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NinpoEspiritoSanto
Oct 22, 2013




TheRat posted:

18/19 times if I remember correctly (which I may very well not, it's a longass time since)

Missed against Blackburn and Leeds

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stab
Feb 12, 2003

To you from failing hands we throw the torch, be yours to hold it high

abelwingnut posted:

not trying to be too american here but has anyone simply looked at velocity vs penalty kick success? or maybe someone has looked over thousands of kicks, judged each one as a blast shot vs a cute shot, and then seen what works best?

i mean, it seems obvious to me you just want to hit the thing as hard as possible at the goal. but this is apparently not so obvious to these big money football teams and it just seems crazy. like there's a right vs wrong here. and i get analyzing the sport with numbers is way trickier than most american sports. but if there's ONE thing you can analyze it would be penalty kicks. and they're so high leverage you'd think someone would have determined the right vs wrong here.

why is this so hard to comprehend?

Roberto Baggio

EC10
Jan 17, 2005

We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like NIN---PO!
i have a feeling penalties will be better trained in the future. deep analysis based coaching is really just starting to break out in major sports in the last few years. that said, do professionals really need to be told that the loving idiotic stutter stop step has a worse conversion expectancy than just picking a side and not breaking your stride? rashford in particular has taken plenty of pens, he surely knows that already.

Mrenda
Mar 14, 2012

EC10 posted:

i have a feeling penalties will be better trained in the future. deep analysis based coaching is really just starting to break out in major sports in the last few years. that said, do professionals really need to be told that the loving idiotic stutter stop step has a worse conversion expectancy than just picking a side and not breaking your stride? rashford in particular has taken plenty of pens, he surely knows that already.

They are all individual people. They're not robots. You can't construct the mechanically perfect footballer. And if you did I'd tell you to gently caress off.

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

Mrenda posted:

They are all individual people. They're not robots. You can't construct the mechanically perfect footballer. And if you did I'd tell you to gently caress off.

You Are the Robo-Penalty Taker

CyberPingu
Sep 15, 2013


If you're not striving to improve, you'll end up going backwards.

EC10 posted:

i have a feeling penalties will be better trained in the future. deep analysis based coaching is really just starting to break out in major sports in the last few years. that said, do professionals really need to be told that the loving idiotic stutter stop step has a worse conversion expectancy than just picking a side and not breaking your stride? rashford in particular has taken plenty of pens, he surely knows that already.

This is dumb, you cant ever account for nerves

Mrenda
Mar 14, 2012

CyberPingu posted:

This is dumb, you cant ever account for nerves

xNRV

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXFWmpB-cPQ

CyberPingu
Sep 15, 2013


If you're not striving to improve, you'll end up going backwards.

Joe Fart

goatface
Dec 5, 2007

I had a video of that when I was about 6.

I remember it being shit.


Grimey Drawer
They all spend time out on the golf course getting their swing nice and mechanical. Just convince them it's the same thing.

Beffer
Sep 25, 2007
Pirlo was fantastic. Casually run up, dink the ball down the middle, sneer just enough that the keeper knows you think he’s poo poo and jog gently back to your mates.

If it was anyone other than Joe Hart you’d feel sorry for him

EC10
Jan 17, 2005

We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like NIN---PO!

Mrenda posted:

They are all individual people. They're not robots. You can't construct the mechanically perfect footballer. And if you did I'd tell you to gently caress off.

CyberPingu posted:

This is dumb, you cant ever account for nerves



what is even the implication here? that proper penalty taking technique can't be figured out, and then coached?

EC10
Jan 17, 2005

We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like NIN---PO!
75,000 of the last 100,000 profesionally taken penalty kicks on record were scored so yeah i reckon you could have a coach analyze those and take some notes to teach proper technique

Mrenda
Mar 14, 2012

EC10 posted:

what is even the implication here? that proper penalty taking technique can't be figured out, and then coached?

Maybe someone can figure out proper goalkeeping technique and every penalty will be saved?

Zisky
May 6, 2003

PM me and I will show you my tits
Wonder what Mrs. Grealish 69 got up to last night.

CyberPingu
Sep 15, 2013


If you're not striving to improve, you'll end up going backwards.

EC10 posted:

what is even the implication here? that proper penalty taking technique can't be figured out, and then coached?

No the implication is that it doesn't matter how much you "perfect" something because you can't create the perfect scenario each time because its totally different on a training ground or in a friendly or even in a league game than it is in a knockout game or a cup final because of nerves, emotions and other things.

Bogan Krkic
Oct 31, 2010

Swedish style? No.
Yugoslavian style? Of course not.
It has to be Zlatan-style.

Much like goalkeepers get a dossier on where the opponents are likely to put their penalties, I'm sure different goalkeepers are easier to beat by doing different things. Some are likely to make their mind up early and so be beaten by a stutter step, some are more likely to rely on reflexes and reach to get to a powerful shot.

sassassin
Apr 3, 2010

by Azathoth

CyberPingu posted:

No the implication is that it doesn't matter how much you "perfect" something because you can't create the perfect scenario each time because its totally different on a training ground or in a friendly or even in a league game than it is in a knockout game or a cup final because of nerves, emotions and other things.

All those things make the "I'll figure it out when I get there" approach to penalty placement a bad idea.

You may not be able to perfect it but it's not a lottery either. Keepers do research (or the analysts do research and show it to them) on penalty takers all the time.

EC10
Jan 17, 2005

We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like NIN---PO!

CyberPingu posted:

No the implication is that it doesn't matter how much you "perfect" something because you can't create the perfect scenario each time because its totally different on a training ground or in a friendly or even in a league game than it is in a knockout game or a cup final because of nerves, emotions and other things.

are you harry redknapp in disguise? maybe we should do away with managers all together and the lads should just go on and have a facking run about?

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
https://twitter.com/robymancio/status/1414681048785489922?s=20

EC10
Jan 17, 2005

We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like Nin-po-po
We like NIN---PO!

Mrenda posted:

Maybe someone can figure out proper goalkeeping technique and every penalty will be saved?

good point, i didn't think of that :jerkbag:

Bape Culture
Sep 13, 2006

If you hit it within a couple of inches in the top corner I don’t think a keeper could save it even if you told them where you were putting it. I’m quite surprised it’s not possible to train something as rigid as a penalty to that degree but idk. Like a racing driver can put their car on a mm perfect line I kinda feel like the same should be possible with a pen. Idk. Fun to think about.

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

Bape Culture posted:

If you hit it within a couple of inches in the top corner I don’t think a keeper could save it even if you told them where you were putting it. I’m quite surprised it’s not possible to train something as rigid as a penalty to that degree but idk. Like a racing driver can put their car on a mm perfect line I kinda feel like the same should be possible with a pen. Idk. Fun to think about.

The mental pressure is something else. I imagine if you were doing kickabout in a park, any one of the players could hit it in the top corner ten times out of ten, even somebody like Pickford who's probably never taken a serious penalty. But when it actually counts in the biggest moment of your life, that's such a completely different story.

Loving Africa Chaps
Dec 3, 2007


We had not left it yet, but when I would wake in the night, I would lie, listening, homesick for it already.

I think the problems with the swervy, stuttering run up are:
- they actually make it more obvious where they're going to go
- they have time to over think it
- looks worse when they miss

dex_sda
Oct 11, 2012


It's easy to say 'just top bin it' but also a thing to consider is keepers are different too. Donnarumma in particular is extremely enormous (he was 180cm when he was ten lol) and extremely ice cold at reading players; if your run up is obvious he saves your perfect penalty that statistically beats goalkeepers. His stats are something ridiculous like 35 percent penalties saved over his entire career and that doesn't even count the misses, which are common because the players feel intimidated.

Southgate apparently put on penalty takers because of stats showing young players have a high conversion rate. But he did it against an ice cold penalty saving specialist in a final and ultimately kinda doomed the three lads to having a pretty harrowing memory.

dex_sda fucked around with this message at 23:06 on Jul 12, 2021

Mrenda
Mar 14, 2012

EC10 posted:

good point, i didn't think of that :jerkbag:

You're talking like no-one in football has ever thought of anything before. The things you're talking about they are doing, the new things that come along will be implemented, and, still, when someone is facing down a goalkeeper as they run up there'll be so much unaccounted for that there'll still be players missing.

Anukahn
Jul 22, 2006

My brain hurts
All penalties should be taken like this

Vintersorg
Mar 3, 2004

President of
the Brendan Fraser
Fan Club



Anukahn posted:

All penalties should be taken like this

:lol: I let out a good loud laugh at this cheeky poo poo.

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002


https://twitter.com/marcusrashford/status/1414672529717964807?s=21

NinpoEspiritoSanto
Oct 22, 2013




Bape Culture posted:

If you hit it within a couple of inches in the top corner I don’t think a keeper could save it even if you told them where you were putting it. I’m quite surprised it’s not possible to train something as rigid as a penalty to that degree but idk. Like a racing driver can put their car on a mm perfect line I kinda feel like the same should be possible with a pen. Idk. Fun to think about.

So, all kinds of poo poo actually comes into play with things like penalties. You can absolutely work on muscle memory, as F1 drivers do and footballers do as well. Carragher took a penalty in 06 because he hadn't missed one in training for weeks. There's a built in set of uncertainties when it comes to striking a football that just aren't there with, say, steering a vehicle. Variables that added together make millimetres to centimetres of difference. Consider Rashford's penalty for the latter. A few cm to the right and it looks a cool rear end penalty. Boots, friction on the grass, how fatigued the player is at that precise moment and I don't necessarily mean physically fatigued from playing...how they slept, ate, what they ate, are they stressed? Mental and physical stress all play into precisely how well that ball is struck in that moment. You can train the muscle memory and the stats bear out that good practice scores penalties 75% of the time which is pretty good, but it makes for some misses in 10 pens on the finest of margins sometimes.

This idea being proposed that penalties don't get studied and analysed and practiced is ridiculous. They do. It's precisely why England won their last 2 major shootouts before this one. By the stats we were 50/50 due a loss on the 75% success rate. On the pitch, England were the second best team in the tournament, I can live with that and it's tremendous progress by Gareth. For an elite footballer to be able to convert a penalty on average 75% of their goes is loving amazing to anyone that's taken a pen from 12 yards out, it's loving difficult.

Bogan Krkic
Oct 31, 2010

Swedish style? No.
Yugoslavian style? Of course not.
It has to be Zlatan-style.

If you train until you can put the ball perfectly in that one spot that would be unsaveable every time, what happens when the goalkeeper learns that you put it there every time and adjusts their starting position accordingly? You then need to make a decision on if you hit the ball somewhere else or not, and that changes the odds again. It's not possible to train until perfection because both parties are doing exactly that.

NinpoEspiritoSanto
Oct 22, 2013




Bogan Krkic posted:

If you train until you can put the ball perfectly in that one spot that would be unsaveable every time, what happens when the goalkeeper learns that you put it there every time and adjusts their starting position accordingly? You then need to make a decision on if you hit the ball somewhere else or not, and that changes the odds again. It's not possible to train until perfection because both parties are doing exactly that.

Beckham had something like 30 free kicks scored for United and 5 or 6 for England, I remember many, many many more attempts than that and he's considered one of the masters of the art. He used to practice getting the ball through a tyre that he'd hang in different spots in a goal. I think people underestimate the variables in football, right down to the ball itself and the air pressure/wind lol

Shammypants
May 25, 2004

Let me tell you about true luxury.

Mo Sala has a good approach, kick it as hard as you can every time and worry about it later. I think he missed one for Liverpool.

NinpoEspiritoSanto
Oct 22, 2013




That was famously Shearer's approach. Cantona may have had the sickest conversion rate but on pure numbers of attempts Shearer's record was ridiculous

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007


This man has amazing hair

cohsae
Jun 19, 2015

Has anyone thought about training footballers to kick the ball exactly where they want it to go every time? Seems pretty obvious to me

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002


As someone who’s never missed a penalty kick in an international tournament, I just don’t see how people struggle with it.

Bogan Krkic
Oct 31, 2010

Swedish style? No.
Yugoslavian style? Of course not.
It has to be Zlatan-style.

Shageletic posted:

This man has amazing hair

:agreed:

can't wait to bring back the hair/tattoo thread for the world cup

Butterfly Valley
Apr 19, 2007

I am a spectacularly bad poster and everyone in the Schadenfreude thread hates my guts.

Shageletic posted:

This man has amazing hair

My mum fancied him a lot when he managed City and tbh I think he's got even better with age

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Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


A perfectly hit penalty is basically impossible to save even for the best goalkeeper, but hitting it perfectly involves ignoring the rest of the players, the crowd, the millions watching on TV and the mental 6'+ guy dancing around on his line and staring daggers at you

That's why they are pretty much the best tie-breaker in sports tbh, the human factor is EVERYTHING.

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