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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Debate & Discussion > Superforecasting Superthread
 
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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004

oliveoil posted:

Has DND ever tried to forecast global events a la Tetlock's superforecasting book?

Seems like there are plenty of people here who get passionate about their views. Wonder if we can use that sort of thing for good by aggregating it and seeing if we can get a wisdom of the crowds effect going.

What kinds of predictions would you be interested in knowing the odds of?

Could you elaborate on exactly what that is and why it'd be a better methodology than the Immortal Science?

* # ¿ Oct 3, 2021 07:40
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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Debate & Discussion > Superforecasting Superthread