gh0stpinballa posted:

i don't eat fish i am a vegetarian, does that afford me any extra protection

Thug Lessons posted:

That's about the same as Spanish flu. Real pivotal moment going on here: people never appreciated the public health triumph of containing SARS and bird flu, and if the same can be accomplished here that's 3/3. If not we're in for a lot of bodies and a lot less confidence for the future.

quote:

The global mortality rate from the 1918–1919 pandemic is not known, but an estimated 10% to 20% of those who were infected died. With about a third of the world population infected, this case-fatality ratio means 3% to 6% of the entire global population died.

Mantis42 posted:

But Rocks Hurt Head posted:

lol I have a coworker who flew home to china for lunar new year and she lives just east of Wuhan and we have no idea when she's gonna make it back

Charlz Guybon posted:

That seems a bad ratio of serious to total cases

https://www.theguardian.com/science/live/2020/jan/25/coronavirus-china-death-tolls-rises-to-41-as-france-confirms-three-cases
1,287 cases of coronavirus including 237 patients in serious condition.

Australia confirmed a man in his 50s tested positive for coronavirus on Saturday after returning to Melbourne from Wuhan.
Malaysia has confirmed 3 cases of the virus
In France, three people have fallen ill with the virus – the disease’s first appearance in Europe
The United States reported its second case, involving a Chicago woman in her 60s who was hospitalised in isolation after returning from China
Two cases confirmed in Vietnam
Three cases in Singapore
As of Friday night, five people had been diagnosed with the virus in Hong Kong, according to the South China Morning Post
On Friday South Korea’s government confirmed the second case of a coronavirus that originated in China, the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said.
Japan – a destination for many lunar new year holiday makers – has confirmed 2 cases
Thailand’s public health ministry has confirmed five cases.
Nepal has one infection
Taiwan has reported three cases and Macao two

Mantis42 posted:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...e-idUSKBN1ZN2J8

Maybe some of us have a chance.

Centrist Committee posted:

This reminds me of the Ebola thread a few years ago, 50,000,000,000,000 incoming deaths

Lote posted:

It will also be especially bad on smokers / people with COPD.

Crusader posted:

revised to 2.6 transmission rate

https://twitter.com/mrc_outbreak/status/1221032729971773440

explanation:

https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1221068606877904897

A Gnarlacious Bro posted:

If you get multiple flu shots it actually amplifies the protection

Xaris posted:

protip water is slightly acidic and kills all viruses. just open your gills and live in the ocean for a few months till it all blows over

A Buttery Pastry posted:

It's because they took the fish out of the water.

Minrad posted:

eating bat soup then heading to the local steakhouse and coughing on the all you can eat buffet salad bar, to own the boomers

SKULL.GIF posted:

I keep thinking about that 2 week incubation period while looking at this gif.



First-degree cases all over China began exploding right about 2 weeks after the original reported cases. About a week or so now is when we should start seeing second-degree cases becoming symptomatic across the world.

That gif is also slightly out of date given we have reports from Canada, Spain, and Russia today.

SKULL.GIF posted:

From years ago:

https://twitter.com/drewfhinshaw/status/954476003975467008

SKULL.GIF posted:

It is absolutely insane that we finally have a virus that is

• Airborne
  
• Persistent for 24 hours on Objects
  
• 14 Days Incubation Period
  

That's like the perfect storm

SKULL.GIF posted:

https://twitter.com/scottwongdc/status/1220740830677405704?s=21

there's a bunch of other reports but I'm too many vodka shots deep into the evening to collate them for you

SKULL.GIF posted:

the masks are worthless, virii are way smaller than mask tolerance

quote:

First, a 2008 study published in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases concluded that when used correctly, masks are highly effective in preventing the spread of viral infections. Family members of children with flu-like illnesses who used the masks properly were 80 percent less likely to be diagnosed with the illness. Surprisingly, the difference between types of masks used was insignificant.

Another study published in the Annals of Internal Medicine reported similar results. Researchers looked at 400 people who had the flu. They found that family members reduced their risk of getting the flu by 70 percent when they washed their hands often and wore surgical masks.

RandomBlue posted:

This guy has old/bad info and more recent info has the R0 at ~2.6. Still bad obviously.

quote:

“Confronted with the grave situation of this accelerating spread of pneumonia from infections with the novel coronavirus, we must step up the centralized and united leadership under the party central” leadership, Mr. Xi said.

The Communist Party will establish a top-level team, called a leadership small group, to grapple with the crisis, the meeting said, giving efforts to fight the outbreak greater urgency and centralized coordination. Here are some of the other measures and main points announced:

Mr. Xi demanded strong efforts to provide medicine and other supplies, a point of anger among many doctors and medical workers in Wuhan who have complained about a shortage of protective masks, gowns and other safety equipment.

Officials in Hubei Province, where the outbreak began, received an implicit telling off. Residents and many other Chinese people have said that officials did not respond seriously enough. Hubei, the meeting said, “must make containment and control of the epidemic its topmost priority, adopting even stricter measures to prevent it expanding within and spreading outward.”

The meeting called for concentrating resources, experts and treatment to cope with the surge of infections, including sending patients with serious symptoms to designated medical units. This suggests that there may be more hospitals built or modified to deal solely with the outbreak.

Local and military medical resources are to be pooled for the response.

Public spaces across China, including railway stations, airports, and ports, were told to step up measures to deter the spread of the virus, including ventilation, disinfection, and body temperature checks for people. “When suspected cases are found they must be held for observation locally,” the meeting ordered.

triple sulk posted:

is "cured" in this case "had a strong enough immune system for their body to fight off the virus with proper hospital care"