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Greets all. The Virginia Election is ongoing so to help limit the traffic to US Current Events, we're shifting over here. Race is between Mcauliffe (D) and Youngkin (R), with Princess Blanding running as an  . This thread will be fast moving given the election is today.Youth Decay posted:Princess Blanding is running under the "Liberation Party" (not to be confused with the PSL), not Libertarian. The Liberation Party doesn't even have its own website and Blanding is its only candidate so she's basically running as a left-wing independent. https://ballotpedia.org/Virginia_gubernatorial_election,_2021  There are also other things and people on the ballot: https://ballotpedia.org/Virginia_elections,_2021 CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 17:51 on Nov 2, 2021 |
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Nov 2, 2021 17:32
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| # ? May 4, 2024 09:56 |
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There are several other statewide/local races happening today so you may want to change the scope of the thread to encompass them. I think Minneapolis has a vote on disbanding the police? And while Murphy's pretty much a lock in NJ the entire state legislature is up for reelection, I believe. Ballotpedia might help you out here.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:35
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RBA Starblade posted:When do they count mail-in ballots anyway? Mine said they accept them until Friday. For the curious
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Nov 2, 2021 17:36
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Willa Rogers posted:There are several other statewide/local races happening today so you may want to change the scope of the thread to encompass them. Thanks, I will update the OP.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:37
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I have no skin in the game, I'm just here for the wailing and gnashing of teeth to ensue from what's happening. No matter what, there will be some wailing and gnashing, it's politics.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:37
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It's fun that with Predictit we can all have some sort of involvement, even if the race isn't our own state.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:42
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I think Princess Blanding still has a shot
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Nov 2, 2021 17:42
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Princess Blanding is running under the "Liberation Party" (not to be confused with the PSL), not Libertarian. The Liberation Party doesn't even have its own website and Blanding is its only candidate so she's basically running as a left-wing independent. That said, enough people are going to misread Liberation as Libertarian that she might take votes from both candidates lol. The Libertarian always gets a few percent in gubernatorial elections here.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:44
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So... is her name actually Princess Blanding, or is that just some odd nickname people gave her?
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Nov 2, 2021 17:45
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A vote for a libertarian candidate is a vote for the Democrat. But a vote for the non-democratic candidate is a vote for the Republican? So if someone is an idiot and votes for Blanding because they think they're a libertarian, is that a wash?
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Nov 2, 2021 17:46
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Voted early, by mail-in ballot, for Terry and made sure to deliver my ballot in person to my registrar's office. I'm not going to follow this too closely, because mentally I can't handle another stressful election night, but I think Terry is probably going to win.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:48
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Randalor posted:So... is her name actually Princess Blanding, or is that just some odd nickname people gave her? That's her real name, champ.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:48
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Randalor posted:So... is her name actually Princess Blanding, or is that just some odd nickname people gave her?
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Nov 2, 2021 17:50
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As far as I understand the virginia election, it might be a model for successful conservative recovery via their neo-model white grievance culture war model. Shouting a lot about critical race theory basically being the newest way to push whites to the polls to defy the forces of progressivism and leftism by stoking the clear image of race replacement. I mean, it's obviously working. CRT isn't even taught in virginia. But it lets conservatives put "race" front and center while pretending they aren't doing what they're doing.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:53
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IMO TMac wins and it’s “disturbingly close” (within 2%) but easily called tonight.
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Nov 2, 2021 17:59
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DOCTOR ZIMBARDO posted:IMO TMac wins and it’s “disturbingly close” (within 2%) but easily called tonight. Kinda curious how much (if any) red mirage there will be with all the early voting happening.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:01
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Youth Decay posted:Kinda curious how much (if any) red mirage there will be with all the early voting happening. Early voting was made a lot more equitable by the dem assembly in state so probably not much more than the usual early count being sparsely populated (read red) districts first.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:09
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Youth Decay posted:Kinda curious how much (if any) red mirage there will be with all the early voting happening. I guess they have changed the way votes are counted such that early votes and absentee votes began being processed seven days before election day. So we are actually going to see a blue shift in the initial results, which will represent early/absentee votes, and then a red shift as the rural areas get their election day results in, and then a final blue shift as the returns come in from urban areas. e: Also like Oracle said we don't know for sure that partisan split of early votes vs. election day votes will break down as neatly as it did a year ago. I still think that the election day vote will favor Youngkin and the early votes McAuliffe, though.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:12
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Good luck, VA! Do the right thing, do the needful. When I lived in Virginia my polling place was an elementary school literally across the street and around the corner from my rental, and it was always a pleasure to go vote. Good luck!
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Nov 2, 2021 18:16
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I've noticed this guy being quite vocal and engaging in data analysis when looking into the Virginia race during these past couple of months. He's optimistic for the Dems, but I guess there are caveats. https://mobile.twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1455572762660151300 There are general complaints that T-Mac left it late to do GOTV work in the African-American communities, which might be based on outdated ideas on how those voters live and what they like. https://mobile.twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1455585189745278986 And at least Fairfax is trying to do its part. No matter what, I'm nervous.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:19
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It's raining in most of the state. Is that good or bad?
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Nov 2, 2021 18:20
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How are u posted:Good luck, VA! Do the right thing, do the needful. While I hope Princess wins, I’m not sure if we can count on Virginia to “do the right thing” in this situation.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:21
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camoseven posted:It's raining in most of the state. Is that good or bad? I've always wondered if rain really affects turnout. I'm a weirdo, so I've waited in long, outdoor lines to vote. Then again, I've never lived in a place where voter suppression was in full swing and they made it as hard as possible to vote.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:31
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camoseven posted:It's raining in most of the state. Is that good or bad? Good for depressing turnout among casual voters and old people who don't want to drive/stand outside in bad weather. It can be ameliorated by short lines and easy in/out access to voting locations though, as well as with mail in voting/early voting. So in this case its likely a wash unless someone's expecting a last minute surge of unlikely voters/traditional 'I only vote in person on the day of' types.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:36
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So, yet again, we're in a situation where the poll-based electoral analysis of the election haltingly favors the democrats but there's still a lot of nervous tension. Story's become very familiar recently.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:47
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455592521078300675 People do seem to be turning out.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:54
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Kavros posted:As far as I understand the virginia election, it might be a model for successful conservative recovery via their neo-model white grievance culture war model. Shouting a lot about critical race theory basically being the newest way to push whites to the polls to defy the forces of progressivism and leftism by stoking the clear image of race replacement.
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Nov 2, 2021 18:57
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DOCTOR ZIMBARDO posted:IMO TMac wins and it’s “disturbingly close” (within 2%) but easily called tonight. Yah, I voted for Princess and really hope she wins, but I think McAuliffe is going to win by a very small margin.
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Nov 2, 2021 19:09
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Murdstone posted:There has been a heavy focus on transphobia too. Ah, but of course, how could I forget. ughhhhhhh
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Nov 2, 2021 19:24
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Eric Cantonese posted:That's her real name, champ. Youth Decay posted:Yes, her name is Princess Blanding. Not any weirder than Linwood, Mills, Albertis, Colgate (seriously this dude was named Colgate), Westmoreland or any of the other old white guys that have held the Virginia governor's seat. Oh, okay. The USNews thread was the first time I had ever heard of her before, so I was just curious.
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Nov 2, 2021 19:31
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Reporting in from VA with two votes for Not Youngkin (my wife and me). In related news, I was accosted in the parking lot by several people waving signs, handing out “sample ballots” with the bubbles already filled in for your convenience, and several jokesters asking if my 1 year old daughter was going to vote, too.
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Nov 2, 2021 19:44
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Thom12255 posted:People do seem to be turning out. doingmypart.gif  Fingers hella crossed. Went in this morning, wasn't too busy but I was like third in line. My mom's been out knocking on doors last couple weekends, said she was well received at least.
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Nov 2, 2021 20:03
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Sailor Jim posted:Reporting in from VA with two votes for Not Youngkin (my wife and me). Are you in SW VA perhaps?
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Nov 2, 2021 20:04
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VorpalBunny posted:Are you in SW VA perhaps? Roanoke! A tiny island of blue awash in a sea of red. My wife was very impressed with my witty comebacks.
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Nov 2, 2021 20:08
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Sailor Jim posted:Roanoke! A tiny island of blue awash in a sea of red. It would suck if your wife hated your jokes. 
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Nov 2, 2021 20:12
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So if you peek in on the gossip that number dorks are posting, there's no clear signs of what the night will hold. https://mobile.twitter.com/i/lists/706696973345107968 (Thanks to Quorum for putting this list together.) Good turnout in some heavy R areas. Good turnout in some heavy D areas. Worrying turnout in some minority-heavy neighborhoods. And since you don't have party registration information, it's hard to tell if you're missing a big swing and/or how much people might have crossed over. I suppose Youngkin really needs to blow past 2017 margins in his areas and it's not clear whether or not he's on pace to do that. It'll be also hard to tell until the count comes in how badly margins might have eroded in D-leaning areas like Henrico County.
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Nov 2, 2021 20:30
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This race will be a fantastic precursor to how midterms will go.
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Nov 2, 2021 20:32
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At this point I think that Virginia is an example of a race that Mcauliffe can win only because the dems have it at present and thus existing republican control of the state wasn't in place to strategically remove the margins of competitiveness through electoral "reforms"
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Nov 2, 2021 20:35
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Eric Cantonese posted:It'll be also hard to tell until the count comes in how badly margins might have eroded in D-leaning areas like Henrico County. I happened to drive through a bunch of Henrico suburbs on Sunday, and if my super scientific poll of yards signs is accurate then T-Mac is hosed there
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Nov 2, 2021 20:36
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Seriously goons this race is going to really show how the political tides are rolling. I'd highly advise you pay attention this evening.
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Nov 2, 2021 20:37
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