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Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

Mokotow posted:

(even though some 16 million people in Asia could be).
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Descent_from_Genghis_Khan

Pet peeve, the 16 million number means something completely different than what people generally take it to mean. Assuming that the hypthesis is correct and that the haplogroup in question comes from Genghis, it would mean that there are 16 million men living in Asia who are direct male-line descendants from him. That is, for such a person the father of their father of their father ... of their father was Genghis. This is a much smaller group than the total of all his descendants, which also includes women, and men descended from women who descended from Genghis. Statistically, having 16M direct male line descendants means that the total amount of all your descendants is likely > 2 billion.

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Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

FishBulbia posted:

I don't believe that they would launch the offensive on the same day that the US is attempting intensive diplomacy, but we'll see.

That's possibly assuming too centralized control over decisions. Fanaticism has many advantages in the lower ranks, but one very important disadvantage that has been noted time and again is that if people believe that their cause is just and right to the level of almost being divinely ordained, they don't want to stop just because their superiors tell them to, and they will find or manufacture causes to start poo poo up again whether it makes sense or no.

If we know anything about the Azeri military, they really do seem to be pretty fanatical. (See, for example, the guy who murdered the Armenian guy during a NATO exercise.)

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

In retrospect, it would have been much preferable for both JV and Pro for AP! to have skated to just above the threshold. Right now, a JV-AS-NA government is possible although unfavorable to JV, but there's not really much they can do to force their partners to take a 4th wheel. If AP! had made it above the threshold, Pro would have 1-2 seats less, but the larger parties would lose enough for JV-AS-NA to be impossible, and then they'd have to get an another partner, and in those negotiations Pro might have had a very strong hand.

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

a pipe smoking dog posted:

Eastern Europe: Turns out PiS is not stored in the ballots

Mods!?

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

Qtotonibudinibudet posted:

it probably won't do anything other than maybe giving the option for some prosecutor to say that someone or some entity is part of a banned organization, but it is darkly hilarious that the state has constructed a specific phantom international organization that can be banned

Fascists have a long, long history of this.

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