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Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
:siren:
IMPORTANT NOTE: Before 7pm, any "results" you see will be based on three early-voting towns with about a dozen people total. These results should not be taken seriously due to the small sample size and the participants being weirdos. Just wait until the actual results start coming in at 7, and the exit polls/serious results after 8.
:siren:



COVERAGE

CNN: https://www.livenewsmag.com/cnn-live-streaming/
Results: https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/new-hampshire/
Sam Seder and Joementum (Dave Weigel): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKc2OVf9VFs

Suggest other good coverage and I'll add it to the OP.


DETAILS


Time: The first polls open at midnight in a few tiny towns. Polls close in most places at 7pm ET, with the last closing at 8pm ET. Results will come in during the following hours.
Delegates at stake: 24
Process: Anyone can vote in this primary regardless of affiliation. Delegates will be rewarded only to candidates with more than 15% of the vote, and will be proportional to the amount of votes the candidate received.


CANDIDATES

Because the only requirement for being listed is paying $1000, there's a large number of candidates on the ballot, including some that have already dropped out.

Michael Farrand Bennet
Joseph Robinette "Joe" Biden, Jr.
Cory A. Booker
Mosemarie Dora "Mosie" Boyd
Steve Bullock
Steve Burke
Peter Paul Montgomery "Pete" Buttigieg
Julián Castro
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, III
John Kevin Delaney
Jason Evritte Dunlap
Michael A. Ellinger
Tulsi Gabbard
Ben "Gleib" Gleiberman
Mark Stewart Greenstein
Kamala D. Harris
Henry Hewes
Amy Jean Klobuchar
Tom Koos
Lorenz Kraus
Rita Krichevsky
Raymond Michael Moroz
Deval Laurdine Patrick
Bernard "Bernie" Sanders
Joseph A. "Joe" Sestak, Jr.
Sam Sloan
Thomas Fahr "Tom" Steyer
David John Thistle
Thomas James Torgesen
Elizabeth Ann Warren
Robert Carr "Robby" Wells, Jr.
Marianne Williamson
Andrew Yang


THE STORY

Bernie needs to win this state decisively to give his supporters relief after the Iowa debacle, maintain his status as front-runner, stop Buttigieg's rising star, and to meet high expectations based on NH's proximity to Vermont and his performance there in 2016. Buttigieg needs to be a close second to show he's not just a flash in the pan. All the other candidates need to be a close third or, better yet, beat Buttigieg.

Jewel Repetition has issued a correction as of 19:56 on Feb 11, 2020

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Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Opening the thread since the first New Hampshire polls are opening in five minutes. I made the case for 2016-style primary threads to Squizzle in private, so the fate of the thread depends on his final decision.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Reminder that the midnight towns always vote for the stupidest candidates and are no way representative of the state as a whole. Except for the fact that they're white and love doing things their own weird way

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Centrist Committee posted:

I suggest:

Bernie thread is for good vibes
Succ zone is for DNC is incompetent
Ratfuck thread is for DNC is CIA
Game day threads are for crossing the streams

:hai:

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

way too many threads :gas: this one or the other primary one i guess.

Yeah I would say gas the "primaries and caucuses" one I made and just use the Succ Zone for that discussion. That's what the Succ Zone was explicitly made for way back when

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Pollyanna posted:

post them or f u

There are no reported exit polls yet. That doesn't happen until 8pm

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

freckle posted:

shenji isnt a loving mod anymore jeb

Lol oops. I thought that was what the atomic symbol meant

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Frekcle why do you hate me so much

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

U-DO Burger posted:

why am i bookmarking this thread

why am i doing this to myself

:patriot:

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

freckle posted:

pete repetition

Thread Repetition

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

bring back old gbs posted:

this thread stinks i like the other one we already stinked up

Just let it air out a little

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Yinlock posted:

winning what

Dicksville Crotch

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
OP updated with a disclaimer about the early voting towns

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

slopJoe 2020330 posted:

a thread for focusing on ratfucking is probably earned at this point, but i'm afraid no one would read it except for lunatics like myself :ohdear:

Yeah but ratfuck discussion has taken place in the Succ Zone historically, plus when obvious ratfucks like Iowa happen it's so natural to want to talk about them that they don't need their own thread

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Tetracube posted:

Wasn't the poll that showed Butt and Bernie even from an organization funded by Buttigieg lmao

Not sure if it was funded by him but the organization was at least intensely rooting for him

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

TropicalCoke posted:

What time do votes start coming in

Results technically start coming in at 7 but the last polls close and 8 and news organizations don't release exit polls or declare a winner until then. So 7 is like the pregame show

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
One thing I would like everyone to know is that it would be much, much harder to ratfuck Bernie tonight than it was in Iowa, both because primaries are straight votes instead of an arcane multi-round system, and because this primary is a state election and loving with it is actually illegal, unlike in caucuses

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Tetracube posted:

What's stopping them from dumping Bernie votes into a shredder though

I'm not saying it's impossible, but mainly fear of going to jail. In Iowa, the party could have just baldly declared that all delegates went to Pete and the only consequence would have been loss of trust in them, which happened regardless

CODChimera posted:

so is this going to be straightforward or will it be like Iowa because i still don't know what the official word is on that one

Straightforward. This is just a regular election where you write down your vote on a ballot, no herding around in gymnasiums or having to do math

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Well folks, our scanning app is on the fritz so it might take us a couple weeks to count all these hanging chads, but early results say Buttigieg won decisively

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

mad.radhu posted:

I think this is somewhat likely tbh

10% of the vote comes in, they say they need to do "quality control" again, the rat declares victory

It's fun to imagine but I would bet money against it. What will probably actually happen is Bernie will win comfortably, well know it tonight, and everybody will get a break after the Iowa stress.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Gumball Gumption posted:

I don't think New Hampshire will be a rat gently caress because it's harder to rig and they don't need to gently caress with all of them. They'll gently caress with the other caucuses and maybe some stuff on super Tuesday I'm the hopes that it will get lost in the noise.

I'm waiting for California for *my voice gradually becomes Trump's* the biggest, most beautiful ratfuck you ever saw, I promise you

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Bananasaurus Rex posted:

How long will this thread stay open

Weeks? Months? Trumps?

Traditionally not more than a day after the winner is declared

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Nonsense posted:

hearing NH voters on msnbc is loving wild so delusional.

MSNBC stream if anyone wants to see nutty Noreasterners https://www.livenewsmag.com/msnbc-news-live-stream/

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Woman saying she voted for Bernie out of spite toward people trashing him :getin:

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Another woman: "I kept going back and forth between Amy and Pete"
:stonk:

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
It looks like Sam Seder also has coverage with Joementum as a guest, which I'll add to the OP https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKc2OVf9VFs

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Laughing at how irritated and bored Sam Seder looks as his caller talks about his personal political history

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

there are now like 4 different dem primary threads. its pretty dumb.

I agreed with this until I found out there were people who posted in the primaries thread but never the succ zone for some reason

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Skyl3lazer posted:

Why not just pin the primaries thread?

Game day threads are a sacred C-SPAM tradition that I will die for

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

juche avocado posted:

op, no D primaries are winner-take-all. op implies nh is special for not being winner-take-all

I was under the impression that later states were going to be winner-take-all, but you're right. Fixed

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Doorknob Slobber posted:

thread not moving fast enough what is wrong with you people

petes a rat
bernie won

Wait until the results start coming in

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Lol

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
"I just wanted to make sure everyone in the room knew who you were" is good too. Like "of course I understand, but for the benefit of everyone else please explain"

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
I'm just. Chilling! In Ce-dar Rapids!

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Joementum posted:

it comes from old english Hamtun, meaning "village-town", and Scir, meaning "county"

so it's literally New Village Town County

Honestly? Sounds about right

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Vermont means "Mountain of Vermin"

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
The thing where they say "it's nothing to be ashamed of" at the end of an intense attempt to shame him annoys me

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

albany academy posted:

Lol 1% reporting

It's actually closer to 0.01%

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Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Joementum posted:

they won't release actual candidate numbers until after the polls close, but they'll release demographics and we'll spend the next three hours freaking out about whether 32% first time voters is good or bad for bernie

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