, turned out he was just falling down drunk drat rip to a real one
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Jan 25, 2020 07:16
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orange sky posted:https://twitter.com/ewarren/status/1219620756440653825 
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Jan 25, 2020 07:16
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snoo posted:lmao it's too late we're so hosed lol that owns
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Jan 25, 2020 07:20
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My man, I actually pressed the link cause I thought you might have gone through my posting history in like 2017 or something lol
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Jan 25, 2020 07:26
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lol china is under reporting their numbers
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Jan 25, 2020 07:27
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Absolutely and with an incubation period of 10-14 days millions more than we think are fuuucked
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Jan 25, 2020 07:28
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Or not
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Jan 25, 2020 07:29
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That's not very cspam
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Jan 25, 2020 07:30
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Sorry, thousands of bat blood drenched human skulls found on plane at LAX.
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Jan 25, 2020 07:32
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Was it a 787 max?
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Jan 25, 2020 07:33
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Can we get a 14 day doomsday clock going
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Jan 25, 2020 07:36
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https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220937434445295617 should I buy a gun, a ticket to Madagascar, or both?
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Jan 25, 2020 07:44
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all those idiot preppers with chemical toilets and small arm stockpiles are going to dance on our graves.
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Jan 25, 2020 07:49
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Ora Tzo posted:Regarding that paper, it being a preprint, is not really ready to be published. I haven't done too much reading into this specific paper, but a big part of the problem is that for an emergent virus like this it's extremely difficult to tell how many people are just fighting it off effortlessly, or at home rather than seeking attention. We're still far from accurate number even if we had perfect information, and while the bad cases are scary as poo poo, there's a lot of guesswork as to how bad the "average" case actually is.
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