Do you prefer the extended summer thread format? This poll is closed. |
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Yes | 126 | 44.21% | |
No | 39 | 13.68% | |
I'm Scottish | 120 | 42.11% | |
Total: | 285 votes |
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I just read this, so now I'm going to make you all read it too:The Times posted:
Ryan Wain is political director at the Tony Blair Institute
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# ¿ Jun 1, 2021 11:34 |
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# ¿ May 9, 2024 22:34 |
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Guavanaut posted:Debate is vital which is why we must kick out people who don't agree with us! (but only the left) Yeah, if I'm understanding the article correctly, under a cover of calling for open debate, he's demanding that left-wing MPs be expelled from the party. If anyone had any doubts that the Labour right weren't going to double down on making attacks on the left their key priority, well, there's your answer.
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# ¿ Jun 1, 2021 11:50 |
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Yeah, same. Normal life ground to a halt in March 2020 and it's just been the same repeating day ever since then. Getting up, doing my day's work from home, going on my government-approved walk around the neighbourhood, then dispiritedly browsing the forums until it's time to reset to the morning again. (Ok, it's not been quite as bad as that for me but you get the idea.) Having sociability, travel and the option to do stuff spontaneously removed from your life leaves an enormous and unfillable gap. I'm just starting to feel a bit more normal now.
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# ¿ Jun 1, 2021 15:17 |
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Bobby Deluxe posted:'It's My slightly amended version of your quote has always been the underlying strategy of the restrictions. A rise in cases was expected when restrictions were lifted; it's also expected that the success of the vaccination programme means that they won't translate into a corresponding rise in hospitalisations and deaths. We'll have a much better idea in a couple of weeks if that's the case.
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# ¿ Jun 3, 2021 21:17 |
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namesake posted:We're getting some calculations of how Delta is under our current conditions and it looks like the variants' R is 1.5: Reading the tweet thread that you quoted: the scientist dude is actually pretty optimistic: he specifically points out that the risk is diminishing with each new day of vaccinations; that the vaccines will win in the end and that hot weather and surge testing in the most affected areas will also help to slow the spread. With all elderly and vulnerable people now double-vaccinated I honestly don't see where thousands of new deaths could come from: it's very well established now that if you're not elderly or medically vulmerable, you're very, very unlikely to die from a Covid infection. Page snipe: the current 7-day average daily death rate from Covid is well below 11, currently standing at just 6 deaths a day, which I believe is the lowest since March 2020. Pistol_Pete fucked around with this message at 21:57 on Jun 3, 2021 |
# ¿ Jun 3, 2021 21:54 |
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sebzilla posted:https://twitter.com/patrickkmaguire/status/1400559711360098308?s=19 It's Margaret Hodge, so I don't think there's any need for that question mark in your post.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2021 05:02 |
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OwlFancier posted:I hope he wins, he seems like mccluskey but spicier. Yeah, from the Labour shitheads that are attacking him, I'd say he's an excellent choice of union leader.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2021 14:26 |
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Don't ever look at Finnegan's Wake then. Reader: "wtf, this is just nonsense gibberish." Joyce: "Is it, though..?"
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2021 15:23 |
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They're called Rumbles.
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# ¿ Jun 5, 2021 16:24 |
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Howard Beckett's turning out to be pretty cool: I kinda wish I could join Unite, just to vote for him but I'm already in the CWU. Can you be in 2 unions at once?
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# ¿ Jun 5, 2021 17:06 |
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I've heard of shitposting but this is ridiculous.
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# ¿ Jun 8, 2021 07:57 |
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They might be speeding things up wherever they can?
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# ¿ Jun 8, 2021 10:33 |
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I can't believe we're seeing stories as preposterous as that picture of the Queen thing when Parliament hasn't even closed for the summer yet.
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# ¿ Jun 9, 2021 14:11 |
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jaete posted:the most depressing, and also the dumbest, outcome is that Corbyn never gets the whip back, so that's my guess Yeah, look at Starmer's record to date: running some dogshit candidate against Corbyn, losing and looking like a fool would very much be his thing.
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# ¿ Jun 10, 2021 05:29 |
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Either there's some sinister conspiracy to deny Corbyn legal funds, or the people running it are just really disorganised when it comes to filling in applications correctly, take your pick.
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# ¿ Jun 10, 2021 10:42 |
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God, the Lib Dems finally having their breakthrough moment in 2010 after a loving century, then promptly squandering it by loving over the students who'd voted for them in droves. A truly impressive act of political suicide, considering the stakes for them.
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# ¿ Jun 10, 2021 15:24 |
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Trees are scary
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2021 05:07 |
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On a related note, there's a similar controvery in Bristol right now. Up on the high ground in Clifton, close to the Avon Gorge, is a gorgeous 18th century shopping street full of pubs, coffee shops and specialist stores. It's one of the gems of Bristol. However, its gorgeousness is somewhat marred by 90% of the street being given over to traffic, with 2 lanes and parking on both sides of the street restricting pedestrians to narrow stretches of pavement less than 4 feet wide. However, something is being done about this and plans are afoot to pedestrianise the street, giving the space back to people and allowing tables on the street, market stalls to be set up etc. Guess what the olds think of all this? https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/clifton-protesters-against-pedestrianisation-block-5501515
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2021 07:11 |
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OwlFancier posted:Not that I have ever tried but I would assume people just... buy drugs on their phones nowadays rather than itinerant weed peddlers going tree to tree hoping for someone to approach them and request to partake of their dank. I buy my weed off the internet. I don't know what 'the kids' do these days but suspect it involves WhatsApp, CashApp and dudes on bicycles/ scooters delivering.
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2021 10:28 |
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Yeah, that 1960's generation, "We must drive EVERYWHERE!!!" type are always very vocal but only really make up a minority. Most people support pedestrianisation, low traffic neighbourhoods etc.
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# ¿ Jun 11, 2021 20:19 |
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stev posted:Every day there's a different source leaking a different story. Johnson obviously hasn't decided yet and probably won't until 5.45pm on Monday. Boris currently writing two speeches, one where he announces the end of restrictions and one where he extends them.
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# ¿ Jun 12, 2021 07:58 |
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Miftan posted:I think Starmer's biggest issue (other than being a massive dork that nobody likes) is that hasn't realised that politics has polarised in the last 5-10 years. In every single statement he's trying to appease both sides ("I wouldn't have taken part in the vote to take down the picutre of the queen but it's their common room and legally they can do that") without realising that both sides are just going to assume the worst instead of hearing that he's partially on their side. In the queen picture issue, the right wing only hear "They're allowed to do that" and everyone else hears "I would definitely keep the picture up in fact I have 3 in my living room". So everyone hates him and he looks like a wet egg clutching a pint on TV. Yeah, in every utterance, in every interview, he's forever trying to position himself in a moderate centre ground that I don't believe really exists any more. Contrast that with the government, who are very deliberately campaigning on issues designed to rouse up their own supporters and divide and demoralise their opponents, so that there's a continual triumphant, battling tone to their news coverage. You can see in the polls exactly how effective these contrasting tactics are.
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# ¿ Jun 14, 2021 13:35 |
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I've grown a bit cautious about the whole 'long Covid' thing because there's no diagnosis, no agreed set of symptoms and it's what people always fall back on when it's pointed out that deaths and hospitalisations remain really low: "Ah yes, but what about the potential effects of Long Covid etc etc etc". It's really hard to quantify compared to other consequences (you're either dead or you're not; you're either in hospital or you're not) so I'm still uncertain whether it's a substantial issue or some vague boogeyman.
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# ¿ Jun 14, 2021 18:11 |
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The best news is that, even several weeks after cases began to rise, hospital cases have risen only mildly and deaths remain at rock bottom levels. 12th May: 2,231 new cases (7 day average) 12th June: 6,839 new cases (7 day average) Increase = 207%. 12th May: 10 deaths (7 day average) 12th June: 8 deaths (7 day average) Decrease = -20%. So while new cases have more than tripled over the last 4 weeks, deaths have actually tailed off a little, which is pretty striking. It suggests that the vaccines are working well and that even people who get sick enough to need hospital treatment are much less likely to die than they were previously.
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# ¿ Jun 14, 2021 20:34 |
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ThomasPaine posted:I've been thinking about a few things recently: Yeah, stuff like the Black Death didn't happen all in one go: you got wave after wave; sometimes there'd be a few quiet years and then, just as people were starting to relax, it'd come roaring back once more. In more modern times, I guess it would have been like the TB or Polio epidemics of pre-vaccine, pre-penicillin times: lots of motivational posters reminding you to wear a mask on buses and to keep washing your hands, posher people carefully keeping their children away from dirty environments like public swimming baths where germs could spread, sanatoriums full of people suffering from long Covid and an overall reduction in life expectancy as whole cohorts of older people were wiped out each winter.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 05:03 |
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In February 2020, I was telling myself that the shocking scenes in China and Italy could never happen in the UK, while being uneasily aware that they could, and very likely would.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 07:38 |
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ThomasPaine posted:
The Black Death is a fascinating case study in just how many fatalities established societies can handle before collapsing. France and England (the 2 medieval states that I know the most about) went through all sorts of social changes as a result of the plague but both their societies survived fundamentally intact, despite death rates of around a third of the population overall. You can contrast this with any number of native American nations, where they suffered death rates of 90%+ due to repeated waves of European diseases and where their existing complex societies tended to disintegrate, with the survivors forming simpler, 'post-apocalyptic' groups. So if some epidemic carried off a third of us, we'd be left reeling, but our society would probably ultimately regain balance in a form that we'd be able to recognise as being continuous with what had come before. If 95% of the population died, all our existing systems - law, government, logistics, utilities etc would fall to bits completely and the survivors would likely return to some sort of collective subsistence farming. Cheerful stuff!
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 10:03 |
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I don't think so: all societies lacking antibiotics and good sanitation have had to grapple with regular disease outbreaks: there was nothing special about Medieval France and England in that regard.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 10:32 |
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a pipe smoking dog posted:I don't think I've ever seen Cressida Dick mentioned in a paragraph that didn't also include the words "corruption" or "incompetence" Yeah, the fact the Cressida loving Dick is not only still a serving police officer but is running the force tells you everything you need to know about the Met, Jesus Christ.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 15:15 |
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The Guardian have moved on to affirming that Starmer can still turn things around, if he can just bring himself to stop standing for nothing and grasp this latest final chance: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/15/lockdown-keir-starmer-labour-leader The top-rated comment on the article? "The messianic worship of Corbyn was (and still is) embarrassing, to put it mildly. Nearly as bad as those Labour members who insist on calling everyone "Comrade"." Guardian commentators are such a bunch of pompous old farts.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 15:40 |
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Jaeluni Asjil posted:What is a "cryptojournalist"? All I can imagine is: "11 reasons why Scamcoin is about to go sky high!!!" articles.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2021 22:01 |
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Been checking the UK Covid numbers again and some more cause for cautious optimism: Cases over the last week seem surprisingly stable at around 7,500 per day: the sudden increase we saw a couple of weeks back seems to have levelled off. Is that a blip, or will it continue like that? June 15th cases - increase of +245% vs May 15th (7,671 vs 2,221 - 7 day averages). June 13th hospital cases - increase of +14% vs May 13th (1,136 vs 998). June 15th deaths - decrease of -19% vs May 15th (9 vs 11 - 7 day averages). I'm still very struck at how this most recent surge in cases is still failing to translate into an increase in deaths - very different from previous patterns, so far. Note: to put the hospitalisation figures into context, these peaked in January at around 39,000 people, so even with a 14% increase in the last month, numbers remain absolutely tiny compared to the January wave.
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# ¿ Jun 16, 2021 08:52 |
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Gort posted:You looking at different numbers to me? Same numbers but with the 7 day average box unticked. Yes, the average is still rising but if you look at the individual days from 09 - 15 June, it has in fact levelled off. Jun 09 - 7,540 Jun 10 - 7,393 Jun 11 - 8,125 Jun 12 - 7,738 Jun 13 - 7,490 Jun 14 - 7,742 Jun 15 - 7,673 If it continues like that, we'll see the 7 day average flatten out too.
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# ¿ Jun 16, 2021 09:53 |
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goddamnedtwisto posted:... it's also possible that without quite such aggressive triage that people are being admitted this time round that would have been told to go home and take their chances before My feeling is it's this: I remember during the bad times, the official advice was pretty much: "Stay at home and look after yourself; don't show up at hospital unless you're actually struggling to keep breathing." I guess now hospitals are more able to admit patients for precautionary reasons rather than restricting beds for the most obviously extremely ill people.
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# ¿ Jun 16, 2021 10:00 |
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Arlene Foster at least had enough sense to know the ship was going down and to start distancing herself lol.
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# ¿ Jun 17, 2021 21:30 |
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Respectable middle class small 'c' conservatives uncomfortable with the new, boorish, flag-brandishing nationalism of the government?
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# ¿ Jun 18, 2021 05:59 |
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Like I said before: all the Labour Right faction currently in control of the party have to offer is the return to sensible, grown-up politics, as personified by the eminently electable Keir Starmer. They can't ever admit that it's all an illusion because then they'd have literally nothing. Starmer probably should go if/when Labour lose Batley but I can absolutely see him staggering on until the General Election 'cos what else are they going to do?
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# ¿ Jun 18, 2021 08:21 |
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Miftan posted:How often do I need to get my boiler serviced in this weird country? If its a gas boiler, you should get it serviced once a year (although it's perfectly legal to let it rust away until you choke on carbon monoxide, if that's your preference). Electric boilers, I dunno.
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# ¿ Jun 18, 2021 08:23 |
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TheRat posted:Too bad. That Turner character has said some extremely questionable poo poo fairly recently. No idea why people like Owen Jones are blind drunk on him. Otoh, Tom Watson is on Twitter calling it a 'shoddy deal' and lamenting that the union members deserve better, so perhaps it's not such a bad thing after all.
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# ¿ Jun 18, 2021 12:27 |
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# ¿ May 9, 2024 22:34 |
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Lol, the conclusions of the Guardian commentariat are: a) Time for a new Progressive Alliance! b) This is actually a very good result for Starmer because, see a) Progressive Alliance! Although, c) It's also rather bad but definitely all Jeremy Corbyn's fault.
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# ¿ Jun 18, 2021 15:28 |