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Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Continuing the discussion from the other thread.

Truga posted:

so they should have said "you're not getting in" then, and thus avoiding a bunch of suffering for ukrainians because by 2014 clearly russia felt like they can handle propping up an insurgency now

about 80%? russia's at fault here, but this could have been easily avoidable if bush admin didn't say the thing despite knowing full well ukraine is never getting in because not every nato ally wants them in. putin would have zero reason to do anything in ukraine if ukraine wasn't a nato candidate

e:

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/01/23/politics/ukraine-us-second-weapons-shipment/index.html
you mean this?

e2: well gently caress

On the other hand could it not be argued that the root cause is due to Russia? Ukraine wouldn't have an interest in NATO if they didn't feel threatened by their neighbour. If Russia wasn't a threatening force then joining NATO would be of little interest. If one starts from the position that Ukraine has the right to self-determination and not to be anyone's pawn than it's only logical to seek aid if you feel threatened by another country.

There's a whole rabbit hole delving into what the West could have or should have done in the 90s that may have prevented Russia from developing as it has over the last 30 years but at the root of it is that a country has no reason to join a defensive alliance if they don't feel threatened by anyone else. Presumably the Baltic nations didn't join just for the fun of it.

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Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vincenz_M%FCller

quote:

Vincenz Müller (5 November 1894 – 12 May 1961) was a military officer and general who served in the German army, the Army of Nazi Germany, and after the war in the National People's Army of the (East) German Democratic Republic, where he was also a politician. Müller eventually became a member of the East German parliament, the Volkskammer, and served as chief of staff of the National People's Army.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

If NATO actually wanted to gobble up parts of Russia Kallingrad would have been taken long ago.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Red and Black posted:

I mean, Russia is well within its rights to move its troops around inside of Russia. Also I don't think the claimed 100,000 troops is quite "half" of the Russian army

If Russia did invade Ukraine would it be 'within its rights'?

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Red and Black posted:

Can someone give me a run down on what evidence there is that Russia even invaded the Donbass?

If you go down to the section on "Russian Involvement" there are a lot of sources cited that you can review.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

TipTow posted:

I mean, other than the loaded language, this seemed like a good-faith effort at trying to bridge the understanding gap. I do believe NATO to be an arm of U.S. (and by extension French and British at least) hegemony. That in no way excuses Putin's actions right now, though it certainly does help to inform why he's acting the way he is. More informative than "Putin lusts for Ukrainian blood."

I think we understand perfectly well why Russia is doing what it's doing.

I don't see anyone here claiming it's because 'Putin lusts for Ukrainian blood". Anyone who says that is clearly a moron.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Cuba could be the 11th Canadian province. Think of the potential.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Zedhe Khoja posted:

I never disputed any claims made, in particular the idea that Russia evacuated civilians prior to the attempted Georgian reconquest of Tskhinvali. Massive casualties is a subjective phrase especially considering the small size of the territory.
But Amnesty International wrote their own summary of Georgia’s behavior during the operation. You don’t need the mouthpiece of a criminal piece of poo poo declaring him to be TOTALLY AND COMPLETELY ABSOLVED.

can you link that report?

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Alchenar posted:

It's here: https://www.amnesty.org/en/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/eur040052008eng.pdf

Amensty also did a follow up the next year on the aftermath of the conflict.

thanks

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


unsurprising and depressing

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Yeah CZS, why did *you* join NATO

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Rodiel posted:

Look, I dont want war, but a lot of you seem to. The only way to stop it is to understand that the Russians are humans to. They have the same fears that we do, its not that hard to understand.

Quote someone ITT saying they want a war.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

A big flaming stink posted:

Is this the Nazi militia?

The sea is well known for its racist beliefs.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Quorum posted:



Pictured: the original sick Ukrainian memes

They're so gosh-darn happy

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


I see where the talking-point comes from.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

I think we can all agree the proper name is K-Town.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

GoutPatrol posted:

Yes, but they need :10bux: to come back.

I can't believe Guyovich banned Vladimir Putin.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Welcome to the 21st century, where we watch wars on webcams.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

KitConstantine posted:

Not going great in the north maybe.

Google translation of the below:

‼ ️ During the battles for Chernihiv as a result of a lightning attack together with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, NMU servicemen managed to return to their positions in a flash and capture 2 🇷🇺 occupiers who did not even have time to react to what happened, were very confused. One of them is the Chief of Staff of unit 41659.

https://twitter.com/ArmedForcesUkr/status/1497584608556240898?t=lUKm3h7vZ9EGR2wdHdMl5A&s=19

War is horrific.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Zhanism posted:

Who is this?

That’s Steinrokken.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Mr Hootington posted:

I hope nato does a no fly zone!

I don't.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Mr Hootington posted:

Why not? It would really give Old vlad a bloody nose. Show him we mean business! Follow it up with a SWIFT announcement.

because then even more people would die, and that's bad.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Judakel posted:

I've been hearing about stuff like this for a couple of days, but this is the first time I've seen videos of it.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Damilare_arah/status/1497654141350522880

https://mobile.twitter.com/Damilare_arah/status/1497701358861959169

Horrific and unsurprising.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


cracking cans of surstromming and lobbing them at the enemy

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Vietnom nom nom posted:

The problem is you're drawing arbitrary lines in the sand of history. I mean I could just as easily point to the scarring effects of 20+ million people dying in World War 2 for the USSR, or the deep apathy and resignation to having autocratic corrupt leaders due to never having anything but that.

You're basically saying "causality exists". That events have long term effects that ripple outwards through time. Well, no poo poo.

I mean I could just as easily say:

Matthew Perry opens Japan -> Japan humiliates Russia in a war -> Tsars fall out of favor -> Revolution happens -> USSR

Matthew Perry got Ukraine invaded!

Ooooooooh that Matthew Perry.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Shifty Pony posted:

I am beyond shocked they that Musk actually came through in a timely manner.

It is completely out of character, but a fantastic development.

Like anything Musk-involved we'll see if it actually works.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


mi guska, su guska

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

i keep seeing this video get posted, be advised this bald dude is a PUA sex tourist who hangs around eastern europe abusing women, after he abandoned his family in england skipping out on a rape conviction

https://www.reddit.com/r/BaldAndBaldrDossier/

loving yikes

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


crabs are incapable of lying.

republicans...

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

(CW: War) Ukraine v Russia: Please do not hack nuclear reactors.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

KitConstantine posted:

I repeat, this song loving whips

:nws: for military vehicles getting blown to gently caress

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1498692841526251526?t=1qfB_akk3VhIeP-fCxdwTA&s=19


Pretty god drat grim.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Bionic Psyker posted:

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1498799589100605444

Has this been posted? That could be a big troop movement that was coming up from the south.

"military bloggers"

the age we live in

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Gripweed posted:

It is extremely not.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Riptor posted:

Richard Engel is that person but he's relaying what Josh Lederman, who I know nothing about, is saying: https://twitter.com/JoshNBCNews/status/1499117617969340420?s=20&t=DpQk2Ihr6SKbMBa9IbAHNg

I can confidently state that Russian losses are somewhere between 5 and 1 million soldiers.

Estimates vary.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009


I doubt that very much.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

CommieGIR posted:

A lot of the Ukrainians are calling the Russians 'Orcs' in reference to LOTR.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGVZHLOV60E
Music video praising the Turkish drones Ukrainians are using.

If Tolkien considered the Elves to be French, and the Orcs their dark reflections, then logically the Orcs are Quebecois.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

No-Fun Zones

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

Logistics, it always comes down to logistics.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

a podcast for cats posted:

Apparently that Russian ship got lured into an ambush position by smaller boats and was sunk by a MLRS barrage. hosed up if true.

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Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

cowardly wizard thread

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