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My team hasn't beaten tom Brady since 2002. I was 15
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Oct 5, 2020 05:13
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https://twitter.com/JuMosq/status/1312967913171632131?s=19
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Oct 5, 2020 05:13
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I wouldn't call David carr a bust he was murdered
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Oct 5, 2020 05:14
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Can we talk about Josh Allen saying he wanted to be Derek and David Carr for a minute?
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Oct 5, 2020 05:16
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At halftime for the snl game, tirico mentioned how the Texas teams are 1-7 right now and said "which worry you more" and dungy said the cowboys. And this still utterly baffles me for precisely this reason. If the texans are so utterly garbage that they place in the top 5, they don't even get to benefit from that. They could be garbage for maybe two or three years at this rate before they're able to recover. They have to be in the running for the most dire franchise after the lions, especially since Watson is young and still has a chance.
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Oct 5, 2020 05:35
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSzQ9aeu9Uo
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Oct 5, 2020 05:42
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Yeah that makes sense
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Oct 5, 2020 05:50
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I'm just going to watch this for hours now 
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Oct 5, 2020 05:50
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3 DONG HORSE posted:It is true, the Broncos did lose the first pick
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Oct 5, 2020 05:50
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"...are we the new Browns?" *stares into the distance* Amazing
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Oct 5, 2020 06:01
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losing to the browns doesn't mean you're the browns. It means you have to play against the other teams that lost to the browns to determine the browns. cowboys versus bengals december 13th. washington footballers versus bengals november 22.
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Oct 5, 2020 06:30
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Cavauro posted:losing to the browns doesn't mean you're the browns. It means you have to play against the other teams that lost to the browns to determine the browns. cowboys versus bengals december 13th. washington footballers versus bengals november 22. putting my mortgage on the bengals
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Oct 5, 2020 06:56
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The Texans have the misfortune of a hard schedule with a garbage roster. I can't say I'm surprised they are 0-4, because with a healthy Roethlisberger all of those reams were better than the Texans last year and they got worse over the off-season Looking at their schedule they've got the Packers (loss), Patriots (loss unless Cam is out), Lions ( the fail bowl, probably a win), Bears and Bengals.. both of those are winnable but I can see them losing one of them somehow. All 6 division games I can really see them going 1-5, but even if you want to be generous and say they split them all we are still looking at 5 or 6 wins best case. If only someone gave BoB good players
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Oct 5, 2020 11:02
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Ugh, with a Eagles victory I don’t think the Giants can win 1.5 times.
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Oct 5, 2020 12:13
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Super Bowl hangover/loss curse is real.
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Oct 5, 2020 13:13
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when watching the game live I was under the impression that the hail mary would've worked if Kittle didn't try to catch it https://twitter.com/versaceboyent2/status/1313110076576727040 it seems like that's really what happened although maybe Slay would still have broken up the pass
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Oct 5, 2020 15:12
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There's a better angle, Slay was the one who got in there and swatted it away. Kittle going for it probably didn't help, but it probably still wouldn't have been a TD.
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Oct 5, 2020 16:00
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a neat cape posted:Chargers Twitter This is pretty impressive: https://twitter.com/gregauman/status/1313118314844033026?s=20
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Oct 5, 2020 16:13
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wandler20 posted:This is pretty impressive: Expected points added per attempt what the hell is that?
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Oct 5, 2020 17:04
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Expected Points Added (EPA) is a metric that looks at the average expected points for a drive given down and distance (historical data), then calculates the expected points for a drive given the results of the play, and then takes the difference. So every time Herbert attempted a pass, he added 0.67 to the Chargers expected points for the drive. It's an attempt to incorporate some "situational football" into normal stats - a 10 yard pass on 3 and 20 from your own 20 wouldn't be worth much EPA, for example. A sack to put you out of field goal range might cost you a lot of EPA, etc etc. http://www.advancedfootballanalytics.com/index.php/home/stats/stats-explained/expected-points-and-epa-explained
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Oct 5, 2020 17:19
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Rooster Brooster posted:Expected Points Added (EPA) is a metric that looks at the average expected points for a drive given down and distance (historical data), then calculates the expected points for a drive given the results of the play, and then takes the difference. So every time Herbert attempted a pass, he added 0.67 to the Chargers expected points for the drive. It's an attempt to incorporate some "situational football" into normal stats - a 10 yard pass on 3 and 20 from your own 20 wouldn't be worth much EPA, for example. A sack to put you out of field goal range might cost you a lot of EPA, etc etc.
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Oct 5, 2020 17:25
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Happy to have finally reached the point where I think there's Too Many stats
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Oct 5, 2020 17:26
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Chris James 2 posted:Happy to have finally reached the point where I think there's Too Many stats Welcome, friend
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Oct 5, 2020 17:32
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Chris James 2 posted:Happy to have finally reached the point where I think there's Too Many stats eyeball test
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Oct 5, 2020 17:32
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Kawalimus posted:You pretty much have to expect that rookie QBs are going to throw INTs in those sorts of situations.
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Oct 5, 2020 17:33
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Ehud posted:eyeball test My eyeballs say Herbert looks good!
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Oct 5, 2020 17:34
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Tannehill looked good this week
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Oct 5, 2020 17:34
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Sure, Drew Lock didn't throw any touchdowns this week but he also didn't have any interceptions! That's pretty good!
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Oct 5, 2020 17:42
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Ehud posted:eyeball test Exactly. I know that when I look at a QB like Mitch Trubisky I know he's extremely bad. when I look at Tom Brady I know he's a cheater. I don't need "advanced stats" to reinforce what I see and know.
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Oct 5, 2020 17:50
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https://twitter.com/ChefTrillie/status/1312853373922750467?s=19
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Oct 5, 2020 17:53
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CannonFodder posted:Ok. I read the words and barely get it but it means Herbert was good relative to other QBs against those defenses so... yay? Yes he did good! One big problem with EPA and many other of the "advanced" metrics is that they are very hard to look at and understand relative good/bad-ness without having studied/used them a ton. "He gained 0.76 EPA per play" doesn't have the same immediate "wow factor" as "he gained 15 yards per pass attempt".
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Oct 5, 2020 17:55
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Reminder that the Texans don't have a 1st or 2nd pick because quote:Houston → Miami (PD). Houston traded first- and second-round selections, a 2020 first-round selection, as well as offensive tackle Julién Davenport and defensive back Johnson Bademosi to Miami in exchange for wide receiver Kenny Stills, offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil, and 2020 fourth- and sixth-round selections
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Oct 5, 2020 18:18
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Ehud posted:eyeball test
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Oct 5, 2020 18:49
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Rooster Brooster posted:Expected Points Added (EPA) is a metric that looks at the average expected points for a drive given down and distance (historical data), then calculates the expected points for a drive given the results of the play, and then takes the difference. So every time Herbert attempted a pass, he added 0.67 to the Chargers expected points for the drive. It's an attempt to incorporate some "situational football" into normal stats - a 10 yard pass on 3 and 20 from your own 20 wouldn't be worth much EPA, for example. A sack to put you out of field goal range might cost you a lot of EPA, etc etc. no, no that's fake. i think those numbers are made up.
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Oct 5, 2020 19:11
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Alaois posted:no, no that's fake. i think those numbers are made up. 
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Oct 5, 2020 19:38
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Why not? that's why you don't see stuff like rookie QBs winning the SB. Rookie QBs will throw lots of picks and turnovers in bad situations.
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Oct 5, 2020 20:37
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Kawalimus posted:Why not? that's why you don't see stuff like rookie QBs winning the SB. Rookie QBs will throw lots of picks and turnovers in bad situations. So do vets
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Oct 5, 2020 20:45
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In my experience rookies average .5 interceptions a game and even that is just because a stupid tight end thinks you catch fades with your facemask.
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Oct 5, 2020 22:37
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https://twitter.com/Kyle_Odegard/status/1313215001331597312 I feel like you're not a good coach if you have to say this but you're a bad one if it's true and you don't say it.
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Oct 5, 2020 23:04
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I feel like an Air Raid coach not having a plan to go vertical is a contradiction in terms anyway what the hell
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Oct 5, 2020 23:06
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